Breaking Vegas - Daily Predictions | Sunday, January 04, 2026

Model Information

XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game	Prediction ⇅	Time (ET) ⇅	Hype Level ⇅
Loyola Marymount (10-6) @ Gonzaga #7 (15-1)	Gonzaga (96.5%)	09:00 PM	38
09:00 PM Loyola Marymount @ Gonzaga #7 10-6 vs 15-1 Loyola Marymount 3.5% Gonzaga 96.5% Model Pick Gonzaga 96.5% Pick Spread Gonzaga -24.0 Home ML -9000 Away ML +2500 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.3% MODEL PROB 96.5% VEGAS TRUE 96.3% VEGAS JUICED 98.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Loyola Marymount 73 vs Gonzaga 88 Total 161.2 Margin +15.6 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 154.8 @69%
Marquette (5-9) @ UConn #4 (13-1)	UConn (95.4%)	02:00 PM	35
02:00 PM Marquette @ UConn #4 5-9 vs 13-1 Marquette 4.6% UConn 95.4% Model Pick UConn 95.4% Pick Spread UConn -18.0 Home ML -4500 Away ML +1250 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.4% MODEL PROB 95.4% VEGAS TRUE 93.0% VEGAS JUICED 97.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Marquette 59 vs UConn 84 Total 143.2 Margin +25.8 Spread FAV COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 144.5 @54%
San Diego (6-9) @ Santa Clara (12-4)	Santa Clara (93.3%)	07:00 PM	17
07:00 PM +3.3% EDGE San Diego @ Santa Clara 6-9 vs 12-4 San Diego 6.7% Santa Clara 93.3% Model Pick Santa Clara 93.3% Pick Spread Santa Clara -16.5 Home ML -1800 Away ML +850 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.3% MODEL PROB 93.3% VEGAS TRUE 90.0% VEGAS JUICED 94.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE San Diego 70 vs Santa Clara 85 Total 154.5 Margin +14.9 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 161.5 @70%
Pepperdine (5-11) @ Pacific (10-6)	Pacific (88.6%)	07:00 PM	11
07:00 PM +5.2% EDGE Pepperdine @ Pacific 5-11 vs 10-6 Pepperdine 11.4% Pacific 88.6% Model Pick Pacific 88.6% Pick Spread Pacific -12.0 Home ML -700 Away ML +475 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.2% MODEL PROB 88.6% VEGAS TRUE 83.4% VEGAS JUICED 87.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Pepperdine 60 vs Pacific 76 Total 136.1 Margin +15.7 Spread FAV COVERS @62% Diff +4.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 137.5 @54%
Seattle U (12-4) @ Saint Mary's (14-2)	Saint Mary's (86.8%)	08:00 PM	33
08:00 PM +8.7% EDGE Seattle U @ Saint Mary's 12-4 vs 14-2 Seattle U 13.2% Saint Mary's 86.8% Model Pick Saint Mary's 86.8% Pick Spread Saint Mary's -12.5 Home ML -440 Away ML +340 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.7% MODEL PROB 86.8% VEGAS TRUE 78.2% VEGAS JUICED 81.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seattle U 53 vs Saint Mary's 70 Total 122.4 Margin +16.8 Spread FAV COVERS @63% Diff +4.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.5 @92%
Portland (7-9) @ San Francisco (10-6)	San Francisco (86.0%)	07:00 PM	14
07:00 PM Portland @ San Francisco 7-9 vs 10-6 Portland 14.0% San Francisco 86.0% Model Pick San Francisco 86.0% Pick Spread San Francisco -10.5 Home ML -1000 Away ML +625 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -0.8% MODEL PROB 86.0% VEGAS TRUE 86.8% VEGAS JUICED 90.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Portland 66 vs San Francisco 82 Total 147.2 Margin +16.2 Spread FAV COVERS @67% Diff +5.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.5 @55%
Denver (8-8) @ St. Thomas-Minnesota (11-4)	St. Thomas-Minnesota (84.0%)	01:00 PM	26
01:00 PM Denver @ St. Thomas-Minnesota 8-8 vs 11-4 Denver 16.0% St. Thomas-Minnesota 84.0% Model Pick St. Thomas-Minnesota 84.0% Pick Spread St. Thomas-Minnesota -10.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Denver 71 vs St. Thomas-Minnesota 90 Total 160.7 Margin +19.3 Spread FAV COVERS @75% Diff +8.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.5 @56%
Siena (9-5) @ Rider (1-11)	Siena (83.2%)	02:00 PM	17
02:00 PM Siena @ Rider 9-5 vs 1-11 Siena 83.2% Rider 16.8% Model Pick Siena 83.2% Pick Spread Siena -9.0 Home ML +400 Away ML -575 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.3% MODEL PROB 83.2% VEGAS TRUE 81.0% VEGAS JUICED 85.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Siena 65 vs Rider 66 Total 131.1 Margin +1.7 Spread DOG COVERS @79% Diff +10.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.8 @61%
Mount St. Mary's (5-10) @ Quinnipiac (10-5)	Quinnipiac (82.9%)	02:00 PM	17
02:00 PM Mount St. Mary's @ Quinnipiac 5-10 vs 10-5 Mount St. Mary's 17.1% Quinnipiac 82.9% Model Pick Quinnipiac 82.9% Pick Spread Quinnipiac -9.0 Home ML -575 Away ML +400 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.9% MODEL PROB 82.9% VEGAS TRUE 81.0% VEGAS JUICED 85.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Mount St. Mary's 64 vs Quinnipiac 78 Total 141.6 Margin +14.4 Spread FAV COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.2 @75%
UTEP (4-9) @ Florida International (8-5)	Florida International (82.8%)	04:00 PM	17
04:00 PM +7.0% EDGE UTEP @ Florida International 4-9 vs 8-5 UTEP 17.2% Florida International 82.8% Model Pick Florida International 82.8% Pick Spread Florida International -8.0 Home ML -382 Away ML +295 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.0% MODEL PROB 82.8% VEGAS TRUE 75.8% VEGAS JUICED 79.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UTEP 70 vs Florida International 80 Total 149.9 Margin +10.3 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.0 @50%
Long Island University (7-7) @ Chicago State (1-12)	Long Island University (81.1%)	02:00 PM	19
02:00 PM +6.3% EDGE Long Island University @ Chicago State 7-7 vs 1-12 Long Island University 81.1% Chicago State 18.9% Model Pick Long Island University 81.1% Pick Spread Long Island University -7.5 Home ML +280 Away ML -360 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +6.3% MODEL PROB 81.1% VEGAS TRUE 74.8% VEGAS JUICED 78.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Long Island University 75 vs Chicago State 76 Total 151.3 Margin +1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @51%
Southern Illinois (7-8) @ Belmont (13-2)	Belmont (81.0%)	05:00 PM	29
05:00 PM +8.1% EDGE Southern Illinois @ Belmont 7-8 vs 13-2 Southern Illinois 19.0% Belmont 81.0% Model Pick Belmont 81.0% Pick Spread Belmont -7.0 Home ML -310 Away ML +255 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.1% MODEL PROB 81.0% VEGAS TRUE 72.9% VEGAS JUICED 75.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Illinois 76 vs Belmont 83 Total 158.6 Margin +7.0 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.8 @57%
Jacksonville State (7-6) @ Liberty (10-3)	Liberty (80.2%)	02:00 PM	30
02:00 PM Jacksonville State @ Liberty 7-6 vs 10-3 Jacksonville State 19.8% Liberty 80.2% Model Pick Liberty 80.2% Pick Spread Liberty -10.0 Home ML -650 Away ML +450 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -2.4% MODEL PROB 80.2% VEGAS TRUE 82.7% VEGAS JUICED 86.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Jacksonville State 62 vs Liberty 73 Total 135.0 Margin +11.8 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 134.0 @53%
Wright State (8-7) @ IU Indianapolis (4-12)	Wright State (79.7%)	02:00 PM	20
02:00 PM Wright State @ IU Indianapolis 8-7 vs 4-12 Wright State 79.7% IU Indianapolis 20.3% Model Pick Wright State 79.7% Pick Spread Wright State -8.5 Home ML +350 Away ML -480 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.9% MODEL PROB 79.7% VEGAS TRUE 78.8% VEGAS JUICED 82.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Wright State 81 vs IU Indianapolis 80 Total 161.0 Margin -0.8 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 163.2 @57%
Utah State (12-1) @ Air Force (3-11)	Utah State (78.5%)	12:00 AM	32
12:00 AM UNDERDOG Utah State @ Air Force 12-1 vs 3-11 Utah State 78.5% Air Force 21.5% Model Pick Utah State 78.5% Pick Spread N/A Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Utah State 67 vs Air Force 66 Total 132.5 Margin -1.5
New Haven (6-8) @ Central Connecticut (6-6)	Central Connecticut (78.0%)	01:00 PM	22
01:00 PM New Haven @ Central Connecticut 6-8 vs 6-6 New Haven 22.0% Central Connecticut 78.0% Model Pick Central Connecticut 78.0% Pick Spread Central Connecticut -8.5 Home ML -420 Away ML +315 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.0% MODEL PROB 78.0% VEGAS TRUE 77.0% VEGAS JUICED 80.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE New Haven 61 vs Central Connecticut 71 Total 131.6 Margin +9.8 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 128.5 @59%
Washington (9-4) @ Indiana (10-3)	Indiana (77.2%)	08:00 PM	43
08:00 PM +3.1% EDGE Washington @ Indiana 9-4 vs 10-3 Washington 22.8% Indiana 77.2% Model Pick Indiana 77.2% Pick Spread Indiana -8.0 Home ML -340 Away ML +270 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.1% MODEL PROB 77.2% VEGAS TRUE 74.1% VEGAS JUICED 77.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Washington 67 vs Indiana 76 Total 142.3 Margin +8.9 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.2 @80%
Stonehill (3-11) @ Wagner (6-6)	Wagner (77.0%)	04:00 PM	23
04:00 PM Stonehill @ Wagner 3-11 vs 6-6 Stonehill 23.0% Wagner 77.0% Model Pick Wagner 77.0% Pick Spread Wagner -8.5 Home ML -360 Away ML +277 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.3% MODEL PROB 77.0% VEGAS TRUE 74.7% VEGAS JUICED 78.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stonehill 57 vs Wagner 70 Total 127.1 Margin +13.1 Spread FAV COVERS @64% Diff +4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 139.2 @83%
Cleveland State (5-10) @ Purdue Fort Wayne (8-8)	Purdue Fort Wayne (76.9%)	02:00 PM	23
02:00 PM Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne 5-10 vs 8-8 Cleveland State 23.1% Purdue Fort Wayne 76.9% Model Pick Purdue Fort Wayne 76.9% Pick Spread Purdue Fort Wayne -9.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Cleveland State 76 vs Purdue Fort Wayne 80 Total 156.3 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 159.5 @60%
Kennesaw State (8-5) @ Delaware (4-9)	Kennesaw State (76.6%)	02:00 PM	23
02:00 PM +5.7% EDGE Kennesaw State @ Delaware 8-5 vs 4-9 Kennesaw State 76.6% Delaware 23.4% Model Pick Kennesaw State 76.6% Pick Spread Kennesaw State -7.0 Home ML +230 Away ML -280 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.7% MODEL PROB 76.6% VEGAS TRUE 70.9% VEGAS JUICED 73.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kennesaw State 78 vs Delaware 71 Total 149.6 Margin -7.2 Spread DOG COVERS @50% Diff -0.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.8 @50%
Northern Iowa (11-3) @ Evansville (4-11)	Northern Iowa (75.1%)	04:00 PM	35
04:00 PM +8.2% EDGE Northern Iowa @ Evansville 11-3 vs 4-11 Northern Iowa 75.1% Evansville 24.9% Model Pick Northern Iowa 75.1% Pick Spread Northern Iowa -5.0 Home ML +190 Away ML -231 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.2% MODEL PROB 75.1% VEGAS TRUE 66.9% VEGAS JUICED 69.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Iowa 63 vs Evansville 64 Total 126.5 Margin +0.5 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 129.5 @59%
Indiana State (8-7) @ Drake (7-7)	Drake (74.7%)	03:00 PM	25
03:00 PM +4.2% EDGE Indiana State @ Drake 8-7 vs 7-7 Indiana State 25.3% Drake 74.7% Model Pick Drake 74.7% Pick Spread Drake -6.5 Home ML -275 Away ML +225 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.2% MODEL PROB 74.7% VEGAS TRUE 70.4% VEGAS JUICED 73.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Indiana State 71 vs Drake 80 Total 151.1 Margin +9.3 Spread FAV COVERS @59% Diff +2.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.8 @57%
Louisiana Tech (8-5) @ Western Kentucky (8-5)	Western Kentucky (69.8%)	03:00 PM	50
03:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky 8-5 vs 8-5 Louisiana Tech 30.2% Western Kentucky 69.8% Model Pick Western Kentucky 69.8% Pick Spread Western Kentucky -9.5 Home ML -490 Away ML +355 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -9.2% MODEL PROB 69.8% VEGAS TRUE 79.1% VEGAS JUICED 83.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Louisiana Tech 68 vs Western Kentucky 76 Total 143.2 Margin +7.8 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.0 @51%
Oregon State (8-8) @ Washington State (7-9)	Washington State (68.7%)	07:30 PM	31
07:30 PM Oregon State @ Washington State 8-8 vs 7-9 Oregon State 31.3% Washington State 68.7% Model Pick Washington State 68.7% Pick Spread Washington State -8.0 Home ML -275 Away ML +225 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -1.7% MODEL PROB 68.7% VEGAS TRUE 70.4% VEGAS JUICED 73.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Oregon State 59 vs Washington State 77 Total 136.4 Margin +17.6 Spread FAV COVERS @78% Diff +9.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.0 @69%
Manhattan (7-8) @ Merrimack (8-7)	Merrimack (67.9%)	12:00 PM	32
12:00 PM Manhattan @ Merrimack 7-8 vs 8-7 Manhattan 32.1% Merrimack 67.9% Model Pick Merrimack 67.9% Pick Spread Merrimack -6.5 Home ML -270 Away ML +220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -2.1% MODEL PROB 67.9% VEGAS TRUE 70.0% VEGAS JUICED 73.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Manhattan 60 vs Merrimack 76 Total 135.4 Margin +16.2 Spread FAV COVERS @77% Diff +9.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.5 @80%
Florida Atlantic (9-5) @ Tulane (10-4)	Florida Atlantic (67.2%)	01:00 PM	53
01:00 PM +5.5% EDGE Florida Atlantic @ Tulane 9-5 vs 10-4 Florida Atlantic 67.2% Tulane 32.8% Model Pick Florida Atlantic 67.2% Pick Spread Florida Atlantic -4.0 Home ML +150 Away ML -181 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.5% MODEL PROB 67.2% VEGAS TRUE 61.7% VEGAS JUICED 64.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida Atlantic 82 vs Tulane 76 Total 158.7 Margin -6.3 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 158.2 @51%
Bradley (10-5) @ Murray State (12-3)	Murray State (66.0%)	05:00 PM	54
05:00 PM Bradley @ Murray State 10-5 vs 12-3 Bradley 34.0% Murray State 66.0% Model Pick Murray State 66.0% Pick Spread Murray State -5.0 Home ML -207 Away ML +172 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.2% MODEL PROB 66.0% VEGAS TRUE 64.8% VEGAS JUICED 67.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bradley 76 vs Murray State 81 Total 157.2 Margin +5.0 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 161.8 @64%
Fairfield (8-7) @ Niagara (4-9)	Fairfield (65.0%)	02:00 PM	35
02:00 PM CLOSE Fairfield @ Niagara 8-7 vs 4-9 Fairfield 65.0% Niagara 35.0% Model Pick Fairfield 65.0% Pick Spread Fairfield -3.5 Home ML +155 Away ML -182 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.8% MODEL PROB 65.0% VEGAS TRUE 62.2% VEGAS JUICED 64.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairfield 73 vs Niagara 67 Total 140.7 Margin -5.9 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 136.5 @63%
Youngstown State (8-7) @ Northern Kentucky (11-5)	Northern Kentucky (64.1%)	04:00 PM	36
04:00 PM CLOSE Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky 8-7 vs 11-5 Youngstown State 35.9% Northern Kentucky 64.1% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 64.1% Pick Spread Northern Kentucky -3.5 Home ML -177 Away ML +149 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.6% MODEL PROB 64.1% VEGAS TRUE 61.5% VEGAS JUICED 64.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Youngstown State 77 vs Northern Kentucky 80 Total 157.1 Margin +2.3 Spread DOG COVERS @54% Diff -1.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.2 @80%
Iona (10-5) @ Marist (8-5)	Marist (62.3%)	02:00 PM	58
02:00 PM Iona @ Marist 10-5 vs 8-5 Iona 37.7% Marist 62.3% Model Pick Marist 62.3% Pick Spread Marist -4.0 Home ML -178 Away ML +150 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.7% MODEL PROB 62.3% VEGAS TRUE 61.6% VEGAS JUICED 64.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Iona 61 vs Marist 71 Total 131.9 Margin +10.5 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.2 @90%
UAB (9-5) @ South Florida (8-5)	South Florida (62.2%)	01:00 PM	58
01:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT UAB @ South Florida 9-5 vs 8-5 UAB 37.8% South Florida 62.2% Model Pick South Florida 62.2% Pick Spread South Florida -7.5 Home ML -255 Away ML +210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -6.8% MODEL PROB 62.2% VEGAS TRUE 69.0% VEGAS JUICED 71.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UAB 77 vs South Florida 82 Total 159.4 Margin +5.2 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff -2.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 163.5 @62%
Le Moyne (6-8) @ Mercyhurst (5-9)	Mercyhurst (61.7%)	02:00 PM	38
02:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Le Moyne @ Mercyhurst 6-8 vs 5-9 Le Moyne 38.3% Mercyhurst 61.7% Model Pick Mercyhurst 61.7% Pick Spread Mercyhurst -2.0 Home ML -122 Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Le Moyne 66 vs Mercyhurst 75 Total 141.0 Margin +9.2 Spread FAV COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.2 @54%
Creighton (9-5) @ Seton Hall (12-2)	Seton Hall (61.7%)	12:00 PM	58
12:00 PM +3.5% EDGECLOSE Creighton @ Seton Hall 9-5 vs 12-2 Creighton 38.3% Seton Hall 61.7% Model Pick Seton Hall 61.7% Pick Spread Seton Hall -2.5 Home ML -152 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.5% MODEL PROB 61.7% VEGAS TRUE 58.1% VEGAS JUICED 60.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Creighton 68 vs Seton Hall 77 Total 145.0 Margin +8.8 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.0 @59%
Sacred Heart (5-10) @ Canisius (6-8)	Sacred Heart (61.5%)	12:00 PM	38
12:00 PM Sacred Heart @ Canisius 5-10 vs 6-8 Sacred Heart 61.5% Canisius 38.5% Model Pick Sacred Heart 61.5% Pick Spread Sacred Heart -5.0 Home ML +134 Away ML -159 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.5% MODEL PROB 61.5% VEGAS TRUE 59.0% VEGAS JUICED 61.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Sacred Heart 73 vs Canisius 67 Total 139.8 Margin -5.4 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 141.5 @55%
UIC (5-9) @ Valparaiso (6-8)	Valparaiso (60.5%)	03:00 PM	40
03:00 PM CLOSE UIC @ Valparaiso 5-9 vs 6-8 UIC 39.5% Valparaiso 60.5% Model Pick Valparaiso 60.5% Pick Spread Valparaiso -3.5 Home ML -158 Away ML +135 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.5% MODEL PROB 60.5% VEGAS TRUE 59.0% VEGAS JUICED 61.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UIC 66 vs Valparaiso 77 Total 142.6 Margin +11.0 Spread FAV COVERS @72% Diff +7.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 144.2 @55%
Sam Houston (8-5) @ Middle Tennessee (8-5)	Middle Tennessee (59.2%)	02:00 PM	61
02:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Sam Houston @ Middle Tennessee 8-5 vs 8-5 Sam Houston 40.8% Middle Tennessee 59.2% Model Pick Middle Tennessee 59.2% Pick Spread Middle Tennessee -5.5 Home ML -240 Away ML +200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -8.7% MODEL PROB 59.2% VEGAS TRUE 67.9% VEGAS JUICED 70.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Sam Houston 72 vs Middle Tennessee 85 Total 156.6 Margin +13.6 Spread FAV COVERS @73% Diff +8.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 155.8 @53%
Robert Morris (11-5) @ Oakland (7-8)	Oakland (58.0%)	03:00 PM	42
03:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Robert Morris @ Oakland 11-5 vs 7-8 Robert Morris 42.0% Oakland 58.0% Model Pick Oakland 58.0% Pick Spread Oakland -4.0 Home ML -207 Away ML +172 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -6.8% MODEL PROB 58.0% VEGAS TRUE 64.8% VEGAS JUICED 67.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Robert Morris 79 vs Oakland 84 Total 162.7 Margin +4.3 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 161.8 @53%
Fairleigh Dickinson (4-10) @ St. Francis (PA) (2-12)	Fairleigh Dickinson (56.8%)	04:00 PM	43
04:00 PM CLOSE Fairleigh Dickinson @ St. Francis (PA) 4-10 vs 2-12 Fairleigh Dickinson 56.8% St. Francis (PA) 43.2% Model Pick Fairleigh Dickinson 56.8% Pick Spread Fairleigh Dickinson -2.0 Home ML +110 Away ML -130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.6% MODEL PROB 56.8% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairleigh Dickinson 72 vs St. Francis (PA) 74 Total 145.7 Margin +2.1 Spread DOG COVERS @63% Diff +4.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.5 @54%
Tulsa (13-1) @ North Texas (9-5)	Tulsa (56.5%)	04:00 PM	64
04:00 PM CLOSE Tulsa @ North Texas 13-1 vs 9-5 Tulsa 56.5% North Texas 43.5% Model Pick Tulsa 56.5% Pick Spread Tulsa -3.5 Home ML +149 Away ML -179 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -5.0% MODEL PROB 56.5% VEGAS TRUE 61.5% VEGAS JUICED 64.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Tulsa 68 vs North Texas 66 Total 133.9 Margin -1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff -2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 139.2 @66%
New Mexico State (8-4) @ Missouri State (8-5)	New Mexico State (54.4%) DOG	03:00 PM	66
03:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOG New Mexico State @ Missouri State 8-4 vs 8-5 New Mexico State 54.4% Missouri State 45.6% Model Pick New Mexico State 54.4% Pick Spread New Mexico State +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -124 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE New Mexico State 69 vs Missouri State 62 Total 131.1 Margin -6.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 133.2 @57%
Richmond (10-4) @ Fordham (9-5)	Fordham (53.9%) DOG	12:00 PM	66
12:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOG Richmond @ Fordham 10-4 vs 9-5 Richmond 46.1% Fordham 53.9% Model Pick Fordham 53.9% Pick Spread Fordham +2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -124 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Richmond 65 vs Fordham 72 Total 137.0 Margin +6.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.5 @61%

RECOMMENDED PICKS CRITERIA

Edge ≥ 4.0 pts • Spread ≤ 12 pts • Confidence ≥ 65%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Siena (9-5) @ Rider (1-11)	Siena (83.2%)	02:00 PM	17
02:00 PM+10.4 PTS EDGE Siena @ Rider 9-5 vs 1-11 Siena 83.2% Rider 16.8% Model Pick Siena (83.2%) Pick Spread Siena -9.0 Home ML +400 Away ML -575 SPREAD EDGE +10.4 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +1.7 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Siena 65 vs Rider 66 Total 131.1 Margin +1.7 Spread DOG COVERS @79% Diff +10.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.8 @61%
Denver (8-8) @ St. Thomas-Minnesota (11-4)	St. Thomas-Minnesota (84.0%)	01:00 PM	26
01:00 PM+8.8 PTS EDGE Denver @ St. Thomas-Minnesota 8-8 vs 11-4 Denver 16.0% St. Thomas-Minnesota 84.0% Model Pick St. Thomas-Minnesota (84.0%) Pick Spread St. Thomas-Minnesota -10.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A SPREAD EDGE +8.8 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +19.3 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Denver 71 vs St. Thomas-Minnesota 90 Total 160.7 Margin +19.3 Spread FAV COVERS @75% Diff +8.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.5 @56%
Long Island University (7-7) @ Chicago State (1-12)	Long Island University (81.1%)	02:00 PM	19
02:00 PM+8.6 PTS EDGE Long Island University @ Chicago State 7-7 vs 1-12 Long Island University 81.1% Chicago State 18.9% Model Pick Long Island University (81.1%) Pick Spread Long Island University -7.5 Home ML +280 Away ML -360 SPREAD EDGE +8.6 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +1.1 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Long Island University 75 vs Chicago State 76 Total 151.3 Margin +1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @51%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Seattle U (12-4) @ Saint Mary's (14-2)	Saint Mary's (86.8%) DOG	08:00 PM	33
08:00 PM+8.7% EDGE Seattle U @ Saint Mary's 12-4 vs 14-2 Seattle U 13.2% Saint Mary's 86.8% Model Pick Saint Mary's 86.8% Pick Spread -12.5 Home ML -440 Away ML +340 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.7% MODEL PROB 86.8% VEGAS TRUE 78.2% VEGAS JUICED 81.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seattle U 53 vs Saint Mary's 70 Total 122.4 Margin +16.8 Spread FAV COVERS @63% Diff +4.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.5 @92%
Northern Iowa (11-3) @ Evansville (4-11)	Northern Iowa (75.1%)	04:00 PM	35
04:00 PM+8.2% EDGE Northern Iowa @ Evansville 11-3 vs 4-11 Northern Iowa 75.1% Evansville 24.9% Model Pick Northern Iowa 75.1% Pick Spread +5.0 Home ML +190 Away ML -231 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.2% MODEL PROB 75.1% VEGAS TRUE 66.9% VEGAS JUICED 69.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Iowa 63 vs Evansville 64 Total 126.5 Margin +0.5 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 129.5 @59%
Southern Illinois (7-8) @ Belmont (13-2)	Belmont (81.0%) DOG	05:00 PM	29
05:00 PM+8.1% EDGE Southern Illinois @ Belmont 7-8 vs 13-2 Southern Illinois 19.0% Belmont 81.0% Model Pick Belmont 81.0% Pick Spread -7.0 Home ML -310 Away ML +255 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.1% MODEL PROB 81.0% VEGAS TRUE 72.9% VEGAS JUICED 75.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Illinois 76 vs Belmont 83 Total 158.6 Margin +7.0 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.8 @57%
UTEP (4-9) @ Florida International (8-5)	Florida International (82.8%) DOG	04:00 PM	17
04:00 PM+7.0% EDGE UTEP @ Florida International 4-9 vs 8-5 UTEP 17.2% Florida International 82.8% Model Pick Florida International 82.8% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -382 Away ML +295 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.0% MODEL PROB 82.8% VEGAS TRUE 75.8% VEGAS JUICED 79.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UTEP 70 vs Florida International 80 Total 149.9 Margin +10.3 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.0 @50%
Long Island University (7-7) @ Chicago State (1-12)	Long Island University (81.1%)	02:00 PM	19
02:00 PM+6.3% EDGE Long Island University @ Chicago State 7-7 vs 1-12 Long Island University 81.1% Chicago State 18.9% Model Pick Long Island University 81.1% Pick Spread +7.5 Home ML +280 Away ML -360 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +6.3% MODEL PROB 81.1% VEGAS TRUE 74.8% VEGAS JUICED 78.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Long Island University 75 vs Chicago State 76 Total 151.3 Margin +1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @51%
Kennesaw State (8-5) @ Delaware (4-9)	Kennesaw State (76.6%)	02:00 PM	23
02:00 PM+5.7% EDGE Kennesaw State @ Delaware 8-5 vs 4-9 Kennesaw State 76.6% Delaware 23.4% Model Pick Kennesaw State 76.6% Pick Spread +7.0 Home ML +230 Away ML -280 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.7% MODEL PROB 76.6% VEGAS TRUE 70.9% VEGAS JUICED 73.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kennesaw State 78 vs Delaware 71 Total 149.6 Margin -7.2 Spread DOG COVERS @50% Diff -0.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.8 @50%
Florida Atlantic (9-5) @ Tulane (10-4)	Florida Atlantic (67.2%)	01:00 PM	53
01:00 PM+5.5% EDGE Florida Atlantic @ Tulane 9-5 vs 10-4 Florida Atlantic 67.2% Tulane 32.8% Model Pick Florida Atlantic 67.2% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +150 Away ML -181 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.5% MODEL PROB 67.2% VEGAS TRUE 61.7% VEGAS JUICED 64.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida Atlantic 82 vs Tulane 76 Total 158.7 Margin -6.3 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 158.2 @51%
Pepperdine (5-11) @ Pacific (10-6)	Pacific (88.6%) DOG	07:00 PM	11
07:00 PM+5.2% EDGE Pepperdine @ Pacific 5-11 vs 10-6 Pepperdine 11.4% Pacific 88.6% Model Pick Pacific 88.6% Pick Spread -12.0 Home ML -700 Away ML +475 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.2% MODEL PROB 88.6% VEGAS TRUE 83.4% VEGAS JUICED 87.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Pepperdine 60 vs Pacific 76 Total 136.1 Margin +15.7 Spread FAV COVERS @62% Diff +4.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 137.5 @54%
Indiana State (8-7) @ Drake (7-7)	Drake (74.7%) DOG	03:00 PM	25
03:00 PM+4.2% EDGE Indiana State @ Drake 8-7 vs 7-7 Indiana State 25.3% Drake 74.7% Model Pick Drake 74.7% Pick Spread -6.5 Home ML -275 Away ML +225 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.2% MODEL PROB 74.7% VEGAS TRUE 70.4% VEGAS JUICED 73.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Indiana State 71 vs Drake 80 Total 151.1 Margin +9.3 Spread FAV COVERS @59% Diff +2.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.8 @57%
Creighton (9-5) @ Seton Hall (12-2)	Seton Hall (61.7%) DOG	12:00 PM	58
12:00 PM+3.5% EDGE Creighton @ Seton Hall 9-5 vs 12-2 Creighton 38.3% Seton Hall 61.7% Model Pick Seton Hall 61.7% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -152 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.5% MODEL PROB 61.7% VEGAS TRUE 58.1% VEGAS JUICED 60.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Creighton 68 vs Seton Hall 77 Total 145.0 Margin +8.8 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.0 @59%
San Diego (6-9) @ Santa Clara (12-4)	Santa Clara (93.3%) DOG	07:00 PM	17
07:00 PM+3.3% EDGE San Diego @ Santa Clara 6-9 vs 12-4 San Diego 6.7% Santa Clara 93.3% Model Pick Santa Clara 93.3% Pick Spread -16.5 Home ML -1800 Away ML +850 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.3% MODEL PROB 93.3% VEGAS TRUE 90.0% VEGAS JUICED 94.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE San Diego 70 vs Santa Clara 85 Total 154.5 Margin +14.9 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 161.5 @70%
Washington (9-4) @ Indiana (10-3)	Indiana (77.2%) DOG	08:00 PM	43
08:00 PM+3.1% EDGE Washington @ Indiana 9-4 vs 10-3 Washington 22.8% Indiana 77.2% Model Pick Indiana 77.2% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -340 Away ML +270 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.1% MODEL PROB 77.2% VEGAS TRUE 74.1% VEGAS JUICED 77.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Washington 67 vs Indiana 76 Total 142.3 Margin +8.9 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.2 @80%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Fairfield (8-7) @ Niagara (4-9)	Fairfield (65.0%)	02:00 PM	35
02:00 PMCLOSE Fairfield @ Niagara 8-7 vs 4-9 Fairfield 65.0% Niagara 35.0% Model Pick Fairfield 65.0% Pick Spread Fairfield -3.5 Home ML +155 Away ML -182 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.8% MODEL PROB 65.0% VEGAS TRUE 62.2% VEGAS JUICED 64.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairfield 73 vs Niagara 67 Total 140.7 Margin -5.9 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 136.5 @63%
Youngstown State (8-7) @ Northern Kentucky (11-5)	Northern Kentucky (64.1%)	04:00 PM	36
04:00 PMCLOSE Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky 8-7 vs 11-5 Youngstown State 35.9% Northern Kentucky 64.1% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 64.1% Pick Spread Northern Kentucky -3.5 Home ML -177 Away ML +149 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.6% MODEL PROB 64.1% VEGAS TRUE 61.5% VEGAS JUICED 64.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Youngstown State 77 vs Northern Kentucky 80 Total 157.1 Margin +2.3 Spread DOG COVERS @54% Diff -1.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.2 @80%
Le Moyne (6-8) @ Mercyhurst (5-9)	Mercyhurst (61.7%)	02:00 PM	38
02:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Le Moyne @ Mercyhurst 6-8 vs 5-9 Le Moyne 38.3% Mercyhurst 61.7% Model Pick Mercyhurst 61.7% Pick Spread Mercyhurst -2.0 Home ML -122 Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Le Moyne 66 vs Mercyhurst 75 Total 141.0 Margin +9.2 Spread FAV COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.2 @54%
Creighton (9-5) @ Seton Hall (12-2)	Seton Hall (61.7%)	12:00 PM	58
12:00 PMCLOSE Creighton @ Seton Hall 9-5 vs 12-2 Creighton 38.3% Seton Hall 61.7% Model Pick Seton Hall 61.7% Pick Spread Seton Hall -2.5 Home ML -152 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.5% MODEL PROB 61.7% VEGAS TRUE 58.1% VEGAS JUICED 60.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Creighton 68 vs Seton Hall 77 Total 145.0 Margin +8.8 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.0 @59%
UIC (5-9) @ Valparaiso (6-8)	Valparaiso (60.5%)	03:00 PM	40
03:00 PMCLOSE UIC @ Valparaiso 5-9 vs 6-8 UIC 39.5% Valparaiso 60.5% Model Pick Valparaiso 60.5% Pick Spread Valparaiso -3.5 Home ML -158 Away ML +135 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.5% MODEL PROB 60.5% VEGAS TRUE 59.0% VEGAS JUICED 61.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UIC 66 vs Valparaiso 77 Total 142.6 Margin +11.0 Spread FAV COVERS @72% Diff +7.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 144.2 @55%
Fairleigh Dickinson (4-10) @ St. Francis (PA) (2-12)	Fairleigh Dickinson (56.8%)	04:00 PM	43
04:00 PMCLOSE Fairleigh Dickinson @ St. Francis (PA) 4-10 vs 2-12 Fairleigh Dickinson 56.8% St. Francis (PA) 43.2% Model Pick Fairleigh Dickinson 56.8% Pick Spread Fairleigh Dickinson -2.0 Home ML +110 Away ML -130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.6% MODEL PROB 56.8% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairleigh Dickinson 72 vs St. Francis (PA) 74 Total 145.7 Margin +2.1 Spread DOG COVERS @63% Diff +4.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.5 @54%
Tulsa (13-1) @ North Texas (9-5)	Tulsa (56.5%)	04:00 PM	64
04:00 PMCLOSE Tulsa @ North Texas 13-1 vs 9-5 Tulsa 56.5% North Texas 43.5% Model Pick Tulsa 56.5% Pick Spread Tulsa -3.5 Home ML +149 Away ML -179 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -5.0% MODEL PROB 56.5% VEGAS TRUE 61.5% VEGAS JUICED 64.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Tulsa 68 vs North Texas 66 Total 133.9 Margin -1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff -2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 139.2 @66%
New Mexico State (8-4) @ Missouri State (8-5)	New Mexico State (54.4%) DOG	03:00 PM	66
03:00 PMCLOSE New Mexico State @ Missouri State 8-4 vs 8-5 New Mexico State 54.4% Missouri State 45.6% Model Pick New Mexico State 54.4% Pick Spread New Mexico State +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -124 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE New Mexico State 69 vs Missouri State 62 Total 131.1 Margin -6.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 133.2 @57%
Richmond (10-4) @ Fordham (9-5)	Fordham (53.9%) DOG	12:00 PM	66
12:00 PMCLOSE Richmond @ Fordham 10-4 vs 9-5 Richmond 46.1% Fordham 53.9% Model Pick Fordham 53.9% Pick Spread Fordham +2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -124 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Richmond 65 vs Fordham 72 Total 137.0 Margin +6.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.5 @61%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Richmond (10-4) @ Fordham (9-5)	Fordham (53.9%) DOG	+0.0%	12:00 PM	66
12:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Richmond @ Fordham 10-4 vs 9-5 Richmond 46.1% Fordham 53.9% Model Pick Fordham 53.9% Pick Spread Fordham +2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -124 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Richmond 65 vs Fordham 72 Total 137.0 Margin +6.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.5 @61%

Game	Pick	Confidence	Moneyline	Expected Value	Time (ET)
Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky	Louisiana Tech DOG	30.2%	+355	⭐⭐⭐ +37.3%	03:00 PM
Sam Houston @ Middle Tennessee	Sam Houston DOG	40.8%	+200	⭐⭐⭐ +22.3%	02:00 PM
UAB @ South Florida	UAB DOG	37.8%	+210	⭐⭐ +17.1%	01:00 PM

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Seattle U (12-4) @ Saint Mary's (14-2)	Saint Mary's (86.8%)	+8.7%	08:00 PM	33
08:00 PM+8.7% EDGE Seattle U @ Saint Mary's 12-4 vs 14-2 Seattle U 13.2% Saint Mary's 86.8% Model Pick Saint Mary's 86.8% Pick Spread -12.5 Home ML -440 Away ML +340 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.7% MODEL PROB 86.8% VEGAS TRUE 78.2% VEGAS JUICED 81.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seattle U 53 vs Saint Mary's 70 Total 122.4 Margin +16.8 Spread FAV COVERS @63% Diff +4.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.5 @92%
Northern Iowa (11-3) @ Evansville (4-11)	Northern Iowa (75.1%)	+8.2%	04:00 PM	35
04:00 PM+8.2% EDGE Northern Iowa @ Evansville 11-3 vs 4-11 Northern Iowa 75.1% Evansville 24.9% Model Pick Northern Iowa 75.1% Pick Spread +5.0 Home ML +190 Away ML -231 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.2% MODEL PROB 75.1% VEGAS TRUE 66.9% VEGAS JUICED 69.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Iowa 63 vs Evansville 64 Total 126.5 Margin +0.5 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 129.5 @59%
Southern Illinois (7-8) @ Belmont (13-2)	Belmont (81.0%)	+8.1%	05:00 PM	29
05:00 PM+8.1% EDGE Southern Illinois @ Belmont 7-8 vs 13-2 Southern Illinois 19.0% Belmont 81.0% Model Pick Belmont 81.0% Pick Spread -7.0 Home ML -310 Away ML +255 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.1% MODEL PROB 81.0% VEGAS TRUE 72.9% VEGAS JUICED 75.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Illinois 76 vs Belmont 83 Total 158.6 Margin +7.0 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.8 @57%
UTEP (4-9) @ Florida International (8-5)	Florida International (82.8%)	+7.0%	04:00 PM	17
04:00 PM+7.0% EDGE UTEP @ Florida International 4-9 vs 8-5 UTEP 17.2% Florida International 82.8% Model Pick Florida International 82.8% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -382 Away ML +295 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.0% MODEL PROB 82.8% VEGAS TRUE 75.8% VEGAS JUICED 79.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UTEP 70 vs Florida International 80 Total 149.9 Margin +10.3 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.0 @50%
Long Island University (7-7) @ Chicago State (1-12)	Long Island University (81.1%)	+6.3%	02:00 PM	19
02:00 PM+6.3% EDGE Long Island University @ Chicago State 7-7 vs 1-12 Long Island University 81.1% Chicago State 18.9% Model Pick Long Island University 81.1% Pick Spread +7.5 Home ML +280 Away ML -360 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +6.3% MODEL PROB 81.1% VEGAS TRUE 74.8% VEGAS JUICED 78.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Long Island University 75 vs Chicago State 76 Total 151.3 Margin +1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @51%
Kennesaw State (8-5) @ Delaware (4-9)	Kennesaw State (76.6%)	+5.7%	02:00 PM	23
02:00 PM+5.7% EDGE Kennesaw State @ Delaware 8-5 vs 4-9 Kennesaw State 76.6% Delaware 23.4% Model Pick Kennesaw State 76.6% Pick Spread +7.0 Home ML +230 Away ML -280 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.7% MODEL PROB 76.6% VEGAS TRUE 70.9% VEGAS JUICED 73.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kennesaw State 78 vs Delaware 71 Total 149.6 Margin -7.2 Spread DOG COVERS @50% Diff -0.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.8 @50%
Florida Atlantic (9-5) @ Tulane (10-4)	Florida Atlantic (67.2%)	+5.5%	01:00 PM	53
01:00 PM+5.5% EDGE Florida Atlantic @ Tulane 9-5 vs 10-4 Florida Atlantic 67.2% Tulane 32.8% Model Pick Florida Atlantic 67.2% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +150 Away ML -181 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.5% MODEL PROB 67.2% VEGAS TRUE 61.7% VEGAS JUICED 64.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida Atlantic 82 vs Tulane 76 Total 158.7 Margin -6.3 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +2.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 158.2 @51%
Pepperdine (5-11) @ Pacific (10-6)	Pacific (88.6%)	+5.2%	07:00 PM	11
07:00 PM+5.2% EDGE Pepperdine @ Pacific 5-11 vs 10-6 Pepperdine 11.4% Pacific 88.6% Model Pick Pacific 88.6% Pick Spread -12.0 Home ML -700 Away ML +475 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.2% MODEL PROB 88.6% VEGAS TRUE 83.4% VEGAS JUICED 87.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Pepperdine 60 vs Pacific 76 Total 136.1 Margin +15.7 Spread FAV COVERS @62% Diff +4.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 137.5 @54%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level

Model Information

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Model Explainability (SHAP Analysis)

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