The Lab Analytics · Basketball Sign in Sign up
Troy
22-11 · SRS +5.5
@
Nebraska#15
26-6 · SRS +7.2
Thursday, March 19, 2026 · 12:40 PM ET Neutral site
Model pick · straight up
Nebraska
Troy 24%Nebraska 76%
Confidence
76%
Moneylines
+750 / -1200
⚠ SIGNAL CONFLICT: 3/4 metrics favor Troy, but model picks Nebraska
Season ProfileTroy · Nebraska
66% Win % 84%
+5.5 SRS +7.2
-1.1 Schedule (opp SRS) +4.5
+9.9 Net Efficiency +18.4
OffenseTroy · Nebraska
80.4 Points / game 77.9
113.3 Offensive rating 115.9
52.0% eFG% 55.5%
33.9% 3P% 35.0%
73.4% FT% 77.0%
68.2 Pace 66.9
Defense & Ball ControlTroy · Nebraska
73.5 Opp points / game 66.0
103.4 Defensive rating 97.5
49.5% Opp eFG% 47.7%
16.5 Turnover ratio 14.4
33.1% Off. rebound % 24.5%
36.3% FT rate 28.0%
Recent FormTroy · Nebraska
+1.5 Last-10 margin +5.4
69.1 Last-10 PPG 72.5
80% Last-5 win % 80%
3 Win streak 1
62% Close-game win % 57%
1 Days rest 5
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
No prior meetings in the dataset.
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only; against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.