Breaking Vegas - Daily Predictions | Friday, February 27, 2026

Model Information

XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game	Prediction ⇅	Time (ET) ⇅	Hype Level ⇅
Manhattan (12-17) @ Saint Peter's (15-11)	Saint Peter's (88.0%)	07:00 PM	12
07:00 PM Manhattan @ Saint Peter's 12-17 vs 15-11 Manhattan 12.0% Saint Peter's 88.0% Model Pick Saint Peter's 88.0% Pick Spread Saint Peter's -7.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -340 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Manhattan 68 vs Saint Peter's 76 Total 143.9 Margin +7.1 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 144.5 @52%
Louisiana (10-20) @ Arkansas State (19-11)	Arkansas State (86.2%)	08:30 PM	14
08:30 PM Louisiana @ Arkansas State 10-20 vs 19-11 Louisiana 13.8% Arkansas State 86.2% Model Pick Arkansas State 86.2% Pick Spread Arkansas State -14.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Louisiana 72 vs Arkansas State 78 Total 149.9 Margin +5.5 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff -9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.5 @60%
UL Monroe (4-26) @ Troy (19-11)	Troy (83.1%)	07:00 PM	17
07:00 PM UL Monroe @ Troy 4-26 vs 19-11 UL Monroe 16.9% Troy 83.1% Model Pick Troy 83.1% Pick Spread Troy -18.0 Home ML -4500 Away ML +1250 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -9.9% MODEL PROB 83.1% VEGAS TRUE 93.0% VEGAS JUICED 97.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UL Monroe 75 vs Troy 87 Total 162.5 Margin +11.7 Spread DOG COVERS @69% Diff -6.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 153.5 @76%
Yale (21-5) @ Cornell (13-12)	Yale (82.0%)	06:00 PM	28
06:00 PM +22.1% EDGE Yale @ Cornell 21-5 vs 13-12 Yale 82.0% Cornell 18.0% Model Pick Yale 82.0% Pick Spread Yale -4.0 Home ML +140 Away ML -165 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.1% MODEL PROB 82.0% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Yale 88 vs Cornell 87 Total 175.4 Margin -1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 164.5 @80%
Miami (OH) #21 (28-0) @ Western Michigan (10-18)	Miami (OH) (80.1%)	06:00 PM	45
06:00 PM Miami (OH) #21 @ Western Michigan 28-0 vs 10-18 Miami (OH) 80.1% Western Michigan 19.9% Model Pick Miami (OH) 80.1% Pick Spread Miami (OH) -11.5 Home ML +600 Away ML -950 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -6.3% MODEL PROB 80.1% VEGAS TRUE 86.4% VEGAS JUICED 90.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Miami (OH) 87 vs Western Michigan 83 Total 169.4 Margin -4.0 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 162.2 @71%
Akron (23-5) @ Kent State (21-7)	Akron (79.6%)	08:00 PM	40
08:00 PM +18.2% EDGECLOSE Akron @ Kent State 23-5 vs 21-7 Akron 79.6% Kent State 20.4% Model Pick Akron 79.6% Pick Spread Akron -3.5 Home ML +150 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.2% MODEL PROB 79.6% VEGAS TRUE 61.4% VEGAS JUICED 63.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Akron 84 vs Kent State 88 Total 171.5 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 165.5 @68%
Coastal Carolina (18-12) @ James Madison (17-13)	James Madison (79.0%)	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM +10.6% EDGE Coastal Carolina @ James Madison 18-12 vs 17-13 Coastal Carolina 21.0% James Madison 79.0% Model Pick James Madison 79.0% Pick Spread James Madison -6.0 Home ML -245 Away ML +205 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 79.0% VEGAS TRUE 68.4% VEGAS JUICED 71.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Coastal Carolina 79 vs James Madison 77 Total 156.0 Margin -1.2 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +7.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.8 @86%
Quinnipiac (18-11) @ Niagara (7-21)	Quinnipiac (77.8%)	06:30 PM	22
06:30 PM Quinnipiac @ Niagara 18-11 vs 7-21 Quinnipiac 77.8% Niagara 22.2% Model Pick Quinnipiac 77.8% Pick Spread Quinnipiac -8.0 Home ML +320 Away ML -430 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.5% MODEL PROB 77.8% VEGAS TRUE 77.3% VEGAS JUICED 81.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Quinnipiac 72 vs Niagara 72 Total 144.3 Margin -0.5 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 136.5 @73%
Dartmouth (11-13) @ Pennsylvania (13-11)	Pennsylvania (76.7%)	07:00 PM	23
07:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Dartmouth @ Pennsylvania 11-13 vs 13-11 Dartmouth 23.3% Pennsylvania 76.7% Model Pick Pennsylvania 76.7% Pick Spread Pennsylvania -6.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +3.4% MODEL PROB 76.7% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Dartmouth 75 vs Pennsylvania 74 Total 149.9 Margin -0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 154.5 @64%
Harvard (15-10) @ Princeton (8-18)	Harvard (76.0%)	07:00 PM	24
07:00 PM +13.2% EDGE Harvard @ Princeton 15-10 vs 8-18 Harvard 76.0% Princeton 24.0% Model Pick Harvard 76.0% Pick Spread Harvard -4.0 Home ML +160 Away ML -185 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.2% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 62.8% VEGAS JUICED 64.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Harvard 69 vs Princeton 72 Total 141.3 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 130.0 @81%
Merrimack (20-9) @ Canisius (9-20)	Merrimack (75.4%)	07:00 PM	25
07:00 PM Merrimack @ Canisius 20-9 vs 9-20 Merrimack 75.4% Canisius 24.6% Model Pick Merrimack 75.4% Pick Spread Merrimack -9.0 Home ML +425 Away ML -600 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -6.4% MODEL PROB 75.4% VEGAS TRUE 81.8% VEGAS JUICED 85.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Merrimack 69 vs Canisius 68 Total 137.6 Margin -1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 129.8 @73%
Siena (19-10) @ Fairfield (18-11)	Siena (72.8%)	07:00 PM	47
07:00 PM +22.8% EDGECLOSE Siena @ Fairfield 19-10 vs 18-11 Siena 72.8% Fairfield 27.2% Model Pick Siena 72.8% Pick Spread Siena +0.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.8% MODEL PROB 72.8% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Siena 69 vs Fairfield 75 Total 144.5 Margin +5.7 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.8 @55%
Mount St. Mary's (14-15) @ Sacred Heart (12-18)	Sacred Heart (71.8%)	07:00 PM	28
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Mount St. Mary's @ Sacred Heart 14-15 vs 12-18 Mount St. Mary's 28.2% Sacred Heart 71.8% Model Pick Sacred Heart 71.8% Pick Spread Sacred Heart -2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.9% MODEL PROB 71.8% VEGAS TRUE 58.0% VEGAS JUICED 60.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Mount St. Mary's 76 vs Sacred Heart 73 Total 149.9 Margin -3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.8 @53%
Old Dominion (10-20) @ Georgia State (10-20)	Old Dominion (71.2%)	07:30 PM	29
07:30 PM +21.2% EDGECLOSE Old Dominion @ Georgia State 10-20 vs 10-20 Old Dominion 71.2% Georgia State 28.8% Model Pick Old Dominion 71.2% Pick Spread Old Dominion -1.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.2% MODEL PROB 71.2% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Old Dominion 76 vs Georgia State 77 Total 153.6 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 149.5 @62%
Southern Miss (15-15) @ South Alabama (21-9)	South Alabama (71.2%)	08:30 PM	29
08:30 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Southern Miss @ South Alabama 15-15 vs 21-9 Southern Miss 28.8% South Alabama 71.2% Model Pick South Alabama 71.2% Pick Spread South Alabama -4.0 Home ML -210 Away ML +175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +6.1% MODEL PROB 71.2% VEGAS TRUE 65.1% VEGAS JUICED 67.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern Miss 72 vs South Alabama 71 Total 143.1 Margin -1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.5 @55%
Brown (9-15) @ Columbia (15-10)	Brown (63.7%) DOG	07:00 PM	36
07:00 PM +29.5% EDGEUNDERDOG Brown @ Columbia 9-15 vs 15-10 Brown 63.7% Columbia 36.3% Model Pick Brown 63.7% Pick Spread Brown +5.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.5% MODEL PROB 63.7% VEGAS TRUE 34.2% VEGAS JUICED 35.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Brown 77 vs Columbia 77 Total 154.0 Margin +0.4 Spread DOG COVERS @65% Diff -4.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.0 @86%
Dayton (19-9) @ George Washington (16-12)	Dayton (62.1%) DOG	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM +22.8% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG Dayton @ George Washington 19-9 vs 16-12 Dayton 62.1% George Washington 37.9% Model Pick Dayton 62.1% Pick Spread Dayton +2.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.8% MODEL PROB 62.1% VEGAS TRUE 39.3% VEGAS JUICED 40.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Dayton 79 vs George Washington 76 Total 154.7 Margin -3.5 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.2 @57%
Michigan #3 (26-2) @ Illinois #10 (22-6)	Illinois (61.0%) DOG	08:00 PM	94
08:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Michigan #3 @ Illinois #10 26-2 vs 22-6 Michigan 39.0% Illinois 61.0% Model Pick Illinois 61.0% Pick Spread Illinois +2.0 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.2% MODEL PROB 61.0% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Michigan 88 vs Illinois 86 Total 173.4 Margin -2.4 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 160.0 @85%
Georgia Southern (15-15) @ Marshall (19-11)	Georgia Southern (57.9%) DOG	09:00 PM	42
09:00 PM +31.2% EDGEUNDERDOG Georgia Southern @ Marshall 15-15 vs 19-11 Georgia Southern 57.9% Marshall 42.1% Model Pick Georgia Southern 57.9% Pick Spread Georgia Southern +7.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +31.2% MODEL PROB 57.9% VEGAS TRUE 26.7% VEGAS JUICED 27.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Georgia Southern 80 vs Marshall 81 Total 161.2 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 168.2 @71%
App State (19-11) @ Texas State (18-12)	Texas State (57.1%) DOG	08:00 PM	43
08:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT App State @ Texas State 19-11 vs 18-12 App State 42.9% Texas State 57.1% Model Pick Texas State 57.1% Pick Spread Texas State +1.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.1% MODEL PROB 57.1% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE App State 74 vs Texas State 65 Total 139.5 Margin -9.1 Spread FAV COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 135.2 @63%
Rider (4-23) @ Iona (16-13)	Rider (54.9%) DOG	07:00 PM	45
07:00 PM +41.8% EDGEUNDERDOG Rider @ Iona 4-23 vs 16-13 Rider 54.9% Iona 45.1% Model Pick Rider 54.9% Pick Spread Rider +11.5 Home ML -1000 Away ML +625 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +41.8% MODEL PROB 54.9% VEGAS TRUE 13.2% VEGAS JUICED 13.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rider 70 vs Iona 71 Total 141.3 Margin +1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @79% Diff -10.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.5 @54%

TIERED RECOMMENDATION SYSTEM

⭐ PREMIUM: 80%+ conf, 5+ edge (88.5% win, 69.1% ROI) • ✓ GOOD: 75%+ conf, 7+ edge (82.7% win, 57.9% ROI)

Based on 4,181 game analysis • Updated Feb 9, 2026

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Harvard (15-10) @ Princeton (8-18)	Harvard (76.0%) ✓ GOOD	07:00 PM	24
07:00 PM+7.4 PTS EDGE Harvard @ Princeton 15-10 vs 8-18 Harvard 76.0% Princeton 24.0% Model Pick Harvard (76.0%) Pick Spread Harvard -4.0 Home ML +160 Away ML -185 SPREAD EDGE +7.4 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +3.7 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Harvard 69 vs Princeton 72 Total 141.3 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 130.0 @81%
Akron (23-5) @ Kent State (21-7)	Akron (79.6%) ✓ GOOD	08:00 PM	40
08:00 PM+7.2 PTS EDGE Akron @ Kent State 23-5 vs 21-7 Akron 79.6% Kent State 20.4% Model Pick Akron (79.6%) Pick Spread Akron -3.5 Home ML +150 Away ML -175 SPREAD EDGE +7.2 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +3.7 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Akron 84 vs Kent State 88 Total 171.5 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 165.5 @68%
Coastal Carolina (18-12) @ James Madison (17-13)	James Madison (79.0%) ✓ GOOD	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM+7.0 PTS EDGE Coastal Carolina @ James Madison 18-12 vs 17-13 Coastal Carolina 21.0% James Madison 79.0% Model Pick James Madison (79.0%) Pick Spread James Madison -6.0 Home ML -245 Away ML +205 SPREAD EDGE +7.0 pts PREDICTED MARGIN -1.2 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Coastal Carolina 79 vs James Madison 77 Total 156.0 Margin -1.2 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +7.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.8 @86%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Rider (4-23) @ Iona (16-13)	Rider (54.9%)	07:00 PM	45
07:00 PM+41.8% EDGE Rider @ Iona 4-23 vs 16-13 Rider 54.9% Iona 45.1% Model Pick Rider 54.9% Pick Spread -11.5 Home ML -1000 Away ML +625 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +41.8% MODEL PROB 54.9% VEGAS TRUE 13.2% VEGAS JUICED 13.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rider 70 vs Iona 71 Total 141.3 Margin +1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @79% Diff -10.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.5 @54%
Georgia Southern (15-15) @ Marshall (19-11)	Georgia Southern (57.9%)	09:00 PM	42
09:00 PM+31.2% EDGE Georgia Southern @ Marshall 15-15 vs 19-11 Georgia Southern 57.9% Marshall 42.1% Model Pick Georgia Southern 57.9% Pick Spread -7.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +31.2% MODEL PROB 57.9% VEGAS TRUE 26.7% VEGAS JUICED 27.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Georgia Southern 80 vs Marshall 81 Total 161.2 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 168.2 @71%
Brown (9-15) @ Columbia (15-10)	Brown (63.7%)	07:00 PM	36
07:00 PM+29.5% EDGE Brown @ Columbia 9-15 vs 15-10 Brown 63.7% Columbia 36.3% Model Pick Brown 63.7% Pick Spread -5.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.5% MODEL PROB 63.7% VEGAS TRUE 34.2% VEGAS JUICED 35.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Brown 77 vs Columbia 77 Total 154.0 Margin +0.4 Spread DOG COVERS @65% Diff -4.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.0 @86%
Siena (19-10) @ Fairfield (18-11)	Siena (72.8%) DOG	07:00 PM	47
07:00 PM+22.8% EDGE Siena @ Fairfield 19-10 vs 18-11 Siena 72.8% Fairfield 27.2% Model Pick Siena 72.8% Pick Spread +0.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.8% MODEL PROB 72.8% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Siena 69 vs Fairfield 75 Total 144.5 Margin +5.7 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.8 @55%
Dayton (19-9) @ George Washington (16-12)	Dayton (62.1%)	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM+22.8% EDGE Dayton @ George Washington 19-9 vs 16-12 Dayton 62.1% George Washington 37.9% Model Pick Dayton 62.1% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.8% MODEL PROB 62.1% VEGAS TRUE 39.3% VEGAS JUICED 40.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Dayton 79 vs George Washington 76 Total 154.7 Margin -3.5 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.2 @57%
Yale (21-5) @ Cornell (13-12)	Yale (82.0%) DOG	06:00 PM	28
06:00 PM+22.1% EDGE Yale @ Cornell 21-5 vs 13-12 Yale 82.0% Cornell 18.0% Model Pick Yale 82.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +140 Away ML -165 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.1% MODEL PROB 82.0% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Yale 88 vs Cornell 87 Total 175.4 Margin -1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 164.5 @80%
Old Dominion (10-20) @ Georgia State (10-20)	Old Dominion (71.2%) DOG	07:30 PM	29
07:30 PM+21.2% EDGE Old Dominion @ Georgia State 10-20 vs 10-20 Old Dominion 71.2% Georgia State 28.8% Model Pick Old Dominion 71.2% Pick Spread +1.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.2% MODEL PROB 71.2% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Old Dominion 76 vs Georgia State 77 Total 153.6 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 149.5 @62%
Akron (23-5) @ Kent State (21-7)	Akron (79.6%) DOG	08:00 PM	40
08:00 PM+18.2% EDGE Akron @ Kent State 23-5 vs 21-7 Akron 79.6% Kent State 20.4% Model Pick Akron 79.6% Pick Spread +3.5 Home ML +150 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.2% MODEL PROB 79.6% VEGAS TRUE 61.4% VEGAS JUICED 63.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Akron 84 vs Kent State 88 Total 171.5 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 165.5 @68%
Harvard (15-10) @ Princeton (8-18)	Harvard (76.0%) DOG	07:00 PM	24
07:00 PM+13.2% EDGE Harvard @ Princeton 15-10 vs 8-18 Harvard 76.0% Princeton 24.0% Model Pick Harvard 76.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +160 Away ML -185 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.2% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 62.8% VEGAS JUICED 64.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Harvard 69 vs Princeton 72 Total 141.3 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 130.0 @81%
Coastal Carolina (18-12) @ James Madison (17-13)	James Madison (79.0%)	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM+10.6% EDGE Coastal Carolina @ James Madison 18-12 vs 17-13 Coastal Carolina 21.0% James Madison 79.0% Model Pick James Madison 79.0% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -245 Away ML +205 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 79.0% VEGAS TRUE 68.4% VEGAS JUICED 71.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Coastal Carolina 79 vs James Madison 77 Total 156.0 Margin -1.2 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +7.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.8 @86%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Akron (23-5) @ Kent State (21-7)	Akron (79.6%)	08:00 PM	40
08:00 PMCLOSE Akron @ Kent State 23-5 vs 21-7 Akron 79.6% Kent State 20.4% Model Pick Akron 79.6% Pick Spread Akron -3.5 Home ML +150 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.2% MODEL PROB 79.6% VEGAS TRUE 61.4% VEGAS JUICED 63.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Akron 84 vs Kent State 88 Total 171.5 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 165.5 @68%
Siena (19-10) @ Fairfield (18-11)	Siena (72.8%)	07:00 PM	47
07:00 PMCLOSE Siena @ Fairfield 19-10 vs 18-11 Siena 72.8% Fairfield 27.2% Model Pick Siena 72.8% Pick Spread Siena +0.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.8% MODEL PROB 72.8% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Siena 69 vs Fairfield 75 Total 144.5 Margin +5.7 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.8 @55%
Mount St. Mary's (14-15) @ Sacred Heart (12-18)	Sacred Heart (71.8%)	07:00 PM	28
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Mount St. Mary's @ Sacred Heart 14-15 vs 12-18 Mount St. Mary's 28.2% Sacred Heart 71.8% Model Pick Sacred Heart 71.8% Pick Spread Sacred Heart -2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.9% MODEL PROB 71.8% VEGAS TRUE 58.0% VEGAS JUICED 60.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Mount St. Mary's 76 vs Sacred Heart 73 Total 149.9 Margin -3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.8 @53%
Old Dominion (10-20) @ Georgia State (10-20)	Old Dominion (71.2%)	07:30 PM	29
07:30 PMCLOSE Old Dominion @ Georgia State 10-20 vs 10-20 Old Dominion 71.2% Georgia State 28.8% Model Pick Old Dominion 71.2% Pick Spread Old Dominion -1.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.2% MODEL PROB 71.2% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Old Dominion 76 vs Georgia State 77 Total 153.6 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 149.5 @62%
Dayton (19-9) @ George Washington (16-12)	Dayton (62.1%) DOG	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PMCLOSE Dayton @ George Washington 19-9 vs 16-12 Dayton 62.1% George Washington 37.9% Model Pick Dayton 62.1% Pick Spread Dayton +2.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.8% MODEL PROB 62.1% VEGAS TRUE 39.3% VEGAS JUICED 40.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Dayton 79 vs George Washington 76 Total 154.7 Margin -3.5 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.2 @57%
Michigan #3 (26-2) @ Illinois #10 (22-6)	Illinois (61.0%) DOG	08:00 PM	94
08:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Michigan #3 @ Illinois #10 26-2 vs 22-6 Michigan 39.0% Illinois 61.0% Model Pick Illinois 61.0% Pick Spread Illinois +2.0 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.2% MODEL PROB 61.0% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Michigan 88 vs Illinois 86 Total 173.4 Margin -2.4 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 160.0 @85%
App State (19-11) @ Texas State (18-12)	Texas State (57.1%) DOG	08:00 PM	43
08:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT App State @ Texas State 19-11 vs 18-12 App State 42.9% Texas State 57.1% Model Pick Texas State 57.1% Pick Spread Texas State +1.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.1% MODEL PROB 57.1% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE App State 74 vs Texas State 65 Total 139.5 Margin -9.1 Spread FAV COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 135.2 @63%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Manhattan (12-17) @ Saint Peter's (15-11)	Saint Peter's (88.0%)	+0.0%	07:00 PM	12
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Manhattan @ Saint Peter's 12-17 vs 15-11 Manhattan 12.0% Saint Peter's 88.0% Model Pick Saint Peter's 88.0% Pick Spread Saint Peter's -7.5 Home ML N/A Away ML -340 XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Manhattan 68 vs Saint Peter's 76 Total 143.9 Margin +7.1 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 144.5 @52%
Brown (9-15) @ Columbia (15-10)	Brown (63.7%) DOG	+29.5%	07:00 PM	36
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Brown @ Columbia 9-15 vs 15-10 Brown 63.7% Columbia 36.3% Model Pick Brown 63.7% Pick Spread Brown +5.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.5% MODEL PROB 63.7% VEGAS TRUE 34.2% VEGAS JUICED 35.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Brown 77 vs Columbia 77 Total 154.0 Margin +0.4 Spread DOG COVERS @65% Diff -4.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.0 @86%
Dayton (19-9) @ George Washington (16-12)	Dayton (62.1%) DOG	+22.8%	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Dayton @ George Washington 19-9 vs 16-12 Dayton 62.1% George Washington 37.9% Model Pick Dayton 62.1% Pick Spread Dayton +2.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.8% MODEL PROB 62.1% VEGAS TRUE 39.3% VEGAS JUICED 40.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Dayton 79 vs George Washington 76 Total 154.7 Margin -3.5 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.2 @57%
Michigan #3 (26-2) @ Illinois #10 (22-6)	Illinois (61.0%) DOG	+14.2%	08:00 PM	94
08:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Michigan #3 @ Illinois #10 26-2 vs 22-6 Michigan 39.0% Illinois 61.0% Model Pick Illinois 61.0% Pick Spread Illinois +2.0 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.2% MODEL PROB 61.0% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Michigan 88 vs Illinois 86 Total 173.4 Margin -2.4 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 160.0 @85%
Georgia Southern (15-15) @ Marshall (19-11)	Georgia Southern (57.9%) DOG	+31.2%	09:00 PM	42
09:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Georgia Southern @ Marshall 15-15 vs 19-11 Georgia Southern 57.9% Marshall 42.1% Model Pick Georgia Southern 57.9% Pick Spread Georgia Southern +7.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +31.2% MODEL PROB 57.9% VEGAS TRUE 26.7% VEGAS JUICED 27.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Georgia Southern 80 vs Marshall 81 Total 161.2 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 168.2 @71%
Rider (4-23) @ Iona (16-13)	Rider (54.9%) DOG	+41.8%	07:00 PM	45
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Rider @ Iona 4-23 vs 16-13 Rider 54.9% Iona 45.1% Model Pick Rider 54.9% Pick Spread Rider +11.5 Home ML -1000 Away ML +625 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +41.8% MODEL PROB 54.9% VEGAS TRUE 13.2% VEGAS JUICED 13.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rider 70 vs Iona 71 Total 141.3 Margin +1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @79% Diff -10.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.5 @54%

Game	Pick	Confidence	Moneyline	Expected Value	Time (ET)
Rider @ Iona	Rider DOG	54.9%	+625	⭐⭐⭐ +298.3%	07:00 PM
UL Monroe @ Troy	UL Monroe DOG	16.9%	+1250	⭐⭐⭐ +128.7%	07:00 PM
Georgia Southern @ Marshall	Georgia Southern DOG	57.9%	+260	⭐⭐⭐ +108.4%	09:00 PM

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Yale (21-5) @ Cornell (13-12)	Yale (82.0%)	06:00 PM	28
06:00 PM75%+ CONF +22.1% EDGE Yale @ Cornell 21-5 vs 13-12 Yale 82.0% Cornell 18.0% Model Pick Yale 82.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +140 Away ML -165 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.1% MODEL PROB 82.0% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Yale 88 vs Cornell 87 Total 175.4 Margin -1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 164.5 @80%
Akron (23-5) @ Kent State (21-7)	Akron (79.6%)	08:00 PM	40
08:00 PM75%+ CONF +18.2% EDGE Akron @ Kent State 23-5 vs 21-7 Akron 79.6% Kent State 20.4% Model Pick Akron 79.6% Pick Spread +3.5 Home ML +150 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.2% MODEL PROB 79.6% VEGAS TRUE 61.4% VEGAS JUICED 63.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Akron 84 vs Kent State 88 Total 171.5 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 165.5 @68%
Coastal Carolina (18-12) @ James Madison (17-13)	James Madison (79.0%)	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM75%+ CONF +10.6% EDGE Coastal Carolina @ James Madison 18-12 vs 17-13 Coastal Carolina 21.0% James Madison 79.0% Model Pick James Madison 79.0% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -245 Away ML +205 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 79.0% VEGAS TRUE 68.4% VEGAS JUICED 71.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Coastal Carolina 79 vs James Madison 77 Total 156.0 Margin -1.2 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +7.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.8 @86%
Harvard (15-10) @ Princeton (8-18)	Harvard (76.0%)	07:00 PM	24
07:00 PM75%+ CONF +13.2% EDGE Harvard @ Princeton 15-10 vs 8-18 Harvard 76.0% Princeton 24.0% Model Pick Harvard 76.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +160 Away ML -185 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.2% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 62.8% VEGAS JUICED 64.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Harvard 69 vs Princeton 72 Total 141.3 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 130.0 @81%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Rider (4-23) @ Iona (16-13)	Rider (54.9%)	+41.8%	07:00 PM	45
07:00 PM+41.8% EDGE Rider @ Iona 4-23 vs 16-13 Rider 54.9% Iona 45.1% Model Pick Rider 54.9% Pick Spread -11.5 Home ML -1000 Away ML +625 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +41.8% MODEL PROB 54.9% VEGAS TRUE 13.2% VEGAS JUICED 13.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rider 70 vs Iona 71 Total 141.3 Margin +1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @79% Diff -10.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.5 @54%
Georgia Southern (15-15) @ Marshall (19-11)	Georgia Southern (57.9%)	+31.2%	09:00 PM	42
09:00 PM+31.2% EDGE Georgia Southern @ Marshall 15-15 vs 19-11 Georgia Southern 57.9% Marshall 42.1% Model Pick Georgia Southern 57.9% Pick Spread -7.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +31.2% MODEL PROB 57.9% VEGAS TRUE 26.7% VEGAS JUICED 27.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Georgia Southern 80 vs Marshall 81 Total 161.2 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 168.2 @71%
Brown (9-15) @ Columbia (15-10)	Brown (63.7%)	+29.5%	07:00 PM	36
07:00 PM+29.5% EDGE Brown @ Columbia 9-15 vs 15-10 Brown 63.7% Columbia 36.3% Model Pick Brown 63.7% Pick Spread -5.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.5% MODEL PROB 63.7% VEGAS TRUE 34.2% VEGAS JUICED 35.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Brown 77 vs Columbia 77 Total 154.0 Margin +0.4 Spread DOG COVERS @65% Diff -4.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.0 @86%
Siena (19-10) @ Fairfield (18-11)	Siena (72.8%)	+22.8%	07:00 PM	47
07:00 PM+22.8% EDGE Siena @ Fairfield 19-10 vs 18-11 Siena 72.8% Fairfield 27.2% Model Pick Siena 72.8% Pick Spread +0.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.8% MODEL PROB 72.8% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Siena 69 vs Fairfield 75 Total 144.5 Margin +5.7 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.8 @55%
Dayton (19-9) @ George Washington (16-12)	Dayton (62.1%)	+22.8%	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM+22.8% EDGE Dayton @ George Washington 19-9 vs 16-12 Dayton 62.1% George Washington 37.9% Model Pick Dayton 62.1% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.8% MODEL PROB 62.1% VEGAS TRUE 39.3% VEGAS JUICED 40.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Dayton 79 vs George Washington 76 Total 154.7 Margin -3.5 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.2 @57%
Yale (21-5) @ Cornell (13-12)	Yale (82.0%)	+22.1%	06:00 PM	28
06:00 PM+22.1% EDGE Yale @ Cornell 21-5 vs 13-12 Yale 82.0% Cornell 18.0% Model Pick Yale 82.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +140 Away ML -165 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.1% MODEL PROB 82.0% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Yale 88 vs Cornell 87 Total 175.4 Margin -1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 164.5 @80%
Old Dominion (10-20) @ Georgia State (10-20)	Old Dominion (71.2%)	+21.2%	07:30 PM	29
07:30 PM+21.2% EDGE Old Dominion @ Georgia State 10-20 vs 10-20 Old Dominion 71.2% Georgia State 28.8% Model Pick Old Dominion 71.2% Pick Spread +1.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.2% MODEL PROB 71.2% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Old Dominion 76 vs Georgia State 77 Total 153.6 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 149.5 @62%
Akron (23-5) @ Kent State (21-7)	Akron (79.6%)	+18.2%	08:00 PM	40
08:00 PM+18.2% EDGE Akron @ Kent State 23-5 vs 21-7 Akron 79.6% Kent State 20.4% Model Pick Akron 79.6% Pick Spread +3.5 Home ML +150 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.2% MODEL PROB 79.6% VEGAS TRUE 61.4% VEGAS JUICED 63.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Akron 84 vs Kent State 88 Total 171.5 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 165.5 @68%
Harvard (15-10) @ Princeton (8-18)	Harvard (76.0%)	+13.2%	07:00 PM	24
07:00 PM+13.2% EDGE Harvard @ Princeton 15-10 vs 8-18 Harvard 76.0% Princeton 24.0% Model Pick Harvard 76.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +160 Away ML -185 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.2% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 62.8% VEGAS JUICED 64.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Harvard 69 vs Princeton 72 Total 141.3 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 130.0 @81%
Coastal Carolina (18-12) @ James Madison (17-13)	James Madison (79.0%)	+10.6%	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM+10.6% EDGE Coastal Carolina @ James Madison 18-12 vs 17-13 Coastal Carolina 21.0% James Madison 79.0% Model Pick James Madison 79.0% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -245 Away ML +205 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 79.0% VEGAS TRUE 68.4% VEGAS JUICED 71.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Coastal Carolina 79 vs James Madison 77 Total 156.0 Margin -1.2 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +7.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.8 @86%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Rider (4-23) @ Iona (16-13)	Rider (54.9%)	+41.8%	07:00 PM	45
07:00 PM+41.8% EDGE Rider @ Iona 4-23 vs 16-13 Rider 54.9% Iona 45.1% Model Pick Rider 54.9% Pick Spread -11.5 Home ML -1000 Away ML +625 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +41.8% MODEL PROB 54.9% VEGAS TRUE 13.2% VEGAS JUICED 13.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rider 70 vs Iona 71 Total 141.3 Margin +1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @79% Diff -10.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.5 @54%
Georgia Southern (15-15) @ Marshall (19-11)	Georgia Southern (57.9%)	+31.2%	09:00 PM	42
09:00 PM+31.2% EDGE Georgia Southern @ Marshall 15-15 vs 19-11 Georgia Southern 57.9% Marshall 42.1% Model Pick Georgia Southern 57.9% Pick Spread -7.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +31.2% MODEL PROB 57.9% VEGAS TRUE 26.7% VEGAS JUICED 27.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Georgia Southern 80 vs Marshall 81 Total 161.2 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 168.2 @71%
Brown (9-15) @ Columbia (15-10)	Brown (63.7%)	+29.5%	07:00 PM	36
07:00 PM+29.5% EDGE Brown @ Columbia 9-15 vs 15-10 Brown 63.7% Columbia 36.3% Model Pick Brown 63.7% Pick Spread -5.0 Home ML -220 Away ML +180 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +29.5% MODEL PROB 63.7% VEGAS TRUE 34.2% VEGAS JUICED 35.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Brown 77 vs Columbia 77 Total 154.0 Margin +0.4 Spread DOG COVERS @65% Diff -4.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 140.0 @86%
Siena (19-10) @ Fairfield (18-11)	Siena (72.8%)	+22.8%	07:00 PM	47
07:00 PM+22.8% EDGE Siena @ Fairfield 19-10 vs 18-11 Siena 72.8% Fairfield 27.2% Model Pick Siena 72.8% Pick Spread +0.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.8% MODEL PROB 72.8% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Siena 69 vs Fairfield 75 Total 144.5 Margin +5.7 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.8 @55%
Dayton (19-9) @ George Washington (16-12)	Dayton (62.1%)	+22.8%	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM+22.8% EDGE Dayton @ George Washington 19-9 vs 16-12 Dayton 62.1% George Washington 37.9% Model Pick Dayton 62.1% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.8% MODEL PROB 62.1% VEGAS TRUE 39.3% VEGAS JUICED 40.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Dayton 79 vs George Washington 76 Total 154.7 Margin -3.5 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.2 @57%
Yale (21-5) @ Cornell (13-12)	Yale (82.0%)	+22.1%	06:00 PM	28
06:00 PM+22.1% EDGE Yale @ Cornell 21-5 vs 13-12 Yale 82.0% Cornell 18.0% Model Pick Yale 82.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +140 Away ML -165 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.1% MODEL PROB 82.0% VEGAS TRUE 59.9% VEGAS JUICED 62.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Yale 88 vs Cornell 87 Total 175.4 Margin -1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 164.5 @80%
Old Dominion (10-20) @ Georgia State (10-20)	Old Dominion (71.2%)	+21.2%	07:30 PM	29
07:30 PM+21.2% EDGE Old Dominion @ Georgia State 10-20 vs 10-20 Old Dominion 71.2% Georgia State 28.8% Model Pick Old Dominion 71.2% Pick Spread +1.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +21.2% MODEL PROB 71.2% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Old Dominion 76 vs Georgia State 77 Total 153.6 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 149.5 @62%
Akron (23-5) @ Kent State (21-7)	Akron (79.6%)	+18.2%	08:00 PM	40
08:00 PM+18.2% EDGE Akron @ Kent State 23-5 vs 21-7 Akron 79.6% Kent State 20.4% Model Pick Akron 79.6% Pick Spread +3.5 Home ML +150 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.2% MODEL PROB 79.6% VEGAS TRUE 61.4% VEGAS JUICED 63.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Akron 84 vs Kent State 88 Total 171.5 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 165.5 @68%
Harvard (15-10) @ Princeton (8-18)	Harvard (76.0%)	+13.2%	07:00 PM	24
07:00 PM+13.2% EDGE Harvard @ Princeton 15-10 vs 8-18 Harvard 76.0% Princeton 24.0% Model Pick Harvard 76.0% Pick Spread +4.0 Home ML +160 Away ML -185 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.2% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 62.8% VEGAS JUICED 64.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Harvard 69 vs Princeton 72 Total 141.3 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 130.0 @81%
Coastal Carolina (18-12) @ James Madison (17-13)	James Madison (79.0%)	+10.6%	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM+10.6% EDGE Coastal Carolina @ James Madison 18-12 vs 17-13 Coastal Carolina 21.0% James Madison 79.0% Model Pick James Madison 79.0% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -245 Away ML +205 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.6% MODEL PROB 79.0% VEGAS TRUE 68.4% VEGAS JUICED 71.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Coastal Carolina 79 vs James Madison 77 Total 156.0 Margin -1.2 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +7.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.8 @86%

Model Information

📅 All Games Today

Model Explainability (SHAP Analysis)

XGBoost Win/Loss Model