Championship Odds / Virginia
⚠Based on 2025-26 results — not yet adjusted for off-season roster turnover.
Championship Résumé · #15 Nationally ↑1
Virginia
ACC · 29–5 · projected 4 seed, East
Title Odds
0%
#15 in the field
Net Rating
+0
+16.3 vs field
SRS
+0
venue-neutral
Off Rtg
0
+8.1 vs 107.1
Def Rtg
0
−8.1 vs 105.9
Proj. Seed
4
East region
Championship Résumé six factors that travel in March
Efficiency MarginNet +17.5Strong
Strength of Schedule#61Solid
Quality Wins9–3 vs top 50Elite
Bad-Loss Avoidance0 bad lossesSpotless
Road / Neutral13–4 away/neutralElite
Momentum8–2 last 10Surging
Quadrant Record NET-style
Quad 1
10–4
0.714
Quad 2
9–1
0.900
Quad 3
3–0
1.000
Quad 4
7–0
1.000
Signature Games
Best Wins
vs Ohio State#27
W 70–66
at Louisville#29
W 79–70
vs Miami#30
W 86–83
vs Miami#30
W 84–62
vs Stanford#34
W 70–55
Damaging Losses
vs Butler#70
L 73–80
at Virginia Tech#63
L 85–95
vs North Carolina#28
L 80–85
at Duke#2
L 51–77
Efficiency Profile vs championship-field average
Net Rating
+17.5
field +1.2
Offensive Rating
115.2
field 107.1
Defensive Rating
97.7
field 105.9 · lower better
SRS
+21.1
venue-neutral rating
Offensive Rating115.2 / field 107.1+8.1
Defensive Rating97.7 / field 105.9−8.1
Net Rating17.5 / field 1.2+16.3
SRS21.1 / field 0.0+21.1
field average · bar right = better, left = worse
Key Contributors click a header to sort
| Player | GP | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thijs De RidderF | 36 | 15.6 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 50.8% | 35.7% |
| Malik ThomasG | 36 | 12.4 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 41.2% | 35.1% |
| Sam LewisG | 36 | 10.6 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 45.5% | 40.3% |
| Jacari WhiteG | 31 | 9.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 46.2% | 43.4% |
| Chance MalloryG | 36 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 42.4% | 34.5% |
0%
Title Probability
Résumé Radar factor scores
outer = eliteVirginiacontender bar
Snapshot
National Rank#15
ConferenceACC
Record29–5
Win %80.6%
Net Rating+17.5
SRS+21.1
SoS Rank#61
Championship model · The Lab Analytics
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