Championship Odds / Duke
⚠Based on 2025-26 results — not yet adjusted for off-season roster turnover.
Championship Résumé · #2 Nationally —
Duke
ACC · 32–2 reg. season · projected 1 seed, West
Title Odds
0%
#2 in the field
Net Rating
+0
+22.8 vs field
SRS
+0
venue-neutral
Off Rtg
0
+8.3 vs 107.1
Def Rtg
0
−14.5 vs 105.9
Proj. Seed
1
West region
Championship Résumé six factors that travel in March
Efficiency MarginNet +24.0Elite
Strength of Schedule#14Elite
Quality Wins15–2 vs top 50Elite
Bad-Loss Avoidance0 bad lossesSpotless
Road / Neutral17–2 away/neutralElite
Momentum10–0 last 10Surging
Quadrant Record NET-style
Quad 1
18–2
0.900
Quad 2
5–0
1.000
Quad 3
3–0
1.000
Quad 4
6–0
1.000
Signature Games
Best Wins
vs Michigan#3
W 68–63
vs Florida#4
W 67–66
at Michigan State#9
W 66–60
vs Virginia#15
W 77–51
vs Virginia#15
W 74–70
Damaging Losses
at North Carolina#28
L 68–71
vs Texas Tech#18
L 81–82
Efficiency Profile vs championship-field average
Net Rating
+24.0
field +1.2
Offensive Rating
115.4
field 107.1
Defensive Rating
91.3
field 105.9 · lower better
SRS
+32.8
venue-neutral rating
Offensive Rating115.4 / field 107.1+8.3
Defensive Rating91.3 / field 105.9−14.5
Net Rating24.0 / field 1.2+22.8
SRS32.8 / field 0.0+32.8
field average · bar right = better, left = worse
Key Contributors click a header to sort
| Player | GP | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron BoozerF | 38 | 22.5 | 10.2 | 4.0 | 55.6% | 39.1% |
| Isaiah EvansG | 38 | 15.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 43.3% | 36.1% |
| Patrick Ngongba IIC | 32 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 60.6% | 25.8% |
| Caleb FosterG | 33 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 44.7% | 39.8% |
| Cayden BoozerG | 38 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 50.0% | 30.3% |
0%
Title Probability
Résumé Radar factor scores
outer = eliteDukecontender bar
Snapshot
National Rank#2
ConferenceACC
Record32–2
Win %84.2%
Net Rating+24.0
SRS+32.8
SoS Rank#14
Championship model · The Lab Analytics
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