Championship Odds / NC State
⚠Based on 2025-26 results — not yet adjusted for off-season roster turnover.
Championship Résumé · #37 Nationally ↓1
NC State
ACC · 20–13 · projected 9 seed, South
Title Odds
0%
#37 in the field
Net Rating
+0
+9.0 vs field
SRS
+0
venue-neutral
Off Rtg
0
+12.5 vs 107.1
Def Rtg
0
+3.5 vs 105.9
Proj. Seed
9
South region
Championship Résumé six factors that travel in March
Efficiency MarginNet +10.3Solid
Strength of Schedule#35Strong
Quality Wins3–9 vs top 50Strong
Bad-Loss Avoidance0 bad lossesSpotless
Road / Neutral9–7 away/neutralEven
Momentum3–7 last 10Cooling
Quadrant Record NET-style
Quad 1
7–9
0.438
Quad 2
5–3
0.625
Quad 3
4–1
0.800
Quad 4
4–0
1.000
Signature Games
Best Wins
vs North Carolina#28
W 82–58
at Clemson#32
W 80–76
vs Ole Miss#43
W 76–62
at SMU#46
W 84–83
vs VCU#48
W 85–79
Damaging Losses
vs Georgia Tech#130
L 74–78
at Notre Dame#94
L 90–96
vs Seton Hall#52
L 74–85
at Auburn#40
L 73–83
Efficiency Profile vs championship-field average
Net Rating
+10.3
field +1.2
Offensive Rating
119.6
field 107.1
Defensive Rating
109.3
field 105.9 · lower better
SRS
+18.6
venue-neutral rating
Offensive Rating119.6 / field 107.1+12.5
Defensive Rating109.3 / field 105.9+3.5
Net Rating10.3 / field 1.2+9.0
SRS18.6 / field 0.0+18.6
field average · bar right = better, left = worse
Key Contributors click a header to sort
| Player | GP | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrion WilliamsF | 33 | 14.0 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 41.4% | 40.4% |
| Quadir CopelandG | 34 | 13.9 | 3.6 | 6.5 | 49.4% | 39.7% |
| Paul McNeil Jr.G | 34 | 13.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 43.3% | 42.7% |
| Ven-Allen LubinF | 34 | 13.6 | 7.1 | 0.9 | 66.8% | 27.3% |
| Tre HollomanG | 32 | 9.2 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 42.1% | 40.2% |
0%
Title Probability
Résumé Radar factor scores
outer = eliteNC Statecontender bar
Snapshot
National Rank#37
ConferenceACC
Record20–13
Win %58.8%
Net Rating+10.3
SRS+18.6
SoS Rank#35
Championship model · The Lab Analytics
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