Kentucky
17-10 · SRS +12.3
@
South Carolina
12-15 · SRS +2.6
Model pick · straight up
South CarolinaKentucky 47%South Carolina 53%
Confidence
53%
Predicted score
77–71
Margin (home)
-6.3
Total (line 149.5)
148 · UNDER
Moneylines
-320 / +260
ML value edge
+26%
⚠ SIGNAL CONFLICT: 4/4 metrics favor Kentucky, but model picks South Carolina
Season ProfileKentucky · South Carolina
63%
Win %
44%
+12.3
SRS
+2.6
+7.0
Schedule (opp SRS)
+4.1
+11.9
Net Efficiency
+0.1
OffenseKentucky · South Carolina
81.2
Points / game
76.7
117.6
Offensive rating
111.2
53.3%
eFG%
51.2%
33.9%
3P%
30.4%
71.8%
FT%
79.5%
69.0
Pace
67.9
Defense & Ball ControlKentucky · South Carolina
72.8
Opp points / game
76.4
105.6
Defensive rating
111.1
48.1%
Opp eFG%
50.7%
15.2
Turnover ratio
14.2
32.2%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
38.5%
FT rate
37.6%
Recent FormKentucky · South Carolina
+0.0
Last-10 margin
-11.8
78.0
Last-10 PPG
72.4
40%
Last-5 win %
20%
-3
Win streak
1
57%
Close-game win %
17%
2
Days rest
3
Head to Headlast 4 meetings
Feb 08, 2025South Carolina @ Kentucky57–80Kentucky
Jan 23, 2024Kentucky @ South Carolina62–79South Carolina
Jan 10, 2023South Carolina @ Kentucky71–68South Carolina
Feb 08, 2022Kentucky @ South Carolina86–76Kentucky
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.