UConn#7
34-5 · SRS +9.0
@
Michigan#3
36-3 · SRS +10.8
Monday, April 6, 2026 · 8:50 PM ET Neutral site
Model pick · straight up
Michigan
UConn 24%Michigan 76%
Confidence
76%
Moneylines
+260 / -325
Season ProfileUConn · Michigan
88% Win % 94%
+9.0 SRS +10.8
+4.2 Schedule (opp SRS) +8.6
+20.9 Net Efficiency +25.9
OffenseUConn · Michigan
78.3 Points / game 87.3
122.2 Offensive rating 123.3
55.9% eFG% 58.2%
35.3% 3P% 36.2%
71.4% FT% 76.5%
63.5 Pace 70.5
Defense & Ball ControlUConn · Michigan
64.9 Opp points / game 68.9
101.4 Defensive rating 97.3
45.4% Opp eFG% 44.7%
16.3 Turnover ratio 17.2
31.1% Off. rebound % 27.3%
30.7% FT rate 39.3%
Recent FormUConn · Michigan
+7.9 Last-10 margin +9.2
75.3 Last-10 PPG 78.8
80% Last-5 win % 100%
2 Win streak 6
89% Close-game win % 78%
0 Days rest 1
Head to Headlast 5 meetings
No prior meetings in the dataset.
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only; against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.