Breaking Vegas - Daily Predictions | Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Model Information

XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game	Prediction ⇅	Time (ET) ⇅	Hype Level ⇅
UCF (19-7) @ BYU #19 (20-7)	BYU (90.4%)	11:00 PM	45
11:00 PM UCF @ BYU #19 19-7 vs 20-7 UCF 9.6% BYU 90.4% Model Pick BYU 90.4% Pick Spread BYU -11.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UCF 76 vs BYU 80 Total 156.0 Margin +4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.5 @69%
Buffalo (16-11) @ Akron (22-5)	Akron (90.1%)	07:00 PM	20
07:00 PM Buffalo @ Akron 16-11 vs 22-5 Buffalo 9.9% Akron 90.1% Model Pick Akron 90.1% Pick Spread Akron -16.0 Home ML -1600 Away ML +800 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.6% MODEL PROB 90.1% VEGAS TRUE 89.4% VEGAS JUICED 94.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Buffalo 77 vs Akron 85 Total 162.2 Margin +8.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -7.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 157.2 @65%
Western Michigan (9-18) @ Bowling Green (16-12)	Bowling Green (87.4%)	07:00 PM	13
07:00 PM Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 9-18 vs 16-12 Western Michigan 12.6% Bowling Green 87.4% Model Pick Bowling Green 87.4% Pick Spread Bowling Green -12.0 Home ML -1100 Away ML +650 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.1% MODEL PROB 87.4% VEGAS TRUE 87.3% VEGAS JUICED 91.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Western Michigan 71 vs Bowling Green 76 Total 147.3 Margin +5.1 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.8 @57%
Northern Illinois (9-17) @ Toledo (14-13)	Toledo (87.2%)	07:00 PM	13
07:00 PM Northern Illinois @ Toledo 9-17 vs 14-13 Northern Illinois 12.8% Toledo 87.2% Model Pick Toledo 87.2% Pick Spread Toledo -11.5 Home ML -812 Away ML +545 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.0% MODEL PROB 87.2% VEGAS TRUE 85.2% VEGAS JUICED 89.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Illinois 71 vs Toledo 75 Total 145.4 Margin +4.0 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.8 @63%
Louisiana (10-19) @ Troy (18-11)	Troy (86.7%)	07:00 PM	13
07:00 PM Louisiana @ Troy 10-19 vs 18-11 Louisiana 13.3% Troy 86.7% Model Pick Troy 86.7% Pick Spread Troy -11.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Louisiana 65 vs Troy 67 Total 132.2 Margin +1.8 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff -9.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.5 @57%
Duke #1 (25-2) @ Notre Dame (12-15)	Duke (85.9%)	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM Duke #1 @ Notre Dame 25-2 vs 12-15 Duke 85.9% Notre Dame 14.1% Model Pick Duke 85.9% Pick Spread Duke -17.5 Home ML +1150 Away ML -3500 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -6.5% MODEL PROB 85.9% VEGAS TRUE 92.4% VEGAS JUICED 97.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Duke 79 vs Notre Dame 71 Total 150.3 Margin -7.9 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff -9.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.8 @79%
George Washington (15-12) @ La Salle (8-19)	George Washington (84.9%)	06:30 PM	15
06:30 PM +12.2% EDGE George Washington @ La Salle 15-12 vs 8-19 George Washington 84.9% La Salle 15.1% Model Pick George Washington 84.9% Pick Spread George Washington -7.0 Home ML +250 Away ML -320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.2% MODEL PROB 84.9% VEGAS TRUE 72.7% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE George Washington 73 vs La Salle 75 Total 148.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.5 @55%
Marquette (9-18) @ Georgetown (13-14)	Georgetown (84.9%)	07:00 PM	15
07:00 PM +25.0% EDGECLOSE Marquette @ Georgetown 9-18 vs 13-14 Marquette 15.1% Georgetown 84.9% Model Pick Georgetown 84.9% Pick Spread Georgetown -3.5 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.0% MODEL PROB 84.9% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Marquette 74 vs Georgetown 70 Total 143.8 Margin -4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.8 @70%
Iowa State #4 (23-4) @ Utah (10-17)	Iowa State (84.0%)	09:00 PM	46
09:00 PM Iowa State #4 @ Utah 23-4 vs 10-17 Iowa State 84.0% Utah 16.0% Model Pick Iowa State 84.0% Pick Spread Iowa State -13.0 Home ML +600 Away ML -950 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -2.4% MODEL PROB 84.0% VEGAS TRUE 86.4% VEGAS JUICED 90.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Iowa State 79 vs Utah 75 Total 153.9 Margin -4.7 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.5 @77%
Saint Louis #23 (25-2) @ Dayton (18-9)	Saint Louis (84.0%)	07:00 PM	51
07:00 PM +18.2% EDGE Saint Louis #23 @ Dayton 25-2 vs 18-9 Saint Louis 84.0% Dayton 16.0% Model Pick Saint Louis 84.0% Pick Spread Saint Louis -4.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.2% MODEL PROB 84.0% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Louis 77 vs Dayton 82 Total 158.5 Margin +4.9 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 156.2 @57%
Southern Indiana (7-21) @ Morehead State (17-12)	Morehead State (83.6%)	07:30 PM	16
07:30 PM +7.4% EDGE Southern Indiana @ Morehead State 7-21 vs 17-12 Southern Indiana 16.4% Morehead State 83.6% Model Pick Morehead State 83.6% Pick Spread Morehead State -8.0 Home ML -392 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.4% MODEL PROB 83.6% VEGAS TRUE 76.1% VEGAS JUICED 79.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Indiana 69 vs Morehead State 67 Total 136.3 Margin -1.5 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff +9.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.5 @68%
Minnesota (13-14) @ Michigan #3 (25-2)	Michigan (83.0%)	08:30 PM	47
08:30 PM Minnesota @ Michigan #3 13-14 vs 25-2 Minnesota 17.0% Michigan 83.0% Model Pick Michigan 83.0% Pick Spread Michigan -21.5 Home ML -20000 Away ML +2500 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -13.2% MODEL PROB 83.0% VEGAS TRUE 96.3% VEGAS JUICED 99.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Minnesota 67 vs Michigan 80 Total 146.8 Margin +13.6 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -7.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.8 @53%
St. Francis (PA) (6-22) @ New Haven (13-15)	New Haven (81.5%)	06:00 PM	18
06:00 PM +7.4% EDGE St. Francis (PA) @ New Haven 6-22 vs 13-15 St. Francis (PA) 18.5% New Haven 81.5% Model Pick New Haven 81.5% Pick Spread New Haven -7.5 Home ML -340 Away ML +270 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.4% MODEL PROB 81.5% VEGAS TRUE 74.1% VEGAS JUICED 77.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE St. Francis (PA) 64 vs New Haven 64 Total 128.1 Margin -0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 141.5 @85%
New Mexico (21-6) @ Nevada (18-9)	New Mexico (80.9%) DOG	11:00 PM	39
11:00 PM +29.9% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG New Mexico @ Nevada 21-6 vs 18-9 New Mexico 80.9% Nevada 19.1% Model Pick New Mexico 80.9% Pick Spread New Mexico +1.5 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.9% MODEL PROB 80.9% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE New Mexico 73 vs Nevada 73 Total 146.1 Margin -0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @66%
Auburn (15-12) @ Oklahoma (13-14)	Auburn (78.6%)	09:00 PM	21
09:00 PM +25.3% EDGECLOSE Auburn @ Oklahoma 15-12 vs 13-14 Auburn 78.6% Oklahoma 21.4% Model Pick Auburn 78.6% Pick Spread Auburn -2.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.3% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Auburn 75 vs Oklahoma 81 Total 156.2 Margin +5.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 157.8 @55%
Wyoming (15-12) @ Boise State (16-11)	Boise State (76.5%)	09:00 PM	24
09:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Wyoming @ Boise State 15-12 vs 16-11 Wyoming 23.5% Boise State 76.5% Model Pick Boise State 76.5% Pick Spread Boise State -8.5 Home ML -400 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.3% MODEL PROB 76.5% VEGAS TRUE 76.2% VEGAS JUICED 80.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Wyoming 73 vs Boise State 73 Total 145.7 Margin -0.5 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.0 @54%
Cincinnati (15-12) @ Texas Tech #16 (20-7)	Texas Tech (76.4%)	07:00 PM	49
07:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Cincinnati @ Texas Tech #16 15-12 vs 20-7 Cincinnati 23.6% Texas Tech 76.4% Model Pick Texas Tech 76.4% Pick Spread Texas Tech -7.0 Home ML -300 Away ML +250 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.0% MODEL PROB 76.4% VEGAS TRUE 72.4% VEGAS JUICED 75.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Cincinnati 73 vs Texas Tech 72 Total 145.7 Margin -0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.5 @63%
Arizona State (14-13) @ TCU (17-10)	TCU (76.1%)	09:00 PM	24
09:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Arizona State @ TCU 14-13 vs 17-10 Arizona State 23.9% TCU 76.1% Model Pick TCU 76.1% Pick Spread TCU -6.5 Home ML -300 Away ML +250 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.7% MODEL PROB 76.1% VEGAS TRUE 72.4% VEGAS JUICED 75.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arizona State 76 vs TCU 77 Total 152.5 Margin +1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff -5.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.5 @65%
NC State (19-8) @ Virginia #11 (24-3)	Virginia (75.1%)	07:00 PM	60
07:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT NC State @ Virginia #11 19-8 vs 24-3 NC State 24.9% Virginia 75.1% Model Pick Virginia 75.1% Pick Spread Virginia -6.5 Home ML -260 Away ML +215 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.6% MODEL PROB 75.1% VEGAS TRUE 69.5% VEGAS JUICED 72.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE NC State 79 vs Virginia 78 Total 156.7 Margin -1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 150.5 @68%
Southern Miss (15-14) @ Arkansas State (18-11)	Arkansas State (74.5%)	08:30 PM	26
08:30 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Southern Miss @ Arkansas State 15-14 vs 18-11 Southern Miss 25.5% Arkansas State 74.5% Model Pick Arkansas State 74.5% Pick Spread Arkansas State -8.5 Home ML -460 Away ML +340 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -3.8% MODEL PROB 74.5% VEGAS TRUE 78.3% VEGAS JUICED 82.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Miss 74 vs Arkansas State 76 Total 150.4 Margin +2.6 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -5.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 158.5 @73%
San José State (7-20) @ Air Force (3-24)	San José State (74.3%)	09:00 PM	26
09:00 PM San José State @ Air Force 7-20 vs 3-24 San José State 74.3% Air Force 25.7% Model Pick San José State 74.3% Pick Spread San José State -7.5 Home ML +260 Away ML -320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.0% MODEL PROB 74.3% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE San José State 64 vs Air Force 63 Total 127.8 Margin -1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @69% Diff -6.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.0 @88%
Massachusetts (15-13) @ Ball State (8-19)	Massachusetts (72.8%)	07:00 PM	27
07:00 PM +7.7% EDGE Massachusetts @ Ball State 15-13 vs 8-19 Massachusetts 72.8% Ball State 27.2% Model Pick Massachusetts 72.8% Pick Spread Massachusetts -5.0 Home ML +175 Away ML -210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.7% MODEL PROB 72.8% VEGAS TRUE 65.1% VEGAS JUICED 67.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Massachusetts 72 vs Ball State 75 Total 146.9 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.8 @68%
Bradley (19-10) @ UIC (16-13)	UIC (71.3%)	08:00 PM	29
08:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Bradley @ UIC 19-10 vs 16-13 Bradley 28.7% UIC 71.3% Model Pick UIC 71.3% Pick Spread UIC -3.0 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.3% MODEL PROB 71.3% VEGAS TRUE 58.0% VEGAS JUICED 60.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bradley 78 vs UIC 74 Total 152.2 Margin -3.2 Spread DOG COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.2 @78%
Coastal Carolina (17-12) @ Georgia State (10-19)	Georgia State (70.7%) DOG	07:30 PM	29
07:30 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State 17-12 vs 10-19 Coastal Carolina 29.3% Georgia State 70.7% Model Pick Georgia State 70.7% Pick Spread Georgia State +1.0 Home ML -115 Away ML -105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +19.7% MODEL PROB 70.7% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Coastal Carolina 73 vs Georgia State 70 Total 143.4 Margin -2.4 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.2 @57%
Old Dominion (10-19) @ Marshall (18-11)	Marshall (70.2%)	07:00 PM	30
07:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Old Dominion @ Marshall 10-19 vs 18-11 Old Dominion 29.8% Marshall 70.2% Model Pick Marshall 70.2% Pick Spread Marshall -7.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -3.0% MODEL PROB 70.2% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Old Dominion 73 vs Marshall 75 Total 148.0 Margin +2.4 Spread DOG COVERS @63% Diff -4.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 159.2 @81%
USC (18-9) @ UCLA (18-9)	UCLA (63.8%)	11:00 PM	56
11:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT USC @ UCLA 18-9 vs 18-9 USC 36.2% UCLA 63.8% Model Pick UCLA 63.8% Pick Spread UCLA -7.5 Home ML -300 Away ML +250 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -8.6% MODEL PROB 63.8% VEGAS TRUE 72.4% VEGAS JUICED 75.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE USC 73 vs UCLA 74 Total 146.6 Margin +1.4 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.5 @62%
West Virginia (16-11) @ Oklahoma State (16-11)	Oklahoma State (63.2%)	07:00 PM	37
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT West Virginia @ Oklahoma State 16-11 vs 16-11 West Virginia 36.8% Oklahoma State 63.2% Model Pick Oklahoma State 63.2% Pick Spread Oklahoma State -1.5 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.9% MODEL PROB 63.2% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE West Virginia 74 vs Oklahoma State 68 Total 142.4 Margin -6.6 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +8.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.8 @52%
Fresno State (12-15) @ Colorado State (17-10)	Fresno State (62.1%) DOG	09:00 PM	38
09:00 PM +39.4% EDGEUNDERDOG Fresno State @ Colorado State 12-15 vs 17-10 Fresno State 62.1% Colorado State 37.9% Model Pick Fresno State 62.1% Pick Spread Fresno State +8.5 Home ML -430 Away ML +320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +39.4% MODEL PROB 62.1% VEGAS TRUE 22.7% VEGAS JUICED 23.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fresno State 68 vs Colorado State 70 Total 137.9 Margin +1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.8 @75%
Northwestern (11-16) @ Indiana (17-10)	Northwestern (62.0%) DOG	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM +39.8% EDGEUNDERDOG Northwestern @ Indiana 11-16 vs 17-10 Northwestern 62.0% Indiana 38.0% Model Pick Northwestern 62.0% Pick Spread Northwestern +8.5 Home ML -440 Away ML +330 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +39.8% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 22.2% VEGAS JUICED 23.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northwestern 70 vs Indiana 73 Total 143.7 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff -5.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.8 @56%
Miami (21-6) @ Florida State (14-13)	Florida State (61.7%) DOG	09:00 PM	48
09:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Miami @ Florida State 21-6 vs 14-13 Miami 38.3% Florida State 61.7% Model Pick Florida State 61.7% Pick Spread Florida State +2.0 Home ML +125 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.8% MODEL PROB 61.7% VEGAS TRUE 42.9% VEGAS JUICED 44.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Miami 82 vs Florida State 76 Total 157.7 Margin -5.9 Spread FAV COVERS @61% Diff +3.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 155.2 @57%
Washington (13-14) @ Rutgers (11-16)	Rutgers (60.1%) DOG	06:30 PM	40
06:30 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Washington @ Rutgers 13-14 vs 11-16 Washington 39.9% Rutgers 60.1% Model Pick Rutgers 60.1% Pick Spread Rutgers +4.5 Home ML +175 Away ML -210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.2% MODEL PROB 60.1% VEGAS TRUE 34.9% VEGAS JUICED 36.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Washington 77 vs Rutgers 70 Total 146.9 Margin -6.3 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +1.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.5 @69%
Central Michigan (9-18) @ Kent State (20-7)	Central Michigan (55.8%) DOG	07:00 PM	54
07:00 PM +40.6% EDGEUNDERDOG Central Michigan @ Kent State 9-18 vs 20-7 Central Michigan 55.8% Kent State 44.2% Model Pick Central Michigan 55.8% Pick Spread Central Michigan +10.0 Home ML -800 Away ML +525 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +40.6% MODEL PROB 55.8% VEGAS TRUE 15.3% VEGAS JUICED 16.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Central Michigan 76 vs Kent State 76 Total 151.5 Margin +0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @78% Diff -10.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @65%
Tennessee #22 (20-7) @ Missouri (18-9)	Missouri (55.4%) DOG	09:00 PM	80
09:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Tennessee #22 @ Missouri 20-7 vs 18-9 Tennessee 44.6% Missouri 55.4% Model Pick Missouri 55.4% Pick Spread Missouri +3.5 Home ML +140 Away ML -165 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +15.3% MODEL PROB 55.4% VEGAS TRUE 40.1% VEGAS JUICED 41.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Tennessee 77 vs Missouri 74 Total 151.6 Margin -3.0 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.2 @71%
Miami (OH) #21 (27-0) @ Eastern Michigan (10-18)	Eastern Michigan (53.3%) DOG	06:30 PM	72
06:30 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Miami (OH) #21 @ Eastern Michigan 27-0 vs 10-18 Miami (OH) 46.7% Eastern Michigan 53.3% Model Pick Eastern Michigan 53.3% Pick Spread Eastern Michigan +9.5 Home ML +425 Away ML -600 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +35.1% MODEL PROB 53.3% VEGAS TRUE 18.2% VEGAS JUICED 19.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Miami (OH) 87 vs Eastern Michigan 74 Total 160.8 Margin -12.6 Spread FAV COVERS @59% Diff +3.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 153.5 @71%
Arizona #2 (25-2) @ Baylor (14-13)	Baylor (53.1%) DOG	09:00 PM	77
09:00 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Arizona #2 @ Baylor 25-2 vs 14-13 Arizona 46.9% Baylor 53.1% Model Pick Baylor 53.1% Pick Spread Baylor +8.0 Home ML +340 Away ML -460 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +31.4% MODEL PROB 53.1% VEGAS TRUE 21.7% VEGAS JUICED 22.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arizona 84 vs Baylor 73 Total 157.7 Margin -10.9 Spread FAV COVERS @58% Diff +2.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 154.5 @60%
Kentucky (17-10) @ South Carolina (12-15)	South Carolina (52.7%) DOG	07:00 PM	47
07:00 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Kentucky @ South Carolina 17-10 vs 12-15 Kentucky 47.3% South Carolina 52.7% Model Pick South Carolina 52.7% Pick Spread South Carolina +7.0 Home ML +260 Away ML -320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +26.0% MODEL PROB 52.7% VEGAS TRUE 26.7% VEGAS JUICED 27.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kentucky 77 vs South Carolina 71 Total 148.3 Margin -6.3 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.5 @54%

TIERED RECOMMENDATION SYSTEM

⭐ PREMIUM: 80%+ conf, 5+ edge (88.5% win, 69.1% ROI) • ✓ GOOD: 75%+ conf, 7+ edge (82.7% win, 57.9% ROI)

Based on 4,181 game analysis • Updated Feb 9, 2026

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Auburn (15-12) @ Oklahoma (13-14)	Auburn (78.6%) ✓ GOOD	09:00 PM	21
09:00 PM+7.9 PTS EDGE Auburn @ Oklahoma 15-12 vs 13-14 Auburn 78.6% Oklahoma 21.4% Model Pick Auburn (78.6%) Pick Spread Auburn -2.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 SPREAD EDGE +7.9 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +5.4 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Auburn 75 vs Oklahoma 81 Total 156.2 Margin +5.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 157.8 @55%
Southern Indiana (7-21) @ Morehead State (17-12)	Morehead State (83.6%) ⭐ PREMIUM	07:30 PM	16
07:30 PM+9.8 PTS EDGE Southern Indiana @ Morehead State 7-21 vs 17-12 Southern Indiana 16.4% Morehead State 83.6% Model Pick Morehead State (83.6%) Pick Spread Morehead State -8.0 Home ML -392 Away ML +300 SPREAD EDGE +9.8 pts PREDICTED MARGIN -1.5 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Indiana 69 vs Morehead State 67 Total 136.3 Margin -1.5 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff +9.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.5 @68%
George Washington (15-12) @ La Salle (8-19)	George Washington (84.9%) ⭐ PREMIUM	06:30 PM	15
06:30 PM+9.0 PTS EDGE George Washington @ La Salle 15-12 vs 8-19 George Washington 84.9% La Salle 15.1% Model Pick George Washington (84.9%) Pick Spread George Washington -7.0 Home ML +250 Away ML -320 SPREAD EDGE +9.0 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +2.2 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE George Washington 73 vs La Salle 75 Total 148.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.5 @55%
Saint Louis #23 (25-2) @ Dayton (18-9)	Saint Louis (84.0%) ⭐ PREMIUM	07:00 PM	51
07:00 PM+8.6 PTS EDGE Saint Louis #23 @ Dayton 25-2 vs 18-9 Saint Louis 84.0% Dayton 16.0% Model Pick Saint Louis (84.0%) Pick Spread Saint Louis -4.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 SPREAD EDGE +8.6 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +4.9 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Louis 77 vs Dayton 82 Total 158.5 Margin +4.9 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 156.2 @57%
Marquette (9-18) @ Georgetown (13-14)	Georgetown (84.9%) ⭐ PREMIUM	07:00 PM	15
07:00 PM+7.9 PTS EDGE Marquette @ Georgetown 9-18 vs 13-14 Marquette 15.1% Georgetown 84.9% Model Pick Georgetown (84.9%) Pick Spread Georgetown -3.5 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 SPREAD EDGE +7.9 pts PREDICTED MARGIN -4.4 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Marquette 74 vs Georgetown 70 Total 143.8 Margin -4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.8 @70%
St. Francis (PA) (6-22) @ New Haven (13-15)	New Haven (81.5%) ⭐ PREMIUM	06:00 PM	18
06:00 PM+7.6 PTS EDGE St. Francis (PA) @ New Haven 6-22 vs 13-15 St. Francis (PA) 18.5% New Haven 81.5% Model Pick New Haven (81.5%) Pick Spread New Haven -7.5 Home ML -340 Away ML +270 SPREAD EDGE +7.6 pts PREDICTED MARGIN -0.1 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE St. Francis (PA) 64 vs New Haven 64 Total 128.1 Margin -0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 141.5 @85%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Central Michigan (9-18) @ Kent State (20-7)	Central Michigan (55.8%)	07:00 PM	54
07:00 PM+40.6% EDGE Central Michigan @ Kent State 9-18 vs 20-7 Central Michigan 55.8% Kent State 44.2% Model Pick Central Michigan 55.8% Pick Spread -10.0 Home ML -800 Away ML +525 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +40.6% MODEL PROB 55.8% VEGAS TRUE 15.3% VEGAS JUICED 16.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Central Michigan 76 vs Kent State 76 Total 151.5 Margin +0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @78% Diff -10.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @65%
Northwestern (11-16) @ Indiana (17-10)	Northwestern (62.0%)	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM+39.8% EDGE Northwestern @ Indiana 11-16 vs 17-10 Northwestern 62.0% Indiana 38.0% Model Pick Northwestern 62.0% Pick Spread -8.5 Home ML -440 Away ML +330 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +39.8% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 22.2% VEGAS JUICED 23.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northwestern 70 vs Indiana 73 Total 143.7 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff -5.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.8 @56%
Fresno State (12-15) @ Colorado State (17-10)	Fresno State (62.1%)	09:00 PM	38
09:00 PM+39.4% EDGE Fresno State @ Colorado State 12-15 vs 17-10 Fresno State 62.1% Colorado State 37.9% Model Pick Fresno State 62.1% Pick Spread -8.5 Home ML -430 Away ML +320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +39.4% MODEL PROB 62.1% VEGAS TRUE 22.7% VEGAS JUICED 23.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fresno State 68 vs Colorado State 70 Total 137.9 Margin +1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.8 @75%
New Mexico (21-6) @ Nevada (18-9)	New Mexico (80.9%)	11:00 PM	39
11:00 PM+29.9% EDGE New Mexico @ Nevada 21-6 vs 18-9 New Mexico 80.9% Nevada 19.1% Model Pick New Mexico 80.9% Pick Spread -1.5 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.9% MODEL PROB 80.9% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE New Mexico 73 vs Nevada 73 Total 146.1 Margin -0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @66%
Auburn (15-12) @ Oklahoma (13-14)	Auburn (78.6%) DOG	09:00 PM	21
09:00 PM+25.3% EDGE Auburn @ Oklahoma 15-12 vs 13-14 Auburn 78.6% Oklahoma 21.4% Model Pick Auburn 78.6% Pick Spread +2.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.3% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Auburn 75 vs Oklahoma 81 Total 156.2 Margin +5.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 157.8 @55%
Marquette (9-18) @ Georgetown (13-14)	Georgetown (84.9%)	07:00 PM	15
07:00 PM+25.0% EDGE Marquette @ Georgetown 9-18 vs 13-14 Marquette 15.1% Georgetown 84.9% Model Pick Georgetown 84.9% Pick Spread -3.5 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.0% MODEL PROB 84.9% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Marquette 74 vs Georgetown 70 Total 143.8 Margin -4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.8 @70%
Saint Louis #23 (25-2) @ Dayton (18-9)	Saint Louis (84.0%) DOG	07:00 PM	51
07:00 PM+18.2% EDGE Saint Louis #23 @ Dayton 25-2 vs 18-9 Saint Louis 84.0% Dayton 16.0% Model Pick Saint Louis 84.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.2% MODEL PROB 84.0% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Louis 77 vs Dayton 82 Total 158.5 Margin +4.9 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 156.2 @57%
George Washington (15-12) @ La Salle (8-19)	George Washington (84.9%) DOG	06:30 PM	15
06:30 PM+12.2% EDGE George Washington @ La Salle 15-12 vs 8-19 George Washington 84.9% La Salle 15.1% Model Pick George Washington 84.9% Pick Spread +7.0 Home ML +250 Away ML -320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.2% MODEL PROB 84.9% VEGAS TRUE 72.7% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE George Washington 73 vs La Salle 75 Total 148.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.5 @55%
Massachusetts (15-13) @ Ball State (8-19)	Massachusetts (72.8%) DOG	07:00 PM	27
07:00 PM+7.7% EDGE Massachusetts @ Ball State 15-13 vs 8-19 Massachusetts 72.8% Ball State 27.2% Model Pick Massachusetts 72.8% Pick Spread +5.0 Home ML +175 Away ML -210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.7% MODEL PROB 72.8% VEGAS TRUE 65.1% VEGAS JUICED 67.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Massachusetts 72 vs Ball State 75 Total 146.9 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.8 @68%
St. Francis (PA) (6-22) @ New Haven (13-15)	New Haven (81.5%)	06:00 PM	18
06:00 PM+7.4% EDGE St. Francis (PA) @ New Haven 6-22 vs 13-15 St. Francis (PA) 18.5% New Haven 81.5% Model Pick New Haven 81.5% Pick Spread -7.5 Home ML -340 Away ML +270 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.4% MODEL PROB 81.5% VEGAS TRUE 74.1% VEGAS JUICED 77.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE St. Francis (PA) 64 vs New Haven 64 Total 128.1 Margin -0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 141.5 @85%
Southern Indiana (7-21) @ Morehead State (17-12)	Morehead State (83.6%)	07:30 PM	16
07:30 PM+7.4% EDGE Southern Indiana @ Morehead State 7-21 vs 17-12 Southern Indiana 16.4% Morehead State 83.6% Model Pick Morehead State 83.6% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -392 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.4% MODEL PROB 83.6% VEGAS TRUE 76.1% VEGAS JUICED 79.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Indiana 69 vs Morehead State 67 Total 136.3 Margin -1.5 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff +9.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.5 @68%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Marquette (9-18) @ Georgetown (13-14)	Georgetown (84.9%)	07:00 PM	15
07:00 PMCLOSE Marquette @ Georgetown 9-18 vs 13-14 Marquette 15.1% Georgetown 84.9% Model Pick Georgetown 84.9% Pick Spread Georgetown -3.5 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.0% MODEL PROB 84.9% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Marquette 74 vs Georgetown 70 Total 143.8 Margin -4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.8 @70%
New Mexico (21-6) @ Nevada (18-9)	New Mexico (80.9%) DOG	11:00 PM	39
11:00 PMCLOSE New Mexico @ Nevada 21-6 vs 18-9 New Mexico 80.9% Nevada 19.1% Model Pick New Mexico 80.9% Pick Spread New Mexico +1.5 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.9% MODEL PROB 80.9% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE New Mexico 73 vs Nevada 73 Total 146.1 Margin -0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @66%
Auburn (15-12) @ Oklahoma (13-14)	Auburn (78.6%)	09:00 PM	21
09:00 PMCLOSE Auburn @ Oklahoma 15-12 vs 13-14 Auburn 78.6% Oklahoma 21.4% Model Pick Auburn 78.6% Pick Spread Auburn -2.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.3% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Auburn 75 vs Oklahoma 81 Total 156.2 Margin +5.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 157.8 @55%
Bradley (19-10) @ UIC (16-13)	UIC (71.3%)	08:00 PM	29
08:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Bradley @ UIC 19-10 vs 16-13 Bradley 28.7% UIC 71.3% Model Pick UIC 71.3% Pick Spread UIC -3.0 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.3% MODEL PROB 71.3% VEGAS TRUE 58.0% VEGAS JUICED 60.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bradley 78 vs UIC 74 Total 152.2 Margin -3.2 Spread DOG COVERS @69% Diff +6.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.2 @78%
Coastal Carolina (17-12) @ Georgia State (10-19)	Georgia State (70.7%) DOG	07:30 PM	29
07:30 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State 17-12 vs 10-19 Coastal Carolina 29.3% Georgia State 70.7% Model Pick Georgia State 70.7% Pick Spread Georgia State +1.0 Home ML -115 Away ML -105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +19.7% MODEL PROB 70.7% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Coastal Carolina 73 vs Georgia State 70 Total 143.4 Margin -2.4 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.2 @57%
West Virginia (16-11) @ Oklahoma State (16-11)	Oklahoma State (63.2%)	07:00 PM	37
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT West Virginia @ Oklahoma State 16-11 vs 16-11 West Virginia 36.8% Oklahoma State 63.2% Model Pick Oklahoma State 63.2% Pick Spread Oklahoma State -1.5 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.9% MODEL PROB 63.2% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE West Virginia 74 vs Oklahoma State 68 Total 142.4 Margin -6.6 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +8.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.8 @52%
Miami (21-6) @ Florida State (14-13)	Florida State (61.7%) DOG	09:00 PM	48
09:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Miami @ Florida State 21-6 vs 14-13 Miami 38.3% Florida State 61.7% Model Pick Florida State 61.7% Pick Spread Florida State +2.0 Home ML +125 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.8% MODEL PROB 61.7% VEGAS TRUE 42.9% VEGAS JUICED 44.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Miami 82 vs Florida State 76 Total 157.7 Margin -5.9 Spread FAV COVERS @61% Diff +3.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 155.2 @57%
Tennessee #22 (20-7) @ Missouri (18-9)	Missouri (55.4%) DOG	09:00 PM	80
09:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Tennessee #22 @ Missouri 20-7 vs 18-9 Tennessee 44.6% Missouri 55.4% Model Pick Missouri 55.4% Pick Spread Missouri +3.5 Home ML +140 Away ML -165 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +15.3% MODEL PROB 55.4% VEGAS TRUE 40.1% VEGAS JUICED 41.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Tennessee 77 vs Missouri 74 Total 151.6 Margin -3.0 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.2 @71%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Fresno State (12-15) @ Colorado State (17-10)	Fresno State (62.1%) DOG	+39.4%	09:00 PM	38
09:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Fresno State @ Colorado State 12-15 vs 17-10 Fresno State 62.1% Colorado State 37.9% Model Pick Fresno State 62.1% Pick Spread Fresno State +8.5 Home ML -430 Away ML +320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +39.4% MODEL PROB 62.1% VEGAS TRUE 22.7% VEGAS JUICED 23.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fresno State 68 vs Colorado State 70 Total 137.9 Margin +1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.8 @75%
Northwestern (11-16) @ Indiana (17-10)	Northwestern (62.0%) DOG	+39.8%	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Northwestern @ Indiana 11-16 vs 17-10 Northwestern 62.0% Indiana 38.0% Model Pick Northwestern 62.0% Pick Spread Northwestern +8.5 Home ML -440 Away ML +330 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +39.8% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 22.2% VEGAS JUICED 23.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northwestern 70 vs Indiana 73 Total 143.7 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff -5.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.8 @56%
Miami (21-6) @ Florida State (14-13)	Florida State (61.7%) DOG	+18.8%	09:00 PM	48
09:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Miami @ Florida State 21-6 vs 14-13 Miami 38.3% Florida State 61.7% Model Pick Florida State 61.7% Pick Spread Florida State +2.0 Home ML +125 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.8% MODEL PROB 61.7% VEGAS TRUE 42.9% VEGAS JUICED 44.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Miami 82 vs Florida State 76 Total 157.7 Margin -5.9 Spread FAV COVERS @61% Diff +3.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 155.2 @57%
Washington (13-14) @ Rutgers (11-16)	Rutgers (60.1%) DOG	+25.2%	06:30 PM	40
06:30 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Washington @ Rutgers 13-14 vs 11-16 Washington 39.9% Rutgers 60.1% Model Pick Rutgers 60.1% Pick Spread Rutgers +4.5 Home ML +175 Away ML -210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.2% MODEL PROB 60.1% VEGAS TRUE 34.9% VEGAS JUICED 36.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Washington 77 vs Rutgers 70 Total 146.9 Margin -6.3 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +1.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.5 @69%
Central Michigan (9-18) @ Kent State (20-7)	Central Michigan (55.8%) DOG	+40.6%	07:00 PM	54
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Central Michigan @ Kent State 9-18 vs 20-7 Central Michigan 55.8% Kent State 44.2% Model Pick Central Michigan 55.8% Pick Spread Central Michigan +10.0 Home ML -800 Away ML +525 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +40.6% MODEL PROB 55.8% VEGAS TRUE 15.3% VEGAS JUICED 16.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Central Michigan 76 vs Kent State 76 Total 151.5 Margin +0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @78% Diff -10.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @65%
Tennessee #22 (20-7) @ Missouri (18-9)	Missouri (55.4%) DOG	+15.3%	09:00 PM	80
09:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Tennessee #22 @ Missouri 20-7 vs 18-9 Tennessee 44.6% Missouri 55.4% Model Pick Missouri 55.4% Pick Spread Missouri +3.5 Home ML +140 Away ML -165 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +15.3% MODEL PROB 55.4% VEGAS TRUE 40.1% VEGAS JUICED 41.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Tennessee 77 vs Missouri 74 Total 151.6 Margin -3.0 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.2 @71%
Miami (OH) #21 (27-0) @ Eastern Michigan (10-18)	Eastern Michigan (53.3%) DOG	+35.1%	06:30 PM	72
06:30 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Miami (OH) #21 @ Eastern Michigan 27-0 vs 10-18 Miami (OH) 46.7% Eastern Michigan 53.3% Model Pick Eastern Michigan 53.3% Pick Spread Eastern Michigan +9.5 Home ML +425 Away ML -600 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +35.1% MODEL PROB 53.3% VEGAS TRUE 18.2% VEGAS JUICED 19.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Miami (OH) 87 vs Eastern Michigan 74 Total 160.8 Margin -12.6 Spread FAV COVERS @59% Diff +3.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 153.5 @71%
Arizona #2 (25-2) @ Baylor (14-13)	Baylor (53.1%) DOG	+31.4%	09:00 PM	77
09:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Arizona #2 @ Baylor 25-2 vs 14-13 Arizona 46.9% Baylor 53.1% Model Pick Baylor 53.1% Pick Spread Baylor +8.0 Home ML +340 Away ML -460 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +31.4% MODEL PROB 53.1% VEGAS TRUE 21.7% VEGAS JUICED 22.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arizona 84 vs Baylor 73 Total 157.7 Margin -10.9 Spread FAV COVERS @58% Diff +2.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 154.5 @60%
Kentucky (17-10) @ South Carolina (12-15)	South Carolina (52.7%) DOG	+26.0%	07:00 PM	47
07:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Kentucky @ South Carolina 17-10 vs 12-15 Kentucky 47.3% South Carolina 52.7% Model Pick South Carolina 52.7% Pick Spread South Carolina +7.0 Home ML +260 Away ML -320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +26.0% MODEL PROB 52.7% VEGAS TRUE 26.7% VEGAS JUICED 27.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kentucky 77 vs South Carolina 71 Total 148.3 Margin -6.3 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.5 @54%

Game	Pick	Confidence	Moneyline	Expected Value	Time (ET)
Minnesota @ Michigan	Minnesota DOG	17.0%	+2500	⭐⭐⭐ +341.1%	08:30 PM
Central Michigan @ Kent State	Central Michigan DOG	55.8%	+525	⭐⭐⭐ +248.8%	07:00 PM
Eastern Michigan vs Miami (OH)	Eastern Michigan DOG	53.3%	+425	⭐⭐⭐ +180.0%	06:30 PM

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
George Washington (15-12) @ La Salle (8-19)	George Washington (84.9%)	06:30 PM	15
06:30 PM75%+ CONF +12.2% EDGE George Washington @ La Salle 15-12 vs 8-19 George Washington 84.9% La Salle 15.1% Model Pick George Washington 84.9% Pick Spread +7.0 Home ML +250 Away ML -320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.2% MODEL PROB 84.9% VEGAS TRUE 72.7% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE George Washington 73 vs La Salle 75 Total 148.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.5 @55%
Marquette (9-18) @ Georgetown (13-14)	Georgetown (84.9%)	07:00 PM	15
07:00 PM75%+ CONF +25.0% EDGE Marquette @ Georgetown 9-18 vs 13-14 Marquette 15.1% Georgetown 84.9% Model Pick Georgetown 84.9% Pick Spread -3.5 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.0% MODEL PROB 84.9% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Marquette 74 vs Georgetown 70 Total 143.8 Margin -4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.8 @70%
Saint Louis #23 (25-2) @ Dayton (18-9)	Saint Louis (84.0%)	07:00 PM	51
07:00 PM75%+ CONF +18.2% EDGE Saint Louis #23 @ Dayton 25-2 vs 18-9 Saint Louis 84.0% Dayton 16.0% Model Pick Saint Louis 84.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.2% MODEL PROB 84.0% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Louis 77 vs Dayton 82 Total 158.5 Margin +4.9 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 156.2 @57%
New Mexico (21-6) @ Nevada (18-9)	New Mexico (80.9%)	11:00 PM	39
11:00 PM75%+ CONF +29.9% EDGE New Mexico @ Nevada 21-6 vs 18-9 New Mexico 80.9% Nevada 19.1% Model Pick New Mexico 80.9% Pick Spread -1.5 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.9% MODEL PROB 80.9% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE New Mexico 73 vs Nevada 73 Total 146.1 Margin -0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @66%
Auburn (15-12) @ Oklahoma (13-14)	Auburn (78.6%)	09:00 PM	21
09:00 PM75%+ CONF +25.3% EDGE Auburn @ Oklahoma 15-12 vs 13-14 Auburn 78.6% Oklahoma 21.4% Model Pick Auburn 78.6% Pick Spread +2.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.3% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Auburn 75 vs Oklahoma 81 Total 156.2 Margin +5.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 157.8 @55%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Central Michigan (9-18) @ Kent State (20-7)	Central Michigan (55.8%)	+40.6%	07:00 PM	54
07:00 PM+40.6% EDGE Central Michigan @ Kent State 9-18 vs 20-7 Central Michigan 55.8% Kent State 44.2% Model Pick Central Michigan 55.8% Pick Spread -10.0 Home ML -800 Away ML +525 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +40.6% MODEL PROB 55.8% VEGAS TRUE 15.3% VEGAS JUICED 16.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Central Michigan 76 vs Kent State 76 Total 151.5 Margin +0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @78% Diff -10.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @65%
Northwestern (11-16) @ Indiana (17-10)	Northwestern (62.0%)	+39.8%	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM+39.8% EDGE Northwestern @ Indiana 11-16 vs 17-10 Northwestern 62.0% Indiana 38.0% Model Pick Northwestern 62.0% Pick Spread -8.5 Home ML -440 Away ML +330 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +39.8% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 22.2% VEGAS JUICED 23.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northwestern 70 vs Indiana 73 Total 143.7 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff -5.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.8 @56%
Fresno State (12-15) @ Colorado State (17-10)	Fresno State (62.1%)	+39.4%	09:00 PM	38
09:00 PM+39.4% EDGE Fresno State @ Colorado State 12-15 vs 17-10 Fresno State 62.1% Colorado State 37.9% Model Pick Fresno State 62.1% Pick Spread -8.5 Home ML -430 Away ML +320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +39.4% MODEL PROB 62.1% VEGAS TRUE 22.7% VEGAS JUICED 23.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fresno State 68 vs Colorado State 70 Total 137.9 Margin +1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.8 @75%
New Mexico (21-6) @ Nevada (18-9)	New Mexico (80.9%)	+29.9%	11:00 PM	39
11:00 PM+29.9% EDGE New Mexico @ Nevada 21-6 vs 18-9 New Mexico 80.9% Nevada 19.1% Model Pick New Mexico 80.9% Pick Spread -1.5 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.9% MODEL PROB 80.9% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE New Mexico 73 vs Nevada 73 Total 146.1 Margin -0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @66%
Auburn (15-12) @ Oklahoma (13-14)	Auburn (78.6%)	+25.3%	09:00 PM	21
09:00 PM+25.3% EDGE Auburn @ Oklahoma 15-12 vs 13-14 Auburn 78.6% Oklahoma 21.4% Model Pick Auburn 78.6% Pick Spread +2.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.3% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Auburn 75 vs Oklahoma 81 Total 156.2 Margin +5.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 157.8 @55%
Marquette (9-18) @ Georgetown (13-14)	Georgetown (84.9%)	+25.0%	07:00 PM	15
07:00 PM+25.0% EDGE Marquette @ Georgetown 9-18 vs 13-14 Marquette 15.1% Georgetown 84.9% Model Pick Georgetown 84.9% Pick Spread -3.5 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.0% MODEL PROB 84.9% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Marquette 74 vs Georgetown 70 Total 143.8 Margin -4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.8 @70%
Saint Louis #23 (25-2) @ Dayton (18-9)	Saint Louis (84.0%)	+18.2%	07:00 PM	51
07:00 PM+18.2% EDGE Saint Louis #23 @ Dayton 25-2 vs 18-9 Saint Louis 84.0% Dayton 16.0% Model Pick Saint Louis 84.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.2% MODEL PROB 84.0% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Louis 77 vs Dayton 82 Total 158.5 Margin +4.9 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 156.2 @57%
George Washington (15-12) @ La Salle (8-19)	George Washington (84.9%)	+12.2%	06:30 PM	15
06:30 PM+12.2% EDGE George Washington @ La Salle 15-12 vs 8-19 George Washington 84.9% La Salle 15.1% Model Pick George Washington 84.9% Pick Spread +7.0 Home ML +250 Away ML -320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.2% MODEL PROB 84.9% VEGAS TRUE 72.7% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE George Washington 73 vs La Salle 75 Total 148.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.5 @55%
Massachusetts (15-13) @ Ball State (8-19)	Massachusetts (72.8%)	+7.7%	07:00 PM	27
07:00 PM+7.7% EDGE Massachusetts @ Ball State 15-13 vs 8-19 Massachusetts 72.8% Ball State 27.2% Model Pick Massachusetts 72.8% Pick Spread +5.0 Home ML +175 Away ML -210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.7% MODEL PROB 72.8% VEGAS TRUE 65.1% VEGAS JUICED 67.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Massachusetts 72 vs Ball State 75 Total 146.9 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.8 @68%
St. Francis (PA) (6-22) @ New Haven (13-15)	New Haven (81.5%)	+7.4%	06:00 PM	18
06:00 PM+7.4% EDGE St. Francis (PA) @ New Haven 6-22 vs 13-15 St. Francis (PA) 18.5% New Haven 81.5% Model Pick New Haven 81.5% Pick Spread -7.5 Home ML -340 Away ML +270 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.4% MODEL PROB 81.5% VEGAS TRUE 74.1% VEGAS JUICED 77.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE St. Francis (PA) 64 vs New Haven 64 Total 128.1 Margin -0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 141.5 @85%
Southern Indiana (7-21) @ Morehead State (17-12)	Morehead State (83.6%)	+7.4%	07:30 PM	16
07:30 PM+7.4% EDGE Southern Indiana @ Morehead State 7-21 vs 17-12 Southern Indiana 16.4% Morehead State 83.6% Model Pick Morehead State 83.6% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -392 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.4% MODEL PROB 83.6% VEGAS TRUE 76.1% VEGAS JUICED 79.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Indiana 69 vs Morehead State 67 Total 136.3 Margin -1.5 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff +9.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.5 @68%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Central Michigan (9-18) @ Kent State (20-7)	Central Michigan (55.8%)	+40.6%	07:00 PM	54
07:00 PM+40.6% EDGE Central Michigan @ Kent State 9-18 vs 20-7 Central Michigan 55.8% Kent State 44.2% Model Pick Central Michigan 55.8% Pick Spread -10.0 Home ML -800 Away ML +525 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +40.6% MODEL PROB 55.8% VEGAS TRUE 15.3% VEGAS JUICED 16.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Central Michigan 76 vs Kent State 76 Total 151.5 Margin +0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @78% Diff -10.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @65%
Northwestern (11-16) @ Indiana (17-10)	Northwestern (62.0%)	+39.8%	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM+39.8% EDGE Northwestern @ Indiana 11-16 vs 17-10 Northwestern 62.0% Indiana 38.0% Model Pick Northwestern 62.0% Pick Spread -8.5 Home ML -440 Away ML +330 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +39.8% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 22.2% VEGAS JUICED 23.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northwestern 70 vs Indiana 73 Total 143.7 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff -5.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.8 @56%
Fresno State (12-15) @ Colorado State (17-10)	Fresno State (62.1%)	+39.4%	09:00 PM	38
09:00 PM+39.4% EDGE Fresno State @ Colorado State 12-15 vs 17-10 Fresno State 62.1% Colorado State 37.9% Model Pick Fresno State 62.1% Pick Spread -8.5 Home ML -430 Away ML +320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +39.4% MODEL PROB 62.1% VEGAS TRUE 22.7% VEGAS JUICED 23.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fresno State 68 vs Colorado State 70 Total 137.9 Margin +1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.8 @75%
New Mexico (21-6) @ Nevada (18-9)	New Mexico (80.9%)	+29.9%	11:00 PM	39
11:00 PM+29.9% EDGE New Mexico @ Nevada 21-6 vs 18-9 New Mexico 80.9% Nevada 19.1% Model Pick New Mexico 80.9% Pick Spread -1.5 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.9% MODEL PROB 80.9% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE New Mexico 73 vs Nevada 73 Total 146.1 Margin -0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @66%
Auburn (15-12) @ Oklahoma (13-14)	Auburn (78.6%)	+25.3%	09:00 PM	21
09:00 PM+25.3% EDGE Auburn @ Oklahoma 15-12 vs 13-14 Auburn 78.6% Oklahoma 21.4% Model Pick Auburn 78.6% Pick Spread +2.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.3% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Auburn 75 vs Oklahoma 81 Total 156.2 Margin +5.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 157.8 @55%
Marquette (9-18) @ Georgetown (13-14)	Georgetown (84.9%)	+25.0%	07:00 PM	15
07:00 PM+25.0% EDGE Marquette @ Georgetown 9-18 vs 13-14 Marquette 15.1% Georgetown 84.9% Model Pick Georgetown 84.9% Pick Spread -3.5 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.0% MODEL PROB 84.9% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Marquette 74 vs Georgetown 70 Total 143.8 Margin -4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.8 @70%
Saint Louis #23 (25-2) @ Dayton (18-9)	Saint Louis (84.0%)	+18.2%	07:00 PM	51
07:00 PM+18.2% EDGE Saint Louis #23 @ Dayton 25-2 vs 18-9 Saint Louis 84.0% Dayton 16.0% Model Pick Saint Louis 84.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.2% MODEL PROB 84.0% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Louis 77 vs Dayton 82 Total 158.5 Margin +4.9 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 156.2 @57%
George Washington (15-12) @ La Salle (8-19)	George Washington (84.9%)	+12.2%	06:30 PM	15
06:30 PM+12.2% EDGE George Washington @ La Salle 15-12 vs 8-19 George Washington 84.9% La Salle 15.1% Model Pick George Washington 84.9% Pick Spread +7.0 Home ML +250 Away ML -320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.2% MODEL PROB 84.9% VEGAS TRUE 72.7% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE George Washington 73 vs La Salle 75 Total 148.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.5 @55%

Model Information

📅 All Games Today

Model Explainability (SHAP Analysis)

XGBoost Win/Loss Model