Daily win/loss predictions and value edges vs closing lines
Calibrated XGBoost | 2022-2026 (Transfer Portal Era)
LIVE
Today
DEC 06
Total Games
109
Model
XGBoost
Features
144
Training Set
25,500+
Season
2025-26

Model Information

  • XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
  • XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
  • Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
  • Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
  • Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
  • Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
Coppin State (2-9) @ Liberty (5-2) Liberty (94.4%) 02:00 PM 16
Rutgers (5-4) @ Michigan #3 (7-0) Michigan (93.4%) 04:00 PM 37
Stetson (3-7) @ South Carolina (5-3) South Carolina (93.2%) 02:00 PM 7
LaGrange (0-1) @ Troy (5-5) Troy (93.1%) 04:30 PM 7
Pennsylvania (5-3) @ Villanova (6-1) Villanova (93.0%) 07:30 PM 27
Indiana University East (0-1) @ Eastern Kentucky (1-7) Eastern Kentucky (92.7%) 04:00 PM 7
UNC Asheville (4-4) @ NC State (5-3) NC State (92.4%) 01:00 PM 8
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (1-8) @ DePaul (5-3) DePaul (91.9%) 09:00 PM 8
Chicago State (0-8) @ Illinois State (7-2) Illinois State (91.5%) 08:00 PM 18
Fresno State (6-3) @ Arkansas #25 (6-2) Arkansas (91.4%) 04:00 PM 49
Northern Illinois (3-5) @ Bradley (5-4) Bradley (91.1%) 08:00 PM 9
Maine (0-10) @ Miami (OH) (7-0) Miami (OH) (91.1%) 01:00 PM 19
Southern Miss (5-3) @ Miami (7-2) Miami (90.4%) 12:00 PM 30
Bellarmine (4-4) @ Murray State (6-3) Murray State (87.5%) 03:00 PM 12
Coastal Carolina (5-4) @ Winthrop (5-4) Winthrop (87.4%) 02:00 PM 13
Florida State (5-3) @ Houston #8 (7-1) Houston (87.1%) 08:00 PM 53
Georgia State (1-8) @ Kennesaw State (6-2) Kennesaw State (86.9%) 03:00 PM 23
Ole Miss (5-3) @ St. John's #23 (4-3) St. John's (86.2%) 08:00 PM 29
Cal State Northridge (4-4) @ UC Irvine (6-4) UC Irvine (85.8%) 10:00 PM 14
Cal State Bakersfield (4-5) @ UC Santa Barbara (7-2) UC Santa Barbara (85.2%) 09:00 PM 25
Old Dominion (3-6) @ Richmond (7-1) Richmond (85.0%) 12:30 PM 25
Northern Arizona (4-3) @ North Dakota State (6-3) North Dakota State (84.4%) 08:00 PM 16
William & Mary (8-2) @ George Washington (7-2) George Washington (84.0%) 06:00 PM 36
Evansville (4-5) @ Western Kentucky (5-2) Western Kentucky (84.0%) 04:00 PM 26
South Dakota (5-4) @ Northern Colorado (8-1) Northern Colorado (83.5%) 08:00 PM 26
Southern Utah (4-6) @ Oregon State (4-5) Oregon State (83.3%) 05:00 PM 17
UAlbany (3-6) @ Columbia (8-1) Columbia (82.6%) 05:30 PM 27
Maryland Eastern Shore (4-7) @ American University (6-4) American University (82.5%) 02:00 PM 18
Maryland (6-3) @ Iowa (7-1) Iowa (82.4%) 04:00 PM 38
Marquette (5-4) @ Wisconsin (6-2) Wisconsin (82.2%) 02:00 PM 28
Dartmouth (3-3) @ Wyoming (6-2) Wyoming (81.0%) 04:00 PM 29
Stony Brook (6-2) @ Duquesne (5-3) Duquesne (80.0%) 02:00 PM 40
Holy Cross (3-6) @ Fordham (6-3) Fordham (79.7%) 02:00 PM 20
Auburn #20 (7-2) @ Arizona #2 (7-0) Arizona (79.5%) 10:00 PM 70
Oregon (4-4) @ UCLA (6-2) UCLA (79.4%) 06:00 PM 31
Pacific (7-2) @ California (7-1) California (79.4%) 05:00 PM 41
UMass Lowell (3-6) @ Massachusetts (5-3) Massachusetts (79.3%) 04:00 PM 21
Norfolk State (4-5) @ James Madison (6-4) James Madison (78.7%) 02:00 PM 21
Missouri State (4-3) @ Tulsa (7-1) Tulsa (78.6%) 03:00 PM 31
Omaha (3-7) @ Portland State (5-2) Portland State (78.2%) 05:00 PM 32
Monmouth (5-4) @ Georgia Tech (5-4) Georgia Tech (78.2%) 12:00 PM 22
Washington (5-3) @ USC #24 (8-0) USC (77.5%) 06:00 PM 58
Denver (3-5) @ Idaho State (5-4) Idaho State (77.2%) 06:00 PM 23
Kansas City (1-7) @ Eastern Washington (1-7) Eastern Washington (77.0%) 05:00 PM 23
New Haven (5-4) @ Boston College (4-5) Boston College (76.1%) 12:00 PM 24
Idaho (5-3) @ South Dakota State (5-4) South Dakota State (75.4%) 03:00 PM 25
Cal State Fullerton (3-6) @ Hawai'i (7-2) Hawai'i (74.5%) 11:59 PM 36
Southeast Missouri State (3-6) @ Chattanooga (4-4) Chattanooga (73.9%) 04:30 PM 26
Rhode Island (7-2) @ Providence (5-4) Providence (73.9%) 12:00 PM 36
Iowa State #10 (8-0) @ Purdue #1 (8-0) Purdue (73.8%) 12:00 PM 81
Calumet College (0-1) @ Valparaiso (5-3) Valparaiso (73.6%) 03:00 PM 26
Western Michigan (4-5) @ SIU Edwardsville (6-3) SIU Edwardsville (73.4%) 02:00 PM 27
California Baptist (7-2) @ Utah (6-3) Utah (73.2%) 07:00 PM 47
Western Carolina (4-4) @ South Carolina Upstate (5-5) South Carolina Upstate (73.0%) 02:00 PM 27
Colorado (8-0) @ Colorado State (6-2) Colorado State (72.6%) 05:00 PM 47
Wichita State (5-4) @ Northern Iowa (7-1) Northern Iowa (72.6%) 08:00 PM 37
UNC Greensboro (1-8) @ East Carolina (3-5) East Carolina (71.9%) 04:00 PM 28
Elon (4-4) @ Wofford (6-3) Wofford (71.7%) 04:00 PM 28
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (2-5) @ Lamar (5-2) Lamar (70.1%) 07:00 PM 40
Seton Hall (8-1) @ Kansas State (5-3) Kansas State (69.6%) 04:00 PM 50
Wake Forest (6-3) @ West Virginia (7-2) West Virginia (69.6%) 06:00 PM 50
Harvard (5-5) @ Furman (5-4) Furman (69.5%) 02:00 PM 30
Illinois #14 (6-2) @ Tennessee #13 (7-2) Tennessee (69.2%) 08:00 PM 81
Dayton (7-2) @ Virginia (7-1) Virginia (69.1%) 12:00 PM 56
Princeton (3-8) @ Loyola Chicago (2-7) Loyola Chicago (69.1%) 02:30 PM 31
Jacksonville (4-4) @ Florida International (4-3) Florida International (69.1%) 02:00 PM 31
Northern Kentucky (7-2) @ Purdue Fort Wayne (4-6) Purdue Fort Wayne (69.0%) 02:00 PM 41
UC Riverside (4-5) @ Cal Poly (5-5) Cal Poly (68.0%) 07:00 PM 32
Morehead State (3-6) @ Presbyterian (4-7) Presbyterian (68.0%) 02:00 PM 32
Detroit Mercy (3-6) @ Cleveland State (3-7) Cleveland State (67.8%) 02:00 PM 32
Ohio State (6-1) @ Northwestern (5-3) Northwestern (66.7%) 02:00 PM 53
Champion Christian (0-3) @ Prairie View A&M (3-5) Prairie View A&M (66.4%) 04:00 PM 34
UNC Wilmington (8-1) @ Louisiana (1-8) UNC Wilmington (66.3%) 04:00 PM 44
Toledo (5-3) @ Oakland (4-5) Oakland (66.3%) 03:00 PM 34
UC San Diego (7-1) @ Long Beach State (2-7) UC San Diego (65.1%) 09:00 PM 45
Boise State (5-3) @ Butler (7-1) Butler (64.7%) 02:00 PM 55
UMBC (5-3) @ Bucknell (2-8) Bucknell (64.5%) 12:00 PM 36
Tennessee Tech (3-6) @ West Georgia (5-3) West Georgia (64.3%) 02:00 PM 36
Montana State (4-5) @ Oral Roberts (3-7) Montana State (64.3%) 08:00 PM 36
Youngstown State (5-4) @ IU Indianapolis (3-7) Youngstown State (64.0%) 02:00 PM 36
Arkansas State (6-3) @ Little Rock (2-6) Arkansas State (62.6%) 09:00 PM 37
Marshall (5-3) @ Ohio (2-6) Ohio (62.5%) 04:00 PM 38
Robert Morris (7-3) @ Milwaukee (3-5) Milwaukee (62.1%) 08:00 PM 38
Incarnate Word (5-3) @ Nicholls (0-7) Nicholls (62.0%) DOG 04:00 PM 38
North Carolina A&T (3-3) @ North Carolina Central (3-7) North Carolina Central (61.8%) DOG 04:00 PM 38
George Mason (9-0) @ Virginia Tech (7-2) Virginia Tech (61.8%) 03:00 PM 58
Longwood (5-5) @ Morgan State (1-6) Longwood (61.0%) 04:00 PM 39
Delaware (2-5) @ Delaware State (2-8) Delaware (60.8%) 02:00 PM 39
Santa Clara (8-1) @ New Mexico (6-2) New Mexico (59.3%) DOG 09:00 PM 61
Boston University (4-5) @ New Hampshire (2-7) Boston University (59.0%) 07:00 PM 41
Houston Christian (4-4) @ New Orleans (3-6) New Orleans (59.0%) 06:00 PM 41
Baylor (6-1) @ Memphis (3-4) Memphis (58.2%) DOG 04:30 PM 52
Akron (7-2) @ Tulane (6-2) Akron (58.1%) 04:00 PM 62
Utah Valley (5-3) @ Bowling Green (6-2) Bowling Green (57.7%) DOG 01:00 PM 62
Le Moyne (4-5) @ Binghamton (3-6) Binghamton (56.1%) DOG 04:00 PM 44
Duke #4 (9-0) @ Michigan State #7 (8-0) Michigan State (55.3%) DOG 12:00 PM 100
Oklahoma State (8-0) @ Grand Canyon (5-3) Grand Canyon (54.6%) DOG 07:30 PM 70
Long Island University (4-4) @ Lehigh (3-7) Lehigh (54.4%) DOG 05:00 PM 46
Saint Joseph's (4-3) @ Temple (4-4) Temple (54.4%) 04:30 PM 51
Oklahoma (6-2) @ Arizona State (6-2) Oklahoma (54.3%) 10:00 PM 71
St. Bonaventure (8-1) @ Buffalo (8-0) St. Bonaventure (54.2%) 02:00 PM 66
Georgia Southern (5-5) @ Gardner-Webb (0-10) Georgia Southern (53.4%) 02:00 PM 47
Drexel (4-5) @ La Salle (3-6) La Salle (53.3%) 02:00 PM 52
Sam Houston (5-3) @ Texas Southern (1-5) Sam Houston (52.9%) 05:00 PM 47
New Mexico State (6-1) @ Abilene Christian (6-3) Abilene Christian (52.1%) DOG 04:00 PM 68
Louisville #6 (7-1) @ Indiana #22 (7-1) Indiana (52.1%) DOG 02:15 PM 100
Vermont (5-5) @ Pepperdine (3-6) Pepperdine (52.0%) DOG 05:00 PM 48
Lindenwood (4-4) @ Eastern Illinois (2-5) Eastern Illinois (51.2%) DOG 08:00 PM 49
Montana (4-5) @ North Dakota (3-7) North Dakota (50.5%) DOG 08:00 PM 50
Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
Montana (4-5) @ North Dakota (3-7) North Dakota (50.5%) DOG 08:00 PM 50
Santa Clara (8-1) @ New Mexico (6-2) New Mexico (59.3%) DOG 09:00 PM 61
Wake Forest (6-3) @ West Virginia (7-2) West Virginia (69.6%) 06:00 PM 50
Northern Kentucky (7-2) @ Purdue Fort Wayne (4-6) Purdue Fort Wayne (69.0%) 02:00 PM 41
Baylor (6-1) @ Memphis (3-4) Memphis (58.2%) DOG 04:30 PM 52
Colorado (8-0) @ Colorado State (6-2) Colorado State (72.6%) 05:00 PM 47
Illinois #14 (6-2) @ Tennessee #13 (7-2) Tennessee (69.2%) 08:00 PM 81
Oklahoma State (8-0) @ Grand Canyon (5-3) Grand Canyon (54.6%) DOG 07:30 PM 70
Louisville #6 (7-1) @ Indiana #22 (7-1) Indiana (52.1%) DOG 02:15 PM 100
Lindenwood (4-4) @ Eastern Illinois (2-5) Eastern Illinois (51.2%) DOG 08:00 PM 49
Detroit Mercy (3-6) @ Cleveland State (3-7) Cleveland State (67.8%) 02:00 PM 32
Saint Joseph's (4-3) @ Temple (4-4) Temple (54.4%) 04:30 PM 51
Incarnate Word (5-3) @ Nicholls (0-7) Nicholls (62.0%) DOG 04:00 PM 38
New Mexico State (6-1) @ Abilene Christian (6-3) Abilene Christian (52.1%) DOG 04:00 PM 68
North Carolina A&T (3-3) @ North Carolina Central (3-7) North Carolina Central (61.8%) DOG 04:00 PM 38
Wichita State (5-4) @ Northern Iowa (7-1) Northern Iowa (72.6%) 08:00 PM 37
Seton Hall (8-1) @ Kansas State (5-3) Kansas State (69.6%) 04:00 PM 50
Elon (4-4) @ Wofford (6-3) Wofford (71.7%) 04:00 PM 28
Le Moyne (4-5) @ Binghamton (3-6) Binghamton (56.1%) DOG 04:00 PM 44
Ohio State (6-1) @ Northwestern (5-3) Northwestern (66.7%) 02:00 PM 53
Duke #4 (9-0) @ Michigan State #7 (8-0) Michigan State (55.3%) DOG 12:00 PM 100
Utah Valley (5-3) @ Bowling Green (6-2) Bowling Green (57.7%) DOG 01:00 PM 62
Long Island University (4-4) @ Lehigh (3-7) Lehigh (54.4%) DOG 05:00 PM 46
Washington (5-3) @ USC #24 (8-0) USC (77.5%) 06:00 PM 58
Idaho (5-3) @ South Dakota State (5-4) South Dakota State (75.4%) 03:00 PM 25
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (2-5) @ Lamar (5-2) Lamar (70.1%) 07:00 PM 40
Tennessee Tech (3-6) @ West Georgia (5-3) West Georgia (64.3%) 02:00 PM 36
Southeast Missouri State (3-6) @ Chattanooga (4-4) Chattanooga (73.9%) 04:30 PM 26
Northern Arizona (4-3) @ North Dakota State (6-3) North Dakota State (84.4%) 08:00 PM 16
UNC Greensboro (1-8) @ East Carolina (3-5) East Carolina (71.9%) 04:00 PM 28
South Dakota (5-4) @ Northern Colorado (8-1) Northern Colorado (83.5%) 08:00 PM 26
Marshall (5-3) @ Ohio (2-6) Ohio (62.5%) 04:00 PM 38
Drexel (4-5) @ La Salle (3-6) La Salle (53.3%) 02:00 PM 52
Vermont (5-5) @ Pepperdine (3-6) Pepperdine (52.0%) DOG 05:00 PM 48
Western Michigan (4-5) @ SIU Edwardsville (6-3) SIU Edwardsville (73.4%) 02:00 PM 27
Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
Western Carolina (4-4) @ South Carolina Upstate (5-5) South Carolina Upstate (73.0%) 02:00 PM 27
Colorado (8-0) @ Colorado State (6-2) Colorado State (72.6%) 05:00 PM 47
Wichita State (5-4) @ Northern Iowa (7-1) Northern Iowa (72.6%) 08:00 PM 37
Seton Hall (8-1) @ Kansas State (5-3) Kansas State (69.6%) 04:00 PM 50
Wake Forest (6-3) @ West Virginia (7-2) West Virginia (69.6%) 06:00 PM 50
Illinois #14 (6-2) @ Tennessee #13 (7-2) Tennessee (69.2%) 08:00 PM 81
Northern Kentucky (7-2) @ Purdue Fort Wayne (4-6) Purdue Fort Wayne (69.0%) 02:00 PM 41
Detroit Mercy (3-6) @ Cleveland State (3-7) Cleveland State (67.8%) 02:00 PM 32
Ohio State (6-1) @ Northwestern (5-3) Northwestern (66.7%) 02:00 PM 53
Boise State (5-3) @ Butler (7-1) Butler (64.7%) 02:00 PM 55
UMBC (5-3) @ Bucknell (2-8) Bucknell (64.5%) 12:00 PM 36
Tennessee Tech (3-6) @ West Georgia (5-3) West Georgia (64.3%) 02:00 PM 36
Marshall (5-3) @ Ohio (2-6) Ohio (62.5%) 04:00 PM 38
Incarnate Word (5-3) @ Nicholls (0-7) Nicholls (62.0%) DOG 04:00 PM 38
North Carolina A&T (3-3) @ North Carolina Central (3-7) North Carolina Central (61.8%) DOG 04:00 PM 38
Santa Clara (8-1) @ New Mexico (6-2) New Mexico (59.3%) DOG 09:00 PM 61
Baylor (6-1) @ Memphis (3-4) Memphis (58.2%) DOG 04:30 PM 52
Utah Valley (5-3) @ Bowling Green (6-2) Bowling Green (57.7%) DOG 01:00 PM 62
Le Moyne (4-5) @ Binghamton (3-6) Binghamton (56.1%) DOG 04:00 PM 44
Duke #4 (9-0) @ Michigan State #7 (8-0) Michigan State (55.3%) DOG 12:00 PM 100
Oklahoma State (8-0) @ Grand Canyon (5-3) Grand Canyon (54.6%) DOG 07:30 PM 70
Long Island University (4-4) @ Lehigh (3-7) Lehigh (54.4%) DOG 05:00 PM 46
Saint Joseph's (4-3) @ Temple (4-4) Temple (54.4%) 04:30 PM 51
Drexel (4-5) @ La Salle (3-6) La Salle (53.3%) 02:00 PM 52
New Mexico State (6-1) @ Abilene Christian (6-3) Abilene Christian (52.1%) DOG 04:00 PM 68
Louisville #6 (7-1) @ Indiana #22 (7-1) Indiana (52.1%) DOG 02:15 PM 100
Vermont (5-5) @ Pepperdine (3-6) Pepperdine (52.0%) DOG 05:00 PM 48
Game Prediction Edge Time (ET) Hype Level
Santa Clara (8-1) @ New Mexico (6-2) New Mexico (59.3%) DOG +20.0% 09:00 PM 61
Baylor (6-1) @ Memphis (3-4) Memphis (58.2%) DOG +16.2% 04:30 PM 52
Le Moyne (4-5) @ Binghamton (3-6) Binghamton (56.1%) DOG +9.4% 04:00 PM 44
Duke #4 (9-0) @ Michigan State #7 (8-0) Michigan State (55.3%) DOG +8.6% 12:00 PM 100
Oklahoma State (8-0) @ Grand Canyon (5-3) Grand Canyon (54.6%) DOG +13.7% 07:30 PM 70
Long Island University (4-4) @ Lehigh (3-7) Lehigh (54.4%) DOG +8.2% 05:00 PM 46
Saint Joseph's (4-3) @ Temple (4-4) Temple (54.4%) +12.4% 04:30 PM 51
New Mexico State (6-1) @ Abilene Christian (6-3) Abilene Christian (52.1%) DOG +11.9% 04:00 PM 68
Louisville #6 (7-1) @ Indiana #22 (7-1) Indiana (52.1%) DOG +13.5% 02:15 PM 100
Vermont (5-5) @ Pepperdine (3-6) Pepperdine (52.0%) DOG +4.2% 05:00 PM 48
Lindenwood (4-4) @ Eastern Illinois (2-5) Eastern Illinois (51.2%) DOG +12.7% 08:00 PM 49
Montana (4-5) @ North Dakota (3-7) North Dakota (50.5%) DOG +20.9% 08:00 PM 50
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Expected Value Time (ET)
Long Beach State vs UC San Diego Long Beach State DOG 34.9% +525 ⭐⭐⭐ +117.9% 09:00 PM
Gardner-Webb vs Georgia Southern Gardner-Webb DOG 46.6% +350 ⭐⭐⭐ +109.7% 02:00 PM
Louisiana vs UNC Wilmington Louisiana DOG 33.7% +440 ⭐⭐⭐ +81.8% 04:00 PM
Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
Game Prediction Edge Time (ET) Hype Level
Montana (4-5) @ North Dakota (3-7) North Dakota (50.5%) +20.9% 08:00 PM 50
Santa Clara (8-1) @ New Mexico (6-2) New Mexico (59.3%) +20.0% 09:00 PM 61
Wake Forest (6-3) @ West Virginia (7-2) West Virginia (69.6%) +18.5% 06:00 PM 50
Northern Kentucky (7-2) @ Purdue Fort Wayne (4-6) Purdue Fort Wayne (69.0%) +16.4% 02:00 PM 41
Baylor (6-1) @ Memphis (3-4) Memphis (58.2%) +16.2% 04:30 PM 52
Colorado (8-0) @ Colorado State (6-2) Colorado State (72.6%) +15.5% 05:00 PM 47
Illinois #14 (6-2) @ Tennessee #13 (7-2) Tennessee (69.2%) +13.9% 08:00 PM 81
Oklahoma State (8-0) @ Grand Canyon (5-3) Grand Canyon (54.6%) +13.7% 07:30 PM 70
Louisville #6 (7-1) @ Indiana #22 (7-1) Indiana (52.1%) +13.5% 02:15 PM 100
Lindenwood (4-4) @ Eastern Illinois (2-5) Eastern Illinois (51.2%) +12.7% 08:00 PM 49
Detroit Mercy (3-6) @ Cleveland State (3-7) Cleveland State (67.8%) +12.5% 02:00 PM 32
Saint Joseph's (4-3) @ Temple (4-4) Temple (54.4%) +12.4% 04:30 PM 51
Incarnate Word (5-3) @ Nicholls (0-7) Nicholls (62.0%) +12.0% 04:00 PM 38
New Mexico State (6-1) @ Abilene Christian (6-3) Abilene Christian (52.1%) +11.9% 04:00 PM 68
North Carolina A&T (3-3) @ North Carolina Central (3-7) North Carolina Central (61.8%) +11.8% 04:00 PM 38
Wichita State (5-4) @ Northern Iowa (7-1) Northern Iowa (72.6%) +11.5% 08:00 PM 37
Seton Hall (8-1) @ Kansas State (5-3) Kansas State (69.6%) +10.5% 04:00 PM 50
Elon (4-4) @ Wofford (6-3) Wofford (71.7%) +9.5% 04:00 PM 28
Le Moyne (4-5) @ Binghamton (3-6) Binghamton (56.1%) +9.4% 04:00 PM 44
Ohio State (6-1) @ Northwestern (5-3) Northwestern (66.7%) +8.7% 02:00 PM 53
Duke #4 (9-0) @ Michigan State #7 (8-0) Michigan State (55.3%) +8.6% 12:00 PM 100
Utah Valley (5-3) @ Bowling Green (6-2) Bowling Green (57.7%) +8.2% 01:00 PM 62
Long Island University (4-4) @ Lehigh (3-7) Lehigh (54.4%) +8.2% 05:00 PM 46
Washington (5-3) @ USC #24 (8-0) USC (77.5%) +8.1% 06:00 PM 58
Idaho (5-3) @ South Dakota State (5-4) South Dakota State (75.4%) +8.0% 03:00 PM 25
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (2-5) @ Lamar (5-2) Lamar (70.1%) +7.3% 07:00 PM 40
Tennessee Tech (3-6) @ West Georgia (5-3) West Georgia (64.3%) +7.2% 02:00 PM 36
Southeast Missouri State (3-6) @ Chattanooga (4-4) Chattanooga (73.9%) +5.4% 04:30 PM 26
Northern Arizona (4-3) @ North Dakota State (6-3) North Dakota State (84.4%) +5.3% 08:00 PM 16
Game Prediction Edge Time (ET) Hype Level
Montana (4-5) @ North Dakota (3-7) North Dakota (50.5%) +20.9% 08:00 PM 50
Santa Clara (8-1) @ New Mexico (6-2) New Mexico (59.3%) +20.0% 09:00 PM 61
Wake Forest (6-3) @ West Virginia (7-2) West Virginia (69.6%) +18.5% 06:00 PM 50
Northern Kentucky (7-2) @ Purdue Fort Wayne (4-6) Purdue Fort Wayne (69.0%) +16.4% 02:00 PM 41
Baylor (6-1) @ Memphis (3-4) Memphis (58.2%) +16.2% 04:30 PM 52
Colorado (8-0) @ Colorado State (6-2) Colorado State (72.6%) +15.5% 05:00 PM 47
Illinois #14 (6-2) @ Tennessee #13 (7-2) Tennessee (69.2%) +13.9% 08:00 PM 81
Oklahoma State (8-0) @ Grand Canyon (5-3) Grand Canyon (54.6%) +13.7% 07:30 PM 70
Louisville #6 (7-1) @ Indiana #22 (7-1) Indiana (52.1%) +13.5% 02:15 PM 100
Lindenwood (4-4) @ Eastern Illinois (2-5) Eastern Illinois (51.2%) +12.7% 08:00 PM 49
Detroit Mercy (3-6) @ Cleveland State (3-7) Cleveland State (67.8%) +12.5% 02:00 PM 32
Saint Joseph's (4-3) @ Temple (4-4) Temple (54.4%) +12.4% 04:30 PM 51
Incarnate Word (5-3) @ Nicholls (0-7) Nicholls (62.0%) +12.0% 04:00 PM 38
New Mexico State (6-1) @ Abilene Christian (6-3) Abilene Christian (52.1%) +11.9% 04:00 PM 68
North Carolina A&T (3-3) @ North Carolina Central (3-7) North Carolina Central (61.8%) +11.8% 04:00 PM 38
Wichita State (5-4) @ Northern Iowa (7-1) Northern Iowa (72.6%) +11.5% 08:00 PM 37
Seton Hall (8-1) @ Kansas State (5-3) Kansas State (69.6%) +10.5% 04:00 PM 50

Model Explainability (SHAP Analysis)

SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values show which features have the most impact on our model's predictions. The values below represent the mean absolute SHAP value across all 109 games today.

XGBoost Win/Loss Model

Feature importance for win/loss predictions. Higher values indicate stronger influence on the predicted outcome.

Away Offensive Rating
0.3788
Away Defensive Rating
0.3296
Home Defensive Rating
0.3226
Point Spread
0.2716
Srs Diff
0.2661
Home Offensive Rating
0.2566
Away Team Implied Probability
0.1102
Away Last10 Margin
0.0729
Away Moneyline
0.0658
Home Away Margin
0.0626
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