The Lab Analytics · Basketball Sign in Sign up
Pennsylvania
18-11 · SRS -7.3
@
Illinois#13
24-8 · SRS +12.0
Thursday, March 19, 2026 · 9:25 PM ET Neutral site
Model pick · straight up
Illinois
Pennsylvania 3%Illinois 97%
Confidence
97%
Moneylines
+3000 / -10000
Season ProfilePennsylvania · Illinois
61% Win % 77%
-7.3 SRS +12.0
-0.0 Schedule (opp SRS) +7.4
+4.2 Net Efficiency +23.5
OffensePennsylvania · Illinois
75.7 Points / game 84.3
108.6 Offensive rating 132.1
50.7% eFG% 55.1%
38.2% 3P% 34.5%
67.4% FT% 79.2%
69.5 Pace 63.0
Defense & Ball ControlPennsylvania · Illinois
72.9 Opp points / game 69.1
104.5 Defensive rating 108.5
51.7% Opp eFG% 47.7%
15.4 Turnover ratio 13.1
31.7% Off. rebound % 33.1%
37.3% FT rate 33.6%
Recent FormPennsylvania · Illinois
+5.2 Last-10 margin +11.7
73.5 Last-10 PPG 82.8
80% Last-5 win % 60%
4 Win streak 2
45% Close-game win % 17%
0 Days rest 4
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
No prior meetings in the dataset.
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only; against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.