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Minnesota
13-14 · SRS +1.9
@
Michigan#3
25-2 · SRS +10.8
Tuesday, February 24, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET Conference game
Model pick · straight up
Michigan
Minnesota 17%Michigan 83%
Confidence
83%
Predicted score
67–80
Margin (home)
+13.6
Total (line 145.8)
147 · OVER
Moneylines
+2500 / -20000
Season ProfileMinnesota · Michigan
48% Win % 93%
+1.9 SRS +10.8
+4.8 Schedule (opp SRS) +8.4
+5.4 Net Efficiency +29.0
OffenseMinnesota · Michigan
70.9 Points / game 89.6
110.6 Offensive rating 124.6
54.1% eFG% 58.5%
34.3% 3P% 35.6%
69.8% FT% 74.7%
63.4 Pace 71.5
Defense & Ball ControlMinnesota · Michigan
67.7 Opp points / game 68.7
105.1 Defensive rating 95.7
50.7% Opp eFG% 43.8%
16.9 Turnover ratio 16.8
27.7% Off. rebound % 28.0%
39.0% FT rate 40.4%
Recent FormMinnesota · Michigan
-2.1 Last-10 margin +15.1
67.2 Last-10 PPG 83.7
60% Last-5 win % 80%
2 Win streak -1
25% Close-game win % 67%
3 Days rest 3
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
Jan 16, 2025Michigan @ Minnesota81–84Minnesota
Jan 04, 2024Minnesota @ Michigan73–71Minnesota
Jan 22, 2023Minnesota @ Michigan56–60Michigan
Dec 08, 2022Michigan @ Minnesota90–75Michigan
Dec 11, 2021Minnesota @ Michigan75–65Minnesota
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only; against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.