South Florida
25-8 · SRS -3.0
@
Louisville#23
23-10 · SRS +11.1
Model pick · straight up
LouisvilleSouth Florida 34%Louisville 66%
Confidence
66%
Moneylines
+215 / -265
⚠ SIGNAL CONFLICT: 3/4 metrics favor South Florida, but model picks Louisville
Season ProfileSouth Florida · Louisville
75%
Win %
72%
-3.0
SRS
+11.1
+1.0
Schedule (opp SRS)
+4.8
+16.5
Net Efficiency
+18.3
OffenseSouth Florida · Louisville
88.3
Points / game
85.1
121.7
Offensive rating
120.1
51.4%
eFG%
56.7%
32.8%
3P%
36.1%
73.6%
FT%
76.7%
71.0
Pace
70.8
Defense & Ball ControlSouth Florida · Louisville
76.2
Opp points / game
72.0
105.2
Defensive rating
101.7
48.5%
Opp eFG%
48.7%
14.6
Turnover ratio
16.3
36.3%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
42.4%
FT rate
34.2%
Recent FormSouth Florida · Louisville
+15.7
Last-10 margin
+8.1
85.5
Last-10 PPG
84.0
100%
Last-5 win %
60%
10
Win streak
3
33%
Close-game win %
40%
1
Days rest
0
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
No prior meetings in the dataset.
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.