Championship Odds  /  Arkansas
Based on 2025-26 results — not yet adjusted for off-season roster turnover.
Championship Résumé · #17 Nationally

Arkansas

SEC · 26–8 · projected 5 seed, East
Title odds 3.4%Quad 1 11–8Implied +2841
Title Odds
0%
#17 in the field
Net Rating
+0
+10.9 vs field
SRS
+0
venue-neutral
Off Rtg
0
+20.3 vs 107.1
Def Rtg
0
+9.4 vs 105.9
Proj. Seed
5
East region
Championship Résumé six factors that travel in March
Efficiency MarginNet +12.2Strong
Strength of Schedule#12Elite
Quality Wins10–8 vs top 50Elite
Bad-Loss Avoidance0 bad lossesSpotless
Road / Neutral10–7 away/neutralEven
Momentum8–2 last 10Surging
Quadrant Record NET-style
Quad 1
11–8
0.579
Quad 2
6–0
1.000
Quad 3
2–0
1.000
Quad 4
7–0
1.000
Signature Games
Best Wins
vs Vanderbilt#16
Quad 1
W 93–68
vs Vanderbilt#16
Quad 1
W 86–75
vs Texas Tech#18
Quad 1
W 93–86
vs Tennessee#21
Quad 1
W 86–75
vs Louisville#29
Quad 1
W 89–80
Damaging Losses
at Auburn#40
Quad 1
L 73–95
vs Kentucky#23
Quad 1
L 77–85
at Georgia#22
Quad 1
L 76–90
at Alabama#11
Quad 1
L 115–117
Efficiency Profile vs championship-field average
Net Rating
+12.2
field +1.2
Offensive Rating
127.4
field 107.1
Defensive Rating
115.2
field 105.9 · lower better
SRS
+23.1
venue-neutral rating
Offensive Rating127.4 / field 107.1+20.3
Defensive Rating115.2 / field 105.9+9.4
Net Rating12.2 / field 1.2+10.9
SRS23.1 / field 0.0+23.1
field average · bar right = better, left = worse
Key Contributors click a header to sort
Player GP PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Darius Acuff Jr.G 36 23.5 3.1 6.4 48.4% 44.0%
Meleek ThomasG 37 15.6 3.8 2.5 43.3% 41.6%
Trevon BrazileF 36 13.1 7.3 1.5 52.6% 34.1%
Billy Richmond IIIF 37 11.2 4.3 2.0 56.3% 25.9%
Malique EwinF 37 9.8 5.7 1.0 59.0% 75.0%
0%
Title Probability
Projected 5 seed · East
Implied odds +2841
Résumé Radar factor scores
outer = eliteArkansascontender bar
Snapshot
National Rank#17
ConferenceSEC
Record26–8
Win %70.3%
Net Rating+12.2
SRS+23.1
SoS Rank#12
Championship model · The Lab Analytics ← Back to Championship Odds
The Lab Analytics · 2026 · Privacy Policy