Daily win/loss predictions and value edges vs closing lines
Calibrated XGBoost | 2022-2026 (Transfer Portal Era)
LIVE
Today
JAN 10
Total Games
149
Model
XGBoost
Features
144
Training Set
25,500+
Season
2025-26

Model Information

  • XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
  • XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
  • Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
  • Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
  • Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
  • Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
Penn State (9-6) @ Purdue #5 (14-1) Purdue (97.2%) 02:00 PM 33
Boston College (7-8) @ Louisville #20 (11-4) Louisville (97.0%) 12:00 PM 28
DePaul (10-6) @ UConn #4 (15-1) UConn (96.2%) 12:30 PM 44
Wisconsin (10-5) @ Michigan #2 (14-0) Michigan (95.8%) 01:00 PM 44
Oklahoma State (13-2) @ Iowa State #3 (15-0) Iowa State (95.7%) 04:00 PM 44
San José State (5-10) @ Grand Canyon (9-5) Grand Canyon (95.0%) 08:00 PM 5
Mississippi Valley State (1-15) @ Prairie View A&M (6-9) Prairie View A&M (94.4%) 05:30 PM 6
SE Louisiana (5-10) @ McNeese (12-3) McNeese (93.5%) 05:00 PM 16
Houston Christian (5-10) @ Stephen F. Austin (12-3) Stephen F. Austin (92.2%) 06:00 PM 18
Loyola Chicago (5-11) @ George Washington (11-5) George Washington (91.6%) 03:00 PM 8
Georgia Tech (10-6) @ Miami (13-2) Miami (91.3%) 12:00 PM 29
St. Francis (PA) (4-12) @ Long Island University (9-7) Long Island University (91.3%) 04:00 PM 9
Washington State (8-9) @ Saint Mary's (15-2) Saint Mary's (90.9%) 05:00 PM 19
Fresno State (7-8) @ San Diego State (10-4) San Diego State (90.6%) 11:10 PM 19
UL Monroe (3-14) @ Southern Miss (10-7) Southern Miss (90.5%) 03:00 PM 10
Utah Tech (9-8) @ Utah Valley (13-4) Utah Valley (90.3%) 04:00 PM 20
Southern Utah (4-12) @ California Baptist (11-6) California Baptist (89.8%) 08:00 PM 10
LSU (12-3) @ Vanderbilt #11 (15-0) Vanderbilt (89.5%) 01:00 PM 46
VMI (6-10) @ Furman (11-5) Furman (89.3%) 02:00 PM 11
Maryland (7-8) @ UCLA (10-5) UCLA (89.0%) 08:00 PM 11
SMU #24 (12-3) @ Duke #6 (14-1) Duke (88.9%) 02:00 PM 61
Texas (9-6) @ Alabama #13 (11-4) Alabama (88.3%) 08:00 PM 37
UNC Greensboro (6-10) @ East Tennessee State (11-5) East Tennessee State (87.8%) 04:00 PM 12
Valparaiso (8-8) @ Murray State (14-3) Murray State (87.3%) 04:00 PM 23
Ball State (4-11) @ Massachusetts (9-7) Massachusetts (87.2%) 03:30 PM 13
Stanford (13-3) @ Virginia #23 (13-2) Virginia (86.8%) 02:15 PM 48
New Mexico (12-3) @ Air Force (3-12) New Mexico (86.0%) 03:00 PM 24
UIC (6-10) @ Illinois State (12-4) Illinois State (85.5%) 05:00 PM 24
Wake Forest (10-6) @ North Carolina #17 (13-2) North Carolina (85.4%) 06:00 PM 50
Lafayette (4-12) @ Navy (11-5) Navy (85.4%) 02:00 PM 15
Alcorn State (1-12) @ Alabama A&M (8-7) Alabama A&M (85.2%) 05:00 PM 15
UC San Diego (12-4) @ UC Riverside (6-10) UC San Diego (85.1%) 08:00 PM 25
Saint Louis (14-1) @ La Salle (5-11) Saint Louis (84.7%) 04:00 PM 25
Sacramento State (4-10) @ Portland State (8-5) Portland State (84.6%) 05:00 PM 15
Mississippi State (10-5) @ Kentucky (9-6) Kentucky (84.2%) 08:30 PM 16
Texas State (9-8) @ Arkansas State (11-5) Arkansas State (84.1%) 03:00 PM 16
BYU #9 (14-1) @ Utah (8-7) BYU (83.1%) 10:00 PM 42
Yale (12-2) @ Princeton (5-11) Yale (82.9%) 02:00 PM 27
San Diego (7-10) @ Pacific (11-7) Pacific (82.3%) 07:00 PM 18
Loyola Marymount (11-7) @ Santa Clara (13-5) Santa Clara (82.0%) 10:00 PM 38
Lehigh (5-11) @ Colgate (9-7) Colgate (82.0%) 02:00 PM 18
San Francisco (11-7) @ Pepperdine (5-13) San Francisco (81.5%) 08:00 PM 18
Troy (10-6) @ Louisiana (4-13) Troy (81.3%) 01:00 PM 19
Kent State (12-3) @ Central Michigan (4-12) Kent State (81.1%) 03:00 PM 29
Jackson State (2-12) @ Alabama State (4-11) Alabama State (80.5%) 04:00 PM 20
Monmouth (8-8) @ Hofstra (12-4) Hofstra (80.4%) 02:00 PM 30
Austin Peay (9-5) @ Stetson (6-10) Austin Peay (79.9%) 02:00 PM 20
Holy Cross (6-10) @ American University (9-7) American University (79.9%) 04:00 PM 20
High Point (15-3) @ Charleston Southern (11-7) High Point (79.7%) 02:00 PM 40
Delaware (5-10) @ Louisiana Tech (8-7) Louisiana Tech (79.4%) 03:00 PM 21
St. Thomas-Minnesota (13-4) @ Oral Roberts (5-12) St. Thomas-Minnesota (79.4%) 08:00 PM 31
Evansville (4-13) @ Indiana State (8-8) Indiana State (77.7%) 01:00 PM 22
UNC Wilmington (15-2) @ Stony Brook (9-8) UNC Wilmington (77.5%) 06:00 PM 32
Fordham (9-7) @ St. Bonaventure (11-4) St. Bonaventure (77.2%) 12:00 PM 33
Harvard (7-8) @ Columbia (12-3) Columbia (76.8%) 02:00 PM 33
Tulane (11-4) @ UTSA (4-11) Tulane (76.4%) 05:00 PM 34
North Carolina Central (5-11) @ Coppin State (3-15) North Carolina Central (76.2%) 04:30 PM 24
Dartmouth (7-7) @ Cornell (7-7) Cornell (76.0%) 02:00 PM 24
Little Rock (6-10) @ Lindenwood (10-6) Lindenwood (74.6%) 04:30 PM 25
New Hampshire (4-11) @ UMBC (8-6) UMBC (73.8%) 01:00 PM 26
Arizona #1 (15-0) @ TCU (11-4) Arizona (73.5%) 04:00 PM 66
UNC Asheville (7-10) @ Radford (9-8) Radford (71.9%) 02:30 PM 28
UT Martin (12-4) @ Southern Indiana (3-12) UT Martin (71.6%) 08:30 PM 38
Old Dominion (5-12) @ James Madison (8-8) James Madison (70.8%) 04:00 PM 29
Villanova (12-3) @ Marquette (6-10) Villanova (70.0%) 02:30 PM 40
Weber State (8-8) @ Northern Colorado (11-5) Northern Colorado (70.0%) 08:00 PM 30
Campbell (9-8) @ Elon (10-6) Elon (69.9%) 07:00 PM 30
Oklahoma (11-4) @ Texas A&M (12-3) Texas A&M (69.2%) 03:30 PM 51
Hampton (8-9) @ Charleston (10-6) Charleston (68.7%) 05:00 PM 31
Army (7-9) @ Boston University (6-10) Boston University (68.6%) 01:00 PM 31
Mercyhurst (6-10) @ Wagner (6-8) Wagner (67.7%) 01:00 PM 32
Wofford (11-5) @ Mercer (9-7) Mercer (67.7%) 02:00 PM 32
Chicago State (1-14) @ Stonehill (4-12) Stonehill (67.3%) 02:00 PM 33
Marshall (11-5) @ Georgia State (5-12) Marshall (66.5%) 04:00 PM 34
Queens University (8-8) @ North Florida (2-14) Queens University (66.5%) 02:00 PM 34
Presbyterian (8-9) @ Longwood (9-9) Longwood (66.4%) 03:00 PM 34
Georgia Southern (12-5) @ South Alabama (11-5) South Alabama (66.0%) 02:00 PM 54
South Florida (9-6) @ Tulsa (13-2) Tulsa (65.8%) 03:00 PM 44
Cal State Bakersfield (8-9) @ Long Beach State (5-11) Long Beach State (65.8%) 07:00 PM 34
Winthrop (10-8) @ South Carolina Upstate (8-9) Winthrop (65.8%) 02:00 PM 34
Abilene Christian (10-6) @ UT Arlington (10-5) UT Arlington (65.6%) 03:00 PM 54
South Carolina State (2-14) @ Morgan State (3-12) Morgan State (65.3%) 04:00 PM 35
Jacksonville State (8-7) @ Kennesaw State (9-6) Kennesaw State (65.1%) 05:00 PM 35
North Alabama (5-9) @ Bellarmine (6-9) Bellarmine (64.8%) 02:00 PM 35
Norfolk State (6-11) @ Delaware State (5-11) Norfolk State (64.5%) 04:30 PM 36
Western Carolina (5-9) @ The Citadel (3-13) Western Carolina (64.4%) 01:00 PM 36
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (8-7) @ Northwestern State (4-11) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (64.4%) 04:30 PM 36
Howard (9-7) @ Maryland Eastern Shore (5-13) Howard (64.3%) 04:30 PM 36
UMass Lowell (7-10) @ Binghamton (4-13) UMass Lowell (64.3%) 02:00 PM 36
UC Irvine (12-5) @ Hawai'i (11-3) Hawai'i (64.2%) 11:59 PM 56
North Dakota State (13-5) @ Omaha (8-10) North Dakota State (64.1%) 02:00 PM 46
UT Rio Grande Valley (6-9) @ East Texas A&M (6-10) UT Rio Grande Valley (63.8%) 06:00 PM 36
Texas Tech #14 (11-4) @ Colorado (12-3) Texas Tech (63.6%) 07:00 PM 71
NC State (11-5) @ Florida State (7-8) NC State (62.8%) 12:00 PM 37
Georgia #18 (13-2) @ South Carolina (10-5) Georgia (62.4%) 02:00 PM 73
Nebraska #10 (15-0) @ Indiana (12-3) Indiana (62.2%) 12:00 PM 73
Tennessee State (10-5) @ Eastern Illinois (5-10) Tennessee State (61.9%) 04:30 PM 38
Belmont (14-3) @ Drake (8-8) Belmont (61.9%) 06:00 PM 48
Southern (5-10) @ Florida A&M (2-9) Southern (61.7%) 06:00 PM 38
Wyoming (11-4) @ Nevada (11-4) Nevada (61.2%) 10:00 PM 59
Buffalo (13-2) @ Ohio (9-7) Ohio (61.1%) 02:00 PM 49
Middle Tennessee (9-6) @ New Mexico State (9-5) New Mexico State (60.8%) 08:00 PM 39
Fairleigh Dickinson (5-11) @ New Haven (6-10) New Haven (60.7%) 01:00 PM 39
Tennessee #21 (11-4) @ Florida (10-5) Florida (60.2%) 12:00 PM 75
Southeast Missouri State (9-7) @ Morehead State (7-9) Southeast Missouri State (60.2%) 03:30 PM 40
Northern Iowa (12-4) @ Bradley (11-6) Bradley (59.8%) 06:00 PM 60
California (13-3) @ Virginia Tech (12-4) Virginia Tech (59.3%) 04:00 PM 61
Idaho State (8-8) @ Northern Arizona (6-10) Idaho State (58.8%) 08:00 PM 41
William & Mary (11-5) @ Drexel (7-10) William & Mary (58.4%) 02:00 PM 42
Syracuse (10-5) @ Pittsburgh (7-8) Pittsburgh (58.1%) 02:00 PM 42
Arkansas #15 (12-3) @ Auburn (9-6) Auburn (57.9%) 06:00 PM 67
Montana (9-7) @ Eastern Washington (2-13) Montana (57.8%) DOG 05:00 PM 42
Oregon State (9-9) @ Portland (8-10) Portland (57.6%) 08:00 PM 42
Rhode Island (9-7) @ Davidson (10-5) Davidson (57.4%) 02:00 PM 43
Liberty (12-3) @ Sam Houston (9-6) Liberty (57.0%) 03:30 PM 53
Western Kentucky (9-6) @ UTEP (5-10) Western Kentucky (56.9%) 04:00 PM 43
Tennessee Tech (6-10) @ Western Illinois (4-12) Tennessee Tech (56.6%) 04:30 PM 43
Houston #7 (14-1) @ Baylor (10-4) Houston (56.6%) 01:00 PM 78
Denver (8-10) @ South Dakota (8-9) South Dakota (56.5%) DOG 02:00 PM 44
Loyola Maryland (5-11) @ Bucknell (4-12) Bucknell (56.4%) 05:00 PM 44
Florida International (9-6) @ Missouri State (9-6) Missouri State (56.3%) 05:00 PM 44
Samford (9-7) @ Chattanooga (6-10) Chattanooga (55.7%) 04:30 PM 44
Clemson (13-3) @ Notre Dame (10-5) Clemson (55.5%) 06:00 PM 64
Brown (6-8) @ Pennsylvania (7-7) Pennsylvania (55.4%) 02:00 PM 45
West Georgia (9-6) @ Jacksonville (5-11) Jacksonville (55.0%) 03:00 PM 45
Towson (8-9) @ Northeastern (5-10) Towson (55.0%) 02:00 PM 45
Bryant (5-11) @ UAlbany (4-12) UAlbany (55.0%) 02:00 PM 45
UC Davis (9-6) @ Cal Poly (6-11) UC Davis (54.7%) 05:00 PM 45
Incarnate Word (8-7) @ Lamar (7-8) Lamar (54.6%) 07:00 PM 45
Missouri (12-3) @ Ole Miss (8-7) Ole Miss (54.2%) 06:00 PM 56
North Dakota (8-11) @ Kansas City (4-13) North Dakota (54.0%) DOG 08:00 PM 46
Kansas State (9-6) @ Arizona State (9-6) Arizona State (53.8%) 03:00 PM 46
Providence (8-7) @ Xavier (9-7) Xavier (53.7%) DOG 04:00 PM 46
St. John's (10-5) @ Creighton (10-6) Creighton (53.4%) 02:00 PM 67
Cal State Northridge (10-7) @ Cal State Fullerton (7-10) Cal State Northridge (53.3%) DOG 07:00 PM 47
Grambling (8-7) @ Bethune-Cookman (4-10) Bethune-Cookman (52.9%) 05:30 PM 47
Kansas #22 (11-4) @ West Virginia (10-5) Kansas (52.7%) 12:00 PM 82
Central Arkansas (7-9) @ Eastern Kentucky (5-11) Eastern Kentucky (52.6%) DOG 04:00 PM 47
Nicholls (7-8) @ New Orleans (6-10) Nicholls (52.1%) DOG 06:00 PM 48
Utah State (13-1) @ Boise State (9-6) Utah State (52.1%) 09:00 PM 58
Montana State (9-7) @ Idaho (9-6) Idaho (51.5%) DOG 05:00 PM 48
App State (10-7) @ Coastal Carolina (8-9) App State (51.4%) 01:00 PM 49
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (5-10) @ Texas Southern (2-11) Texas Southern (51.2%) DOG 05:00 PM 49
Seton Hall (13-2) @ Georgetown (9-6) Seton Hall (51.2%) 06:00 PM 59
Maine (2-15) @ NJIT (7-10) NJIT (51.0%) 02:00 PM 49
Lipscomb (9-7) @ Florida Gulf Coast (7-9) Florida Gulf Coast (50.8%) 04:00 PM 49
Eastern Michigan (8-8) @ Western Michigan (6-9) Eastern Michigan (50.7%) 01:00 PM 49
VCU (11-5) @ George Mason (15-1) George Mason (50.7%) DOG 12:00 PM 69
Central Connecticut (8-6) @ Le Moyne (7-9) Le Moyne (50.7%) 01:00 PM 49
Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
Alcorn State (1-12) @ Alabama A&M (8-7) Alabama A&M (85.2%) 05:00 PM 15
Georgia Southern (12-5) @ South Alabama (11-5) South Alabama (66.0%) 02:00 PM 54
Presbyterian (8-9) @ Longwood (9-9) Longwood (66.4%) 03:00 PM 34
South Florida (9-6) @ Tulsa (13-2) Tulsa (65.8%) 03:00 PM 44
Little Rock (6-10) @ Lindenwood (10-6) Lindenwood (74.6%) 04:30 PM 25
UNC Asheville (7-10) @ Radford (9-8) Radford (71.9%) 02:30 PM 28
Abilene Christian (10-6) @ UT Arlington (10-5) UT Arlington (65.6%) 03:00 PM 54
San Diego (7-10) @ Pacific (11-7) Pacific (82.3%) 07:00 PM 18
Campbell (9-8) @ Elon (10-6) Elon (69.9%) 07:00 PM 30
Jackson State (2-12) @ Alabama State (4-11) Alabama State (80.5%) 04:00 PM 20
Denver (8-10) @ South Dakota (8-9) South Dakota (56.5%) DOG 02:00 PM 44
Yale (12-2) @ Princeton (5-11) Yale (82.9%) DOG 02:00 PM 27
Lafayette (4-12) @ Navy (11-5) Navy (85.4%) 02:00 PM 15
Howard (9-7) @ Maryland Eastern Shore (5-13) Howard (64.3%) DOG 04:30 PM 36
Montana (9-7) @ Eastern Washington (2-13) Montana (57.8%) 05:00 PM 42
South Carolina State (2-14) @ Morgan State (3-12) Morgan State (65.3%) 04:00 PM 35
Delaware (5-10) @ Louisiana Tech (8-7) Louisiana Tech (79.4%) 03:00 PM 21
Fairleigh Dickinson (5-11) @ New Haven (6-10) New Haven (60.7%) 01:00 PM 39
Holy Cross (6-10) @ American University (9-7) American University (79.9%) 04:00 PM 20
High Point (15-3) @ Charleston Southern (11-7) High Point (79.7%) DOG 02:00 PM 40
New Hampshire (4-11) @ UMBC (8-6) UMBC (73.8%) 01:00 PM 26
Villanova (12-3) @ Marquette (6-10) Villanova (70.0%) DOG 02:30 PM 40
Houston Christian (5-10) @ Stephen F. Austin (12-3) Stephen F. Austin (92.2%) 06:00 PM 18
North Carolina Central (5-11) @ Coppin State (3-15) North Carolina Central (76.2%) DOG 04:30 PM 24
Harvard (7-8) @ Columbia (12-3) Columbia (76.8%) 02:00 PM 33
UT Martin (12-4) @ Southern Indiana (3-12) UT Martin (71.6%) DOG 08:30 PM 38
Austin Peay (9-5) @ Stetson (6-10) Austin Peay (79.9%) DOG 02:00 PM 20
Samford (9-7) @ Chattanooga (6-10) Chattanooga (55.7%) 04:30 PM 44
Utah Tech (9-8) @ Utah Valley (13-4) Utah Valley (90.3%) 04:00 PM 20
Chicago State (1-14) @ Stonehill (4-12) Stonehill (67.3%) 02:00 PM 33
Dartmouth (7-7) @ Cornell (7-7) Cornell (76.0%) 02:00 PM 24
Providence (8-7) @ Xavier (9-7) Xavier (53.7%) DOG 04:00 PM 46
Sacramento State (4-10) @ Portland State (8-5) Portland State (84.6%) 05:00 PM 15
Evansville (4-13) @ Indiana State (8-8) Indiana State (77.7%) 01:00 PM 22
Tulane (11-4) @ UTSA (4-11) Tulane (76.4%) DOG 05:00 PM 34
VCU (11-5) @ George Mason (15-1) George Mason (50.7%) DOG 12:00 PM 69
Maryland (7-8) @ UCLA (10-5) UCLA (89.0%) 08:00 PM 11
Wake Forest (10-6) @ North Carolina #17 (13-2) North Carolina (85.4%) 06:00 PM 50
San Francisco (11-7) @ Pepperdine (5-13) San Francisco (81.5%) DOG 08:00 PM 18
UT Rio Grande Valley (6-9) @ East Texas A&M (6-10) UT Rio Grande Valley (63.8%) DOG 06:00 PM 36
West Georgia (9-6) @ Jacksonville (5-11) Jacksonville (55.0%) 03:00 PM 45
UC San Diego (12-4) @ UC Riverside (6-10) UC San Diego (85.1%) DOG 08:00 PM 25
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (8-7) @ Northwestern State (4-11) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (64.4%) DOG 04:30 PM 36
Old Dominion (5-12) @ James Madison (8-8) James Madison (70.8%) 04:00 PM 29
Wisconsin (10-5) @ Michigan #2 (14-0) Michigan (95.8%) 01:00 PM 44
Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
Mercyhurst (6-10) @ Wagner (6-8) Wagner (67.7%) 01:00 PM 32
Presbyterian (8-9) @ Longwood (9-9) Longwood (66.4%) 03:00 PM 34
Georgia Southern (12-5) @ South Alabama (11-5) South Alabama (66.0%) 02:00 PM 54
South Florida (9-6) @ Tulsa (13-2) Tulsa (65.8%) 03:00 PM 44
Abilene Christian (10-6) @ UT Arlington (10-5) UT Arlington (65.6%) 03:00 PM 54
South Carolina State (2-14) @ Morgan State (3-12) Morgan State (65.3%) 04:00 PM 35
Howard (9-7) @ Maryland Eastern Shore (5-13) Howard (64.3%) 04:30 PM 36
Tennessee State (10-5) @ Eastern Illinois (5-10) Tennessee State (61.9%) 04:30 PM 38
Southern (5-10) @ Florida A&M (2-9) Southern (61.7%) 06:00 PM 38
Fairleigh Dickinson (5-11) @ New Haven (6-10) New Haven (60.7%) 01:00 PM 39
William & Mary (11-5) @ Drexel (7-10) William & Mary (58.4%) 02:00 PM 42
Syracuse (10-5) @ Pittsburgh (7-8) Pittsburgh (58.1%) 02:00 PM 42
Arkansas #15 (12-3) @ Auburn (9-6) Auburn (57.9%) 06:00 PM 67
Montana (9-7) @ Eastern Washington (2-13) Montana (57.8%) DOG 05:00 PM 42
Oregon State (9-9) @ Portland (8-10) Portland (57.6%) 08:00 PM 42
Rhode Island (9-7) @ Davidson (10-5) Davidson (57.4%) 02:00 PM 43
Liberty (12-3) @ Sam Houston (9-6) Liberty (57.0%) 03:30 PM 53
Tennessee Tech (6-10) @ Western Illinois (4-12) Tennessee Tech (56.6%) 04:30 PM 43
Houston #7 (14-1) @ Baylor (10-4) Houston (56.6%) 01:00 PM 78
Denver (8-10) @ South Dakota (8-9) South Dakota (56.5%) DOG 02:00 PM 44
Florida International (9-6) @ Missouri State (9-6) Missouri State (56.3%) 05:00 PM 44
Samford (9-7) @ Chattanooga (6-10) Chattanooga (55.7%) 04:30 PM 44
Clemson (13-3) @ Notre Dame (10-5) Clemson (55.5%) 06:00 PM 64
Brown (6-8) @ Pennsylvania (7-7) Pennsylvania (55.4%) 02:00 PM 45
West Georgia (9-6) @ Jacksonville (5-11) Jacksonville (55.0%) 03:00 PM 45
Towson (8-9) @ Northeastern (5-10) Towson (55.0%) 02:00 PM 45
Bryant (5-11) @ UAlbany (4-12) UAlbany (55.0%) 02:00 PM 45
UC Davis (9-6) @ Cal Poly (6-11) UC Davis (54.7%) 05:00 PM 45
Incarnate Word (8-7) @ Lamar (7-8) Lamar (54.6%) 07:00 PM 45
Missouri (12-3) @ Ole Miss (8-7) Ole Miss (54.2%) 06:00 PM 56
North Dakota (8-11) @ Kansas City (4-13) North Dakota (54.0%) DOG 08:00 PM 46
Kansas State (9-6) @ Arizona State (9-6) Arizona State (53.8%) 03:00 PM 46
Providence (8-7) @ Xavier (9-7) Xavier (53.7%) DOG 04:00 PM 46
St. John's (10-5) @ Creighton (10-6) Creighton (53.4%) 02:00 PM 67
Cal State Northridge (10-7) @ Cal State Fullerton (7-10) Cal State Northridge (53.3%) DOG 07:00 PM 47
Kansas #22 (11-4) @ West Virginia (10-5) Kansas (52.7%) 12:00 PM 82
Central Arkansas (7-9) @ Eastern Kentucky (5-11) Eastern Kentucky (52.6%) DOG 04:00 PM 47
Nicholls (7-8) @ New Orleans (6-10) Nicholls (52.1%) DOG 06:00 PM 48
Utah State (13-1) @ Boise State (9-6) Utah State (52.1%) 09:00 PM 58
Montana State (9-7) @ Idaho (9-6) Idaho (51.5%) DOG 05:00 PM 48
App State (10-7) @ Coastal Carolina (8-9) App State (51.4%) 01:00 PM 49
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (5-10) @ Texas Southern (2-11) Texas Southern (51.2%) DOG 05:00 PM 49
Seton Hall (13-2) @ Georgetown (9-6) Seton Hall (51.2%) 06:00 PM 59
Maine (2-15) @ NJIT (7-10) NJIT (51.0%) 02:00 PM 49
Lipscomb (9-7) @ Florida Gulf Coast (7-9) Florida Gulf Coast (50.8%) 04:00 PM 49
Eastern Michigan (8-8) @ Western Michigan (6-9) Eastern Michigan (50.7%) 01:00 PM 49
VCU (11-5) @ George Mason (15-1) George Mason (50.7%) DOG 12:00 PM 69
Central Connecticut (8-6) @ Le Moyne (7-9) Le Moyne (50.7%) 01:00 PM 49
Game Prediction Edge Time (ET) Hype Level
VCU (11-5) @ George Mason (15-1) George Mason (50.7%) DOG +4.0% 12:00 PM 69
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Expected Value Time (ET)
Air Force vs New Mexico Air Force DOG 14.0% +1250 ⭐⭐⭐ +89.1% 03:00 PM
La Salle vs Saint Louis La Salle DOG 15.3% +850 ⭐⭐⭐ +45.6% 04:00 PM
North Florida vs Queens University North Florida DOG 33.5% +310 ⭐⭐⭐ +37.3% 02:00 PM
Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
Alcorn State (1-12) @ Alabama A&M (8-7) Alabama A&M (85.2%) 05:00 PM 15
Game Prediction Edge Time (ET) Hype Level
Alcorn State (1-12) @ Alabama A&M (8-7) Alabama A&M (85.2%) +10.1% 05:00 PM 15
Georgia Southern (12-5) @ South Alabama (11-5) South Alabama (66.0%) +9.8% 02:00 PM 54
Presbyterian (8-9) @ Longwood (9-9) Longwood (66.4%) +9.2% 03:00 PM 34
South Florida (9-6) @ Tulsa (13-2) Tulsa (65.8%) +9.2% 03:00 PM 44
Little Rock (6-10) @ Lindenwood (10-6) Lindenwood (74.6%) +8.9% 04:30 PM 25
UNC Asheville (7-10) @ Radford (9-8) Radford (71.9%) +8.8% 02:30 PM 28
Abilene Christian (10-6) @ UT Arlington (10-5) UT Arlington (65.6%) +8.5% 03:00 PM 54
San Diego (7-10) @ Pacific (11-7) Pacific (82.3%) +7.8% 07:00 PM 18
Campbell (9-8) @ Elon (10-6) Elon (69.9%) +7.8% 07:00 PM 30
Jackson State (2-12) @ Alabama State (4-11) Alabama State (80.5%) +7.6% 04:00 PM 20
Denver (8-10) @ South Dakota (8-9) South Dakota (56.5%) +7.5% 02:00 PM 44
Yale (12-2) @ Princeton (5-11) Yale (82.9%) +7.2% 02:00 PM 27
Lafayette (4-12) @ Navy (11-5) Navy (85.4%) +7.2% 02:00 PM 15
Howard (9-7) @ Maryland Eastern Shore (5-13) Howard (64.3%) +7.1% 04:30 PM 36
Montana (9-7) @ Eastern Washington (2-13) Montana (57.8%) +7.1% 05:00 PM 42
South Carolina State (2-14) @ Morgan State (3-12) Morgan State (65.3%) +7.0% 04:00 PM 35
Delaware (5-10) @ Louisiana Tech (8-7) Louisiana Tech (79.4%) +7.0% 03:00 PM 21
Fairleigh Dickinson (5-11) @ New Haven (6-10) New Haven (60.7%) +7.0% 01:00 PM 39
Holy Cross (6-10) @ American University (9-7) American University (79.9%) +6.5% 04:00 PM 20
High Point (15-3) @ Charleston Southern (11-7) High Point (79.7%) +6.4% 02:00 PM 40
New Hampshire (4-11) @ UMBC (8-6) UMBC (73.8%) +6.3% 01:00 PM 26
Villanova (12-3) @ Marquette (6-10) Villanova (70.0%) +5.9% 02:30 PM 40
Houston Christian (5-10) @ Stephen F. Austin (12-3) Stephen F. Austin (92.2%) +5.8% 06:00 PM 18
North Carolina Central (5-11) @ Coppin State (3-15) North Carolina Central (76.2%) +5.8% 04:30 PM 24
Harvard (7-8) @ Columbia (12-3) Columbia (76.8%) +5.8% 02:00 PM 33
UT Martin (12-4) @ Southern Indiana (3-12) UT Martin (71.6%) +5.7% 08:30 PM 38
Austin Peay (9-5) @ Stetson (6-10) Austin Peay (79.9%) +5.4% 02:00 PM 20
Game Prediction Edge Time (ET) Hype Level
Alcorn State (1-12) @ Alabama A&M (8-7) Alabama A&M (85.2%) +10.1% 05:00 PM 15

Model Explainability (SHAP Analysis)

SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values show which features have the most impact on our model's predictions. The values below represent the mean absolute SHAP value across all 149 games today.

XGBoost Win/Loss Model

Feature importance for win/loss predictions. Higher values indicate stronger influence on the predicted outcome.

Efficiency Diff
0.2886
Point Spread
0.2705
Srs Diff Rolling
0.1687
Away Team Implied Probability
0.1675
Home Team Implied Probability
0.0780
Away Moneyline
0.0698
Home Last10 Margin
0.0503
Home Moneyline
0.0372
Away Offensive Rating
0.0265
Away Team Win %
0.0263
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