Championship Odds / San Diego State
⚠Based on 2025-26 results — not yet adjusted for off-season roster turnover.
Championship Résumé · #68 Nationally ↓3
San Diego State
Mountain West · 22–11 · projected 12 seed, East
Title Odds
0%
#68 in the field
Net Rating
+0
+6.6 vs field
SRS
+0
venue-neutral
Off Rtg
0
+2.7 vs 107.1
Def Rtg
0
−3.9 vs 105.9
Proj. Seed
12
East region
Championship Résumé six factors that travel in March
Efficiency MarginNet +7.9Solid
Strength of Schedule#75Solid
Quality Wins3–6 vs top 50Strong
Bad-Loss Avoidance1 · worst vs Troy #168Clean
Road / Neutral8–9 away/neutralEven
Momentum5–5 last 10Steady
Quadrant Record NET-style
Quad 1
0–6
0.000
Quad 2
10–3
0.769
Quad 3
6–1
0.857
Quad 4
6–1
0.857
Signature Games
Best Wins
vs Utah State#35
W 89–72
vs New Mexico#67
W 83–79
vs New Mexico#67
W 64–62
vs Colorado State#73
W 73–50
vs Colorado State#73
W 71–62
Damaging Losses
vs Troy#177
L 107–108
at Grand Canyon#81
L 69–70
vs Grand Canyon#81
L 63–73
at Boise State#79
L 77–86
Efficiency Profile vs championship-field average
Net Rating
+7.9
field +1.2
Offensive Rating
109.8
field 107.1
Defensive Rating
101.9
field 105.9 · lower better
SRS
+14.0
venue-neutral rating
Offensive Rating109.8 / field 107.1+2.7
Defensive Rating101.9 / field 105.9−3.9
Net Rating7.9 / field 1.2+6.6
SRS14.0 / field 0.0+14.0
field average · bar right = better, left = worse
Key Contributors click a header to sort
| Player | GP | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-WatersG | 32 | 13.1 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 42.8% | 35.6% |
| BJ DavisG | 33 | 10.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 43.4% | 37.4% |
| Miles ByrdG | 33 | 10.4 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 40.5% | 30.8% |
| Magoon GwathF | 25 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 51.9% | 43.5% |
| Elzie HarringtonG | 23 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 47.9% | 43.6% |
0%
Title Probability
Résumé Radar factor scores
outer = eliteSan Diego Statecontender bar
Snapshot
National Rank#68
ConferenceMountain West
Record22–11
Win %66.7%
Net Rating+7.9
SRS+14.0
SoS Rank#75
Championship model · The Lab Analytics
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