Saint Louis#23
25-2 · SRS +1.9
@
Dayton
18-9 · SRS +5.2
Model pick · straight up
Saint LouisSaint Louis 84%Dayton 16%
Confidence
84%
Predicted score
77–82
Margin (home)
+4.9
Total (line 156.2)
158 · OVER
Moneylines
-220 / +180
ML value edge
+18%
Season ProfileSaint Louis · Dayton
93%
Win %
67%
+1.9
SRS
+5.2
+0.6
Schedule (opp SRS)
+1.5
+30.3
Net Efficiency
+7.0
OffenseSaint Louis · Dayton
90.1
Points / game
76.1
123.7
Offensive rating
109.2
61.0%
eFG%
52.2%
40.6%
3P%
33.9%
71.9%
FT%
73.7%
72.9
Pace
68.7
Defense & Ball ControlSaint Louis · Dayton
68.1
Opp points / game
71.0
93.4
Defensive rating
102.2
42.1%
Opp eFG%
51.5%
17.1
Turnover ratio
16.9
25.5%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
34.4%
FT rate
49.1%
Recent FormSaint Louis · Dayton
+16.6
Last-10 margin
-0.5
87.0
Last-10 PPG
73.8
80%
Last-5 win %
80%
1
Win streak
3
60%
Close-game win %
43%
4
Days rest
3
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
Jan 31, 2026Dayton @ Saint Louis71–102Saint Louis
Mar 04, 2025Saint Louis @ Dayton67–75Dayton
Jan 31, 2025Dayton @ Saint Louis71–63Dayton
Mar 05, 2024Dayton @ Saint Louis100–83Dayton
Jan 16, 2024Saint Louis @ Dayton65–70Dayton
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.