New Mexico
21-6 · SRS +9.9
@
Nevada
18-9 · SRS +4.2
Model pick · straight up
New MexicoNew Mexico 81%Nevada 19%
Confidence
81%
Predicted score
73–73
Margin (home)
-0.7
Total (line 151.5)
146 · UNDER
Moneylines
-115 / -105
ML value edge
+30%
Season ProfileNew Mexico · Nevada
78%
Win %
67%
+9.9
SRS
+4.2
+1.0
Schedule (opp SRS)
+1.5
+17.3
Net Efficiency
+6.2
OffenseNew Mexico · Nevada
81.4
Points / game
76.1
116.2
Offensive rating
117.6
54.7%
eFG%
50.4%
37.3%
3P%
39.3%
74.1%
FT%
75.9%
70.1
Pace
63.7
Defense & Ball ControlNew Mexico · Nevada
69.5
Opp points / game
72.0
98.9
Defensive rating
111.4
48.2%
Opp eFG%
51.2%
15.4
Turnover ratio
14.3
28.1%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
36.6%
FT rate
46.1%
Recent FormNew Mexico · Nevada
+7.4
Last-10 margin
+3.9
82.5
Last-10 PPG
76.0
60%
Last-5 win %
40%
3
Win streak
1
60%
Close-game win %
62%
3
Days rest
3
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
Jan 25, 2026Nevada @ New Mexico73–80New Mexico
Mar 04, 2025New Mexico @ Nevada71–67New Mexico
Jan 03, 2025Nevada @ New Mexico81–82New Mexico
Feb 13, 2024New Mexico @ Nevada83–82New Mexico
Jan 28, 2024Nevada @ New Mexico55–89New Mexico
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.