Coastal Carolina
17-12 · SRS -8.1
@
Georgia State
10-19 · SRS -4.8
Model pick · straight up
Georgia StateCoastal Carolina 29%Georgia State 71%
Confidence
71%
Predicted score
73–70
Margin (home)
-2.4
Total (line 141.2)
143 · OVER
Moneylines
-105 / -115
ML value edge
+20%
⚠ SIGNAL CONFLICT: 4/4 metrics favor Coastal Carolina, but model picks Georgia State
Season ProfileCoastal Carolina · Georgia State
59%
Win %
34%
-8.1
SRS
-4.8
-2.2
Schedule (opp SRS)
-0.9
+1.8
Net Efficiency
-5.3
OffenseCoastal Carolina · Georgia State
73.4
Points / game
70.1
104.7
Offensive rating
101.6
48.8%
eFG%
45.2%
34.3%
3P%
31.7%
70.2%
FT%
78.0%
68.4
Pace
68.9
Defense & Ball ControlCoastal Carolina · Georgia State
72.0
Opp points / game
74.1
102.9
Defensive rating
107.0
45.5%
Opp eFG%
50.6%
15.6
Turnover ratio
16.0
25.4%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
32.7%
FT rate
36.5%
Recent FormCoastal Carolina · Georgia State
+2.8
Last-10 margin
-5.4
74.0
Last-10 PPG
69.2
60%
Last-5 win %
20%
1
Win streak
-1
62%
Close-game win %
33%
3
Days rest
3
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
Jan 03, 2026Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina89–71Georgia State
Feb 26, 2025Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina74–80Coastal Carolina
Jan 11, 2025Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State74–79Georgia State
Feb 21, 2024Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State71–72Georgia State
Jan 27, 2024Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina83–85Coastal Carolina
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.