VCU
27-7 · SRS +12.2
@
North Carolina#21
24-8 · SRS +9.6
Model pick · straight up
North CarolinaVCU 41%North Carolina 59%
Confidence
59%
Moneylines
+120 / -142
⚠ SIGNAL CONFLICT: 3/4 metrics favor VCU, but model picks North Carolina
Season ProfileVCU · North Carolina
79%
Win %
77%
+12.2
SRS
+9.6
+0.3
Schedule (opp SRS)
+3.7
+14.4
Net Efficiency
+13.6
OffenseVCU · North Carolina
81.9
Points / game
79.8
118.3
Offensive rating
117.2
54.3%
eFG%
54.7%
36.4%
3P%
35.0%
73.8%
FT%
70.2%
69.1
Pace
68.3
Defense & Ball ControlVCU · North Carolina
71.8
Opp points / game
71.0
104.0
Defensive rating
103.6
49.1%
Opp eFG%
48.4%
15.4
Turnover ratio
14.2
30.6%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
44.6%
FT rate
38.3%
Recent FormVCU · North Carolina
+9.5
Last-10 margin
+0.6
78.6
Last-10 PPG
73.2
100%
Last-5 win %
80%
5
Win streak
-1
60%
Close-game win %
88%
0
Days rest
5
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
No prior meetings in the dataset.
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.