Championship Odds / Michigan State
⚠Based on 2025-26 results — not yet adjusted for off-season roster turnover.
Championship Résumé · #9 Nationally ↓1
Michigan State
Big Ten · 25–7 reg. season · projected 2 seed, East
Title Odds
0%
#9 in the field
Net Rating
+0
+13.8 vs field
SRS
+0
venue-neutral
Off Rtg
0
+5.7 vs 107.1
Def Rtg
0
−8.1 vs 105.9
Proj. Seed
2
East region
Championship Résumé six factors that travel in March
Efficiency MarginNet +15.0Strong
Strength of Schedule#9Elite
Quality Wins11–6 vs top 50Elite
Bad-Loss Avoidance0 bad lossesSpotless
Road / Neutral10–5 away/neutralStrong
Momentum6–4 last 10Rising
Quadrant Record NET-style
Quad 1
8–6
0.571
Quad 2
8–1
0.889
Quad 3
6–0
1.000
Quad 4
3–0
1.000
Signature Games
Best Wins
at Purdue#6
W 76–74
vs Illinois#8
W 85–82
vs Arkansas#17
W 69–66
vs Kentucky#23
W 83–66
vs Ohio State#27
W 66–60
Damaging Losses
at Minnesota#82
L 73–76
vs UCLA#31
L 84–88
at Wisconsin#19
L 71–92
at Nebraska#13
L 56–58
Efficiency Profile vs championship-field average
Net Rating
+15.0
field +1.2
Offensive Rating
112.8
field 107.1
Defensive Rating
97.7
field 105.9 · lower better
SRS
+24.0
venue-neutral rating
Offensive Rating112.8 / field 107.1+5.7
Defensive Rating97.7 / field 105.9−8.1
Net Rating15.0 / field 1.2+13.8
SRS24.0 / field 0.0+24.0
field average · bar right = better, left = worse
Key Contributors click a header to sort
| Player | GP | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr.G | 35 | 15.2 | 2.4 | 9.3 | 43.1% | 32.1% |
| Jaxon KohlerF | 35 | 12.5 | 8.9 | 1.3 | 50.0% | 38.9% |
| Coen CarrF | 35 | 12.0 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 51.8% | 27.6% |
| Carson CooperC | 35 | 11.1 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 58.4% | 40.0% |
| Kur TengG | 35 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 37.9% | 38.1% |
0%
Title Probability
Résumé Radar factor scores
outer = eliteMichigan Statecontender bar
Snapshot
National Rank#9
ConferenceBig Ten
Record25–7
Win %71.4%
Net Rating+15.0
SRS+24.0
SoS Rank#9
Championship model · The Lab Analytics
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