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Louisiana
10-19 · SRS -8.2
@
Troy
18-11 · SRS +5.5
Tuesday, February 24, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET Conference game
Model pick · straight up
Troy
Louisiana 13%Troy 87%
Confidence
87%
Predicted score
65–67
Margin (home)
+1.8
Total (line 134.5)
132 · UNDER
Season ProfileLouisiana · Troy
34% Win % 62%
-8.2 SRS +5.5
-0.5 Schedule (opp SRS) -0.2
-10.0 Net Efficiency +9.0
OffenseLouisiana · Troy
63.0 Points / game 80.6
99.8 Offensive rating 112.5
47.6% eFG% 51.8%
34.3% 3P% 34.3%
70.1% FT% 72.8%
63.2 Pace 68.7
Defense & Ball ControlLouisiana · Troy
69.3 Opp points / game 74.4
109.8 Defensive rating 103.5
52.1% Opp eFG% 50.0%
17.4 Turnover ratio 16.4
31.7% Off. rebound % 32.7%
28.2% FT rate 35.1%
Recent FormLouisiana · Troy
-0.3 Last-10 margin -2.5
68.3 Last-10 PPG 68.5
40% Last-5 win % 40%
1 Win streak -1
43% Close-game win % 62%
3 Days rest 3
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
Jan 10, 2026Troy @ Louisiana90–70Troy
Feb 20, 2025Louisiana @ Troy72–69Louisiana
Feb 12, 2025Troy @ Louisiana74–56Troy
Feb 28, 2024Troy @ Louisiana87–73Troy
Jan 10, 2024Louisiana @ Troy73–79Troy
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only; against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.