North Dakota State
27-7 · SRS +3.9
@
Michigan State#11
25-7 · SRS +15.1
Model pick · straight up
Michigan StateNorth Dakota State 22%Michigan State 78%
Confidence
78%
Moneylines
+850 / -1450
⚠ SIGNAL CONFLICT: 3/4 metrics favor North Dakota State, but model picks Michigan State
Season ProfileNorth Dakota State · Michigan State
79%
Win %
81%
+3.9
SRS
+15.1
-0.9
Schedule (opp SRS)
+6.5
+15.6
Net Efficiency
+15.9
OffenseNorth Dakota State · Michigan State
81.1
Points / game
78.8
116.5
Offensive rating
117.6
54.7%
eFG%
53.8%
35.9%
3P%
35.1%
73.9%
FT%
76.3%
68.4
Pace
66.3
Defense & Ball ControlNorth Dakota State · Michigan State
69.8
Opp points / game
67.8
100.9
Defensive rating
101.7
51.4%
Opp eFG%
48.0%
15.4
Turnover ratio
17.1
31.2%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
31.2%
FT rate
36.7%
Recent FormNorth Dakota State · Michigan State
+11.3
Last-10 margin
+0.5
81.2
Last-10 PPG
77.2
80%
Last-5 win %
80%
3
Win streak
-1
70%
Close-game win %
71%
1
Days rest
5
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
No prior meetings in the dataset.
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.