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Iowa State#4
23-4 · SRS +14.1
@
Utah
10-17 · SRS +3.5
Tuesday, February 24, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET Conference game
Model pick · straight up
Iowa State
Iowa State 84%Utah 16%
Confidence
84%
Predicted score
79–75
Margin (home)
-4.7
Total (line 144.5)
154 · OVER
Moneylines
-950 / +600
Season ProfileIowa State · Utah
85% Win % 37%
+14.1 SRS +3.5
+3.3 Schedule (opp SRS) +3.6
+26.2 Net Efficiency -4.2
OffenseIowa State · Utah
83.1 Points / game 75.6
122.1 Offensive rating 114.1
57.7% eFG% 52.1%
38.8% 3P% 35.0%
64.9% FT% 73.6%
68.0 Pace 65.9
Defense & Ball ControlIowa State · Utah
65.1 Opp points / game 78.4
95.9 Defensive rating 118.3
48.8% Opp eFG% 52.8%
15.4 Turnover ratio 15.8
32.5% Off. rebound % 29.5%
35.9% FT rate 32.5%
Recent FormIowa State · Utah
+10.5 Last-10 margin -6.0
77.3 Last-10 PPG 67.8
60% Last-5 win % 20%
-1 Win streak -1
100% Close-game win % 50%
2 Days rest 3
Head to Headlast 1 meetings
Jan 07, 2025Utah @ Iowa State59–82Iowa State
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only; against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.