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Northwestern
11-16 · SRS +6.4
@
Indiana
17-10 · SRS +7.2
Tuesday, February 24, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET Conference game
Model pick · straight up
Northwestern
Northwestern 62%Indiana 38%
Confidence
62%
Predicted score
70–73
Margin (home)
+3.1
Total (line 145.8)
144 · UNDER
Moneylines
+330 / -440
ML value edge
+40%
Season ProfileNorthwestern · Indiana
41% Win % 63%
+6.4 SRS +7.2
+4.4 Schedule (opp SRS) +5.5
+1.3 Net Efficiency +11.7
OffenseNorthwestern · Indiana
74.1 Points / game 79.7
112.0 Offensive rating 118.1
51.2% eFG% 55.8%
32.8% 3P% 34.6%
74.3% FT% 79.0%
65.8 Pace 66.7
Defense & Ball ControlNorthwestern · Indiana
73.0 Opp points / game 72.1
110.7 Defensive rating 106.4
50.1% Opp eFG% 48.6%
13.0 Turnover ratio 15.1
28.4% Off. rebound % 25.2%
35.8% FT rate 35.9%
Recent FormNorthwestern · Indiana
-8.6 Last-10 margin -3.8
66.8 Last-10 PPG 74.1
20% Last-5 win % 40%
1 Win streak -2
38% Close-game win % 100%
5 Days rest 3
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
Jan 22, 2025Indiana @ Northwestern70–79Northwestern
Feb 18, 2024Northwestern @ Indiana76–72Northwestern
Feb 15, 2023Indiana @ Northwestern62–64Northwestern
Jan 08, 2023Northwestern @ Indiana84–83Northwestern
Feb 08, 2022Indiana @ Northwestern51–59Northwestern
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only; against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.