The Lab Analytics · Basketball Sign in Sign up
Saint Louis
28-5 · SRS +1.9
@
Georgia
22-10 · SRS +8.1
Thursday, March 19, 2026 · 9:45 PM ET Neutral site
Model pick · straight up
Georgia
Saint Louis 43%Georgia 57%
Confidence
57%
Moneylines
+120 / -142
⚠ SIGNAL CONFLICT: 4/4 metrics favor Saint Louis, but model picks Georgia
Season ProfileSaint Louis · Georgia
88% Win % 71%
+1.9 SRS +8.1
+1.0 Schedule (opp SRS) +4.8
+25.5 Net Efficiency +15.1
OffenseSaint Louis · Georgia
87.8 Points / game 90.4
122.5 Offensive rating 122.7
60.2% eFG% 55.2%
40.0% 3P% 34.3%
72.7% FT% 76.4%
71.7 Pace 72.5
Defense & Ball ControlSaint Louis · Georgia
69.5 Opp points / game 79.3
96.9 Defensive rating 107.6
44.3% Opp eFG% 50.2%
17.0 Turnover ratio 14.4
25.5% Off. rebound % 33.5%
34.6% FT rate 37.3%
Recent FormSaint Louis · Georgia
+6.0 Last-10 margin +0.7
80.0 Last-10 PPG 84.8
60% Last-5 win % 80%
1 Win streak 3
60% Close-game win % 62%
1 Days rest 5
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
No prior meetings in the dataset.
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only; against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.