Championship Odds / UMBC
⚠Based on 2025-26 results — not yet adjusted for off-season roster turnover.
UMBC
#207 nationally — · America East · 24–8 reg. season · Quad 1 0–1
Title Odds
0%
implied +90809 · proj. 16 seed, Midwest
Rank
#207
national
Record
24–8
reg. season
Net Rating
+0
90th percentile
SRS
−0
38th percentile
Off Rtg
0
59th percentile
Def Rtg
0
93rd percentile
Championship Resume
Efficiency MarginNet +13.2Strong
Strength of Schedule#363Soft
Quality Wins0–0 vs top 50Thin
Lower Quad Losses4 · worst vs Bryant (Q4)Costly
Road / Neutral9–6 away/neutralStrong
Momentum10–0 last 10Surging
Quadrant Record
Quad 1
0–1
0.000
Quad 2
0–3
0.000
Quad 3
0–0
0.000
Quad 4
24–4
0.857
Signature Games
Best Wins
vs Vermont#263
W 75–62
vs Vermont#263
W 74–59
vs Wagner#299
W 71–70
at Bucknell#318
W 73–66
vs NJIT#328
W 87–74
Damaging Losses
at Bryant#360
L 74–79
vs Army#320
L 60–63
at Vermont#263
L 55–64
vs Buffalo#198
L 79–83
Efficiency Profile
Net Rating
+13.2
field +1.2
Offensive Rating
108.9
field 107.1
Defensive Rating
95.7
field 105.9 · lower better
SRS
-5.1
venue-neutral rating
Net Rating+13.2
90th
Offensive Rating108.9
59th
Defensive Rating95.7
93rd
SRS-5.1
38th
tick = D-I median · green ≥ 67th · red ≤ 33rd
Key Contributors
| Player | GP | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jah'Likai KingG | 32 | 14.0 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 41.7% | 32.2% |
| DJ Armstrong Jr.ATH | 33 | 13.3 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 46.4% | 41.9% |
| Ace ValentineG | 32 | 11.9 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 50.6% | 38.1% |
| Caden DiggsF | 32 | 10.0 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 48.2% | 35.6% |
| Josh OdunowoF | 30 | 8.4 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 53.2% | 0.0% |
0%
Title Probability
Resume Radar
outer = eliteUMBCcontender bar
Snapshot
National Rank#207
ConferenceAmerica East
Record24–8
Win %72.7%
Net Rating+13.2
SRS-5.1
SoS Rank#363
Championship model · The Lab Analytics
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