Breaking Vegas - Daily Predictions | Sunday, February 22, 2026

Model Information

XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game	Prediction ⇅	Time (ET) ⇅	Hype Level ⇅
Fairfield (17-11) @ Quinnipiac (18-10)	Quinnipiac (87.6%)	02:00 PM	32
02:00 PM +18.7% EDGE Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 17-11 vs 18-10 Fairfield 12.4% Quinnipiac 87.6% Model Pick Quinnipiac 87.6% Pick Spread Quinnipiac -6.0 Home ML -250 Away ML +210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.7% MODEL PROB 87.6% VEGAS TRUE 68.9% VEGAS JUICED 71.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairfield 74 vs Quinnipiac 72 Total 146.6 Margin -1.6 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.2 @58%
Canisius (9-19) @ Mount St. Mary's (13-15)	Mount St. Mary's (83.8%)	02:00 PM	16
02:00 PM +7.6% EDGE Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's 9-19 vs 13-15 Canisius 16.2% Mount St. Mary's 83.8% Model Pick Mount St. Mary's 83.8% Pick Spread Mount St. Mary's -7.5 Home ML -400 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.6% MODEL PROB 83.8% VEGAS TRUE 76.2% VEGAS JUICED 80.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Canisius 66 vs Mount St. Mary's 65 Total 131.1 Margin -0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 137.0 @68%
Sacred Heart (12-17) @ Marist (17-10)	Marist (77.1%)	02:00 PM	23
02:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Sacred Heart @ Marist 12-17 vs 17-10 Sacred Heart 22.9% Marist 77.1% Model Pick Marist 77.1% Pick Spread Marist -7.5 Home ML -390 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.0% MODEL PROB 77.1% VEGAS TRUE 76.1% VEGAS JUICED 79.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Sacred Heart 66 vs Marist 74 Total 140.8 Margin +8.2 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.5 @67%
Milwaukee (11-18) @ Oakland (14-14)	Oakland (76.9%)	03:00 PM	23
03:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Milwaukee @ Oakland 11-18 vs 14-14 Milwaukee 23.1% Oakland 76.9% Model Pick Oakland 76.9% Pick Spread Oakland -7.0 Home ML -340 Away ML +270 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.8% MODEL PROB 76.9% VEGAS TRUE 74.1% VEGAS JUICED 77.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Milwaukee 77 vs Oakland 83 Total 159.8 Margin +6.0 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.2 @51%
Towson (14-13) @ Drexel (14-14)	Towson (76.0%)	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PM +21.3% EDGECLOSE Towson @ Drexel 14-13 vs 14-14 Towson 76.0% Drexel 24.0% Model Pick Towson 76.0% Pick Spread Towson -1.5 Home ML +112 Away ML -132 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 54.8% VEGAS JUICED 57.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 61 vs Drexel 62 Total 123.0 Margin +1.4 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 131.2 @74%
Rice (11-15) @ Tulane (16-10)	Tulane (75.9%)	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PM +10.1% EDGE Rice @ Tulane 11-15 vs 16-10 Rice 24.1% Tulane 75.9% Model Pick Tulane 75.9% Pick Spread Tulane -5.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.1% MODEL PROB 75.9% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rice 75 vs Tulane 72 Total 146.4 Margin -3.0 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +8.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.5 @53%
Niagara (7-20) @ Rider (3-23)	Rider (74.3%) DOG	02:00 PM	26
02:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Niagara @ Rider 7-20 vs 3-23 Niagara 25.7% Rider 74.3% Model Pick Rider 74.3% Pick Spread Rider +2.0 Home ML -102 Away ML -119 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +26.1% MODEL PROB 74.3% VEGAS TRUE 48.2% VEGAS JUICED 50.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Niagara 61 vs Rider 60 Total 121.6 Margin -1.2 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 131.2 @77%
UAB (17-10) @ Memphis (12-14)	Memphis (73.8%)	12:00 PM	26
12:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT UAB @ Memphis 17-10 vs 12-14 UAB 26.2% Memphis 73.8% Model Pick Memphis 73.8% Pick Spread Memphis -6.0 Home ML -200 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +9.5% MODEL PROB 73.8% VEGAS TRUE 64.3% VEGAS JUICED 66.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UAB 73 vs Memphis 76 Total 148.8 Margin +2.4 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff -3.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 152.5 @61%
UTSA (5-21) @ Tulsa (21-6)	Tulsa (73.6%)	04:00 PM	36
04:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT UTSA @ Tulsa 5-21 vs 21-6 UTSA 26.4% Tulsa 73.6% Model Pick Tulsa 73.6% Pick Spread Tulsa -22.5 Home ML -10000 Away ML +1600 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -20.8% MODEL PROB 73.6% VEGAS TRUE 94.4% VEGAS JUICED 99.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UTSA 69 vs Tulsa 91 Total 160.8 Margin +22.0 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 159.5 @54%
Boston University (13-15) @ Lehigh (12-16)	Lehigh (72.6%) DOG	12:00 PM	27
12:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Boston University @ Lehigh 13-15 vs 12-16 Boston University 27.4% Lehigh 72.6% Model Pick Lehigh 72.6% Pick Spread Lehigh +2.0 Home ML -108 Away ML -116 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +23.5% MODEL PROB 72.6% VEGAS TRUE 49.2% VEGAS JUICED 51.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Boston University 77 vs Lehigh 76 Total 152.5 Margin -1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.2 @78%
Ohio State (17-9) @ Michigan State #15 (21-5)	Michigan State (68.0%)	01:00 PM	67
01:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Ohio State @ Michigan State #15 17-9 vs 21-5 Ohio State 32.0% Michigan State 68.0% Model Pick Michigan State 68.0% Pick Spread Michigan State -10.5 Home ML -567 Away ML +412 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -13.3% MODEL PROB 68.0% VEGAS TRUE 81.3% VEGAS JUICED 85.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Ohio State 70 vs Michigan State 75 Total 144.7 Margin +4.9 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff -5.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.2 @55%
Purdue Fort Wayne (15-13) @ Cleveland State (10-18)	Purdue Fort Wayne (66.9%)	02:00 PM	33
02:00 PM +10.6% EDGECLOSE Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State 15-13 vs 10-18 Purdue Fort Wayne 66.9% Cleveland State 33.1% Model Pick Purdue Fort Wayne 66.9% Pick Spread Purdue Fort Wayne -3.5 Home ML +120 Away ML -142 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 66.9% VEGAS TRUE 56.3% VEGAS JUICED 58.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Purdue Fort Wayne 76 vs Cleveland State 80 Total 155.7 Margin +3.9 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.5 @70%
Robert Morris (18-10) @ Wright State (18-10)	Robert Morris (64.0%) DOG	02:00 PM	56
02:00 PM +26.1% EDGEUNDERDOG Robert Morris @ Wright State 18-10 vs 18-10 Robert Morris 64.0% Wright State 36.0% Model Pick Robert Morris 64.0% Pick Spread Robert Morris +4.5 Home ML -180 Away ML +155 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +26.1% MODEL PROB 64.0% VEGAS TRUE 37.9% VEGAS JUICED 39.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Robert Morris 80 vs Wright State 81 Total 161.5 Margin +0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff -3.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.8 @87%
Northern Kentucky (17-11) @ Youngstown State (14-14)	Northern Kentucky (63.3%) DOG	02:00 PM	37
02:00 PM +21.3% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State 17-11 vs 14-14 Northern Kentucky 63.3% Youngstown State 36.7% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 63.3% Pick Spread Northern Kentucky +2.0 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 63.3% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Kentucky 75 vs Youngstown State 79 Total 153.8 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @53%
Saint Peter's (15-10) @ Siena (18-10)	Saint Peter's (62.3%) DOG	02:00 PM	38
02:00 PM +29.2% EDGEUNDERDOG Saint Peter's @ Siena 15-10 vs 18-10 Saint Peter's 62.3% Siena 37.7% Model Pick Saint Peter's 62.3% Pick Spread Saint Peter's +6.0 Home ML -230 Away ML +190 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.2% MODEL PROB 62.3% VEGAS TRUE 33.1% VEGAS JUICED 34.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Peter's 66 vs Siena 69 Total 134.5 Margin +2.9 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.2 @55%
Iowa (19-7) @ Wisconsin #24 (18-8)	Wisconsin (61.0%)	04:00 PM	74
04:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Iowa @ Wisconsin #24 19-7 vs 18-8 Iowa 39.0% Wisconsin 61.0% Model Pick Wisconsin 61.0% Pick Spread Wisconsin -3.0 Home ML -142 Away ML +122 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.4% MODEL PROB 61.0% VEGAS TRUE 56.6% VEGAS JUICED 58.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Iowa 77 vs Wisconsin 71 Total 147.3 Margin -5.9 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.5 @51%
American University (15-13) @ Lafayette (9-19)	Lafayette (60.0%) DOG	12:00 PM	40
12:00 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT American University @ Lafayette 15-13 vs 9-19 American University 40.0% Lafayette 60.0% Model Pick Lafayette 60.0% Pick Spread Lafayette +4.0 Home ML +165 Away ML -195 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +23.6% MODEL PROB 60.0% VEGAS TRUE 36.3% VEGAS JUICED 37.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE American University 71 vs Lafayette 65 Total 136.0 Margin -6.2 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 141.0 @65%
Florida Atlantic (15-12) @ North Texas (15-12)	North Texas (59.7%)	04:00 PM	40
04:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Florida Atlantic @ North Texas 15-12 vs 15-12 Florida Atlantic 40.3% North Texas 59.7% Model Pick North Texas 59.7% Pick Spread North Texas -2.5 Home ML -145 Away ML +125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.5% MODEL PROB 59.7% VEGAS TRUE 57.1% VEGAS JUICED 59.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida Atlantic 72 vs North Texas 71 Total 142.3 Margin -1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff +3.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.5 @56%
Holy Cross (9-19) @ Bucknell (8-20)	Holy Cross (57.9%) DOG	12:00 PM	42
12:00 PM +15.8% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG Holy Cross @ Bucknell 9-19 vs 8-20 Holy Cross 57.9% Bucknell 42.1% Model Pick Holy Cross 57.9% Pick Spread Holy Cross +2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +15.8% MODEL PROB 57.9% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Holy Cross 63 vs Bucknell 66 Total 128.9 Margin +3.7 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.0 @86%
Green Bay (16-13) @ Detroit Mercy (13-13)	Green Bay (55.7%) DOG	01:00 PM	44
01:00 PM +8.5% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy 16-13 vs 13-13 Green Bay 55.7% Detroit Mercy 44.3% Model Pick Green Bay 55.7% Pick Spread Green Bay +0.0 Home ML -120 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.5% MODEL PROB 55.7% VEGAS TRUE 47.2% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Green Bay 77 vs Detroit Mercy 76 Total 153.2 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.0 @68%
Iona (16-12) @ Merrimack (19-9)	Merrimack (53.4%)	01:00 PM	47
01:00 PM Iona @ Merrimack 16-12 vs 19-9 Iona 46.6% Merrimack 53.4% Model Pick Merrimack 53.4% Pick Spread Merrimack -7.0 Home ML -340 Away ML +270 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -20.7% MODEL PROB 53.4% VEGAS TRUE 74.1% VEGAS JUICED 77.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Iona 66 vs Merrimack 66 Total 131.5 Margin +0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff -6.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 137.2 @67%

TIERED RECOMMENDATION SYSTEM

⭐ PREMIUM: 80%+ conf, 5+ edge (88.5% win, 69.1% ROI) • ✓ GOOD: 75%+ conf, 7+ edge (82.7% win, 57.9% ROI)

Based on 4,181 game analysis • Updated Feb 9, 2026

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Rice (11-15) @ Tulane (16-10)	Tulane (75.9%) ✓ GOOD	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PM+8.0 PTS EDGE Rice @ Tulane 11-15 vs 16-10 Rice 24.1% Tulane 75.9% Model Pick Tulane (75.9%) Pick Spread Tulane -5.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 SPREAD EDGE +8.0 pts PREDICTED MARGIN -3.0 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rice 75 vs Tulane 72 Total 146.4 Margin -3.0 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +8.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.5 @53%
Fairfield (17-11) @ Quinnipiac (18-10)	Quinnipiac (87.6%) ⭐ PREMIUM	02:00 PM	32
02:00 PM+7.8 PTS EDGE Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 17-11 vs 18-10 Fairfield 12.4% Quinnipiac 87.6% Model Pick Quinnipiac (87.6%) Pick Spread Quinnipiac -6.0 Home ML -250 Away ML +210 SPREAD EDGE +7.8 pts PREDICTED MARGIN -1.6 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairfield 74 vs Quinnipiac 72 Total 146.6 Margin -1.6 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.2 @58%
Canisius (9-19) @ Mount St. Mary's (13-15)	Mount St. Mary's (83.8%) ⭐ PREMIUM	02:00 PM	16
02:00 PM+7.8 PTS EDGE Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's 9-19 vs 13-15 Canisius 16.2% Mount St. Mary's 83.8% Model Pick Mount St. Mary's (83.8%) Pick Spread Mount St. Mary's -7.5 Home ML -400 Away ML +300 SPREAD EDGE +7.8 pts PREDICTED MARGIN -0.3 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Canisius 66 vs Mount St. Mary's 65 Total 131.1 Margin -0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 137.0 @68%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Saint Peter's (15-10) @ Siena (18-10)	Saint Peter's (62.3%)	02:00 PM	38
02:00 PM+29.2% EDGE Saint Peter's @ Siena 15-10 vs 18-10 Saint Peter's 62.3% Siena 37.7% Model Pick Saint Peter's 62.3% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -230 Away ML +190 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.2% MODEL PROB 62.3% VEGAS TRUE 33.1% VEGAS JUICED 34.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Peter's 66 vs Siena 69 Total 134.5 Margin +2.9 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.2 @55%
Robert Morris (18-10) @ Wright State (18-10)	Robert Morris (64.0%)	02:00 PM	56
02:00 PM+26.1% EDGE Robert Morris @ Wright State 18-10 vs 18-10 Robert Morris 64.0% Wright State 36.0% Model Pick Robert Morris 64.0% Pick Spread -4.5 Home ML -180 Away ML +155 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +26.1% MODEL PROB 64.0% VEGAS TRUE 37.9% VEGAS JUICED 39.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Robert Morris 80 vs Wright State 81 Total 161.5 Margin +0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff -3.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.8 @87%
Northern Kentucky (17-11) @ Youngstown State (14-14)	Northern Kentucky (63.3%)	02:00 PM	37
02:00 PM+21.3% EDGE Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State 17-11 vs 14-14 Northern Kentucky 63.3% Youngstown State 36.7% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 63.3% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 63.3% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Kentucky 75 vs Youngstown State 79 Total 153.8 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @53%
Towson (14-13) @ Drexel (14-14)	Towson (76.0%) DOG	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PM+21.3% EDGE Towson @ Drexel 14-13 vs 14-14 Towson 76.0% Drexel 24.0% Model Pick Towson 76.0% Pick Spread +1.5 Home ML +112 Away ML -132 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 54.8% VEGAS JUICED 57.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 61 vs Drexel 62 Total 123.0 Margin +1.4 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 131.2 @74%
Fairfield (17-11) @ Quinnipiac (18-10)	Quinnipiac (87.6%)	02:00 PM	32
02:00 PM+18.7% EDGE Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 17-11 vs 18-10 Fairfield 12.4% Quinnipiac 87.6% Model Pick Quinnipiac 87.6% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -250 Away ML +210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.7% MODEL PROB 87.6% VEGAS TRUE 68.9% VEGAS JUICED 71.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairfield 74 vs Quinnipiac 72 Total 146.6 Margin -1.6 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.2 @58%
Holy Cross (9-19) @ Bucknell (8-20)	Holy Cross (57.9%)	12:00 PM	42
12:00 PM+15.8% EDGE Holy Cross @ Bucknell 9-19 vs 8-20 Holy Cross 57.9% Bucknell 42.1% Model Pick Holy Cross 57.9% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +15.8% MODEL PROB 57.9% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Holy Cross 63 vs Bucknell 66 Total 128.9 Margin +3.7 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.0 @86%
Purdue Fort Wayne (15-13) @ Cleveland State (10-18)	Purdue Fort Wayne (66.9%) DOG	02:00 PM	33
02:00 PM+10.6% EDGE Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State 15-13 vs 10-18 Purdue Fort Wayne 66.9% Cleveland State 33.1% Model Pick Purdue Fort Wayne 66.9% Pick Spread +3.5 Home ML +120 Away ML -142 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 66.9% VEGAS TRUE 56.3% VEGAS JUICED 58.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Purdue Fort Wayne 76 vs Cleveland State 80 Total 155.7 Margin +3.9 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.5 @70%
Rice (11-15) @ Tulane (16-10)	Tulane (75.9%)	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PM+10.1% EDGE Rice @ Tulane 11-15 vs 16-10 Rice 24.1% Tulane 75.9% Model Pick Tulane 75.9% Pick Spread -5.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.1% MODEL PROB 75.9% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rice 75 vs Tulane 72 Total 146.4 Margin -3.0 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +8.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.5 @53%
Green Bay (16-13) @ Detroit Mercy (13-13)	Green Bay (55.7%)	01:00 PM	44
01:00 PM+8.5% EDGE Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy 16-13 vs 13-13 Green Bay 55.7% Detroit Mercy 44.3% Model Pick Green Bay 55.7% Pick Spread +0.0 Home ML -120 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.5% MODEL PROB 55.7% VEGAS TRUE 47.2% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Green Bay 77 vs Detroit Mercy 76 Total 153.2 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.0 @68%
Canisius (9-19) @ Mount St. Mary's (13-15)	Mount St. Mary's (83.8%)	02:00 PM	16
02:00 PM+7.6% EDGE Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's 9-19 vs 13-15 Canisius 16.2% Mount St. Mary's 83.8% Model Pick Mount St. Mary's 83.8% Pick Spread -7.5 Home ML -400 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.6% MODEL PROB 83.8% VEGAS TRUE 76.2% VEGAS JUICED 80.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Canisius 66 vs Mount St. Mary's 65 Total 131.1 Margin -0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 137.0 @68%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Towson (14-13) @ Drexel (14-14)	Towson (76.0%)	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PMCLOSE Towson @ Drexel 14-13 vs 14-14 Towson 76.0% Drexel 24.0% Model Pick Towson 76.0% Pick Spread Towson -1.5 Home ML +112 Away ML -132 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 54.8% VEGAS JUICED 57.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 61 vs Drexel 62 Total 123.0 Margin +1.4 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 131.2 @74%
Niagara (7-20) @ Rider (3-23)	Rider (74.3%) DOG	02:00 PM	26
02:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Niagara @ Rider 7-20 vs 3-23 Niagara 25.7% Rider 74.3% Model Pick Rider 74.3% Pick Spread Rider +2.0 Home ML -102 Away ML -119 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +26.1% MODEL PROB 74.3% VEGAS TRUE 48.2% VEGAS JUICED 50.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Niagara 61 vs Rider 60 Total 121.6 Margin -1.2 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 131.2 @77%
Boston University (13-15) @ Lehigh (12-16)	Lehigh (72.6%) DOG	12:00 PM	27
12:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Boston University @ Lehigh 13-15 vs 12-16 Boston University 27.4% Lehigh 72.6% Model Pick Lehigh 72.6% Pick Spread Lehigh +2.0 Home ML -108 Away ML -116 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +23.5% MODEL PROB 72.6% VEGAS TRUE 49.2% VEGAS JUICED 51.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Boston University 77 vs Lehigh 76 Total 152.5 Margin -1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.2 @78%
Purdue Fort Wayne (15-13) @ Cleveland State (10-18)	Purdue Fort Wayne (66.9%)	02:00 PM	33
02:00 PMCLOSE Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State 15-13 vs 10-18 Purdue Fort Wayne 66.9% Cleveland State 33.1% Model Pick Purdue Fort Wayne 66.9% Pick Spread Purdue Fort Wayne -3.5 Home ML +120 Away ML -142 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 66.9% VEGAS TRUE 56.3% VEGAS JUICED 58.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Purdue Fort Wayne 76 vs Cleveland State 80 Total 155.7 Margin +3.9 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.5 @70%
Northern Kentucky (17-11) @ Youngstown State (14-14)	Northern Kentucky (63.3%) DOG	02:00 PM	37
02:00 PMCLOSE Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State 17-11 vs 14-14 Northern Kentucky 63.3% Youngstown State 36.7% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 63.3% Pick Spread Northern Kentucky +2.0 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 63.3% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Kentucky 75 vs Youngstown State 79 Total 153.8 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @53%
Iowa (19-7) @ Wisconsin #24 (18-8)	Wisconsin (61.0%)	04:00 PM	74
04:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Iowa @ Wisconsin #24 19-7 vs 18-8 Iowa 39.0% Wisconsin 61.0% Model Pick Wisconsin 61.0% Pick Spread Wisconsin -3.0 Home ML -142 Away ML +122 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.4% MODEL PROB 61.0% VEGAS TRUE 56.6% VEGAS JUICED 58.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Iowa 77 vs Wisconsin 71 Total 147.3 Margin -5.9 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.5 @51%
Florida Atlantic (15-12) @ North Texas (15-12)	North Texas (59.7%)	04:00 PM	40
04:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Florida Atlantic @ North Texas 15-12 vs 15-12 Florida Atlantic 40.3% North Texas 59.7% Model Pick North Texas 59.7% Pick Spread North Texas -2.5 Home ML -145 Away ML +125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.5% MODEL PROB 59.7% VEGAS TRUE 57.1% VEGAS JUICED 59.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida Atlantic 72 vs North Texas 71 Total 142.3 Margin -1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff +3.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.5 @56%
Holy Cross (9-19) @ Bucknell (8-20)	Holy Cross (57.9%) DOG	12:00 PM	42
12:00 PMCLOSE Holy Cross @ Bucknell 9-19 vs 8-20 Holy Cross 57.9% Bucknell 42.1% Model Pick Holy Cross 57.9% Pick Spread Holy Cross +2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +15.8% MODEL PROB 57.9% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Holy Cross 63 vs Bucknell 66 Total 128.9 Margin +3.7 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.0 @86%
Green Bay (16-13) @ Detroit Mercy (13-13)	Green Bay (55.7%) DOG	01:00 PM	44
01:00 PMCLOSE Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy 16-13 vs 13-13 Green Bay 55.7% Detroit Mercy 44.3% Model Pick Green Bay 55.7% Pick Spread Green Bay +0.0 Home ML -120 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.5% MODEL PROB 55.7% VEGAS TRUE 47.2% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Green Bay 77 vs Detroit Mercy 76 Total 153.2 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.0 @68%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Robert Morris (18-10) @ Wright State (18-10)	Robert Morris (64.0%) DOG	+26.1%	02:00 PM	56
02:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Robert Morris @ Wright State 18-10 vs 18-10 Robert Morris 64.0% Wright State 36.0% Model Pick Robert Morris 64.0% Pick Spread Robert Morris +4.5 Home ML -180 Away ML +155 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +26.1% MODEL PROB 64.0% VEGAS TRUE 37.9% VEGAS JUICED 39.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Robert Morris 80 vs Wright State 81 Total 161.5 Margin +0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff -3.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.8 @87%
Northern Kentucky (17-11) @ Youngstown State (14-14)	Northern Kentucky (63.3%) DOG	+21.3%	02:00 PM	37
02:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State 17-11 vs 14-14 Northern Kentucky 63.3% Youngstown State 36.7% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 63.3% Pick Spread Northern Kentucky +2.0 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 63.3% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Kentucky 75 vs Youngstown State 79 Total 153.8 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @53%
Saint Peter's (15-10) @ Siena (18-10)	Saint Peter's (62.3%) DOG	+29.2%	02:00 PM	38
02:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Saint Peter's @ Siena 15-10 vs 18-10 Saint Peter's 62.3% Siena 37.7% Model Pick Saint Peter's 62.3% Pick Spread Saint Peter's +6.0 Home ML -230 Away ML +190 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.2% MODEL PROB 62.3% VEGAS TRUE 33.1% VEGAS JUICED 34.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Peter's 66 vs Siena 69 Total 134.5 Margin +2.9 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.2 @55%
American University (15-13) @ Lafayette (9-19)	Lafayette (60.0%) DOG	+23.6%	12:00 PM	40
12:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT American University @ Lafayette 15-13 vs 9-19 American University 40.0% Lafayette 60.0% Model Pick Lafayette 60.0% Pick Spread Lafayette +4.0 Home ML +165 Away ML -195 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +23.6% MODEL PROB 60.0% VEGAS TRUE 36.3% VEGAS JUICED 37.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE American University 71 vs Lafayette 65 Total 136.0 Margin -6.2 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 141.0 @65%
Holy Cross (9-19) @ Bucknell (8-20)	Holy Cross (57.9%) DOG	+15.8%	12:00 PM	42
12:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Holy Cross @ Bucknell 9-19 vs 8-20 Holy Cross 57.9% Bucknell 42.1% Model Pick Holy Cross 57.9% Pick Spread Holy Cross +2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +15.8% MODEL PROB 57.9% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Holy Cross 63 vs Bucknell 66 Total 128.9 Margin +3.7 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.0 @86%
Green Bay (16-13) @ Detroit Mercy (13-13)	Green Bay (55.7%) DOG	+8.5%	01:00 PM	44
01:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy 16-13 vs 13-13 Green Bay 55.7% Detroit Mercy 44.3% Model Pick Green Bay 55.7% Pick Spread Green Bay +0.0 Home ML -120 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.5% MODEL PROB 55.7% VEGAS TRUE 47.2% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Green Bay 77 vs Detroit Mercy 76 Total 153.2 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.0 @68%

Game	Pick	Confidence	Moneyline	Expected Value	Time (ET)
UTSA @ Tulsa	UTSA DOG	26.4%	+1600	⭐⭐⭐ +348.9%	04:00 PM
Saint Peter's @ Siena	Saint Peter's DOG	62.3%	+190	⭐⭐⭐ +80.6%	02:00 PM
Iona @ Merrimack	Iona DOG	46.6%	+270	⭐⭐⭐ +72.4%	01:00 PM

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Fairfield (17-11) @ Quinnipiac (18-10)	Quinnipiac (87.6%)	02:00 PM	32
02:00 PM75%+ CONF +18.7% EDGE Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 17-11 vs 18-10 Fairfield 12.4% Quinnipiac 87.6% Model Pick Quinnipiac 87.6% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -250 Away ML +210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.7% MODEL PROB 87.6% VEGAS TRUE 68.9% VEGAS JUICED 71.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairfield 74 vs Quinnipiac 72 Total 146.6 Margin -1.6 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.2 @58%
Towson (14-13) @ Drexel (14-14)	Towson (76.0%)	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PM75%+ CONF +21.3% EDGE Towson @ Drexel 14-13 vs 14-14 Towson 76.0% Drexel 24.0% Model Pick Towson 76.0% Pick Spread +1.5 Home ML +112 Away ML -132 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 54.8% VEGAS JUICED 57.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 61 vs Drexel 62 Total 123.0 Margin +1.4 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 131.2 @74%
Rice (11-15) @ Tulane (16-10)	Tulane (75.9%)	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PM75%+ CONF +10.1% EDGE Rice @ Tulane 11-15 vs 16-10 Rice 24.1% Tulane 75.9% Model Pick Tulane 75.9% Pick Spread -5.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.1% MODEL PROB 75.9% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rice 75 vs Tulane 72 Total 146.4 Margin -3.0 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +8.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.5 @53%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Saint Peter's (15-10) @ Siena (18-10)	Saint Peter's (62.3%)	+29.2%	02:00 PM	38
02:00 PM+29.2% EDGE Saint Peter's @ Siena 15-10 vs 18-10 Saint Peter's 62.3% Siena 37.7% Model Pick Saint Peter's 62.3% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -230 Away ML +190 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.2% MODEL PROB 62.3% VEGAS TRUE 33.1% VEGAS JUICED 34.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Peter's 66 vs Siena 69 Total 134.5 Margin +2.9 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.2 @55%
Robert Morris (18-10) @ Wright State (18-10)	Robert Morris (64.0%)	+26.1%	02:00 PM	56
02:00 PM+26.1% EDGE Robert Morris @ Wright State 18-10 vs 18-10 Robert Morris 64.0% Wright State 36.0% Model Pick Robert Morris 64.0% Pick Spread -4.5 Home ML -180 Away ML +155 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +26.1% MODEL PROB 64.0% VEGAS TRUE 37.9% VEGAS JUICED 39.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Robert Morris 80 vs Wright State 81 Total 161.5 Margin +0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff -3.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.8 @87%
Northern Kentucky (17-11) @ Youngstown State (14-14)	Northern Kentucky (63.3%)	+21.3%	02:00 PM	37
02:00 PM+21.3% EDGE Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State 17-11 vs 14-14 Northern Kentucky 63.3% Youngstown State 36.7% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 63.3% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 63.3% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Kentucky 75 vs Youngstown State 79 Total 153.8 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @53%
Towson (14-13) @ Drexel (14-14)	Towson (76.0%)	+21.3%	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PM+21.3% EDGE Towson @ Drexel 14-13 vs 14-14 Towson 76.0% Drexel 24.0% Model Pick Towson 76.0% Pick Spread +1.5 Home ML +112 Away ML -132 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 54.8% VEGAS JUICED 57.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 61 vs Drexel 62 Total 123.0 Margin +1.4 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 131.2 @74%
Fairfield (17-11) @ Quinnipiac (18-10)	Quinnipiac (87.6%)	+18.7%	02:00 PM	32
02:00 PM+18.7% EDGE Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 17-11 vs 18-10 Fairfield 12.4% Quinnipiac 87.6% Model Pick Quinnipiac 87.6% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -250 Away ML +210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.7% MODEL PROB 87.6% VEGAS TRUE 68.9% VEGAS JUICED 71.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairfield 74 vs Quinnipiac 72 Total 146.6 Margin -1.6 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.2 @58%
Holy Cross (9-19) @ Bucknell (8-20)	Holy Cross (57.9%)	+15.8%	12:00 PM	42
12:00 PM+15.8% EDGE Holy Cross @ Bucknell 9-19 vs 8-20 Holy Cross 57.9% Bucknell 42.1% Model Pick Holy Cross 57.9% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +15.8% MODEL PROB 57.9% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Holy Cross 63 vs Bucknell 66 Total 128.9 Margin +3.7 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.0 @86%
Purdue Fort Wayne (15-13) @ Cleveland State (10-18)	Purdue Fort Wayne (66.9%)	+10.6%	02:00 PM	33
02:00 PM+10.6% EDGE Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State 15-13 vs 10-18 Purdue Fort Wayne 66.9% Cleveland State 33.1% Model Pick Purdue Fort Wayne 66.9% Pick Spread +3.5 Home ML +120 Away ML -142 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 66.9% VEGAS TRUE 56.3% VEGAS JUICED 58.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Purdue Fort Wayne 76 vs Cleveland State 80 Total 155.7 Margin +3.9 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.5 @70%
Rice (11-15) @ Tulane (16-10)	Tulane (75.9%)	+10.1%	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PM+10.1% EDGE Rice @ Tulane 11-15 vs 16-10 Rice 24.1% Tulane 75.9% Model Pick Tulane 75.9% Pick Spread -5.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.1% MODEL PROB 75.9% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rice 75 vs Tulane 72 Total 146.4 Margin -3.0 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +8.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.5 @53%
Green Bay (16-13) @ Detroit Mercy (13-13)	Green Bay (55.7%)	+8.5%	01:00 PM	44
01:00 PM+8.5% EDGE Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy 16-13 vs 13-13 Green Bay 55.7% Detroit Mercy 44.3% Model Pick Green Bay 55.7% Pick Spread +0.0 Home ML -120 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.5% MODEL PROB 55.7% VEGAS TRUE 47.2% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Green Bay 77 vs Detroit Mercy 76 Total 153.2 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.0 @68%
Canisius (9-19) @ Mount St. Mary's (13-15)	Mount St. Mary's (83.8%)	+7.6%	02:00 PM	16
02:00 PM+7.6% EDGE Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's 9-19 vs 13-15 Canisius 16.2% Mount St. Mary's 83.8% Model Pick Mount St. Mary's 83.8% Pick Spread -7.5 Home ML -400 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.6% MODEL PROB 83.8% VEGAS TRUE 76.2% VEGAS JUICED 80.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Canisius 66 vs Mount St. Mary's 65 Total 131.1 Margin -0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 137.0 @68%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Saint Peter's (15-10) @ Siena (18-10)	Saint Peter's (62.3%)	+29.2%	02:00 PM	38
02:00 PM+29.2% EDGE Saint Peter's @ Siena 15-10 vs 18-10 Saint Peter's 62.3% Siena 37.7% Model Pick Saint Peter's 62.3% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -230 Away ML +190 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.2% MODEL PROB 62.3% VEGAS TRUE 33.1% VEGAS JUICED 34.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Peter's 66 vs Siena 69 Total 134.5 Margin +2.9 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.2 @55%
Robert Morris (18-10) @ Wright State (18-10)	Robert Morris (64.0%)	+26.1%	02:00 PM	56
02:00 PM+26.1% EDGE Robert Morris @ Wright State 18-10 vs 18-10 Robert Morris 64.0% Wright State 36.0% Model Pick Robert Morris 64.0% Pick Spread -4.5 Home ML -180 Away ML +155 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +26.1% MODEL PROB 64.0% VEGAS TRUE 37.9% VEGAS JUICED 39.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Robert Morris 80 vs Wright State 81 Total 161.5 Margin +0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff -3.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.8 @87%
Northern Kentucky (17-11) @ Youngstown State (14-14)	Northern Kentucky (63.3%)	+21.3%	02:00 PM	37
02:00 PM+21.3% EDGE Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State 17-11 vs 14-14 Northern Kentucky 63.3% Youngstown State 36.7% Model Pick Northern Kentucky 63.3% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 63.3% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Kentucky 75 vs Youngstown State 79 Total 153.8 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @53%
Towson (14-13) @ Drexel (14-14)	Towson (76.0%)	+21.3%	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PM+21.3% EDGE Towson @ Drexel 14-13 vs 14-14 Towson 76.0% Drexel 24.0% Model Pick Towson 76.0% Pick Spread +1.5 Home ML +112 Away ML -132 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.3% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 54.8% VEGAS JUICED 57.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 61 vs Drexel 62 Total 123.0 Margin +1.4 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 131.2 @74%
Fairfield (17-11) @ Quinnipiac (18-10)	Quinnipiac (87.6%)	+18.7%	02:00 PM	32
02:00 PM+18.7% EDGE Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 17-11 vs 18-10 Fairfield 12.4% Quinnipiac 87.6% Model Pick Quinnipiac 87.6% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -250 Away ML +210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.7% MODEL PROB 87.6% VEGAS TRUE 68.9% VEGAS JUICED 71.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairfield 74 vs Quinnipiac 72 Total 146.6 Margin -1.6 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.2 @58%
Holy Cross (9-19) @ Bucknell (8-20)	Holy Cross (57.9%)	+15.8%	12:00 PM	42
12:00 PM+15.8% EDGE Holy Cross @ Bucknell 9-19 vs 8-20 Holy Cross 57.9% Bucknell 42.1% Model Pick Holy Cross 57.9% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +15.8% MODEL PROB 57.9% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Holy Cross 63 vs Bucknell 66 Total 128.9 Margin +3.7 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.0 @86%
Purdue Fort Wayne (15-13) @ Cleveland State (10-18)	Purdue Fort Wayne (66.9%)	+10.6%	02:00 PM	33
02:00 PM+10.6% EDGE Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State 15-13 vs 10-18 Purdue Fort Wayne 66.9% Cleveland State 33.1% Model Pick Purdue Fort Wayne 66.9% Pick Spread +3.5 Home ML +120 Away ML -142 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 66.9% VEGAS TRUE 56.3% VEGAS JUICED 58.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Purdue Fort Wayne 76 vs Cleveland State 80 Total 155.7 Margin +3.9 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.5 @70%
Rice (11-15) @ Tulane (16-10)	Tulane (75.9%)	+10.1%	02:00 PM	24
02:00 PM+10.1% EDGE Rice @ Tulane 11-15 vs 16-10 Rice 24.1% Tulane 75.9% Model Pick Tulane 75.9% Pick Spread -5.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.1% MODEL PROB 75.9% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rice 75 vs Tulane 72 Total 146.4 Margin -3.0 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +8.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.5 @53%

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