Fresno State
12-15 · SRS -10.0
@
🏀
Colorado State
17-10 · SRS +8.4
Model pick · straight up
Fresno StateFresno State 62%Colorado State 38%
Confidence
62%
Predicted score
68–70
Margin (home)
+1.3
Total (line 146.8)
138 · UNDER
Moneylines
+320 / -430
ML value edge
+39%
Season ProfileFresno State · Colorado State
44%
Win %
63%
-10.0
SRS
+8.4
+0.4
Schedule (opp SRS)
+0.1
+1.9
Net Efficiency
+9.3
OffenseFresno State · Colorado State
74.2
Points / game
76.8
108.0
Offensive rating
124.5
51.8%
eFG%
59.2%
33.0%
3P%
39.5%
74.3%
FT%
76.9%
68.7
Pace
61.7
Defense & Ball ControlFresno State · Colorado State
72.9
Opp points / game
71.0
106.1
Defensive rating
115.2
51.1%
Opp eFG%
53.1%
18.8
Turnover ratio
17.4
28.4%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
37.3%
FT rate
41.9%
Recent FormFresno State · Colorado State
-0.3
Last-10 margin
+3.5
76.1
Last-10 PPG
73.1
20%
Last-5 win %
100%
-2
Win streak
5
40%
Close-game win %
40%
3
Days rest
3
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
Jan 14, 2026Colorado State @ Fresno State69–79Fresno State
Jan 25, 2025Colorado State @ Fresno State69–64Colorado State
Jan 07, 2025Fresno State @ Colorado State64–91Colorado State
Feb 03, 2024Colorado State @ Fresno State73–61Colorado State
Mar 08, 2023Fresno State @ Colorado State65–67Colorado State
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.