Duke#1
25-2 · SRS +22.2
@
Notre Dame
12-15 · SRS +2.0
Model pick · straight up
DukeDuke 86%Notre Dame 14%
Confidence
86%
Predicted score
79–71
Margin (home)
-7.9
Total (line 139.8)
150 · OVER
Moneylines
-3500 / +1150
Season ProfileDuke · Notre Dame
93%
Win %
44%
+22.2
SRS
+2.0
+4.6
Schedule (opp SRS)
+2.3
+29.0
Net Efficiency
+0.8
OffenseDuke · Notre Dame
82.4
Points / game
74.4
122.8
Offensive rating
110.4
57.5%
eFG%
52.6%
34.9%
3P%
35.8%
71.1%
FT%
67.8%
67.2
Pace
66.3
Defense & Ball ControlDuke · Notre Dame
63.1
Opp points / game
73.4
93.8
Defensive rating
109.7
46.3%
Opp eFG%
51.4%
16.0
Turnover ratio
17.0
29.8%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
38.0%
FT rate
33.4%
Recent FormDuke · Notre Dame
+18.2
Last-10 margin
-6.0
76.6
Last-10 PPG
76.4
80%
Last-5 win %
20%
4
Win streak
-1
60%
Close-game win %
40%
3
Days rest
3
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
Jan 11, 2025Notre Dame @ Duke78–86Duke
Feb 07, 2024Notre Dame @ Duke53–71Duke
Jan 06, 2024Duke @ Notre Dame67–59Duke
Feb 14, 2023Notre Dame @ Duke64–68Duke
Jan 31, 2022Duke @ Notre Dame57–43Duke
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.