USC
18-9 · SRS +6.1
@
UCLA
18-9 · SRS +12.3
Model pick · straight up
UCLAUSC 36%UCLA 64%
Confidence
64%
Predicted score
73–74
Margin (home)
+1.4
Total (line 150.5)
147 · UNDER
Moneylines
+250 / -300
⚠ SIGNAL CONFLICT: 3/4 metrics favor USC, but model picks UCLA
Season ProfileUSC · UCLA
67%
Win %
67%
+6.1
SRS
+12.3
+5.1
Schedule (opp SRS)
+4.8
+4.6
Net Efficiency
+9.2
OffenseUSC · UCLA
80.3
Points / game
77.9
111.5
Offensive rating
117.3
51.6%
eFG%
53.4%
32.0%
3P%
37.7%
71.1%
FT%
75.2%
70.5
Pace
65.4
Defense & Ball ControlUSC · UCLA
76.6
Opp points / game
71.8
106.9
Defensive rating
108.1
49.3%
Opp eFG%
50.6%
17.5
Turnover ratio
14.2
31.2%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
47.4%
FT rate
35.5%
Recent FormUSC · UCLA
-4.3
Last-10 margin
-0.4
73.0
Last-10 PPG
76.9
40%
Last-5 win %
60%
-3
Win streak
1
73%
Close-game win %
67%
3
Days rest
3
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
Mar 08, 2025USC @ UCLA63–90UCLA
Jan 27, 2025UCLA @ USC82–76UCLA
Feb 24, 2024USC @ UCLA62–56USC
Jan 27, 2024UCLA @ USC65–50UCLA
Jan 26, 2023UCLA @ USC64–77USC
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.