Breaking Vegas - Daily Predictions | Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Model Information

XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game	Prediction ⇅	Time (ET) ⇅	Hype Level ⇅
Bethune-Cookman (3-7) @ Saint Louis (9-1)	Saint Louis (96.1%)	08:00 PM	14
08:00 PM Bethune-Cookman @ Saint Louis 3-7 vs 9-1 Bethune-Cookman 3.9% Saint Louis 96.1% Model Pick Saint Louis 96.1% Pick Spread Saint Louis -26.0 Home ML -4000 Away ML +1600 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.8% MODEL PROB 96.1% VEGAS TRUE 94.3% VEGAS JUICED 97.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bethune-Cookman 65 vs Saint Louis 83 Total 148.7 Margin +18.1 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 157.2 @74%
Mercyhurst (4-7) @ Syracuse (6-4)	Syracuse (95.6%)	07:00 PM	4
07:00 PM +3.0% EDGE Mercyhurst @ Syracuse 4-7 vs 6-4 Mercyhurst 4.4% Syracuse 95.6% Model Pick Syracuse 95.6% Pick Spread Syracuse -26.0 Home ML -2400 Away ML +1200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.0% MODEL PROB 95.6% VEGAS TRUE 92.6% VEGAS JUICED 96.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Mercyhurst 55 vs Syracuse 73 Total 128.1 Margin +18.5 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 132.2 @63%
Campbell (5-5) @ Gonzaga #7 (10-1)	Gonzaga (94.7%)	09:00 PM	30
09:00 PM Campbell @ Gonzaga #7 5-5 vs 10-1 Campbell 5.3% Gonzaga 94.7% Model Pick Gonzaga 94.7% Pick Spread Gonzaga -36.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Campbell 65 vs Gonzaga 93 Total 158.0 Margin +28.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.0 @62%
St. Francis (PA) (2-9) @ Florida #23 (6-4)	Florida (94.7%)	06:30 PM	20
06:30 PM St. Francis (PA) @ Florida #23 2-9 vs 6-4 St. Francis (PA) 5.3% Florida 94.7% Model Pick Florida 94.7% Pick Spread Florida -45.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE St. Francis (PA) 56 vs Florida 94 Total 150.0 Margin +37.0 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff -8.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.2 @68%
UTSA (4-6) @ USC (10-1)	USC (94.7%)	09:00 PM	15
09:00 PM UTSA @ USC 4-6 vs 10-1 UTSA 5.3% USC 94.7% Model Pick USC 94.7% Pick Spread USC -24.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UTSA 60 vs USC 81 Total 141.4 Margin +20.6 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 158.5 @91%
Texas Southern (1-7) @ NC State (7-4)	NC State (94.7%)	07:00 PM	5
07:00 PM Texas Southern @ NC State 1-7 vs 7-4 Texas Southern 5.3% NC State 94.7% Model Pick NC State 94.7% Pick Spread NC State -36.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Texas Southern 58 vs NC State 87 Total 145.2 Margin +28.4 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @81%
Alabama State (3-7) @ Cincinnati (6-4)	Cincinnati (94.6%)	07:00 PM	5
07:00 PM Alabama State @ Cincinnati 3-7 vs 6-4 Alabama State 5.4% Cincinnati 94.6% Model Pick Cincinnati 94.6% Pick Spread Cincinnati -21.0 Home ML -2400 Away ML +1200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.1% MODEL PROB 94.6% VEGAS TRUE 92.6% VEGAS JUICED 96.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Alabama State 65 vs Cincinnati 78 Total 143.2 Margin +13.0 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.8 @58%
Alabama A&M (6-4) @ Ole Miss (6-4)	Ole Miss (94.2%)	08:00 PM	6
08:00 PM Alabama A&M @ Ole Miss 6-4 vs 6-4 Alabama A&M 5.8% Ole Miss 94.2% Model Pick Ole Miss 94.2% Pick Spread Ole Miss -19.0 Home ML -2100 Away ML +1100 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.3% MODEL PROB 94.2% VEGAS TRUE 92.0% VEGAS JUICED 95.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Alabama A&M 59 vs Ole Miss 74 Total 132.9 Margin +15.5 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff -3.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.2 @54%
Binghamton (3-8) @ Pittsburgh (5-6)	Pittsburgh (93.9%)	07:00 PM	6
07:00 PM Binghamton @ Pittsburgh 3-8 vs 5-6 Binghamton 6.1% Pittsburgh 93.9% Model Pick Pittsburgh 93.9% Pick Spread Pittsburgh -25.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Binghamton 58 vs Pittsburgh 74 Total 131.9 Margin +16.5 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff -8.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.5 @58%
Longwood (6-6) @ Wake Forest (8-3)	Wake Forest (93.9%)	07:00 PM	16
07:00 PM Longwood @ Wake Forest 6-6 vs 8-3 Longwood 6.1% Wake Forest 93.9% Model Pick Wake Forest 93.9% Pick Spread Wake Forest -24.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Longwood 69 vs Wake Forest 86 Total 155.0 Margin +16.8 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.8 @72%
Dakota State (0-1) @ South Dakota (6-6)	South Dakota (93.8%)	08:00 PM	6
08:00 PM Dakota State @ South Dakota 0-1 vs 6-6 Dakota State 6.2% South Dakota 93.8% Model Pick South Dakota 93.8% Pick Spread N/A Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Dakota State 66 vs South Dakota 76 Total 141.6 Margin +9.4
Portland (7-4) @ Oregon (5-5)	Oregon (92.6%)	11:00 PM	7
11:00 PM +3.9% EDGE Portland @ Oregon 7-4 vs 5-5 Portland 7.4% Oregon 92.6% Model Pick Oregon 92.6% Pick Spread Oregon -19.5 Home ML -1200 Away ML +750 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.9% MODEL PROB 92.6% VEGAS TRUE 88.7% VEGAS JUICED 92.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Portland 69 vs Oregon 82 Total 150.6 Margin +12.6 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff -6.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 154.2 @61%
Air Force (3-8) @ San Diego State (5-3)	San Diego State (92.4%)	10:00 PM	8
10:00 PM Air Force @ San Diego State 3-8 vs 5-3 Air Force 7.6% San Diego State 92.4% Model Pick San Diego State 92.4% Pick Spread San Diego State -25.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Air Force 53 vs San Diego State 76 Total 128.2 Margin +22.8 Spread DOG COVERS @56% Diff -2.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 135.5 @71%
Cleveland State (4-8) @ UAB (7-4)	UAB (92.0%)	07:30 PM	8
07:30 PM +4.0% EDGE Cleveland State @ UAB 4-8 vs 7-4 Cleveland State 8.0% UAB 92.0% Model Pick UAB 92.0% Pick Spread UAB -19.0 Home ML -1100 Away ML +700 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.0% MODEL PROB 92.0% VEGAS TRUE 88.0% VEGAS JUICED 91.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Cleveland State 72 vs UAB 83 Total 154.5 Margin +10.7 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.8 @68%
Portland State (6-3) @ Colorado (9-1)	Colorado (90.4%)	09:00 PM	30
09:00 PM Portland State @ Colorado 6-3 vs 9-1 Portland State 9.6% Colorado 90.4% Model Pick Colorado 90.4% Pick Spread Colorado -16.0 Home ML -1600 Away ML +850 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.4% MODEL PROB 90.4% VEGAS TRUE 89.9% VEGAS JUICED 94.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Portland State 67 vs Colorado 78 Total 144.6 Margin +10.4 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff -5.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.0 @66%
Southern Wesleyan (0-2) @ South Carolina Upstate (7-6)	South Carolina Upstate (90.4%)	07:00 PM	10
07:00 PM Southern Wesleyan @ South Carolina Upstate 0-2 vs 7-6 Southern Wesleyan 9.6% South Carolina Upstate 90.4% Model Pick South Carolina Upstate 90.4% Pick Spread N/A Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Wesleyan 78 vs South Carolina Upstate 90 Total 168.4 Margin +12.2
The Citadel (3-8) @ Charleston (5-6)	Charleston (90.3%)	07:00 PM	10
07:00 PM +4.5% EDGE The Citadel @ Charleston 3-8 vs 5-6 The Citadel 9.7% Charleston 90.3% Model Pick Charleston 90.3% Pick Spread Charleston -17.5 Home ML -850 Away ML +575 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.5% MODEL PROB 90.3% VEGAS TRUE 85.8% VEGAS JUICED 89.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE The Citadel 58 vs Charleston 74 Total 132.0 Margin +15.4 Spread DOG COVERS @56% Diff -2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.5 @85%
South Florida (6-4) @ Alabama #16 (7-3)	Alabama (90.2%)	08:00 PM	25
08:00 PM South Florida @ Alabama #16 6-4 vs 7-3 South Florida 9.8% Alabama 90.2% Model Pick Alabama 90.2% Pick Spread Alabama -14.0 Home ML -1137 Away ML +645 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.9% MODEL PROB 90.2% VEGAS TRUE 87.3% VEGAS JUICED 91.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Florida 78 vs Alabama 98 Total 176.2 Margin +20.6 Spread FAV COVERS @70% Diff +6.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 181.5 @66%
Weber State (5-5) @ Utah Valley (8-3)	Utah Valley (89.7%)	08:00 PM	20
08:00 PM +3.1% EDGE Weber State @ Utah Valley 5-5 vs 8-3 Weber State 10.3% Utah Valley 89.7% Model Pick Utah Valley 89.7% Pick Spread Utah Valley -14.0 Home ML -987 Away ML +607 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.1% MODEL PROB 89.7% VEGAS TRUE 86.5% VEGAS JUICED 90.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Weber State 67 vs Utah Valley 76 Total 143.4 Margin +9.6 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff -4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.2 @67%
Mid-Atlantic Christian (0-2) @ North Carolina Central (3-9)	North Carolina Central (88.1%)	07:00 PM	12
07:00 PM Mid-Atlantic Christian @ North Carolina Central 0-2 vs 3-9 Mid-Atlantic Christian 11.9% North Carolina Central 88.1% Model Pick North Carolina Central 88.1% Pick Spread N/A Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Mid-Atlantic Christian 68 vs North Carolina Central 83 Total 151.0 Margin +14.8
Mercer (7-3) @ UCF (8-1)	UCF (87.8%)	07:00 PM	32
07:00 PM Mercer @ UCF 7-3 vs 8-1 Mercer 12.2% UCF 87.8% Model Pick UCF 87.8% Pick Spread UCF -15.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Mercer 70 vs UCF 83 Total 152.8 Margin +12.8 Spread DOG COVERS @58% Diff -2.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 161.5 @75%
Loyola Chicago (3-8) @ San Francisco (6-5)	San Francisco (86.4%)	10:00 PM	19
10:00 PM Loyola Chicago @ San Francisco 3-8 vs 6-5 Loyola Chicago 13.6% San Francisco 86.4% Model Pick San Francisco 86.4% Pick Spread San Francisco -12.5 Home ML -775 Away ML +520 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.9% MODEL PROB 86.4% VEGAS TRUE 84.6% VEGAS JUICED 88.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Loyola Chicago 60 vs San Francisco 71 Total 130.5 Margin +11.5 Spread DOG COVERS @53% Diff -1.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.8 @83%
UT Arlington (7-3) @ Stanford (8-2)	Stanford (86.2%)	10:00 PM	34
10:00 PM UT Arlington @ Stanford 7-3 vs 8-2 UT Arlington 13.8% Stanford 86.2% Model Pick Stanford 86.2% Pick Spread Stanford -12.0 Home ML -850 Away ML +550 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.8% MODEL PROB 86.2% VEGAS TRUE 85.3% VEGAS JUICED 89.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UT Arlington 67 vs Stanford 76 Total 143.8 Margin +9.2 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff -3.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.8 @59%
Wofford (7-4) @ Wichita State (6-5)	Wichita State (86.1%)	07:30 PM	14
07:30 PM Wofford @ Wichita State 7-4 vs 6-5 Wofford 13.9% Wichita State 86.1% Model Pick Wichita State 86.1% Pick Spread Wichita State -12.0 Home ML -900 Away ML +575 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.2% MODEL PROB 86.1% VEGAS TRUE 85.9% VEGAS JUICED 90.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Wofford 65 vs Wichita State 70 Total 135.0 Margin +5.0 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.8 @75%
Southwestern Christian (0-2) @ Rice (5-6)	Rice (85.6%)	12:15 PM	14
12:15 PM Southwestern Christian @ Rice 0-2 vs 5-6 Southwestern Christian 14.4% Rice 85.6% Model Pick Rice 85.6% Pick Spread N/A Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southwestern Christian 76 vs Rice 87 Total 163.2 Margin +11.0
Champion Christian (0-5) @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff (2-10)	Arkansas-Pine Bluff (85.0%)	01:00 PM	15
01:00 PM Champion Christian @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0-5 vs 2-10 Champion Christian 15.0% Arkansas-Pine Bluff 85.0% Model Pick Arkansas-Pine Bluff 85.0% Pick Spread N/A Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Champion Christian 79 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff 86 Total 165.3 Margin +7.3
North Texas (8-3) @ Santa Clara (8-3)	Santa Clara (83.8%)	09:00 PM	36
09:00 PM North Texas @ Santa Clara 8-3 vs 8-3 North Texas 16.2% Santa Clara 83.8% Model Pick Santa Clara 83.8% Pick Spread Santa Clara -12.0 Home ML -570 Away ML +407 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.6% MODEL PROB 83.8% VEGAS TRUE 81.2% VEGAS JUICED 85.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE North Texas 62 vs Santa Clara 76 Total 137.6 Margin +13.8 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.2 @58%
UAlbany (3-9) @ Stony Brook (8-3)	Stony Brook (80.9%)	07:00 PM	29
07:00 PM UAlbany @ Stony Brook 3-9 vs 8-3 UAlbany 19.1% Stony Brook 80.9% Model Pick Stony Brook 80.9% Pick Spread Stony Brook -11.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UAlbany 72 vs Stony Brook 80 Total 152.3 Margin +8.5 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff -3.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.5 @70%
Arizona State (9-2) @ UCLA (7-3)	UCLA (80.7%)	10:30 PM	39
10:30 PM +4.0% EDGE Arizona State @ UCLA 9-2 vs 7-3 Arizona State 19.3% UCLA 80.7% Model Pick UCLA 80.7% Pick Spread UCLA -9.5 Home ML -407 Away ML +310 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.0% MODEL PROB 80.7% VEGAS TRUE 76.7% VEGAS JUICED 80.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arizona State 64 vs UCLA 78 Total 142.3 Margin +13.3 Spread FAV COVERS @61% Diff +3.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.2 @59%
Eastern Washington (2-8) @ Washington State (3-8)	Washington State (79.7%)	10:00 PM	20
10:00 PM +5.2% EDGE Eastern Washington @ Washington State 2-8 vs 3-8 Eastern Washington 20.3% Washington State 79.7% Model Pick Washington State 79.7% Pick Spread Washington State -8.0 Home ML -350 Away ML +275 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.2% MODEL PROB 79.7% VEGAS TRUE 74.5% VEGAS JUICED 77.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Eastern Washington 71 vs Washington State 76 Total 146.3 Margin +4.9 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff -2.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.5 @76%
Maryland Eastern Shore (4-11) @ Wagner (3-6)	Wagner (77.9%)	07:00 PM	22
07:00 PM Maryland Eastern Shore @ Wagner 4-11 vs 3-6 Maryland Eastern Shore 22.1% Wagner 77.9% Model Pick Wagner 77.9% Pick Spread Wagner -5.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Maryland Eastern Shore 59 vs Wagner 68 Total 127.4 Margin +9.6 Spread FAV COVERS @62% Diff +4.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 131.5 @62%
Siena (9-2) @ Vermont (7-5)	Vermont (76.7%)	07:00 PM	33
07:00 PM CLOSE Siena @ Vermont 9-2 vs 7-5 Siena 23.3% Vermont 76.7% Model Pick Vermont 76.7% Pick Spread Vermont -2.5 Home ML -131 Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Siena 62 vs Vermont 71 Total 132.7 Margin +8.7 Spread FAV COVERS @68% Diff +6.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.2 @55%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (4-5) @ Stephen F. Austin (7-2)	Stephen F. Austin (75.4%)	09:00 PM	35
09:00 PM +4.1% EDGE Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Stephen F. Austin 4-5 vs 7-2 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 24.6% Stephen F. Austin 75.4% Model Pick Stephen F. Austin 75.4% Pick Spread Stephen F. Austin -7.5 Home ML -285 Away ML +235 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.1% MODEL PROB 75.4% VEGAS TRUE 71.3% VEGAS JUICED 74.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 69 vs Stephen F. Austin 69 Total 137.6 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 139.8 @57%
Oakland (5-6) @ Northern Kentucky (9-3)	Northern Kentucky (68.4%)	07:00 PM	42
07:00 PM +13.7% EDGECLOSE Oakland @ Northern Kentucky 5-6 vs 9-3 Oakland 31.6% Northern Kentucky 68.4% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 68.4% Pick Spread Northern Kentucky -3.0 Home ML -141 Away ML +106 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.7% MODEL PROB 68.4% VEGAS TRUE 54.7% VEGAS JUICED 58.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Oakland 77 vs Northern Kentucky 83 Total 159.5 Margin +5.9 Spread FAV COVERS @60% Diff +3.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 165.5 @68%
Georgetown (7-3) @ Marquette (5-6)	Marquette (68.3%)	08:30 PM	32
08:30 PM +4.6% EDGE Georgetown @ Marquette 7-3 vs 5-6 Georgetown 31.7% Marquette 68.3% Model Pick Marquette 68.3% Pick Spread Marquette -5.5 Home ML -197 Away ML +164 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.6% MODEL PROB 68.3% VEGAS TRUE 63.7% VEGAS JUICED 66.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Georgetown 70 vs Marquette 82 Total 152.3 Margin +12.1 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 150.5 @56%
Eastern Kentucky (3-8) @ Jacksonville State (4-5)	Jacksonville State (67.7%)	07:00 PM	32
07:00 PM +7.7% EDGECLOSE Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State 3-8 vs 4-5 Eastern Kentucky 32.3% Jacksonville State 67.7% Model Pick Jacksonville State 67.7% Pick Spread Jacksonville State -2.0 Home ML -166 Away ML +139 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.7% MODEL PROB 67.7% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Eastern Kentucky 69 vs Jacksonville State 74 Total 143.6 Margin +5.2 Spread FAV COVERS @60% Diff +3.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.5 @53%
Creighton (5-5) @ Xavier (8-3)	Xavier (67.3%)	06:30 PM	43
06:30 PM +8.5% EDGE Creighton @ Xavier 5-5 vs 8-3 Creighton 32.7% Xavier 67.3% Model Pick Xavier 67.3% Pick Spread Xavier -4.0 Home ML -157 Away ML +132 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.5% MODEL PROB 67.3% VEGAS TRUE 58.7% VEGAS JUICED 61.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Creighton 67 vs Xavier 76 Total 143.6 Margin +9.0 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 152.2 @75%
Sam Houston (6-3) @ Oregon State (6-5)	Oregon State (66.4%)	09:30 PM	34
09:30 PM +11.0% EDGECLOSE Sam Houston @ Oregon State 6-3 vs 6-5 Sam Houston 33.6% Oregon State 66.4% Model Pick Oregon State 66.4% Pick Spread Oregon State -3.0 Home ML -136 Away ML +115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.0% MODEL PROB 66.4% VEGAS TRUE 55.3% VEGAS JUICED 57.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Sam Houston 68 vs Oregon State 72 Total 140.2 Margin +4.8 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.0 @75%
Stonehill (3-8) @ New Hampshire (3-7)	New Hampshire (65.9%)	06:00 PM	34
06:00 PM +4.7% EDGECLOSE Stonehill @ New Hampshire 3-8 vs 3-7 Stonehill 34.1% New Hampshire 65.9% Model Pick New Hampshire 65.9% Pick Spread New Hampshire -3.5 Home ML -175 Away ML +147 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.7% MODEL PROB 65.9% VEGAS TRUE 61.2% VEGAS JUICED 63.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stonehill 68 vs New Hampshire 72 Total 139.1 Margin +4.1 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 138.2 @53%
Houston Christian (5-6) @ Nicholls (2-7)	Nicholls (65.4%)	07:30 PM	35
07:30 PM +3.2% EDGE Houston Christian @ Nicholls 5-6 vs 2-7 Houston Christian 34.6% Nicholls 65.4% Model Pick Nicholls 65.4% Pick Spread Nicholls -4.0 Home ML -182 Away ML +154 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.2% MODEL PROB 65.4% VEGAS TRUE 62.2% VEGAS JUICED 64.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Houston Christian 69 vs Nicholls 77 Total 146.0 Margin +7.4 Spread FAV COVERS @60% Diff +3.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.0 @70%
Louisiana Tech (6-3) @ Tulane (7-4)	Tulane (65.2%)	07:30 PM	55
07:30 PM Louisiana Tech @ Tulane 6-3 vs 7-4 Louisiana Tech 34.8% Tulane 65.2% Model Pick Tulane 65.2% Pick Spread Tulane -4.0 Home ML -186 Away ML +157 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.6% MODEL PROB 65.2% VEGAS TRUE 62.6% VEGAS JUICED 65.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Louisiana Tech 66 vs Tulane 73 Total 139.4 Margin +6.4 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 141.0 @55%
Kennesaw State (8-2) @ Middle Tennessee (5-4)	Middle Tennessee (63.5%)	07:30 PM	46
07:30 PM Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee 8-2 vs 5-4 Kennesaw State 36.5% Middle Tennessee 63.5% Model Pick Middle Tennessee 63.5% Pick Spread Middle Tennessee -4.0 Home ML -183 Away ML +155 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.2% MODEL PROB 63.5% VEGAS TRUE 62.2% VEGAS JUICED 64.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kennesaw State 77 vs Middle Tennessee 75 Total 152.2 Margin -1.4 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 159.5 @71%
Youngstown State (7-4) @ Robert Morris (8-4)	Robert Morris (62.5%)	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PM +9.6% EDGECLOSE Youngstown State @ Robert Morris 7-4 vs 8-4 Youngstown State 37.5% Robert Morris 62.5% Model Pick Robert Morris 62.5% Pick Spread Robert Morris -2.0 Home ML -123 Away ML +103 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +9.6% MODEL PROB 62.5% VEGAS TRUE 52.9% VEGAS JUICED 55.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Youngstown State 72 vs Robert Morris 75 Total 146.7 Margin +2.7 Spread FAV COVERS @53% Diff +1.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.2 @72%
South Alabama (8-3) @ UL Monroe (3-8)	South Alabama (62.0%)	07:30 PM	48
07:30 PM South Alabama @ UL Monroe 8-3 vs 3-8 South Alabama 62.0% UL Monroe 38.0% Model Pick South Alabama 62.0% Pick Spread South Alabama -11.0 Home ML +440 Away ML -625 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -20.3% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 82.3% VEGAS JUICED 86.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Alabama 71 vs UL Monroe 71 Total 142.2 Margin -0.4 Spread DOG COVERS @79% Diff -10.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.0 @67%
Presbyterian (6-6) @ East Carolina (4-7)	East Carolina (61.8%)	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM Presbyterian @ East Carolina 6-6 vs 4-7 Presbyterian 38.2% East Carolina 61.8% Model Pick East Carolina 61.8% Pick Spread East Carolina -4.0 Home ML -162 Away ML +137 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.3% MODEL PROB 61.8% VEGAS TRUE 59.5% VEGAS JUICED 61.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Presbyterian 62 vs East Carolina 68 Total 129.5 Margin +5.7 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 132.8 @60%
Vanderbilt #13 (10-0) @ Memphis (4-5)	Vanderbilt (56.3%)	07:00 PM	69
07:00 PM Vanderbilt #13 @ Memphis 10-0 vs 4-5 Vanderbilt 56.3% Memphis 43.7% Model Pick Vanderbilt 56.3% Pick Spread Vanderbilt -9.5 Home ML +290 Away ML -380 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -19.2% MODEL PROB 56.3% VEGAS TRUE 75.5% VEGAS JUICED 79.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Vanderbilt 78 vs Memphis 76 Total 154.5 Margin -2.3 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 159.5 @65%
UC Santa Barbara (8-3) @ Green Bay (5-7)	UC Santa Barbara (55.8%)	07:00 PM	54
07:00 PM UC Santa Barbara @ Green Bay 8-3 vs 5-7 UC Santa Barbara 55.8% Green Bay 44.2% Model Pick UC Santa Barbara 55.8% Pick Spread UC Santa Barbara -5.0 Home ML +160 Away ML -192 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -7.3% MODEL PROB 55.8% VEGAS TRUE 63.1% VEGAS JUICED 65.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UC Santa Barbara 70 vs Green Bay 74 Total 143.8 Margin +4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.2 @52%
James Madison (7-4) @ Old Dominion (3-8)	Old Dominion (55.7%) DOG	08:00 PM	44
08:00 PM +5.2% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG James Madison @ Old Dominion 7-4 vs 3-8 James Madison 44.3% Old Dominion 55.7% Model Pick Old Dominion 55.7% Pick Spread Old Dominion +2.5 Home ML -112 Away ML -107 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.2% MODEL PROB 55.7% VEGAS TRUE 50.5% VEGAS JUICED 52.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE James Madison 71 vs Old Dominion 71 Total 141.8 Margin +0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @58% Diff +2.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.8 @68%
Northern Iowa (8-2) @ UIC (4-6)	Northern Iowa (55.3%)	05:00 PM	55
05:00 PM Northern Iowa @ UIC 8-2 vs 4-6 Northern Iowa 55.3% UIC 44.7% Model Pick Northern Iowa 55.3% Pick Spread Northern Iowa -5.0 Home ML +172 Away ML -207 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -9.5% MODEL PROB 55.3% VEGAS TRUE 64.8% VEGAS JUICED 67.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Iowa 72 vs UIC 70 Total 142.3 Margin -1.7 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff -3.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 134.5 @73%
Jacksonville (5-6) @ Florida A&M (1-5)	Florida A&M (53.6%) DOG	07:00 PM	46
07:00 PM +10.5% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG Jacksonville @ Florida A&M 5-6 vs 1-5 Jacksonville 46.4% Florida A&M 53.6% Model Pick Florida A&M 53.6% Pick Spread Florida A&M +3.0 Home ML +122 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.5% MODEL PROB 53.6% VEGAS TRUE 43.2% VEGAS JUICED 44.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Jacksonville 77 vs Florida A&M 68 Total 144.8 Margin -9.6 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.2 @64%
Richmond (9-1) @ Elon (6-4)	Elon (52.9%) DOG	07:00 PM	57
07:00 PM +16.6% EDGEUNDERDOG Richmond @ Elon 9-1 vs 6-4 Richmond 47.1% Elon 52.9% Model Pick Elon 52.9% Pick Spread Elon +4.0 Home ML +165 Away ML -197 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +16.6% MODEL PROB 52.9% VEGAS TRUE 36.2% VEGAS JUICED 37.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Richmond 76 vs Elon 80 Total 155.6 Margin +4.0 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 161.5 @68%
Chattanooga (5-6) @ Bellarmine (4-6)	Chattanooga (52.3%) DOG	07:00 PM	48
07:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOG Chattanooga @ Bellarmine 5-6 vs 4-6 Chattanooga 52.3% Bellarmine 47.7% Model Pick Chattanooga 52.3% Pick Spread Chattanooga +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -120 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Chattanooga 71 vs Bellarmine 72 Total 142.7 Margin +0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.8 @65%
Quinnipiac (8-3) @ Monmouth (5-6)	Monmouth (51.5%)	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PM CLOSE Quinnipiac @ Monmouth 8-3 vs 5-6 Quinnipiac 48.5% Monmouth 51.5% Model Pick Monmouth 51.5% Pick Spread Monmouth -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -116 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Quinnipiac 73 vs Monmouth 73 Total 146.0 Margin -0.4 Spread DOG COVERS @56% Diff +1.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.0 @53%
Arkansas State (7-4) @ Texas State (7-5)	Texas State (51.2%) DOG	08:30 PM	49
08:30 PM +11.4% EDGEUNDERDOG Arkansas State @ Texas State 7-4 vs 7-5 Arkansas State 48.8% Texas State 51.2% Model Pick Texas State 51.2% Pick Spread Texas State +4.0 Home ML +142 Away ML -166 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.4% MODEL PROB 51.2% VEGAS TRUE 39.8% VEGAS JUICED 41.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arkansas State 76 vs Texas State 77 Total 152.2 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.0 @52%
Seattle U (8-2) @ UC Davis (5-4)	UC Davis (50.9%) DOG	09:00 PM	59
09:00 PM +12.1% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG Seattle U @ UC Davis 8-2 vs 5-4 Seattle U 49.1% UC Davis 50.9% Model Pick UC Davis 50.9% Pick Spread UC Davis +3.0 Home ML +147 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.1% MODEL PROB 50.9% VEGAS TRUE 38.8% VEGAS JUICED 40.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seattle U 74 vs UC Davis 72 Total 145.9 Margin -1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.5 @60%

RECOMMENDED PICKS CRITERIA

Edge ≥ 4.0 pts • Spread ≤ 12 pts • Confidence ≥ 65%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (4-5) @ Stephen F. Austin (7-2)	Stephen F. Austin (75.4%)	09:00 PM	35
09:00 PM+7.7 PTS EDGE Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Stephen F. Austin 4-5 vs 7-2 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 24.6% Stephen F. Austin 75.4% Model Pick Stephen F. Austin (75.4%) Pick Spread Stephen F. Austin -7.5 Home ML -285 Away ML +235 SPREAD EDGE +7.7 pts PREDICTED MARGIN -0.2 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 69 vs Stephen F. Austin 69 Total 137.6 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 139.8 @57%
Siena (9-2) @ Vermont (7-5)	Vermont (76.7%)	07:00 PM	33
07:00 PM+6.2 PTS EDGE Siena @ Vermont 9-2 vs 7-5 Siena 23.3% Vermont 76.7% Model Pick Vermont (76.7%) Pick Spread Vermont -2.5 Home ML -131 Away ML N/A SPREAD EDGE +6.2 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +8.7 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Siena 62 vs Vermont 71 Total 132.7 Margin +8.7 Spread FAV COVERS @68% Diff +6.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.2 @55%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Richmond (9-1) @ Elon (6-4)	Elon (52.9%) DOG	07:00 PM	57
07:00 PM+16.6% EDGE Richmond @ Elon 9-1 vs 6-4 Richmond 47.1% Elon 52.9% Model Pick Elon 52.9% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +165 Away ML -197 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +16.6% MODEL PROB 52.9% VEGAS TRUE 36.2% VEGAS JUICED 37.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Richmond 76 vs Elon 80 Total 155.6 Margin +4.0 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 161.5 @68%
Oakland (5-6) @ Northern Kentucky (9-3)	Northern Kentucky (68.4%)	07:00 PM	42
07:00 PM+13.7% EDGE Oakland @ Northern Kentucky 5-6 vs 9-3 Oakland 31.6% Northern Kentucky 68.4% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 68.4% Pick Spread -3.0 Home ML -141 Away ML +106 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.7% MODEL PROB 68.4% VEGAS TRUE 54.7% VEGAS JUICED 58.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Oakland 77 vs Northern Kentucky 83 Total 159.5 Margin +5.9 Spread FAV COVERS @60% Diff +3.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 165.5 @68%
Seattle U (8-2) @ UC Davis (5-4)	UC Davis (50.9%) DOG	09:00 PM	59
09:00 PM+12.1% EDGE Seattle U @ UC Davis 8-2 vs 5-4 Seattle U 49.1% UC Davis 50.9% Model Pick UC Davis 50.9% Pick Spread +3.0 Home ML +147 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.1% MODEL PROB 50.9% VEGAS TRUE 38.8% VEGAS JUICED 40.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seattle U 74 vs UC Davis 72 Total 145.9 Margin -1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.5 @60%
Arkansas State (7-4) @ Texas State (7-5)	Texas State (51.2%) DOG	08:30 PM	49
08:30 PM+11.4% EDGE Arkansas State @ Texas State 7-4 vs 7-5 Arkansas State 48.8% Texas State 51.2% Model Pick Texas State 51.2% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +142 Away ML -166 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.4% MODEL PROB 51.2% VEGAS TRUE 39.8% VEGAS JUICED 41.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arkansas State 76 vs Texas State 77 Total 152.2 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.0 @52%
Sam Houston (6-3) @ Oregon State (6-5)	Oregon State (66.4%)	09:30 PM	34
09:30 PM+11.0% EDGE Sam Houston @ Oregon State 6-3 vs 6-5 Sam Houston 33.6% Oregon State 66.4% Model Pick Oregon State 66.4% Pick Spread -3.0 Home ML -136 Away ML +115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.0% MODEL PROB 66.4% VEGAS TRUE 55.3% VEGAS JUICED 57.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Sam Houston 68 vs Oregon State 72 Total 140.2 Margin +4.8 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.0 @75%
Jacksonville (5-6) @ Florida A&M (1-5)	Florida A&M (53.6%) DOG	07:00 PM	46
07:00 PM+10.5% EDGE Jacksonville @ Florida A&M 5-6 vs 1-5 Jacksonville 46.4% Florida A&M 53.6% Model Pick Florida A&M 53.6% Pick Spread +3.0 Home ML +122 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.5% MODEL PROB 53.6% VEGAS TRUE 43.2% VEGAS JUICED 44.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Jacksonville 77 vs Florida A&M 68 Total 144.8 Margin -9.6 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.2 @64%
Youngstown State (7-4) @ Robert Morris (8-4)	Robert Morris (62.5%)	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PM+9.6% EDGE Youngstown State @ Robert Morris 7-4 vs 8-4 Youngstown State 37.5% Robert Morris 62.5% Model Pick Robert Morris 62.5% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -123 Away ML +103 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +9.6% MODEL PROB 62.5% VEGAS TRUE 52.9% VEGAS JUICED 55.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Youngstown State 72 vs Robert Morris 75 Total 146.7 Margin +2.7 Spread FAV COVERS @53% Diff +1.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.2 @72%
Creighton (5-5) @ Xavier (8-3)	Xavier (67.3%)	06:30 PM	43
06:30 PM+8.5% EDGE Creighton @ Xavier 5-5 vs 8-3 Creighton 32.7% Xavier 67.3% Model Pick Xavier 67.3% Pick Spread -4.0 Home ML -157 Away ML +132 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.5% MODEL PROB 67.3% VEGAS TRUE 58.7% VEGAS JUICED 61.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Creighton 67 vs Xavier 76 Total 143.6 Margin +9.0 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 152.2 @75%
Eastern Kentucky (3-8) @ Jacksonville State (4-5)	Jacksonville State (67.7%)	07:00 PM	32
07:00 PM+7.7% EDGE Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State 3-8 vs 4-5 Eastern Kentucky 32.3% Jacksonville State 67.7% Model Pick Jacksonville State 67.7% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -166 Away ML +139 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.7% MODEL PROB 67.7% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Eastern Kentucky 69 vs Jacksonville State 74 Total 143.6 Margin +5.2 Spread FAV COVERS @60% Diff +3.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.5 @53%
Eastern Washington (2-8) @ Washington State (3-8)	Washington State (79.7%)	10:00 PM	20
10:00 PM+5.2% EDGE Eastern Washington @ Washington State 2-8 vs 3-8 Eastern Washington 20.3% Washington State 79.7% Model Pick Washington State 79.7% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -350 Away ML +275 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.2% MODEL PROB 79.7% VEGAS TRUE 74.5% VEGAS JUICED 77.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Eastern Washington 71 vs Washington State 76 Total 146.3 Margin +4.9 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff -2.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.5 @76%
James Madison (7-4) @ Old Dominion (3-8)	Old Dominion (55.7%) DOG	08:00 PM	44
08:00 PM+5.2% EDGE James Madison @ Old Dominion 7-4 vs 3-8 James Madison 44.3% Old Dominion 55.7% Model Pick Old Dominion 55.7% Pick Spread +2.5 Home ML -112 Away ML -107 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.2% MODEL PROB 55.7% VEGAS TRUE 50.5% VEGAS JUICED 52.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE James Madison 71 vs Old Dominion 71 Total 141.8 Margin +0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @58% Diff +2.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.8 @68%
Stonehill (3-8) @ New Hampshire (3-7)	New Hampshire (65.9%)	06:00 PM	34
06:00 PM+4.7% EDGE Stonehill @ New Hampshire 3-8 vs 3-7 Stonehill 34.1% New Hampshire 65.9% Model Pick New Hampshire 65.9% Pick Spread -3.5 Home ML -175 Away ML +147 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.7% MODEL PROB 65.9% VEGAS TRUE 61.2% VEGAS JUICED 63.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stonehill 68 vs New Hampshire 72 Total 139.1 Margin +4.1 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 138.2 @53%
Georgetown (7-3) @ Marquette (5-6)	Marquette (68.3%)	08:30 PM	32
08:30 PM+4.6% EDGE Georgetown @ Marquette 7-3 vs 5-6 Georgetown 31.7% Marquette 68.3% Model Pick Marquette 68.3% Pick Spread -5.5 Home ML -197 Away ML +164 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.6% MODEL PROB 68.3% VEGAS TRUE 63.7% VEGAS JUICED 66.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Georgetown 70 vs Marquette 82 Total 152.3 Margin +12.1 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 150.5 @56%
The Citadel (3-8) @ Charleston (5-6)	Charleston (90.3%)	07:00 PM	10
07:00 PM+4.5% EDGE The Citadel @ Charleston 3-8 vs 5-6 The Citadel 9.7% Charleston 90.3% Model Pick Charleston 90.3% Pick Spread -17.5 Home ML -850 Away ML +575 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.5% MODEL PROB 90.3% VEGAS TRUE 85.8% VEGAS JUICED 89.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE The Citadel 58 vs Charleston 74 Total 132.0 Margin +15.4 Spread DOG COVERS @56% Diff -2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.5 @85%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (4-5) @ Stephen F. Austin (7-2)	Stephen F. Austin (75.4%)	09:00 PM	35
09:00 PM+4.1% EDGE Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Stephen F. Austin 4-5 vs 7-2 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 24.6% Stephen F. Austin 75.4% Model Pick Stephen F. Austin 75.4% Pick Spread -7.5 Home ML -285 Away ML +235 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.1% MODEL PROB 75.4% VEGAS TRUE 71.3% VEGAS JUICED 74.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 69 vs Stephen F. Austin 69 Total 137.6 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 139.8 @57%
Arizona State (9-2) @ UCLA (7-3)	UCLA (80.7%)	10:30 PM	39
10:30 PM+4.0% EDGE Arizona State @ UCLA 9-2 vs 7-3 Arizona State 19.3% UCLA 80.7% Model Pick UCLA 80.7% Pick Spread -9.5 Home ML -407 Away ML +310 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.0% MODEL PROB 80.7% VEGAS TRUE 76.7% VEGAS JUICED 80.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arizona State 64 vs UCLA 78 Total 142.3 Margin +13.3 Spread FAV COVERS @61% Diff +3.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.2 @59%
Cleveland State (4-8) @ UAB (7-4)	UAB (92.0%)	07:30 PM	8
07:30 PM+4.0% EDGE Cleveland State @ UAB 4-8 vs 7-4 Cleveland State 8.0% UAB 92.0% Model Pick UAB 92.0% Pick Spread -19.0 Home ML -1100 Away ML +700 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.0% MODEL PROB 92.0% VEGAS TRUE 88.0% VEGAS JUICED 91.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Cleveland State 72 vs UAB 83 Total 154.5 Margin +10.7 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.8 @68%
Portland (7-4) @ Oregon (5-5)	Oregon (92.6%)	11:00 PM	7
11:00 PM+3.9% EDGE Portland @ Oregon 7-4 vs 5-5 Portland 7.4% Oregon 92.6% Model Pick Oregon 92.6% Pick Spread -19.5 Home ML -1200 Away ML +750 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.9% MODEL PROB 92.6% VEGAS TRUE 88.7% VEGAS JUICED 92.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Portland 69 vs Oregon 82 Total 150.6 Margin +12.6 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff -6.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 154.2 @61%
Houston Christian (5-6) @ Nicholls (2-7)	Nicholls (65.4%)	07:30 PM	35
07:30 PM+3.2% EDGE Houston Christian @ Nicholls 5-6 vs 2-7 Houston Christian 34.6% Nicholls 65.4% Model Pick Nicholls 65.4% Pick Spread -4.0 Home ML -182 Away ML +154 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.2% MODEL PROB 65.4% VEGAS TRUE 62.2% VEGAS JUICED 64.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Houston Christian 69 vs Nicholls 77 Total 146.0 Margin +7.4 Spread FAV COVERS @60% Diff +3.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.0 @70%
Weber State (5-5) @ Utah Valley (8-3)	Utah Valley (89.7%)	08:00 PM	20
08:00 PM+3.1% EDGE Weber State @ Utah Valley 5-5 vs 8-3 Weber State 10.3% Utah Valley 89.7% Model Pick Utah Valley 89.7% Pick Spread -14.0 Home ML -987 Away ML +607 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.1% MODEL PROB 89.7% VEGAS TRUE 86.5% VEGAS JUICED 90.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Weber State 67 vs Utah Valley 76 Total 143.4 Margin +9.6 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff -4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.2 @67%
Mercyhurst (4-7) @ Syracuse (6-4)	Syracuse (95.6%)	07:00 PM	4
07:00 PM+3.0% EDGE Mercyhurst @ Syracuse 4-7 vs 6-4 Mercyhurst 4.4% Syracuse 95.6% Model Pick Syracuse 95.6% Pick Spread -26.0 Home ML -2400 Away ML +1200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.0% MODEL PROB 95.6% VEGAS TRUE 92.6% VEGAS JUICED 96.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Mercyhurst 55 vs Syracuse 73 Total 128.1 Margin +18.5 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 132.2 @63%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Siena (9-2) @ Vermont (7-5)	Vermont (76.7%)	07:00 PM	33
07:00 PMCLOSE Siena @ Vermont 9-2 vs 7-5 Siena 23.3% Vermont 76.7% Model Pick Vermont 76.7% Pick Spread Vermont -2.5 Home ML -131 Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Siena 62 vs Vermont 71 Total 132.7 Margin +8.7 Spread FAV COVERS @68% Diff +6.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.2 @55%
Oakland (5-6) @ Northern Kentucky (9-3)	Northern Kentucky (68.4%)	07:00 PM	42
07:00 PMCLOSE Oakland @ Northern Kentucky 5-6 vs 9-3 Oakland 31.6% Northern Kentucky 68.4% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 68.4% Pick Spread Northern Kentucky -3.0 Home ML -141 Away ML +106 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.7% MODEL PROB 68.4% VEGAS TRUE 54.7% VEGAS JUICED 58.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Oakland 77 vs Northern Kentucky 83 Total 159.5 Margin +5.9 Spread FAV COVERS @60% Diff +3.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 165.5 @68%
Eastern Kentucky (3-8) @ Jacksonville State (4-5)	Jacksonville State (67.7%)	07:00 PM	32
07:00 PMCLOSE Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State 3-8 vs 4-5 Eastern Kentucky 32.3% Jacksonville State 67.7% Model Pick Jacksonville State 67.7% Pick Spread Jacksonville State -2.0 Home ML -166 Away ML +139 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.7% MODEL PROB 67.7% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Eastern Kentucky 69 vs Jacksonville State 74 Total 143.6 Margin +5.2 Spread FAV COVERS @60% Diff +3.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.5 @53%
Sam Houston (6-3) @ Oregon State (6-5)	Oregon State (66.4%)	09:30 PM	34
09:30 PMCLOSE Sam Houston @ Oregon State 6-3 vs 6-5 Sam Houston 33.6% Oregon State 66.4% Model Pick Oregon State 66.4% Pick Spread Oregon State -3.0 Home ML -136 Away ML +115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.0% MODEL PROB 66.4% VEGAS TRUE 55.3% VEGAS JUICED 57.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Sam Houston 68 vs Oregon State 72 Total 140.2 Margin +4.8 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.0 @75%
Stonehill (3-8) @ New Hampshire (3-7)	New Hampshire (65.9%)	06:00 PM	34
06:00 PMCLOSE Stonehill @ New Hampshire 3-8 vs 3-7 Stonehill 34.1% New Hampshire 65.9% Model Pick New Hampshire 65.9% Pick Spread New Hampshire -3.5 Home ML -175 Away ML +147 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.7% MODEL PROB 65.9% VEGAS TRUE 61.2% VEGAS JUICED 63.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stonehill 68 vs New Hampshire 72 Total 139.1 Margin +4.1 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 138.2 @53%
Youngstown State (7-4) @ Robert Morris (8-4)	Robert Morris (62.5%)	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PMCLOSE Youngstown State @ Robert Morris 7-4 vs 8-4 Youngstown State 37.5% Robert Morris 62.5% Model Pick Robert Morris 62.5% Pick Spread Robert Morris -2.0 Home ML -123 Away ML +103 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +9.6% MODEL PROB 62.5% VEGAS TRUE 52.9% VEGAS JUICED 55.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Youngstown State 72 vs Robert Morris 75 Total 146.7 Margin +2.7 Spread FAV COVERS @53% Diff +1.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.2 @72%
James Madison (7-4) @ Old Dominion (3-8)	Old Dominion (55.7%) DOG	08:00 PM	44
08:00 PMCLOSE James Madison @ Old Dominion 7-4 vs 3-8 James Madison 44.3% Old Dominion 55.7% Model Pick Old Dominion 55.7% Pick Spread Old Dominion +2.5 Home ML -112 Away ML -107 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.2% MODEL PROB 55.7% VEGAS TRUE 50.5% VEGAS JUICED 52.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE James Madison 71 vs Old Dominion 71 Total 141.8 Margin +0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @58% Diff +2.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.8 @68%
Jacksonville (5-6) @ Florida A&M (1-5)	Florida A&M (53.6%) DOG	07:00 PM	46
07:00 PMCLOSE Jacksonville @ Florida A&M 5-6 vs 1-5 Jacksonville 46.4% Florida A&M 53.6% Model Pick Florida A&M 53.6% Pick Spread Florida A&M +3.0 Home ML +122 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.5% MODEL PROB 53.6% VEGAS TRUE 43.2% VEGAS JUICED 44.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Jacksonville 77 vs Florida A&M 68 Total 144.8 Margin -9.6 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.2 @64%
Chattanooga (5-6) @ Bellarmine (4-6)	Chattanooga (52.3%) DOG	07:00 PM	48
07:00 PMCLOSE Chattanooga @ Bellarmine 5-6 vs 4-6 Chattanooga 52.3% Bellarmine 47.7% Model Pick Chattanooga 52.3% Pick Spread Chattanooga +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -120 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Chattanooga 71 vs Bellarmine 72 Total 142.7 Margin +0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.8 @65%
Quinnipiac (8-3) @ Monmouth (5-6)	Monmouth (51.5%)	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PMCLOSE Quinnipiac @ Monmouth 8-3 vs 5-6 Quinnipiac 48.5% Monmouth 51.5% Model Pick Monmouth 51.5% Pick Spread Monmouth -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -116 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Quinnipiac 73 vs Monmouth 73 Total 146.0 Margin -0.4 Spread DOG COVERS @56% Diff +1.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.0 @53%
Seattle U (8-2) @ UC Davis (5-4)	UC Davis (50.9%) DOG	09:00 PM	59
09:00 PMCLOSE Seattle U @ UC Davis 8-2 vs 5-4 Seattle U 49.1% UC Davis 50.9% Model Pick UC Davis 50.9% Pick Spread UC Davis +3.0 Home ML +147 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.1% MODEL PROB 50.9% VEGAS TRUE 38.8% VEGAS JUICED 40.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seattle U 74 vs UC Davis 72 Total 145.9 Margin -1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.5 @60%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Jacksonville (5-6) @ Florida A&M (1-5)	Florida A&M (53.6%) DOG	+10.5%	07:00 PM	46
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Jacksonville @ Florida A&M 5-6 vs 1-5 Jacksonville 46.4% Florida A&M 53.6% Model Pick Florida A&M 53.6% Pick Spread Florida A&M +3.0 Home ML +122 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.5% MODEL PROB 53.6% VEGAS TRUE 43.2% VEGAS JUICED 44.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Jacksonville 77 vs Florida A&M 68 Total 144.8 Margin -9.6 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.2 @64%
Richmond (9-1) @ Elon (6-4)	Elon (52.9%) DOG	+16.6%	07:00 PM	57
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Richmond @ Elon 9-1 vs 6-4 Richmond 47.1% Elon 52.9% Model Pick Elon 52.9% Pick Spread Elon +4.0 Home ML +165 Away ML -197 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +16.6% MODEL PROB 52.9% VEGAS TRUE 36.2% VEGAS JUICED 37.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Richmond 76 vs Elon 80 Total 155.6 Margin +4.0 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 161.5 @68%
Quinnipiac (8-3) @ Monmouth (5-6)	Monmouth (51.5%)	+0.0%	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Quinnipiac @ Monmouth 8-3 vs 5-6 Quinnipiac 48.5% Monmouth 51.5% Model Pick Monmouth 51.5% Pick Spread Monmouth -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -116 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Quinnipiac 73 vs Monmouth 73 Total 146.0 Margin -0.4 Spread DOG COVERS @56% Diff +1.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.0 @53%
Arkansas State (7-4) @ Texas State (7-5)	Texas State (51.2%) DOG	+11.4%	08:30 PM	49
08:30 PMUNDERDOG ML Arkansas State @ Texas State 7-4 vs 7-5 Arkansas State 48.8% Texas State 51.2% Model Pick Texas State 51.2% Pick Spread Texas State +4.0 Home ML +142 Away ML -166 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.4% MODEL PROB 51.2% VEGAS TRUE 39.8% VEGAS JUICED 41.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arkansas State 76 vs Texas State 77 Total 152.2 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.0 @52%
Seattle U (8-2) @ UC Davis (5-4)	UC Davis (50.9%) DOG	+12.1%	09:00 PM	59
09:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Seattle U @ UC Davis 8-2 vs 5-4 Seattle U 49.1% UC Davis 50.9% Model Pick UC Davis 50.9% Pick Spread UC Davis +3.0 Home ML +147 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.1% MODEL PROB 50.9% VEGAS TRUE 38.8% VEGAS JUICED 40.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seattle U 74 vs UC Davis 72 Total 145.9 Margin -1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.5 @60%

Game	Pick	Confidence	Moneyline	Expected Value	Time (ET)
UL Monroe vs South Alabama	UL Monroe DOG	38.0%	+440	⭐⭐⭐ +105.2%	07:30 PM
Memphis vs Vanderbilt	Memphis DOG	43.7%	+290	⭐⭐⭐ +70.3%	07:00 PM
Elon vs Richmond	Elon DOG	52.9%	+165	⭐⭐⭐ +40.1%	07:00 PM

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Richmond (9-1) @ Elon (6-4)	Elon (52.9%)	+16.6%	07:00 PM	57
07:00 PM+16.6% EDGE Richmond @ Elon 9-1 vs 6-4 Richmond 47.1% Elon 52.9% Model Pick Elon 52.9% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +165 Away ML -197 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +16.6% MODEL PROB 52.9% VEGAS TRUE 36.2% VEGAS JUICED 37.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Richmond 76 vs Elon 80 Total 155.6 Margin +4.0 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 161.5 @68%
Oakland (5-6) @ Northern Kentucky (9-3)	Northern Kentucky (68.4%)	+13.7%	07:00 PM	42
07:00 PM+13.7% EDGE Oakland @ Northern Kentucky 5-6 vs 9-3 Oakland 31.6% Northern Kentucky 68.4% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 68.4% Pick Spread -3.0 Home ML -141 Away ML +106 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.7% MODEL PROB 68.4% VEGAS TRUE 54.7% VEGAS JUICED 58.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Oakland 77 vs Northern Kentucky 83 Total 159.5 Margin +5.9 Spread FAV COVERS @60% Diff +3.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 165.5 @68%
Seattle U (8-2) @ UC Davis (5-4)	UC Davis (50.9%)	+12.1%	09:00 PM	59
09:00 PM+12.1% EDGE Seattle U @ UC Davis 8-2 vs 5-4 Seattle U 49.1% UC Davis 50.9% Model Pick UC Davis 50.9% Pick Spread +3.0 Home ML +147 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.1% MODEL PROB 50.9% VEGAS TRUE 38.8% VEGAS JUICED 40.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seattle U 74 vs UC Davis 72 Total 145.9 Margin -1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.5 @60%
Arkansas State (7-4) @ Texas State (7-5)	Texas State (51.2%)	+11.4%	08:30 PM	49
08:30 PM+11.4% EDGE Arkansas State @ Texas State 7-4 vs 7-5 Arkansas State 48.8% Texas State 51.2% Model Pick Texas State 51.2% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +142 Away ML -166 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.4% MODEL PROB 51.2% VEGAS TRUE 39.8% VEGAS JUICED 41.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arkansas State 76 vs Texas State 77 Total 152.2 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.0 @52%
Sam Houston (6-3) @ Oregon State (6-5)	Oregon State (66.4%)	+11.0%	09:30 PM	34
09:30 PM+11.0% EDGE Sam Houston @ Oregon State 6-3 vs 6-5 Sam Houston 33.6% Oregon State 66.4% Model Pick Oregon State 66.4% Pick Spread -3.0 Home ML -136 Away ML +115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.0% MODEL PROB 66.4% VEGAS TRUE 55.3% VEGAS JUICED 57.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Sam Houston 68 vs Oregon State 72 Total 140.2 Margin +4.8 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.0 @75%
Jacksonville (5-6) @ Florida A&M (1-5)	Florida A&M (53.6%)	+10.5%	07:00 PM	46
07:00 PM+10.5% EDGE Jacksonville @ Florida A&M 5-6 vs 1-5 Jacksonville 46.4% Florida A&M 53.6% Model Pick Florida A&M 53.6% Pick Spread +3.0 Home ML +122 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.5% MODEL PROB 53.6% VEGAS TRUE 43.2% VEGAS JUICED 44.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Jacksonville 77 vs Florida A&M 68 Total 144.8 Margin -9.6 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.2 @64%
Youngstown State (7-4) @ Robert Morris (8-4)	Robert Morris (62.5%)	+9.6%	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PM+9.6% EDGE Youngstown State @ Robert Morris 7-4 vs 8-4 Youngstown State 37.5% Robert Morris 62.5% Model Pick Robert Morris 62.5% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -123 Away ML +103 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +9.6% MODEL PROB 62.5% VEGAS TRUE 52.9% VEGAS JUICED 55.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Youngstown State 72 vs Robert Morris 75 Total 146.7 Margin +2.7 Spread FAV COVERS @53% Diff +1.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.2 @72%
Creighton (5-5) @ Xavier (8-3)	Xavier (67.3%)	+8.5%	06:30 PM	43
06:30 PM+8.5% EDGE Creighton @ Xavier 5-5 vs 8-3 Creighton 32.7% Xavier 67.3% Model Pick Xavier 67.3% Pick Spread -4.0 Home ML -157 Away ML +132 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.5% MODEL PROB 67.3% VEGAS TRUE 58.7% VEGAS JUICED 61.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Creighton 67 vs Xavier 76 Total 143.6 Margin +9.0 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 152.2 @75%
Eastern Kentucky (3-8) @ Jacksonville State (4-5)	Jacksonville State (67.7%)	+7.7%	07:00 PM	32
07:00 PM+7.7% EDGE Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State 3-8 vs 4-5 Eastern Kentucky 32.3% Jacksonville State 67.7% Model Pick Jacksonville State 67.7% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -166 Away ML +139 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.7% MODEL PROB 67.7% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Eastern Kentucky 69 vs Jacksonville State 74 Total 143.6 Margin +5.2 Spread FAV COVERS @60% Diff +3.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.5 @53%
Eastern Washington (2-8) @ Washington State (3-8)	Washington State (79.7%)	+5.2%	10:00 PM	20
10:00 PM+5.2% EDGE Eastern Washington @ Washington State 2-8 vs 3-8 Eastern Washington 20.3% Washington State 79.7% Model Pick Washington State 79.7% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -350 Away ML +275 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.2% MODEL PROB 79.7% VEGAS TRUE 74.5% VEGAS JUICED 77.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Eastern Washington 71 vs Washington State 76 Total 146.3 Margin +4.9 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff -2.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.5 @76%
James Madison (7-4) @ Old Dominion (3-8)	Old Dominion (55.7%)	+5.2%	08:00 PM	44
08:00 PM+5.2% EDGE James Madison @ Old Dominion 7-4 vs 3-8 James Madison 44.3% Old Dominion 55.7% Model Pick Old Dominion 55.7% Pick Spread +2.5 Home ML -112 Away ML -107 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.2% MODEL PROB 55.7% VEGAS TRUE 50.5% VEGAS JUICED 52.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE James Madison 71 vs Old Dominion 71 Total 141.8 Margin +0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @58% Diff +2.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.8 @68%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Richmond (9-1) @ Elon (6-4)	Elon (52.9%)	+16.6%	07:00 PM	57
07:00 PM+16.6% EDGE Richmond @ Elon 9-1 vs 6-4 Richmond 47.1% Elon 52.9% Model Pick Elon 52.9% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +165 Away ML -197 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +16.6% MODEL PROB 52.9% VEGAS TRUE 36.2% VEGAS JUICED 37.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Richmond 76 vs Elon 80 Total 155.6 Margin +4.0 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 161.5 @68%
Oakland (5-6) @ Northern Kentucky (9-3)	Northern Kentucky (68.4%)	+13.7%	07:00 PM	42
07:00 PM+13.7% EDGE Oakland @ Northern Kentucky 5-6 vs 9-3 Oakland 31.6% Northern Kentucky 68.4% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 68.4% Pick Spread -3.0 Home ML -141 Away ML +106 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.7% MODEL PROB 68.4% VEGAS TRUE 54.7% VEGAS JUICED 58.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Oakland 77 vs Northern Kentucky 83 Total 159.5 Margin +5.9 Spread FAV COVERS @60% Diff +3.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 165.5 @68%
Seattle U (8-2) @ UC Davis (5-4)	UC Davis (50.9%)	+12.1%	09:00 PM	59
09:00 PM+12.1% EDGE Seattle U @ UC Davis 8-2 vs 5-4 Seattle U 49.1% UC Davis 50.9% Model Pick UC Davis 50.9% Pick Spread +3.0 Home ML +147 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.1% MODEL PROB 50.9% VEGAS TRUE 38.8% VEGAS JUICED 40.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seattle U 74 vs UC Davis 72 Total 145.9 Margin -1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.5 @60%
Arkansas State (7-4) @ Texas State (7-5)	Texas State (51.2%)	+11.4%	08:30 PM	49
08:30 PM+11.4% EDGE Arkansas State @ Texas State 7-4 vs 7-5 Arkansas State 48.8% Texas State 51.2% Model Pick Texas State 51.2% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +142 Away ML -166 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.4% MODEL PROB 51.2% VEGAS TRUE 39.8% VEGAS JUICED 41.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arkansas State 76 vs Texas State 77 Total 152.2 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.0 @52%
Sam Houston (6-3) @ Oregon State (6-5)	Oregon State (66.4%)	+11.0%	09:30 PM	34
09:30 PM+11.0% EDGE Sam Houston @ Oregon State 6-3 vs 6-5 Sam Houston 33.6% Oregon State 66.4% Model Pick Oregon State 66.4% Pick Spread -3.0 Home ML -136 Away ML +115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.0% MODEL PROB 66.4% VEGAS TRUE 55.3% VEGAS JUICED 57.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Sam Houston 68 vs Oregon State 72 Total 140.2 Margin +4.8 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.0 @75%
Jacksonville (5-6) @ Florida A&M (1-5)	Florida A&M (53.6%)	+10.5%	07:00 PM	46
07:00 PM+10.5% EDGE Jacksonville @ Florida A&M 5-6 vs 1-5 Jacksonville 46.4% Florida A&M 53.6% Model Pick Florida A&M 53.6% Pick Spread +3.0 Home ML +122 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.5% MODEL PROB 53.6% VEGAS TRUE 43.2% VEGAS JUICED 44.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Jacksonville 77 vs Florida A&M 68 Total 144.8 Margin -9.6 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.2 @64%

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