Breaking Vegas - Daily Predictions | Wednesday, January 07, 2026

Model Information

XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game	Prediction ⇅	Time (ET) ⇅	Hype Level ⇅
Gardner-Webb (2-15) @ High Point (14-3)	High Point (97.2%)	07:00 PM	13
07:00 PM Gardner-Webb @ High Point 2-15 vs 14-3 Gardner-Webb 2.8% High Point 97.2% Model Pick High Point 97.2% Pick Spread High Point -27.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Gardner-Webb 68 vs High Point 88 Total 156.3 Margin +19.7 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 163.5 @71%
Kansas State (9-5) @ Arizona #1 (14-0)	Arizona (95.3%)	09:00 PM	45
09:00 PM Kansas State @ Arizona #1 9-5 vs 14-0 Kansas State 4.7% Arizona 95.3% Model Pick Arizona 95.3% Pick Spread Arizona -18.0 Home ML -5000 Away ML +1300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.1% MODEL PROB 95.3% VEGAS TRUE 93.2% VEGAS JUICED 98.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kansas State 76 vs Arizona 94 Total 169.3 Margin +17.9 Spread FAV COVERS @50% Diff +0.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 171.8 @57%
Washington (9-5) @ Purdue #5 (13-1)	Purdue (94.3%)	08:30 PM	46
08:30 PM Washington @ Purdue #5 9-5 vs 13-1 Washington 5.7% Purdue 94.3% Model Pick Purdue 94.3% Pick Spread Purdue -17.5 Home ML -2500 Away ML +1050 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.6% MODEL PROB 94.3% VEGAS TRUE 91.7% VEGAS JUICED 96.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Washington 67 vs Purdue 88 Total 154.9 Margin +21.3 Spread FAV COVERS @61% Diff +3.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 151.8 @60%
Arizona State (9-5) @ BYU #9 (13-1)	BYU (93.5%)	09:00 PM	42
09:00 PM Arizona State @ BYU #9 9-5 vs 13-1 Arizona State 6.5% BYU 93.5% Model Pick BYU 93.5% Pick Spread BYU -16.5 Home ML -2800 Away ML +1100 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.5% MODEL PROB 93.5% VEGAS TRUE 92.1% VEGAS JUICED 96.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arizona State 66 vs BYU 92 Total 157.6 Margin +25.8 Spread FAV COVERS @76% Diff +9.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 166.2 @75%
VMI (6-9) @ East Tennessee State (10-5)	East Tennessee State (92.9%)	07:00 PM	7
07:00 PM VMI @ East Tennessee State 6-9 vs 10-5 VMI 7.1% East Tennessee State 92.9% Model Pick East Tennessee State 92.9% Pick Spread East Tennessee State -16.5 Home ML -7000 Away ML +1300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -0.3% MODEL PROB 92.9% VEGAS TRUE 93.2% VEGAS JUICED 98.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE VMI 62 vs East Tennessee State 80 Total 142.0 Margin +17.0 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.2 @63%
The Citadel (3-12) @ Mercer (8-7)	Mercer (92.4%)	07:00 PM	8
07:00 PM The Citadel @ Mercer 3-12 vs 8-7 The Citadel 7.6% Mercer 92.4% Model Pick Mercer 92.4% Pick Spread Mercer -15.5 Home ML -4000 Away ML +1200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -0.3% MODEL PROB 92.4% VEGAS TRUE 92.7% VEGAS JUICED 97.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE The Citadel 72 vs Mercer 85 Total 156.3 Margin +12.9 Spread DOG COVERS @58% Diff -2.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.5 @75%
South Dakota (8-8) @ St. Thomas-Minnesota (12-4)	St. Thomas-Minnesota (89.6%)	09:00 PM	20
09:00 PM South Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota 8-8 vs 12-4 South Dakota 10.4% St. Thomas-Minnesota 89.6% Model Pick St. Thomas-Minnesota 89.6% Pick Spread St. Thomas-Minnesota -14.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Dakota 73 vs St. Thomas-Minnesota 89 Total 162.0 Margin +16.4 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +1.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.5 @52%
Rice (6-9) @ Wichita State (9-6)	Wichita State (89.0%)	07:30 PM	11
07:30 PM Rice @ Wichita State 6-9 vs 9-6 Rice 11.0% Wichita State 89.0% Model Pick Wichita State 89.0% Pick Spread Wichita State -12.0 Home ML -1200 Away ML +700 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.9% MODEL PROB 89.0% VEGAS TRUE 88.1% VEGAS JUICED 92.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rice 71 vs Wichita State 82 Total 152.6 Margin +10.4 Spread DOG COVERS @56% Diff -1.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.8 @82%
Missouri (11-3) @ Kentucky (9-5)	Kentucky (88.6%)	07:00 PM	31
07:00 PM Missouri @ Kentucky 11-3 vs 9-5 Missouri 11.4% Kentucky 88.6% Model Pick Kentucky 88.6% Pick Spread Kentucky -12.5 Home ML -1000 Away ML +625 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.7% MODEL PROB 88.6% VEGAS TRUE 86.8% VEGAS JUICED 90.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Missouri 71 vs Kentucky 83 Total 154.3 Margin +12.3 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 151.8 @58%
La Salle (4-11) @ Rhode Island (9-6)	Rhode Island (87.4%)	07:00 PM	13
07:00 PM +4.0% EDGE La Salle @ Rhode Island 4-11 vs 9-6 La Salle 12.6% Rhode Island 87.4% Model Pick Rhode Island 87.4% Pick Spread Rhode Island -10.5 Home ML -700 Away ML +475 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.0% MODEL PROB 87.4% VEGAS TRUE 83.4% VEGAS JUICED 87.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE La Salle 57 vs Rhode Island 74 Total 131.0 Margin +17.0 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 132.2 @54%
California (13-2) @ Virginia #23 (12-2)	Virginia (87.1%)	09:00 PM	48
09:00 PM California @ Virginia #23 13-2 vs 12-2 California 12.9% Virginia 87.1% Model Pick Virginia 87.1% Pick Spread Virginia -12.5 Home ML -950 Away ML +600 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.8% MODEL PROB 87.1% VEGAS TRUE 86.4% VEGAS JUICED 90.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE California 64 vs Virginia 78 Total 141.9 Margin +14.7 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.0 @68%
East Carolina (5-9) @ Temple (10-5)	Temple (84.4%)	07:00 PM	16
07:00 PM +6.1% EDGE East Carolina @ Temple 5-9 vs 10-5 East Carolina 15.6% Temple 84.4% Model Pick Temple 84.4% Pick Spread Temple -8.0 Home ML -460 Away ML +340 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +6.1% MODEL PROB 84.4% VEGAS TRUE 78.3% VEGAS JUICED 82.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE East Carolina 64 vs Temple 77 Total 140.3 Margin +13.3 Spread FAV COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.5 @66%
UConn #4 (14-1) @ Providence (8-6)	UConn (84.3%)	07:00 PM	46
07:00 PM UConn #4 @ Providence 14-1 vs 8-6 UConn 84.3% Providence 15.7% Model Pick UConn 84.3% Pick Spread UConn -10.5 Home ML +450 Away ML -650 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.7% MODEL PROB 84.3% VEGAS TRUE 82.7% VEGAS JUICED 86.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UConn 82 vs Providence 72 Total 153.9 Margin -10.9 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.2 @55%
Murray State (13-3) @ Evansville (4-12)	Murray State (83.8%)	08:00 PM	26
08:00 PM +5.8% EDGE Murray State @ Evansville 13-3 vs 4-12 Murray State 83.8% Evansville 16.2% Model Pick Murray State 83.8% Pick Spread Murray State -8.5 Home ML +335 Away ML -450 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.8% MODEL PROB 83.8% VEGAS TRUE 78.1% VEGAS JUICED 81.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Murray State 74 vs Evansville 75 Total 149.7 Margin +0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.5 @61%
Bucknell (4-11) @ Navy (10-5)	Navy (83.6%)	07:00 PM	16
07:00 PM +10.3% EDGE Bucknell @ Navy 4-11 vs 10-5 Bucknell 16.4% Navy 83.6% Model Pick Navy 83.6% Pick Spread Navy -7.0 Home ML -322 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 83.6% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bucknell 55 vs Navy 68 Total 123.1 Margin +13.7 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.8 @85%
Western Carolina (5-8) @ Samford (8-7)	Samford (82.2%)	07:00 PM	18
07:00 PM +10.6% EDGE Western Carolina @ Samford 5-8 vs 8-7 Western Carolina 17.8% Samford 82.2% Model Pick Samford 82.2% Pick Spread Samford -7.5 Home ML -290 Away ML +240 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 82.2% VEGAS TRUE 71.7% VEGAS JUICED 74.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Western Carolina 75 vs Samford 85 Total 160.0 Margin +9.2 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @71%
Utah (8-6) @ Colorado (11-3)	Colorado (80.7%)	09:00 PM	29
09:00 PM Utah @ Colorado 8-6 vs 11-3 Utah 19.3% Colorado 80.7% Model Pick Colorado 80.7% Pick Spread Colorado -9.0 Home ML -600 Away ML +425 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -1.1% MODEL PROB 80.7% VEGAS TRUE 81.8% VEGAS JUICED 85.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Utah 76 vs Colorado 83 Total 159.3 Margin +7.5 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 163.2 @62%
Indiana (11-3) @ Maryland (7-7)	Indiana (79.6%)	06:30 PM	30
06:30 PM +4.4% EDGE Indiana @ Maryland 11-3 vs 7-7 Indiana 79.6% Maryland 20.4% Model Pick Indiana 79.6% Pick Spread Indiana -8.0 Home ML +285 Away ML -370 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.4% MODEL PROB 79.6% VEGAS TRUE 75.2% VEGAS JUICED 78.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Indiana 75 vs Maryland 70 Total 144.2 Margin -5.2 Spread DOG COVERS @58% Diff -2.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.2 @59%
Illinois State (12-3) @ Valparaiso (7-8)	Illinois State (79.3%)	08:00 PM	31
08:00 PM +8.1% EDGE Illinois State @ Valparaiso 12-3 vs 7-8 Illinois State 79.3% Valparaiso 20.7% Model Pick Illinois State 79.3% Pick Spread Illinois State -7.0 Home ML +235 Away ML -285 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.1% MODEL PROB 79.3% VEGAS TRUE 71.3% VEGAS JUICED 74.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Illinois State 69 vs Valparaiso 69 Total 137.5 Margin -0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 139.2 @55%
Grand Canyon (8-5) @ Boise State (9-5)	Boise State (79.2%)	11:00 PM	41
11:00 PM Grand Canyon @ Boise State 8-5 vs 9-5 Grand Canyon 20.8% Boise State 79.2% Model Pick Boise State 79.2% Pick Spread Boise State -8.5 Home ML -470 Away ML +345 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.6% MODEL PROB 79.2% VEGAS TRUE 78.6% VEGAS JUICED 82.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Grand Canyon 73 vs Boise State 77 Total 149.9 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff -5.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 138.8 @80%
Presbyterian (8-8) @ Radford (8-8)	Radford (74.8%)	07:00 PM	25
07:00 PM +3.5% EDGE Presbyterian @ Radford 8-8 vs 8-8 Presbyterian 25.2% Radford 74.8% Model Pick Radford 74.8% Pick Spread Radford -7.0 Home ML -287 Away ML +235 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.5% MODEL PROB 74.8% VEGAS TRUE 71.3% VEGAS JUICED 74.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Presbyterian 70 vs Radford 79 Total 148.7 Margin +9.1 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +1.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.8 @53%
Charleston Southern (11-6) @ Winthrop (9-8)	Winthrop (74.1%)	06:30 PM	26
06:30 PM Charleston Southern @ Winthrop 11-6 vs 9-8 Charleston Southern 25.9% Winthrop 74.1% Model Pick Winthrop 74.1% Pick Spread Winthrop -7.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.8% MODEL PROB 74.1% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Charleston Southern 79 vs Winthrop 86 Total 165.4 Margin +7.4 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 165.8 @51%
Purdue Fort Wayne (9-8) @ Youngstown State (8-8)	Youngstown State (73.4%)	07:15 PM	27
07:15 PM Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State 9-8 vs 8-8 Purdue Fort Wayne 26.6% Youngstown State 73.4% Model Pick Youngstown State 73.4% Pick Spread Youngstown State -5.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Purdue Fort Wayne 66 vs Youngstown State 78 Total 144.8 Margin +12.2 Spread FAV COVERS @70% Diff +6.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.5 @51%
Missouri State (9-5) @ Kennesaw State (8-6)	Kennesaw State (71.3%)	07:00 PM	29
07:00 PM +5.0% EDGE Missouri State @ Kennesaw State 9-5 vs 8-6 Missouri State 28.7% Kennesaw State 71.3% Model Pick Kennesaw State 71.3% Pick Spread Kennesaw State -5.5 Home ML -225 Away ML +185 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.0% MODEL PROB 71.3% VEGAS TRUE 66.4% VEGAS JUICED 69.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Missouri State 71 vs Kennesaw State 68 Total 139.2 Margin -3.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.2 @80%
UNC Greensboro (6-9) @ Wofford (10-5)	Wofford (71.0%)	06:00 PM	29
06:00 PM UNC Greensboro @ Wofford 6-9 vs 10-5 UNC Greensboro 29.0% Wofford 71.0% Model Pick Wofford 71.0% Pick Spread Wofford -6.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UNC Greensboro 73 vs Wofford 78 Total 151.3 Margin +4.7 Spread DOG COVERS @56% Diff -1.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @51%
Creighton (9-6) @ Villanova (12-2)	Villanova (69.9%)	07:30 PM	40
07:30 PM Creighton @ Villanova 9-6 vs 12-2 Creighton 30.1% Villanova 69.9% Model Pick Villanova 69.9% Pick Spread Villanova -6.5 Home ML -285 Away ML +235 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -1.4% MODEL PROB 69.9% VEGAS TRUE 71.3% VEGAS JUICED 74.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Creighton 66 vs Villanova 70 Total 135.6 Margin +4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @56% Diff -2.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.5 @73%
Alabama #13 (11-3) @ Vanderbilt #11 (14-0)	Vanderbilt (69.8%)	09:00 PM	80
09:00 PM +5.5% EDGE Alabama #13 @ Vanderbilt #11 11-3 vs 14-0 Alabama 30.2% Vanderbilt 69.8% Model Pick Vanderbilt 69.8% Pick Spread Vanderbilt -4.0 Home ML -200 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.5% MODEL PROB 69.8% VEGAS TRUE 64.3% VEGAS JUICED 66.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Alabama 79 vs Vanderbilt 88 Total 167.7 Margin +8.9 Spread FAV COVERS @64% Diff +4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 180.5 @84%
Richmond (11-4) @ St. Bonaventure (11-3)	St. Bonaventure (68.6%)	07:00 PM	51
07:00 PM Richmond @ St. Bonaventure 11-4 vs 11-3 Richmond 31.4% St. Bonaventure 68.6% Model Pick St. Bonaventure 68.6% Pick Spread St. Bonaventure -6.0 Home ML -260 Away ML +215 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -0.9% MODEL PROB 68.6% VEGAS TRUE 69.5% VEGAS JUICED 72.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Richmond 73 vs St. Bonaventure 80 Total 153.1 Margin +7.1 Spread FAV COVERS @53% Diff +0.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 150.8 @57%
Stanford (12-3) @ Virginia Tech (12-3)	Virginia Tech (66.6%)	07:00 PM	53
07:00 PM Stanford @ Virginia Tech 12-3 vs 12-3 Stanford 33.4% Virginia Tech 66.6% Model Pick Virginia Tech 66.6% Pick Spread Virginia Tech -4.0 Home ML -245 Away ML +205 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -1.8% MODEL PROB 66.6% VEGAS TRUE 68.4% VEGAS JUICED 71.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stanford 73 vs Virginia Tech 83 Total 155.7 Margin +9.5 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.8 @70%
Drake (8-7) @ Bradley (10-6)	Bradley (65.5%)	09:00 PM	34
09:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Drake @ Bradley 8-7 vs 10-6 Drake 34.5% Bradley 65.5% Model Pick Bradley 65.5% Pick Spread Bradley -7.0 Home ML -290 Away ML +240 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -6.2% MODEL PROB 65.5% VEGAS TRUE 71.7% VEGAS JUICED 74.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Drake 70 vs Bradley 78 Total 148.0 Margin +8.6 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +1.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.5 @61%
Loyola Maryland (4-11) @ Army (7-8)	Army (63.8%)	06:00 PM	36
06:00 PM +3.4% EDGECLOSE Loyola Maryland @ Army 4-11 vs 7-8 Loyola Maryland 36.2% Army 63.8% Model Pick Army 63.8% Pick Spread Army -3.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +142 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.4% MODEL PROB 63.8% VEGAS TRUE 60.4% VEGAS JUICED 63.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Loyola Maryland 74 vs Army 82 Total 155.3 Margin +7.7 Spread FAV COVERS @63% Diff +4.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.0 @71%
Iowa State #3 (14-0) @ Baylor (10-3)	Iowa State (62.8%)	08:00 PM	77
08:00 PM Iowa State #3 @ Baylor 14-0 vs 10-3 Iowa State 62.8% Baylor 37.2% Model Pick Iowa State 62.8% Pick Spread Iowa State -4.5 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -3.0% MODEL PROB 62.8% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Iowa State 84 vs Baylor 70 Total 154.3 Margin -14.3 Spread FAV COVERS @77% Diff +9.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.5 @54%
Charlotte (7-8) @ UTSA (4-10)	Charlotte (61.8%)	08:00 PM	38
08:00 PM Charlotte @ UTSA 7-8 vs 4-10 Charlotte 61.8% UTSA 38.2% Model Pick Charlotte 61.8% Pick Spread Charlotte -5.0 Home ML +140 Away ML -165 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.9% MODEL PROB 61.8% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Charlotte 80 vs UTSA 78 Total 158.1 Margin -2.5 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff -2.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.2 @90%
Belmont (13-3) @ Northern Iowa (12-3)	Northern Iowa (61.6%)	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PM +7.3% EDGECLOSE Belmont @ Northern Iowa 13-3 vs 12-3 Belmont 38.4% Northern Iowa 61.6% Model Pick Northern Iowa 61.6% Pick Spread Northern Iowa -2.5 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.3% MODEL PROB 61.6% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Belmont 63 vs Northern Iowa 74 Total 136.6 Margin +11.0 Spread FAV COVERS @74% Diff +8.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 136.0 @52%
Troy (10-5) @ Arkansas State (10-5)	Arkansas State (60.6%)	08:00 PM	59
08:00 PM CLOSE Troy @ Arkansas State 10-5 vs 10-5 Troy 39.4% Arkansas State 60.6% Model Pick Arkansas State 60.6% Pick Spread Arkansas State -3.5 Home ML -160 Away ML +135 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.5% MODEL PROB 60.6% VEGAS TRUE 59.1% VEGAS JUICED 61.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Troy 76 vs Arkansas State 82 Total 157.9 Margin +5.1 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 159.2 @54%
Utah State (13-1) @ Grand Canyon (8-5)	Utah State (60.3%)	12:00 AM	60
12:00 AM UNDERDOG Utah State @ Grand Canyon 13-1 vs 8-5 Utah State 60.3% Grand Canyon 39.7% Model Pick Utah State 60.3% Pick Spread N/A Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Utah State 71 vs Grand Canyon 63 Total 134.4 Margin -7.8
SMU #24 (12-2) @ Clemson (12-3)	Clemson (60.1%)	09:00 PM	75
09:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT SMU #24 @ Clemson 12-2 vs 12-3 SMU 39.9% Clemson 60.1% Model Pick Clemson 60.1% Pick Spread Clemson -4.5 Home ML -200 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -4.2% MODEL PROB 60.1% VEGAS TRUE 64.3% VEGAS JUICED 66.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE SMU 70 vs Clemson 80 Total 150.7 Margin +9.9 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.8 @56%
American University (9-6) @ Colgate (8-7)	Colgate (59.5%)	07:00 PM	40
07:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT American University @ Colgate 9-6 vs 8-7 American University 40.5% Colgate 59.5% Model Pick Colgate 59.5% Pick Spread Colgate -4.0 Home ML -235 Away ML +195 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -7.9% MODEL PROB 59.5% VEGAS TRUE 67.4% VEGAS JUICED 70.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE American University 64 vs Colgate 76 Total 140.2 Margin +11.8 Spread FAV COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.5 @74%
George Mason (14-1) @ Fordham (9-6)	George Mason (59.3%)	07:00 PM	51
07:00 PM George Mason @ Fordham 14-1 vs 9-6 George Mason 59.3% Fordham 40.7% Model Pick George Mason 59.3% Pick Spread George Mason -4.5 Home ML +235 Away ML -285 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -11.9% MODEL PROB 59.3% VEGAS TRUE 71.3% VEGAS JUICED 74.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE George Mason 70 vs Fordham 63 Total 132.6 Margin -7.0 Spread FAV COVERS @58% Diff +2.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 132.2 @51%
Xavier (9-6) @ Marquette (5-10)	Marquette (58.9%)	07:00 PM	41
07:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Xavier @ Marquette 9-6 vs 5-10 Xavier 41.1% Marquette 58.9% Model Pick Marquette 58.9% Pick Spread Marquette -4.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -6.9% MODEL PROB 58.9% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Xavier 73 vs Marquette 80 Total 152.3 Margin +6.9 Spread FAV COVERS @58% Diff +2.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 158.5 @68%
Florida Atlantic (9-6) @ UAB (10-5)	UAB (58.8%)	07:30 PM	41
07:30 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Florida Atlantic @ UAB 9-6 vs 10-5 Florida Atlantic 41.2% UAB 58.8% Model Pick UAB 58.8% Pick Spread UAB -4.0 Home ML -160 Away ML +135 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -0.3% MODEL PROB 58.8% VEGAS TRUE 59.1% VEGAS JUICED 61.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida Atlantic 75 vs UAB 87 Total 161.3 Margin +12.1 Spread FAV COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.2 @53%
Florida International (9-5) @ Jacksonville State (7-7)	Jacksonville State (58.5%)	07:00 PM	42
07:00 PM +5.3% EDGECLOSE Florida International @ Jacksonville State 9-5 vs 7-7 Florida International 41.5% Jacksonville State 58.5% Model Pick Jacksonville State 58.5% Pick Spread Jacksonville State -1.0 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.3% MODEL PROB 58.5% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida International 67 vs Jacksonville State 76 Total 143.2 Margin +9.4 Spread FAV COVERS @73% Diff +8.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.0 @64%
Holy Cross (6-9) @ Lehigh (4-11)	Lehigh (58.3%)	06:00 PM	42
06:00 PM CLOSE Holy Cross @ Lehigh 6-9 vs 4-11 Holy Cross 41.7% Lehigh 58.3% Model Pick Lehigh 58.3% Pick Spread Lehigh -2.0 Home ML -161 Away ML +135 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -0.9% MODEL PROB 58.3% VEGAS TRUE 59.2% VEGAS JUICED 61.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Holy Cross 60 vs Lehigh 71 Total 130.6 Margin +10.8 Spread FAV COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 137.2 @70%
Arkansas #15 (11-3) @ Ole Miss (8-6)	Arkansas (58.2%)	09:00 PM	67
09:00 PM Arkansas #15 @ Ole Miss 11-3 vs 8-6 Arkansas 58.2% Ole Miss 41.8% Model Pick Arkansas 58.2% Pick Spread Arkansas -4.0 Home ML +170 Away ML -200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -6.1% MODEL PROB 58.2% VEGAS TRUE 64.3% VEGAS JUICED 66.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arkansas 79 vs Ole Miss 76 Total 154.4 Margin -3.4 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.0 @57%
Saint Louis (13-1) @ VCU (11-4)	VCU (57.1%)	07:00 PM	63
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Saint Louis @ VCU 13-1 vs 11-4 Saint Louis 42.9% VCU 57.1% Model Pick VCU 57.1% Pick Spread VCU -3.0 Home ML -135 Away ML +115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.8% MODEL PROB 57.1% VEGAS TRUE 55.3% VEGAS JUICED 57.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Louis 76 vs VCU 86 Total 162.0 Margin +11.0 Spread FAV COVERS @72% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 171.5 @77%
Davidson (9-5) @ Loyola Chicago (5-10)	Davidson (56.7%)	09:00 PM	43
09:00 PM CLOSE Davidson @ Loyola Chicago 9-5 vs 5-10 Davidson 56.7% Loyola Chicago 43.3% Model Pick Davidson 56.7% Pick Spread Davidson -1.0 Home ML +110 Away ML -130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.4% MODEL PROB 56.7% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Davidson 73 vs Loyola Chicago 65 Total 138.1 Margin -8.3 Spread FAV COVERS @71% Diff +7.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 136.2 @56%
Marshall (10-5) @ James Madison (8-7)	James Madison (55.5%)	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Marshall @ James Madison 10-5 vs 8-7 Marshall 44.5% James Madison 55.5% Model Pick James Madison 55.5% Pick Spread James Madison -3.0 Home ML -140 Away ML +120 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -0.7% MODEL PROB 55.5% VEGAS TRUE 56.2% VEGAS JUICED 58.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Marshall 73 vs James Madison 81 Total 153.7 Margin +8.5 Spread FAV COVERS @67% Diff +5.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.0 @57%
Boston University (5-10) @ Lafayette (4-11)	Lafayette (52.2%)	07:00 PM	48
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Boston University @ Lafayette 5-10 vs 4-11 Boston University 47.8% Lafayette 52.2% Model Pick Lafayette 52.2% Pick Spread Lafayette -1.0 Home ML -115 Away ML -105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.2% MODEL PROB 52.2% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Boston University 66 vs Lafayette 74 Total 140.5 Margin +7.5 Spread FAV COVERS @68% Diff +6.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.5 @56%
Longwood (9-8) @ UNC Asheville (6-10)	UNC Asheville (52.2%)	06:30 PM	48
06:30 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Longwood @ UNC Asheville 9-8 vs 6-10 Longwood 47.8% UNC Asheville 52.2% Model Pick UNC Asheville 52.2% Pick Spread UNC Asheville -3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Longwood 70 vs UNC Asheville 76 Total 146.2 Margin +6.2 Spread FAV COVERS @58% Diff +2.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.5 @57%
Miami (12-2) @ Wake Forest (10-5)	Miami (52.0%) DOG	07:00 PM	68
07:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOG Miami @ Wake Forest 12-2 vs 10-5 Miami 52.0% Wake Forest 48.0% Model Pick Miami 52.0% Pick Spread Miami +1.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.9% MODEL PROB 52.0% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Miami 81 vs Wake Forest 75 Total 156.6 Margin -6.2 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 154.8 @56%
Duquesne (9-6) @ Saint Joseph's (8-7)	Duquesne (51.9%)	07:00 PM	48
07:00 PM CLOSE Duquesne @ Saint Joseph's 9-6 vs 8-7 Duquesne 51.9% Saint Joseph's 48.1% Model Pick Duquesne 51.9% Pick Spread Duquesne -2.5 Home ML +130 Away ML -150 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -6.1% MODEL PROB 51.9% VEGAS TRUE 58.0% VEGAS JUICED 60.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Duquesne 80 vs Saint Joseph's 69 Total 148.7 Margin -10.3 Spread FAV COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.0 @54%
Southern Illinois (8-8) @ UIC (5-10)	Southern Illinois (51.2%)	08:00 PM	49
08:00 PM CLOSE Southern Illinois @ UIC 8-8 vs 5-10 Southern Illinois 51.2% UIC 48.8% Model Pick Southern Illinois 51.2% Pick Spread Southern Illinois -2.5 Home ML +140 Away ML -165 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -8.7% MODEL PROB 51.2% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Illinois 76 vs UIC 68 Total 144.7 Margin -7.7 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.5 @61%
South Florida (8-6) @ North Texas (10-5)	North Texas (50.5%) DOG	08:00 PM	50
08:00 PM +14.8% EDGEUNDERDOG South Florida @ North Texas 8-6 vs 10-5 South Florida 49.5% North Texas 50.5% Model Pick North Texas 50.5% Pick Spread North Texas +4.5 Home ML +170 Away ML -200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.8% MODEL PROB 50.5% VEGAS TRUE 35.7% VEGAS JUICED 37.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Florida 71 vs North Texas 74 Total 145.1 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.2 @50%
Furman (10-5) @ Chattanooga (6-9)	Chattanooga (50.3%) DOG	05:00 PM	50
05:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Furman @ Chattanooga 10-5 vs 6-9 Furman 49.7% Chattanooga 50.3% Model Pick Chattanooga 50.3% Pick Spread Chattanooga +2.5 Home ML +115 Away ML -135 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.5% MODEL PROB 50.3% VEGAS TRUE 44.7% VEGAS JUICED 46.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Furman 74 vs Chattanooga 79 Total 152.9 Margin +4.3 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +6.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.8 @68%
Oklahoma (11-3) @ Mississippi State (9-5)	Oklahoma (50.2%) DOG	07:00 PM	70
07:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOG Oklahoma @ Mississippi State 11-3 vs 9-5 Oklahoma 50.2% Mississippi State 49.8% Model Pick Oklahoma 50.2% Pick Spread Oklahoma +1.0 Home ML +100 Away ML -120 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -2.0% MODEL PROB 50.2% VEGAS TRUE 52.2% VEGAS JUICED 54.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Oklahoma 83 vs Mississippi State 76 Total 158.1 Margin -7.1 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 158.8 @52%

RECOMMENDED PICKS CRITERIA

Edge ≥ 4.0 pts • Spread ≤ 12 pts • Confidence ≥ 65%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Murray State (13-3) @ Evansville (4-12)	Murray State (83.8%)	08:00 PM	26
08:00 PM+9.2 PTS EDGE Murray State @ Evansville 13-3 vs 4-12 Murray State 83.8% Evansville 16.2% Model Pick Murray State (83.8%) Pick Spread Murray State -8.5 Home ML +335 Away ML -450 SPREAD EDGE +9.2 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +0.7 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Murray State 74 vs Evansville 75 Total 149.7 Margin +0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.5 @61%
Missouri State (9-5) @ Kennesaw State (8-6)	Kennesaw State (71.3%)	07:00 PM	29
07:00 PM+8.7 PTS EDGE Missouri State @ Kennesaw State 9-5 vs 8-6 Missouri State 28.7% Kennesaw State 71.3% Model Pick Kennesaw State (71.3%) Pick Spread Kennesaw State -5.5 Home ML -225 Away ML +185 SPREAD EDGE +8.7 pts PREDICTED MARGIN -3.2 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Missouri State 71 vs Kennesaw State 68 Total 139.2 Margin -3.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.2 @80%
Purdue Fort Wayne (9-8) @ Youngstown State (8-8)	Youngstown State (73.4%)	07:15 PM	27
07:15 PM+6.7 PTS EDGE Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State 9-8 vs 8-8 Purdue Fort Wayne 26.6% Youngstown State 73.4% Model Pick Youngstown State (73.4%) Pick Spread Youngstown State -5.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A SPREAD EDGE +6.7 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +12.2 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Purdue Fort Wayne 66 vs Youngstown State 78 Total 144.8 Margin +12.2 Spread FAV COVERS @70% Diff +6.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.5 @51%
La Salle (4-11) @ Rhode Island (9-6)	Rhode Island (87.4%)	07:00 PM	13
07:00 PM+6.5 PTS EDGE La Salle @ Rhode Island 4-11 vs 9-6 La Salle 12.6% Rhode Island 87.4% Model Pick Rhode Island (87.4%) Pick Spread Rhode Island -10.5 Home ML -700 Away ML +475 SPREAD EDGE +6.5 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +17.0 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE La Salle 57 vs Rhode Island 74 Total 131.0 Margin +17.0 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 132.2 @54%
Bucknell (4-11) @ Navy (10-5)	Navy (83.6%)	07:00 PM	16
07:00 PM+6.4 PTS EDGE Bucknell @ Navy 4-11 vs 10-5 Bucknell 16.4% Navy 83.6% Model Pick Navy (83.6%) Pick Spread Navy -7.0 Home ML -322 Away ML +260 SPREAD EDGE +6.4 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +13.7 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bucknell 55 vs Navy 68 Total 123.1 Margin +13.7 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.8 @85%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
South Florida (8-6) @ North Texas (10-5)	North Texas (50.5%) DOG	08:00 PM	50
08:00 PM+14.8% EDGE South Florida @ North Texas 8-6 vs 10-5 South Florida 49.5% North Texas 50.5% Model Pick North Texas 50.5% Pick Spread +4.5 Home ML +170 Away ML -200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.8% MODEL PROB 50.5% VEGAS TRUE 35.7% VEGAS JUICED 37.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Florida 71 vs North Texas 74 Total 145.1 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.2 @50%
Western Carolina (5-8) @ Samford (8-7)	Samford (82.2%)	07:00 PM	18
07:00 PM+10.6% EDGE Western Carolina @ Samford 5-8 vs 8-7 Western Carolina 17.8% Samford 82.2% Model Pick Samford 82.2% Pick Spread -7.5 Home ML -290 Away ML +240 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 82.2% VEGAS TRUE 71.7% VEGAS JUICED 74.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Western Carolina 75 vs Samford 85 Total 160.0 Margin +9.2 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @71%
Bucknell (4-11) @ Navy (10-5)	Navy (83.6%)	07:00 PM	16
07:00 PM+10.3% EDGE Bucknell @ Navy 4-11 vs 10-5 Bucknell 16.4% Navy 83.6% Model Pick Navy 83.6% Pick Spread -7.0 Home ML -322 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 83.6% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bucknell 55 vs Navy 68 Total 123.1 Margin +13.7 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.8 @85%
Illinois State (12-3) @ Valparaiso (7-8)	Illinois State (79.3%) DOG	08:00 PM	31
08:00 PM+8.1% EDGE Illinois State @ Valparaiso 12-3 vs 7-8 Illinois State 79.3% Valparaiso 20.7% Model Pick Illinois State 79.3% Pick Spread +7.0 Home ML +235 Away ML -285 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.1% MODEL PROB 79.3% VEGAS TRUE 71.3% VEGAS JUICED 74.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Illinois State 69 vs Valparaiso 69 Total 137.5 Margin -0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 139.2 @55%
Belmont (13-3) @ Northern Iowa (12-3)	Northern Iowa (61.6%)	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PM+7.3% EDGE Belmont @ Northern Iowa 13-3 vs 12-3 Belmont 38.4% Northern Iowa 61.6% Model Pick Northern Iowa 61.6% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.3% MODEL PROB 61.6% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Belmont 63 vs Northern Iowa 74 Total 136.6 Margin +11.0 Spread FAV COVERS @74% Diff +8.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 136.0 @52%
East Carolina (5-9) @ Temple (10-5)	Temple (84.4%)	07:00 PM	16
07:00 PM+6.1% EDGE East Carolina @ Temple 5-9 vs 10-5 East Carolina 15.6% Temple 84.4% Model Pick Temple 84.4% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -460 Away ML +340 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +6.1% MODEL PROB 84.4% VEGAS TRUE 78.3% VEGAS JUICED 82.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE East Carolina 64 vs Temple 77 Total 140.3 Margin +13.3 Spread FAV COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.5 @66%
Murray State (13-3) @ Evansville (4-12)	Murray State (83.8%) DOG	08:00 PM	26
08:00 PM+5.8% EDGE Murray State @ Evansville 13-3 vs 4-12 Murray State 83.8% Evansville 16.2% Model Pick Murray State 83.8% Pick Spread +8.5 Home ML +335 Away ML -450 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.8% MODEL PROB 83.8% VEGAS TRUE 78.1% VEGAS JUICED 81.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Murray State 74 vs Evansville 75 Total 149.7 Margin +0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.5 @61%
Alabama #13 (11-3) @ Vanderbilt #11 (14-0)	Vanderbilt (69.8%)	09:00 PM	80
09:00 PM+5.5% EDGE Alabama #13 @ Vanderbilt #11 11-3 vs 14-0 Alabama 30.2% Vanderbilt 69.8% Model Pick Vanderbilt 69.8% Pick Spread -4.0 Home ML -200 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.5% MODEL PROB 69.8% VEGAS TRUE 64.3% VEGAS JUICED 66.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Alabama 79 vs Vanderbilt 88 Total 167.7 Margin +8.9 Spread FAV COVERS @64% Diff +4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 180.5 @84%
Florida International (9-5) @ Jacksonville State (7-7)	Jacksonville State (58.5%)	07:00 PM	42
07:00 PM+5.3% EDGE Florida International @ Jacksonville State 9-5 vs 7-7 Florida International 41.5% Jacksonville State 58.5% Model Pick Jacksonville State 58.5% Pick Spread -1.0 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.3% MODEL PROB 58.5% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida International 67 vs Jacksonville State 76 Total 143.2 Margin +9.4 Spread FAV COVERS @73% Diff +8.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.0 @64%
Missouri State (9-5) @ Kennesaw State (8-6)	Kennesaw State (71.3%)	07:00 PM	29
07:00 PM+5.0% EDGE Missouri State @ Kennesaw State 9-5 vs 8-6 Missouri State 28.7% Kennesaw State 71.3% Model Pick Kennesaw State 71.3% Pick Spread -5.5 Home ML -225 Away ML +185 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.0% MODEL PROB 71.3% VEGAS TRUE 66.4% VEGAS JUICED 69.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Missouri State 71 vs Kennesaw State 68 Total 139.2 Margin -3.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.2 @80%
Indiana (11-3) @ Maryland (7-7)	Indiana (79.6%) DOG	06:30 PM	30
06:30 PM+4.4% EDGE Indiana @ Maryland 11-3 vs 7-7 Indiana 79.6% Maryland 20.4% Model Pick Indiana 79.6% Pick Spread +8.0 Home ML +285 Away ML -370 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.4% MODEL PROB 79.6% VEGAS TRUE 75.2% VEGAS JUICED 78.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Indiana 75 vs Maryland 70 Total 144.2 Margin -5.2 Spread DOG COVERS @58% Diff -2.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.2 @59%
La Salle (4-11) @ Rhode Island (9-6)	Rhode Island (87.4%)	07:00 PM	13
07:00 PM+4.0% EDGE La Salle @ Rhode Island 4-11 vs 9-6 La Salle 12.6% Rhode Island 87.4% Model Pick Rhode Island 87.4% Pick Spread -10.5 Home ML -700 Away ML +475 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.0% MODEL PROB 87.4% VEGAS TRUE 83.4% VEGAS JUICED 87.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE La Salle 57 vs Rhode Island 74 Total 131.0 Margin +17.0 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 132.2 @54%
Presbyterian (8-8) @ Radford (8-8)	Radford (74.8%)	07:00 PM	25
07:00 PM+3.5% EDGE Presbyterian @ Radford 8-8 vs 8-8 Presbyterian 25.2% Radford 74.8% Model Pick Radford 74.8% Pick Spread -7.0 Home ML -287 Away ML +235 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.5% MODEL PROB 74.8% VEGAS TRUE 71.3% VEGAS JUICED 74.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Presbyterian 70 vs Radford 79 Total 148.7 Margin +9.1 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +1.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.8 @53%
Loyola Maryland (4-11) @ Army (7-8)	Army (63.8%)	06:00 PM	36
06:00 PM+3.4% EDGE Loyola Maryland @ Army 4-11 vs 7-8 Loyola Maryland 36.2% Army 63.8% Model Pick Army 63.8% Pick Spread -3.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +142 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.4% MODEL PROB 63.8% VEGAS TRUE 60.4% VEGAS JUICED 63.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Loyola Maryland 74 vs Army 82 Total 155.3 Margin +7.7 Spread FAV COVERS @63% Diff +4.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.0 @71%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Loyola Maryland (4-11) @ Army (7-8)	Army (63.8%)	06:00 PM	36
06:00 PMCLOSE Loyola Maryland @ Army 4-11 vs 7-8 Loyola Maryland 36.2% Army 63.8% Model Pick Army 63.8% Pick Spread Army -3.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +142 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.4% MODEL PROB 63.8% VEGAS TRUE 60.4% VEGAS JUICED 63.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Loyola Maryland 74 vs Army 82 Total 155.3 Margin +7.7 Spread FAV COVERS @63% Diff +4.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.0 @71%
Belmont (13-3) @ Northern Iowa (12-3)	Northern Iowa (61.6%)	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PMCLOSE Belmont @ Northern Iowa 13-3 vs 12-3 Belmont 38.4% Northern Iowa 61.6% Model Pick Northern Iowa 61.6% Pick Spread Northern Iowa -2.5 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.3% MODEL PROB 61.6% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Belmont 63 vs Northern Iowa 74 Total 136.6 Margin +11.0 Spread FAV COVERS @74% Diff +8.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 136.0 @52%
Troy (10-5) @ Arkansas State (10-5)	Arkansas State (60.6%)	08:00 PM	59
08:00 PMCLOSE Troy @ Arkansas State 10-5 vs 10-5 Troy 39.4% Arkansas State 60.6% Model Pick Arkansas State 60.6% Pick Spread Arkansas State -3.5 Home ML -160 Away ML +135 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.5% MODEL PROB 60.6% VEGAS TRUE 59.1% VEGAS JUICED 61.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Troy 76 vs Arkansas State 82 Total 157.9 Margin +5.1 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 159.2 @54%
Florida International (9-5) @ Jacksonville State (7-7)	Jacksonville State (58.5%)	07:00 PM	42
07:00 PMCLOSE Florida International @ Jacksonville State 9-5 vs 7-7 Florida International 41.5% Jacksonville State 58.5% Model Pick Jacksonville State 58.5% Pick Spread Jacksonville State -1.0 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.3% MODEL PROB 58.5% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida International 67 vs Jacksonville State 76 Total 143.2 Margin +9.4 Spread FAV COVERS @73% Diff +8.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.0 @64%
Holy Cross (6-9) @ Lehigh (4-11)	Lehigh (58.3%)	06:00 PM	42
06:00 PMCLOSE Holy Cross @ Lehigh 6-9 vs 4-11 Holy Cross 41.7% Lehigh 58.3% Model Pick Lehigh 58.3% Pick Spread Lehigh -2.0 Home ML -161 Away ML +135 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -0.9% MODEL PROB 58.3% VEGAS TRUE 59.2% VEGAS JUICED 61.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Holy Cross 60 vs Lehigh 71 Total 130.6 Margin +10.8 Spread FAV COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 137.2 @70%
Saint Louis (13-1) @ VCU (11-4)	VCU (57.1%)	07:00 PM	63
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Saint Louis @ VCU 13-1 vs 11-4 Saint Louis 42.9% VCU 57.1% Model Pick VCU 57.1% Pick Spread VCU -3.0 Home ML -135 Away ML +115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.8% MODEL PROB 57.1% VEGAS TRUE 55.3% VEGAS JUICED 57.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Louis 76 vs VCU 86 Total 162.0 Margin +11.0 Spread FAV COVERS @72% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 171.5 @77%
Davidson (9-5) @ Loyola Chicago (5-10)	Davidson (56.7%)	09:00 PM	43
09:00 PMCLOSE Davidson @ Loyola Chicago 9-5 vs 5-10 Davidson 56.7% Loyola Chicago 43.3% Model Pick Davidson 56.7% Pick Spread Davidson -1.0 Home ML +110 Away ML -130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.4% MODEL PROB 56.7% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Davidson 73 vs Loyola Chicago 65 Total 138.1 Margin -8.3 Spread FAV COVERS @71% Diff +7.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 136.2 @56%
Marshall (10-5) @ James Madison (8-7)	James Madison (55.5%)	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Marshall @ James Madison 10-5 vs 8-7 Marshall 44.5% James Madison 55.5% Model Pick James Madison 55.5% Pick Spread James Madison -3.0 Home ML -140 Away ML +120 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -0.7% MODEL PROB 55.5% VEGAS TRUE 56.2% VEGAS JUICED 58.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Marshall 73 vs James Madison 81 Total 153.7 Margin +8.5 Spread FAV COVERS @67% Diff +5.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.0 @57%
Boston University (5-10) @ Lafayette (4-11)	Lafayette (52.2%)	07:00 PM	48
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Boston University @ Lafayette 5-10 vs 4-11 Boston University 47.8% Lafayette 52.2% Model Pick Lafayette 52.2% Pick Spread Lafayette -1.0 Home ML -115 Away ML -105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.2% MODEL PROB 52.2% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Boston University 66 vs Lafayette 74 Total 140.5 Margin +7.5 Spread FAV COVERS @68% Diff +6.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.5 @56%
Longwood (9-8) @ UNC Asheville (6-10)	UNC Asheville (52.2%)	06:30 PM	48
06:30 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Longwood @ UNC Asheville 9-8 vs 6-10 Longwood 47.8% UNC Asheville 52.2% Model Pick UNC Asheville 52.2% Pick Spread UNC Asheville -3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Longwood 70 vs UNC Asheville 76 Total 146.2 Margin +6.2 Spread FAV COVERS @58% Diff +2.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.5 @57%
Miami (12-2) @ Wake Forest (10-5)	Miami (52.0%) DOG	07:00 PM	68
07:00 PMCLOSE Miami @ Wake Forest 12-2 vs 10-5 Miami 52.0% Wake Forest 48.0% Model Pick Miami 52.0% Pick Spread Miami +1.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.9% MODEL PROB 52.0% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Miami 81 vs Wake Forest 75 Total 156.6 Margin -6.2 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 154.8 @56%
Duquesne (9-6) @ Saint Joseph's (8-7)	Duquesne (51.9%)	07:00 PM	48
07:00 PMCLOSE Duquesne @ Saint Joseph's 9-6 vs 8-7 Duquesne 51.9% Saint Joseph's 48.1% Model Pick Duquesne 51.9% Pick Spread Duquesne -2.5 Home ML +130 Away ML -150 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -6.1% MODEL PROB 51.9% VEGAS TRUE 58.0% VEGAS JUICED 60.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Duquesne 80 vs Saint Joseph's 69 Total 148.7 Margin -10.3 Spread FAV COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.0 @54%
Southern Illinois (8-8) @ UIC (5-10)	Southern Illinois (51.2%)	08:00 PM	49
08:00 PMCLOSE Southern Illinois @ UIC 8-8 vs 5-10 Southern Illinois 51.2% UIC 48.8% Model Pick Southern Illinois 51.2% Pick Spread Southern Illinois -2.5 Home ML +140 Away ML -165 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -8.7% MODEL PROB 51.2% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Illinois 76 vs UIC 68 Total 144.7 Margin -7.7 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.5 @61%
Furman (10-5) @ Chattanooga (6-9)	Chattanooga (50.3%) DOG	05:00 PM	50
05:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Furman @ Chattanooga 10-5 vs 6-9 Furman 49.7% Chattanooga 50.3% Model Pick Chattanooga 50.3% Pick Spread Chattanooga +2.5 Home ML +115 Away ML -135 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.5% MODEL PROB 50.3% VEGAS TRUE 44.7% VEGAS JUICED 46.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Furman 74 vs Chattanooga 79 Total 152.9 Margin +4.3 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +6.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.8 @68%
Oklahoma (11-3) @ Mississippi State (9-5)	Oklahoma (50.2%) DOG	07:00 PM	70
07:00 PMCLOSE Oklahoma @ Mississippi State 11-3 vs 9-5 Oklahoma 50.2% Mississippi State 49.8% Model Pick Oklahoma 50.2% Pick Spread Oklahoma +1.0 Home ML +100 Away ML -120 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -2.0% MODEL PROB 50.2% VEGAS TRUE 52.2% VEGAS JUICED 54.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Oklahoma 83 vs Mississippi State 76 Total 158.1 Margin -7.1 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 158.8 @52%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
South Florida (8-6) @ North Texas (10-5)	North Texas (50.5%) DOG	+14.8%	08:00 PM	50
08:00 PMUNDERDOG ML South Florida @ North Texas 8-6 vs 10-5 South Florida 49.5% North Texas 50.5% Model Pick North Texas 50.5% Pick Spread North Texas +4.5 Home ML +170 Away ML -200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.8% MODEL PROB 50.5% VEGAS TRUE 35.7% VEGAS JUICED 37.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Florida 71 vs North Texas 74 Total 145.1 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.2 @50%
Furman (10-5) @ Chattanooga (6-9)	Chattanooga (50.3%) DOG	+5.5%	05:00 PM	50
05:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Furman @ Chattanooga 10-5 vs 6-9 Furman 49.7% Chattanooga 50.3% Model Pick Chattanooga 50.3% Pick Spread Chattanooga +2.5 Home ML +115 Away ML -135 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.5% MODEL PROB 50.3% VEGAS TRUE 44.7% VEGAS JUICED 46.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Furman 74 vs Chattanooga 79 Total 152.9 Margin +4.3 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +6.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.8 @68%

Game	Pick	Confidence	Moneyline	Expected Value	Time (ET)
North Texas vs South Florida	North Texas DOG	50.5%	+170	⭐⭐⭐ +36.3%	08:00 PM
Fordham vs George Mason	Fordham DOG	40.7%	+235	⭐⭐⭐ +36.2%	07:00 PM
American University @ Colgate	American University DOG	40.5%	+195	⭐⭐ +19.5%	07:00 PM

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Bucknell (4-11) @ Navy (10-5)	Navy (83.6%)	07:00 PM	16
07:00 PM75%+ CONF +10.3% EDGE Bucknell @ Navy 4-11 vs 10-5 Bucknell 16.4% Navy 83.6% Model Pick Navy 83.6% Pick Spread -7.0 Home ML -322 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 83.6% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bucknell 55 vs Navy 68 Total 123.1 Margin +13.7 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.8 @85%
Western Carolina (5-8) @ Samford (8-7)	Samford (82.2%)	07:00 PM	18
07:00 PM75%+ CONF +10.6% EDGE Western Carolina @ Samford 5-8 vs 8-7 Western Carolina 17.8% Samford 82.2% Model Pick Samford 82.2% Pick Spread -7.5 Home ML -290 Away ML +240 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 82.2% VEGAS TRUE 71.7% VEGAS JUICED 74.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Western Carolina 75 vs Samford 85 Total 160.0 Margin +9.2 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @71%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
South Florida (8-6) @ North Texas (10-5)	North Texas (50.5%)	+14.8%	08:00 PM	50
08:00 PM+14.8% EDGE South Florida @ North Texas 8-6 vs 10-5 South Florida 49.5% North Texas 50.5% Model Pick North Texas 50.5% Pick Spread +4.5 Home ML +170 Away ML -200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.8% MODEL PROB 50.5% VEGAS TRUE 35.7% VEGAS JUICED 37.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Florida 71 vs North Texas 74 Total 145.1 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.2 @50%
Western Carolina (5-8) @ Samford (8-7)	Samford (82.2%)	+10.6%	07:00 PM	18
07:00 PM+10.6% EDGE Western Carolina @ Samford 5-8 vs 8-7 Western Carolina 17.8% Samford 82.2% Model Pick Samford 82.2% Pick Spread -7.5 Home ML -290 Away ML +240 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 82.2% VEGAS TRUE 71.7% VEGAS JUICED 74.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Western Carolina 75 vs Samford 85 Total 160.0 Margin +9.2 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @71%
Bucknell (4-11) @ Navy (10-5)	Navy (83.6%)	+10.3%	07:00 PM	16
07:00 PM+10.3% EDGE Bucknell @ Navy 4-11 vs 10-5 Bucknell 16.4% Navy 83.6% Model Pick Navy 83.6% Pick Spread -7.0 Home ML -322 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 83.6% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bucknell 55 vs Navy 68 Total 123.1 Margin +13.7 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.8 @85%
Illinois State (12-3) @ Valparaiso (7-8)	Illinois State (79.3%)	+8.1%	08:00 PM	31
08:00 PM+8.1% EDGE Illinois State @ Valparaiso 12-3 vs 7-8 Illinois State 79.3% Valparaiso 20.7% Model Pick Illinois State 79.3% Pick Spread +7.0 Home ML +235 Away ML -285 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.1% MODEL PROB 79.3% VEGAS TRUE 71.3% VEGAS JUICED 74.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Illinois State 69 vs Valparaiso 69 Total 137.5 Margin -0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 139.2 @55%
Belmont (13-3) @ Northern Iowa (12-3)	Northern Iowa (61.6%)	+7.3%	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PM+7.3% EDGE Belmont @ Northern Iowa 13-3 vs 12-3 Belmont 38.4% Northern Iowa 61.6% Model Pick Northern Iowa 61.6% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.3% MODEL PROB 61.6% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Belmont 63 vs Northern Iowa 74 Total 136.6 Margin +11.0 Spread FAV COVERS @74% Diff +8.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 136.0 @52%
East Carolina (5-9) @ Temple (10-5)	Temple (84.4%)	+6.1%	07:00 PM	16
07:00 PM+6.1% EDGE East Carolina @ Temple 5-9 vs 10-5 East Carolina 15.6% Temple 84.4% Model Pick Temple 84.4% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -460 Away ML +340 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +6.1% MODEL PROB 84.4% VEGAS TRUE 78.3% VEGAS JUICED 82.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE East Carolina 64 vs Temple 77 Total 140.3 Margin +13.3 Spread FAV COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.5 @66%
Murray State (13-3) @ Evansville (4-12)	Murray State (83.8%)	+5.8%	08:00 PM	26
08:00 PM+5.8% EDGE Murray State @ Evansville 13-3 vs 4-12 Murray State 83.8% Evansville 16.2% Model Pick Murray State 83.8% Pick Spread +8.5 Home ML +335 Away ML -450 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.8% MODEL PROB 83.8% VEGAS TRUE 78.1% VEGAS JUICED 81.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Murray State 74 vs Evansville 75 Total 149.7 Margin +0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.5 @61%
Alabama #13 (11-3) @ Vanderbilt #11 (14-0)	Vanderbilt (69.8%)	+5.5%	09:00 PM	80
09:00 PM+5.5% EDGE Alabama #13 @ Vanderbilt #11 11-3 vs 14-0 Alabama 30.2% Vanderbilt 69.8% Model Pick Vanderbilt 69.8% Pick Spread -4.0 Home ML -200 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.5% MODEL PROB 69.8% VEGAS TRUE 64.3% VEGAS JUICED 66.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Alabama 79 vs Vanderbilt 88 Total 167.7 Margin +8.9 Spread FAV COVERS @64% Diff +4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 180.5 @84%
Florida International (9-5) @ Jacksonville State (7-7)	Jacksonville State (58.5%)	+5.3%	07:00 PM	42
07:00 PM+5.3% EDGE Florida International @ Jacksonville State 9-5 vs 7-7 Florida International 41.5% Jacksonville State 58.5% Model Pick Jacksonville State 58.5% Pick Spread -1.0 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.3% MODEL PROB 58.5% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida International 67 vs Jacksonville State 76 Total 143.2 Margin +9.4 Spread FAV COVERS @73% Diff +8.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.0 @64%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
South Florida (8-6) @ North Texas (10-5)	North Texas (50.5%)	+14.8%	08:00 PM	50
08:00 PM+14.8% EDGE South Florida @ North Texas 8-6 vs 10-5 South Florida 49.5% North Texas 50.5% Model Pick North Texas 50.5% Pick Spread +4.5 Home ML +170 Away ML -200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.8% MODEL PROB 50.5% VEGAS TRUE 35.7% VEGAS JUICED 37.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Florida 71 vs North Texas 74 Total 145.1 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.2 @50%
Western Carolina (5-8) @ Samford (8-7)	Samford (82.2%)	+10.6%	07:00 PM	18
07:00 PM+10.6% EDGE Western Carolina @ Samford 5-8 vs 8-7 Western Carolina 17.8% Samford 82.2% Model Pick Samford 82.2% Pick Spread -7.5 Home ML -290 Away ML +240 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 82.2% VEGAS TRUE 71.7% VEGAS JUICED 74.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Western Carolina 75 vs Samford 85 Total 160.0 Margin +9.2 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @71%
Bucknell (4-11) @ Navy (10-5)	Navy (83.6%)	+10.3%	07:00 PM	16
07:00 PM+10.3% EDGE Bucknell @ Navy 4-11 vs 10-5 Bucknell 16.4% Navy 83.6% Model Pick Navy 83.6% Pick Spread -7.0 Home ML -322 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 83.6% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bucknell 55 vs Navy 68 Total 123.1 Margin +13.7 Spread FAV COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.8 @85%

Model Information

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Model Explainability (SHAP Analysis)

XGBoost Win/Loss Model