Northern Illinois
9-17 · SRS -12.0
@
Toledo
14-13 · SRS -2.4
Model pick · straight up
ToledoNorthern Illinois 13%Toledo 87%
Confidence
87%
Predicted score
71–75
Margin (home)
+4.0
Total (line 149.8)
145 · UNDER
Moneylines
+545 / -812
Season ProfileNorthern Illinois · Toledo
33%
Win %
52%
-12.0
SRS
-2.4
-1.9
Schedule (opp SRS)
-0.4
-7.7
Net Efficiency
+5.5
OffenseNorthern Illinois · Toledo
68.3
Points / game
81.3
102.6
Offensive rating
115.9
47.4%
eFG%
54.5%
31.6%
3P%
36.4%
63.7%
FT%
77.4%
66.5
Pace
70.2
Defense & Ball ControlNorthern Illinois · Toledo
73.3
Opp points / game
77.5
110.3
Defensive rating
110.4
51.8%
Opp eFG%
54.0%
21.0
Turnover ratio
15.0
32.5%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
37.3%
FT rate
32.9%
Recent FormNorthern Illinois · Toledo
-7.3
Last-10 margin
+1.9
65.7
Last-10 PPG
79.0
40%
Last-5 win %
40%
-1
Win streak
1
57%
Close-game win %
30%
3
Days rest
3
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
Jan 07, 2026Toledo @ Northern Illinois75–61Toledo
Feb 01, 2025Northern Illinois @ Toledo85–89Toledo
Feb 27, 2024Northern Illinois @ Toledo75–72Northern Illinois
Jan 23, 2024Toledo @ Northern Illinois89–73Toledo
Jan 14, 2023Toledo @ Northern Illinois84–67Toledo
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.