Massachusetts
15-13 · SRS -3.3
@
Ball State
8-19 · SRS -4.1
Model pick · straight up
MassachusettsMassachusetts 73%Ball State 27%
Confidence
73%
Predicted score
72–75
Margin (home)
+3.3
Total (line 140.8)
147 · OVER
Moneylines
-210 / +175
ML value edge
+8%
Season ProfileMassachusetts · Ball State
54%
Win %
30%
-3.3
SRS
-4.1
-2.5
Schedule (opp SRS)
-2.2
+5.0
Net Efficiency
-7.1
OffenseMassachusetts · Ball State
80.9
Points / game
66.0
112.0
Offensive rating
104.6
53.7%
eFG%
47.3%
35.8%
3P%
31.0%
66.2%
FT%
69.6%
70.8
Pace
63.0
Defense & Ball ControlMassachusetts · Ball State
77.3
Opp points / game
70.3
107.0
Defensive rating
111.6
52.4%
Opp eFG%
52.4%
18.2
Turnover ratio
15.9
31.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
38.3%
FT rate
33.4%
Recent FormMassachusetts · Ball State
-1.5
Last-10 margin
-6.9
81.1
Last-10 PPG
62.5
20%
Last-5 win %
20%
-4
Win streak
-4
38%
Close-game win %
67%
3
Days rest
4
Head to Headlast 2 meetings
Jan 10, 2026Ball State @ Massachusetts71–79Massachusetts
Nov 21, 2021Ball State @ Massachusetts89–86Ball State
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.