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The LabAnalytics|Basketball
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CBB ATS · Members

Beat the closing spread.
Every day.

Vegas's closing spread is the toughest line to beat — it's where the sharp money lands. Our model beat it out-of-sample across a full live season of data. Membership is that edge, delivered before tip-off.

+6.1% ROI last seasonedge ≥ 4 · 2795 bets · quarter-Kelly @ −110 · out of sample
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No card required · live billing opens with the 2026 season
+6.1%
ROI last seasonedge ≥ 4 · quarter-Kelly · +5.0% flat
55.0%
Cover rate at edge ≥ 42795 bets · breakeven 52.4%
4508 games
Full out-of-sample dataset2025-11-04 to 2026-03-11

What you actually get

Not “lock of the day” hype. The model's real per-game math, sized like a pro, and an honest scoreboard.

The full daily ATS slate
Every qualifying ATS edge — not one teaser. The single market that cleared the bar out-of-sample, delivered before tip-off.
The model's real numbers
Per-game edge vs the closing spread, the out-of-sample cover rate, and fractional-Kelly stake sizing. The same math the card bets on.
Edge-scaled staking
Stake sizes that scale with the edge at the bet-time spread — and an honest Pass when the line kills the value. No flat-betting dead chalk.
Graded on CLV
Every pick frozen at the bet-time line and graded against the close. Closing-line value is the overfit-resistant test — not a lucky-week cover streak.
The whole record — losses included
Full track-record access, the cold runs shown in plain sight. If we hid our losers you should walk away.
Members-only edge
The slate is private. Free visitors see a locked board; members get the picks the moment the line is frozen.

Get the slate the moment the line freezes.

Free visitors see a locked board. Members get every pick — model edge, realized cover rate and suggested stake — before the market moves.

Live billing opens with the 2026 season. Every pick graded on CLV.

The figures shown are real out-of-sample results from live 2025-11-04 to 2026-03-11 data (4508 graded games), pulled from the committed track record — the same numbers the Track Record page reports. Bets at the model's edge of 4 points or more covered 55.0% on 2795 plays, clearing the 52.4% breakeven at −110. The +6.1% headline is the card's own quarter-Kelly staking; flat 1u a bet it returned +5.0%. Lower-edge plays (under 4 pts) are not in the paid product. Live 2026–27 tracking begins in November.