Championship Odds  /  UNC Wilmington
Based on 2025-26 results — not yet adjusted for off-season roster turnover.
Championship Résumé · #108 Nationally ↓8

UNC Wilmington

CAA · 26–6 · projected 15 seed, East
Title odds 0.1%Quad 1 0–0Implied +111011
Title Odds
0%
#108 in the field
Net Rating
+0
+12.1 vs field
SRS
+0
venue-neutral
Off Rtg
0
+3.0 vs 107.1
Def Rtg
0
−9.2 vs 105.9
Proj. Seed
15
East region
Championship Résumé six factors that travel in March
Efficiency MarginNet +13.3Strong
Strength of Schedule#264Soft
Quality Wins0–0 vs top 50Thin
Bad-Loss Avoidance4 · worst vs Howard #210Costly
Road / Neutral11–3 away/neutralElite
Momentum7–3 last 10Rising
Quadrant Record NET-style
Quad 1
0–0
0.000
Quad 2
1–0
1.000
Quad 3
7–4
0.636
Quad 4
18–2
0.900
Signature Games
Best Wins
at Charleston#131
Quad 2
W 76–64
vs Hofstra#132
Quad 3
W 70–66
at Valparaiso#145
Quad 3
W 73–70
vs Navy#149
Quad 3
W 87–57
at Towson#174
Quad 3
W 82–73
Damaging Losses
vs Howard#245
Quad 4
L 66–67
vs Campbell#186
Quad 3
L 70–85
at William & Mary#169
Quad 3
L 70–77
vs William & Mary#169
Quad 4
L 78–85
Efficiency Profile vs championship-field average
Net Rating
+13.3
field +1.2
Offensive Rating
110.0
field 107.1
Defensive Rating
96.7
field 105.9 · lower better
SRS
+3.6
venue-neutral rating
Offensive Rating110.0 / field 107.1+3.0
Defensive Rating96.7 / field 105.9−9.2
Net Rating13.3 / field 1.2+12.1
SRS3.6 / field 0.0+3.6
field average · bar right = better, left = worse
Key Contributors click a header to sort
Player GP PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Nolan HodgeG 34 14.2 4.6 1.6 40.2% 39.3%
Patrick WesslerC 34 13.6 9.5 1.1 59.9% 0.0%
Christian MayG 33 10.6 5.5 1.4 41.0% 35.2%
Madison DurrG 34 10.3 2.8 2.2 38.0% 31.9%
Gavin WalshF 15 9.5 6.5 0.9 43.1% 32.6%
0%
Title Probability
Projected 15 seed · East
Implied odds +111011
Résumé Radar factor scores
outer = eliteUNC Wilmingtoncontender bar
Snapshot
National Rank#108
ConferenceCAA
Record26–6
Win %76.5%
Net Rating+13.3
SRS+3.6
SoS Rank#264
Championship model · The Lab Analytics ← Back to Championship Odds
The Lab Analytics · 2026 · Privacy Policy