Breaking Vegas - Daily Predictions | Monday, March 02, 2026

Model Information

XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game	Prediction ⇅	Time (ET) ⇅	Hype Level ⇅
SE Louisiana (8-22) @ New Orleans (15-16)	New Orleans (84.2%)	08:00 PM	16
08:00 PM +11.0% EDGE SE Louisiana @ New Orleans 8-22 vs 15-16 SE Louisiana 15.8% New Orleans 84.2% Model Pick New Orleans 84.2% Pick Spread New Orleans -8.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.0% MODEL PROB 84.2% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE SE Louisiana 71 vs New Orleans 72 Total 143.2 Margin +0.6 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.8 @52%
Weber State (16-14) @ Portland State (18-10)	Portland State (82.3%)	10:00 PM	18
10:00 PM +18.0% EDGE Weber State @ Portland State 16-14 vs 18-10 Weber State 17.7% Portland State 82.3% Model Pick Portland State 82.3% Pick Spread Portland State -5.0 Home ML -200 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.0% MODEL PROB 82.3% VEGAS TRUE 64.3% VEGAS JUICED 66.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Weber State 77 vs Portland State 76 Total 152.5 Margin -0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @75%
McNeese (25-5) @ Nicholls (13-17)	McNeese (80.9%)	07:30 PM	29
07:30 PM McNeese @ Nicholls 25-5 vs 13-17 McNeese 80.9% Nicholls 19.1% Model Pick McNeese 80.9% Pick Spread McNeese -10.5 Home ML +500 Away ML -750 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -3.2% MODEL PROB 80.9% VEGAS TRUE 84.1% VEGAS JUICED 88.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE McNeese 76 vs Nicholls 72 Total 148.6 Margin -4.2 Spread DOG COVERS @69% Diff -6.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.8 @62%
Coppin State (7-22) @ Howard (19-10)	Howard (79.8%)	07:00 PM	20
07:00 PM Coppin State @ Howard 7-22 vs 19-10 Coppin State 20.2% Howard 79.8% Model Pick Howard 79.8% Pick Spread Howard -19.0 Home ML -4000 Away ML +1200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -12.9% MODEL PROB 79.8% VEGAS TRUE 92.7% VEGAS JUICED 97.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Coppin State 65 vs Howard 81 Total 145.7 Margin +16.1 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff -2.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 138.5 @71%
Montana State (17-13) @ Northern Arizona (10-20)	Montana State (78.6%)	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM +12.8% EDGE Montana State @ Northern Arizona 17-13 vs 10-20 Montana State 78.6% Northern Arizona 21.4% Model Pick Montana State 78.6% Pick Spread Montana State -6.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.8% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Montana State 72 vs Northern Arizona 75 Total 146.8 Margin +2.8 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @59%
Stephen F. Austin (26-4) @ Incarnate Word (12-18)	Stephen F. Austin (78.3%)	07:30 PM	32
07:30 PM Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word 26-4 vs 12-18 Stephen F. Austin 78.3% Incarnate Word 21.7% Model Pick Stephen F. Austin 78.3% Pick Spread Stephen F. Austin -8.5 Home ML +300 Away ML -400 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.2% MODEL PROB 78.3% VEGAS TRUE 76.2% VEGAS JUICED 80.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stephen F. Austin 73 vs Incarnate Word 73 Total 145.3 Margin +0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.2 @56%
East Texas A&M (11-20) @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (16-14)	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (74.5%)	08:00 PM	26
08:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT East Texas A&M @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 11-20 vs 16-14 East Texas A&M 25.5% Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 74.5% Model Pick Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 74.5% Pick Spread Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -8.0 Home ML -360 Away ML +280 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -0.3% MODEL PROB 74.5% VEGAS TRUE 74.8% VEGAS JUICED 78.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE East Texas A&M 66 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 69 Total 134.9 Margin +3.5 Spread DOG COVERS @63% Diff -4.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 137.5 @58%
Iowa State #4 (24-5) @ Arizona #2 (27-2)	Arizona (65.8%)	09:00 PM	89
09:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Iowa State #4 @ Arizona #2 24-5 vs 27-2 Iowa State 34.2% Arizona 65.8% Model Pick Arizona 65.8% Pick Spread Arizona -7.0 Home ML -340 Away ML +270 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -8.3% MODEL PROB 65.8% VEGAS TRUE 74.1% VEGAS JUICED 77.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Iowa State 79 vs Arizona 79 Total 158.7 Margin +0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 149.5 @76%
Lamar (12-18) @ Houston Christian (11-19)	Lamar (65.3%)	08:30 PM	35
08:30 PM +14.2% EDGECLOSE Lamar @ Houston Christian 12-18 vs 11-19 Lamar 65.3% Houston Christian 34.7% Model Pick Lamar 65.3% Pick Spread Lamar -1.5 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.2% MODEL PROB 65.3% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Lamar 64 vs Houston Christian 70 Total 133.8 Margin +5.6 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 132.5 @54%
Idaho (16-14) @ Eastern Washington (13-17)	Idaho (62.2%) DOG	09:00 PM	38
09:00 PM +22.1% EDGEUNDERDOG Idaho @ Eastern Washington 16-14 vs 13-17 Idaho 62.2% Eastern Washington 37.8% Model Pick Idaho 62.2% Pick Spread Idaho +4.0 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.1% MODEL PROB 62.2% VEGAS TRUE 40.1% VEGAS JUICED 41.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Idaho 77 vs Eastern Washington 80 Total 157.1 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 150.2 @70%
Montana (16-14) @ Northern Colorado (19-11)	Montana (61.6%) DOG	08:00 PM	38
08:00 PM +34.0% EDGEUNDERDOG Montana @ Northern Colorado 16-14 vs 19-11 Montana 61.6% Northern Colorado 38.4% Model Pick Montana 61.6% Pick Spread Montana +6.0 Home ML -300 Away ML +250 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +34.0% MODEL PROB 61.6% VEGAS TRUE 27.6% VEGAS JUICED 28.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Montana 78 vs Northern Colorado 83 Total 161.1 Margin +5.5 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 153.8 @71%
Norfolk State (15-14) @ Morgan State (12-15)	Morgan State (59.9%) DOG	06:00 PM	40
06:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Norfolk State @ Morgan State 15-14 vs 12-15 Norfolk State 40.1% Morgan State 59.9% Model Pick Morgan State 59.9% Pick Spread Morgan State +3.5 Home ML +125 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +17.0% MODEL PROB 59.9% VEGAS TRUE 42.9% VEGAS JUICED 44.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Norfolk State 76 vs Morgan State 73 Total 148.9 Margin -2.1 Spread DOG COVERS @54% Diff -1.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.8 @70%
North Carolina Central (11-16) @ Maryland Eastern Shore (9-20)	North Carolina Central (59.3%) DOG	07:00 PM	41
07:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOG North Carolina Central @ Maryland Eastern Shore 11-16 vs 9-20 North Carolina Central 59.3% Maryland Eastern Shore 40.7% Model Pick North Carolina Central 59.3% Pick Spread North Carolina Central +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE North Carolina Central 60 vs Maryland Eastern Shore 67 Total 127.7 Margin +6.9 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 133.5 @67%
Idaho State (12-18) @ Sacramento State (9-20)	Idaho State (58.0%) DOG	10:00 PM	42
10:00 PM +11.2% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG Idaho State @ Sacramento State 12-18 vs 9-20 Idaho State 58.0% Sacramento State 42.0% Model Pick Idaho State 58.0% Pick Spread Idaho State +1.0 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 58.0% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Idaho State 75 vs Sacramento State 79 Total 154.2 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.2 @68%
IU Indianapolis (7-24) @ Cleveland State (10-21)	IU Indianapolis (57.0%) DOG	07:00 PM	43
07:00 PM +11.2% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State 7-24 vs 10-21 IU Indianapolis 57.0% Cleveland State 43.0% Model Pick IU Indianapolis 57.0% Pick Spread IU Indianapolis +2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 57.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE IU Indianapolis 81 vs Cleveland State 85 Total 166.1 Margin +3.3 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 170.5 @63%
Northwestern State (10-20) @ UT Rio Grande Valley (17-13)	Northwestern State (56.1%) DOG	07:30 PM	44
07:30 PM +38.0% EDGEUNDERDOG Northwestern State @ UT Rio Grande Valley 10-20 vs 17-13 Northwestern State 56.1% UT Rio Grande Valley 43.9% Model Pick Northwestern State 56.1% Pick Spread Northwestern State +10.0 Home ML -600 Away ML +425 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +38.0% MODEL PROB 56.1% VEGAS TRUE 18.2% VEGAS JUICED 19.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northwestern State 68 vs UT Rio Grande Valley 70 Total 137.9 Margin +2.3 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 138.2 @51%
South Carolina State (7-21) @ Delaware State (6-21)	South Carolina State (56.0%) DOG	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM +10.3% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG South Carolina State @ Delaware State 7-21 vs 6-21 South Carolina State 56.0% Delaware State 44.0% Model Pick South Carolina State 56.0% Pick Spread South Carolina State +2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 56.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Carolina State 62 vs Delaware State 65 Total 126.6 Margin +2.6 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.5 @78%
Duke #1 (27-2) @ NC State (19-10)	NC State (54.5%) DOG	07:00 PM	86
07:00 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Duke #1 @ NC State 27-2 vs 19-10 Duke 45.5% NC State 54.5% Model Pick NC State 54.5% Pick Spread NC State +9.5 Home ML +425 Away ML -600 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +36.3% MODEL PROB 54.5% VEGAS TRUE 18.2% VEGAS JUICED 19.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Duke 81 vs NC State 69 Total 149.9 Margin -12.5 Spread FAV COVERS @59% Diff +3.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.5 @54%

TIERED RECOMMENDATION SYSTEM

⭐ PREMIUM: 80%+ conf, 5+ edge (88.5% win, 69.1% ROI) • ✓ GOOD: 75%+ conf, 7+ edge (82.7% win, 57.9% ROI)

Based on 4,181 game analysis • Updated Feb 9, 2026

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Montana State (17-13) @ Northern Arizona (10-20)	Montana State (78.6%) ✓ GOOD	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM+9.0 PTS EDGE Montana State @ Northern Arizona 17-13 vs 10-20 Montana State 78.6% Northern Arizona 21.4% Model Pick Montana State (78.6%) Pick Spread Montana State -6.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 SPREAD EDGE +9.0 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +2.8 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Montana State 72 vs Northern Arizona 75 Total 146.8 Margin +2.8 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @59%
Stephen F. Austin (26-4) @ Incarnate Word (12-18)	Stephen F. Austin (78.3%) ✓ GOOD	07:30 PM	32
07:30 PM+8.6 PTS EDGE Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word 26-4 vs 12-18 Stephen F. Austin 78.3% Incarnate Word 21.7% Model Pick Stephen F. Austin (78.3%) Pick Spread Stephen F. Austin -8.5 Home ML +300 Away ML -400 SPREAD EDGE +8.6 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +0.1 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stephen F. Austin 73 vs Incarnate Word 73 Total 145.3 Margin +0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.2 @56%
Weber State (16-14) @ Portland State (18-10)	Portland State (82.3%) ⭐ PREMIUM	10:00 PM	18
10:00 PM+5.6 PTS EDGE Weber State @ Portland State 16-14 vs 18-10 Weber State 17.7% Portland State 82.3% Model Pick Portland State (82.3%) Pick Spread Portland State -5.0 Home ML -200 Away ML +170 SPREAD EDGE +5.6 pts PREDICTED MARGIN -0.9 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Weber State 77 vs Portland State 76 Total 152.5 Margin -0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @75%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Northwestern State (10-20) @ UT Rio Grande Valley (17-13)	Northwestern State (56.1%)	07:30 PM	44
07:30 PM+38.0% EDGE Northwestern State @ UT Rio Grande Valley 10-20 vs 17-13 Northwestern State 56.1% UT Rio Grande Valley 43.9% Model Pick Northwestern State 56.1% Pick Spread -10.0 Home ML -600 Away ML +425 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +38.0% MODEL PROB 56.1% VEGAS TRUE 18.2% VEGAS JUICED 19.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northwestern State 68 vs UT Rio Grande Valley 70 Total 137.9 Margin +2.3 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 138.2 @51%
Montana (16-14) @ Northern Colorado (19-11)	Montana (61.6%)	08:00 PM	38
08:00 PM+34.0% EDGE Montana @ Northern Colorado 16-14 vs 19-11 Montana 61.6% Northern Colorado 38.4% Model Pick Montana 61.6% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -300 Away ML +250 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +34.0% MODEL PROB 61.6% VEGAS TRUE 27.6% VEGAS JUICED 28.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Montana 78 vs Northern Colorado 83 Total 161.1 Margin +5.5 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 153.8 @71%
Idaho (16-14) @ Eastern Washington (13-17)	Idaho (62.2%)	09:00 PM	38
09:00 PM+22.1% EDGE Idaho @ Eastern Washington 16-14 vs 13-17 Idaho 62.2% Eastern Washington 37.8% Model Pick Idaho 62.2% Pick Spread -4.0 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.1% MODEL PROB 62.2% VEGAS TRUE 40.1% VEGAS JUICED 41.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Idaho 77 vs Eastern Washington 80 Total 157.1 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 150.2 @70%
Weber State (16-14) @ Portland State (18-10)	Portland State (82.3%)	10:00 PM	18
10:00 PM+18.0% EDGE Weber State @ Portland State 16-14 vs 18-10 Weber State 17.7% Portland State 82.3% Model Pick Portland State 82.3% Pick Spread -5.0 Home ML -200 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.0% MODEL PROB 82.3% VEGAS TRUE 64.3% VEGAS JUICED 66.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Weber State 77 vs Portland State 76 Total 152.5 Margin -0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @75%
Lamar (12-18) @ Houston Christian (11-19)	Lamar (65.3%) DOG	08:30 PM	35
08:30 PM+14.2% EDGE Lamar @ Houston Christian 12-18 vs 11-19 Lamar 65.3% Houston Christian 34.7% Model Pick Lamar 65.3% Pick Spread +1.5 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.2% MODEL PROB 65.3% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Lamar 64 vs Houston Christian 70 Total 133.8 Margin +5.6 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 132.5 @54%
Montana State (17-13) @ Northern Arizona (10-20)	Montana State (78.6%) DOG	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM+12.8% EDGE Montana State @ Northern Arizona 17-13 vs 10-20 Montana State 78.6% Northern Arizona 21.4% Model Pick Montana State 78.6% Pick Spread +6.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.8% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Montana State 72 vs Northern Arizona 75 Total 146.8 Margin +2.8 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @59%
IU Indianapolis (7-24) @ Cleveland State (10-21)	IU Indianapolis (57.0%)	07:00 PM	43
07:00 PM+11.2% EDGE IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State 7-24 vs 10-21 IU Indianapolis 57.0% Cleveland State 43.0% Model Pick IU Indianapolis 57.0% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 57.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE IU Indianapolis 81 vs Cleveland State 85 Total 166.1 Margin +3.3 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 170.5 @63%
Idaho State (12-18) @ Sacramento State (9-20)	Idaho State (58.0%)	10:00 PM	42
10:00 PM+11.2% EDGE Idaho State @ Sacramento State 12-18 vs 9-20 Idaho State 58.0% Sacramento State 42.0% Model Pick Idaho State 58.0% Pick Spread -1.0 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 58.0% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Idaho State 75 vs Sacramento State 79 Total 154.2 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.2 @68%
SE Louisiana (8-22) @ New Orleans (15-16)	New Orleans (84.2%)	08:00 PM	16
08:00 PM+11.0% EDGE SE Louisiana @ New Orleans 8-22 vs 15-16 SE Louisiana 15.8% New Orleans 84.2% Model Pick New Orleans 84.2% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.0% MODEL PROB 84.2% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE SE Louisiana 71 vs New Orleans 72 Total 143.2 Margin +0.6 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.8 @52%
South Carolina State (7-21) @ Delaware State (6-21)	South Carolina State (56.0%)	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM+10.3% EDGE South Carolina State @ Delaware State 7-21 vs 6-21 South Carolina State 56.0% Delaware State 44.0% Model Pick South Carolina State 56.0% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 56.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Carolina State 62 vs Delaware State 65 Total 126.6 Margin +2.6 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.5 @78%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Lamar (12-18) @ Houston Christian (11-19)	Lamar (65.3%)	08:30 PM	35
08:30 PMCLOSE Lamar @ Houston Christian 12-18 vs 11-19 Lamar 65.3% Houston Christian 34.7% Model Pick Lamar 65.3% Pick Spread Lamar -1.5 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.2% MODEL PROB 65.3% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Lamar 64 vs Houston Christian 70 Total 133.8 Margin +5.6 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 132.5 @54%
Norfolk State (15-14) @ Morgan State (12-15)	Morgan State (59.9%) DOG	06:00 PM	40
06:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Norfolk State @ Morgan State 15-14 vs 12-15 Norfolk State 40.1% Morgan State 59.9% Model Pick Morgan State 59.9% Pick Spread Morgan State +3.5 Home ML +125 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +17.0% MODEL PROB 59.9% VEGAS TRUE 42.9% VEGAS JUICED 44.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Norfolk State 76 vs Morgan State 73 Total 148.9 Margin -2.1 Spread DOG COVERS @54% Diff -1.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.8 @70%
North Carolina Central (11-16) @ Maryland Eastern Shore (9-20)	North Carolina Central (59.3%) DOG	07:00 PM	41
07:00 PMCLOSE North Carolina Central @ Maryland Eastern Shore 11-16 vs 9-20 North Carolina Central 59.3% Maryland Eastern Shore 40.7% Model Pick North Carolina Central 59.3% Pick Spread North Carolina Central +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE North Carolina Central 60 vs Maryland Eastern Shore 67 Total 127.7 Margin +6.9 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 133.5 @67%
Idaho State (12-18) @ Sacramento State (9-20)	Idaho State (58.0%) DOG	10:00 PM	42
10:00 PMCLOSE Idaho State @ Sacramento State 12-18 vs 9-20 Idaho State 58.0% Sacramento State 42.0% Model Pick Idaho State 58.0% Pick Spread Idaho State +1.0 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 58.0% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Idaho State 75 vs Sacramento State 79 Total 154.2 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.2 @68%
IU Indianapolis (7-24) @ Cleveland State (10-21)	IU Indianapolis (57.0%) DOG	07:00 PM	43
07:00 PMCLOSE IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State 7-24 vs 10-21 IU Indianapolis 57.0% Cleveland State 43.0% Model Pick IU Indianapolis 57.0% Pick Spread IU Indianapolis +2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 57.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE IU Indianapolis 81 vs Cleveland State 85 Total 166.1 Margin +3.3 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 170.5 @63%
South Carolina State (7-21) @ Delaware State (6-21)	South Carolina State (56.0%) DOG	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PMCLOSE South Carolina State @ Delaware State 7-21 vs 6-21 South Carolina State 56.0% Delaware State 44.0% Model Pick South Carolina State 56.0% Pick Spread South Carolina State +2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 56.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Carolina State 62 vs Delaware State 65 Total 126.6 Margin +2.6 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.5 @78%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Idaho (16-14) @ Eastern Washington (13-17)	Idaho (62.2%) DOG	+22.1%	09:00 PM	38
09:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Idaho @ Eastern Washington 16-14 vs 13-17 Idaho 62.2% Eastern Washington 37.8% Model Pick Idaho 62.2% Pick Spread Idaho +4.0 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.1% MODEL PROB 62.2% VEGAS TRUE 40.1% VEGAS JUICED 41.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Idaho 77 vs Eastern Washington 80 Total 157.1 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 150.2 @70%
Montana (16-14) @ Northern Colorado (19-11)	Montana (61.6%) DOG	+34.0%	08:00 PM	38
08:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Montana @ Northern Colorado 16-14 vs 19-11 Montana 61.6% Northern Colorado 38.4% Model Pick Montana 61.6% Pick Spread Montana +6.0 Home ML -300 Away ML +250 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +34.0% MODEL PROB 61.6% VEGAS TRUE 27.6% VEGAS JUICED 28.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Montana 78 vs Northern Colorado 83 Total 161.1 Margin +5.5 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 153.8 @71%
Norfolk State (15-14) @ Morgan State (12-15)	Morgan State (59.9%) DOG	+17.0%	06:00 PM	40
06:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Norfolk State @ Morgan State 15-14 vs 12-15 Norfolk State 40.1% Morgan State 59.9% Model Pick Morgan State 59.9% Pick Spread Morgan State +3.5 Home ML +125 Away ML -145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +17.0% MODEL PROB 59.9% VEGAS TRUE 42.9% VEGAS JUICED 44.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Norfolk State 76 vs Morgan State 73 Total 148.9 Margin -2.1 Spread DOG COVERS @54% Diff -1.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.8 @70%
Idaho State (12-18) @ Sacramento State (9-20)	Idaho State (58.0%) DOG	+11.2%	10:00 PM	42
10:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Idaho State @ Sacramento State 12-18 vs 9-20 Idaho State 58.0% Sacramento State 42.0% Model Pick Idaho State 58.0% Pick Spread Idaho State +1.0 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 58.0% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Idaho State 75 vs Sacramento State 79 Total 154.2 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.2 @68%
IU Indianapolis (7-24) @ Cleveland State (10-21)	IU Indianapolis (57.0%) DOG	+11.2%	07:00 PM	43
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State 7-24 vs 10-21 IU Indianapolis 57.0% Cleveland State 43.0% Model Pick IU Indianapolis 57.0% Pick Spread IU Indianapolis +2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 57.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE IU Indianapolis 81 vs Cleveland State 85 Total 166.1 Margin +3.3 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 170.5 @63%
Northwestern State (10-20) @ UT Rio Grande Valley (17-13)	Northwestern State (56.1%) DOG	+38.0%	07:30 PM	44
07:30 PMUNDERDOG ML Northwestern State @ UT Rio Grande Valley 10-20 vs 17-13 Northwestern State 56.1% UT Rio Grande Valley 43.9% Model Pick Northwestern State 56.1% Pick Spread Northwestern State +10.0 Home ML -600 Away ML +425 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +38.0% MODEL PROB 56.1% VEGAS TRUE 18.2% VEGAS JUICED 19.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northwestern State 68 vs UT Rio Grande Valley 70 Total 137.9 Margin +2.3 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 138.2 @51%
South Carolina State (7-21) @ Delaware State (6-21)	South Carolina State (56.0%) DOG	+10.3%	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML South Carolina State @ Delaware State 7-21 vs 6-21 South Carolina State 56.0% Delaware State 44.0% Model Pick South Carolina State 56.0% Pick Spread South Carolina State +2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 56.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Carolina State 62 vs Delaware State 65 Total 126.6 Margin +2.6 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.5 @78%
Duke #1 (27-2) @ NC State (19-10)	NC State (54.5%) DOG	+36.3%	07:00 PM	86
07:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Duke #1 @ NC State 27-2 vs 19-10 Duke 45.5% NC State 54.5% Model Pick NC State 54.5% Pick Spread NC State +9.5 Home ML +425 Away ML -600 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +36.3% MODEL PROB 54.5% VEGAS TRUE 18.2% VEGAS JUICED 19.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Duke 81 vs NC State 69 Total 149.9 Margin -12.5 Spread FAV COVERS @59% Diff +3.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.5 @54%

Game	Pick	Confidence	Moneyline	Expected Value	Time (ET)
Northwestern State @ UT Rio Grande Valley	Northwestern State DOG	56.1%	+425	⭐⭐⭐ +194.7%	07:30 PM
NC State vs Duke	NC State DOG	54.5%	+425	⭐⭐⭐ +186.3%	07:00 PM
Coppin State @ Howard	Coppin State DOG	20.2%	+1200	⭐⭐⭐ +163.1%	07:00 PM

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
SE Louisiana (8-22) @ New Orleans (15-16)	New Orleans (84.2%)	08:00 PM	16
08:00 PM75%+ CONF +11.0% EDGE SE Louisiana @ New Orleans 8-22 vs 15-16 SE Louisiana 15.8% New Orleans 84.2% Model Pick New Orleans 84.2% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.0% MODEL PROB 84.2% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE SE Louisiana 71 vs New Orleans 72 Total 143.2 Margin +0.6 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.8 @52%
Weber State (16-14) @ Portland State (18-10)	Portland State (82.3%)	10:00 PM	18
10:00 PM75%+ CONF +18.0% EDGE Weber State @ Portland State 16-14 vs 18-10 Weber State 17.7% Portland State 82.3% Model Pick Portland State 82.3% Pick Spread -5.0 Home ML -200 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.0% MODEL PROB 82.3% VEGAS TRUE 64.3% VEGAS JUICED 66.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Weber State 77 vs Portland State 76 Total 152.5 Margin -0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @75%
Montana State (17-13) @ Northern Arizona (10-20)	Montana State (78.6%)	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM75%+ CONF +12.8% EDGE Montana State @ Northern Arizona 17-13 vs 10-20 Montana State 78.6% Northern Arizona 21.4% Model Pick Montana State 78.6% Pick Spread +6.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.8% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Montana State 72 vs Northern Arizona 75 Total 146.8 Margin +2.8 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @59%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Northwestern State (10-20) @ UT Rio Grande Valley (17-13)	Northwestern State (56.1%)	+38.0%	07:30 PM	44
07:30 PM+38.0% EDGE Northwestern State @ UT Rio Grande Valley 10-20 vs 17-13 Northwestern State 56.1% UT Rio Grande Valley 43.9% Model Pick Northwestern State 56.1% Pick Spread -10.0 Home ML -600 Away ML +425 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +38.0% MODEL PROB 56.1% VEGAS TRUE 18.2% VEGAS JUICED 19.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northwestern State 68 vs UT Rio Grande Valley 70 Total 137.9 Margin +2.3 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 138.2 @51%
Montana (16-14) @ Northern Colorado (19-11)	Montana (61.6%)	+34.0%	08:00 PM	38
08:00 PM+34.0% EDGE Montana @ Northern Colorado 16-14 vs 19-11 Montana 61.6% Northern Colorado 38.4% Model Pick Montana 61.6% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -300 Away ML +250 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +34.0% MODEL PROB 61.6% VEGAS TRUE 27.6% VEGAS JUICED 28.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Montana 78 vs Northern Colorado 83 Total 161.1 Margin +5.5 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 153.8 @71%
Idaho (16-14) @ Eastern Washington (13-17)	Idaho (62.2%)	+22.1%	09:00 PM	38
09:00 PM+22.1% EDGE Idaho @ Eastern Washington 16-14 vs 13-17 Idaho 62.2% Eastern Washington 37.8% Model Pick Idaho 62.2% Pick Spread -4.0 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.1% MODEL PROB 62.2% VEGAS TRUE 40.1% VEGAS JUICED 41.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Idaho 77 vs Eastern Washington 80 Total 157.1 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 150.2 @70%
Weber State (16-14) @ Portland State (18-10)	Portland State (82.3%)	+18.0%	10:00 PM	18
10:00 PM+18.0% EDGE Weber State @ Portland State 16-14 vs 18-10 Weber State 17.7% Portland State 82.3% Model Pick Portland State 82.3% Pick Spread -5.0 Home ML -200 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.0% MODEL PROB 82.3% VEGAS TRUE 64.3% VEGAS JUICED 66.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Weber State 77 vs Portland State 76 Total 152.5 Margin -0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @75%
Lamar (12-18) @ Houston Christian (11-19)	Lamar (65.3%)	+14.2%	08:30 PM	35
08:30 PM+14.2% EDGE Lamar @ Houston Christian 12-18 vs 11-19 Lamar 65.3% Houston Christian 34.7% Model Pick Lamar 65.3% Pick Spread +1.5 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.2% MODEL PROB 65.3% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Lamar 64 vs Houston Christian 70 Total 133.8 Margin +5.6 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 132.5 @54%
Montana State (17-13) @ Northern Arizona (10-20)	Montana State (78.6%)	+12.8%	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM+12.8% EDGE Montana State @ Northern Arizona 17-13 vs 10-20 Montana State 78.6% Northern Arizona 21.4% Model Pick Montana State 78.6% Pick Spread +6.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.8% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Montana State 72 vs Northern Arizona 75 Total 146.8 Margin +2.8 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @59%
IU Indianapolis (7-24) @ Cleveland State (10-21)	IU Indianapolis (57.0%)	+11.2%	07:00 PM	43
07:00 PM+11.2% EDGE IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State 7-24 vs 10-21 IU Indianapolis 57.0% Cleveland State 43.0% Model Pick IU Indianapolis 57.0% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 57.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE IU Indianapolis 81 vs Cleveland State 85 Total 166.1 Margin +3.3 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 170.5 @63%
Idaho State (12-18) @ Sacramento State (9-20)	Idaho State (58.0%)	+11.2%	10:00 PM	42
10:00 PM+11.2% EDGE Idaho State @ Sacramento State 12-18 vs 9-20 Idaho State 58.0% Sacramento State 42.0% Model Pick Idaho State 58.0% Pick Spread -1.0 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 58.0% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Idaho State 75 vs Sacramento State 79 Total 154.2 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.2 @68%
SE Louisiana (8-22) @ New Orleans (15-16)	New Orleans (84.2%)	+11.0%	08:00 PM	16
08:00 PM+11.0% EDGE SE Louisiana @ New Orleans 8-22 vs 15-16 SE Louisiana 15.8% New Orleans 84.2% Model Pick New Orleans 84.2% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.0% MODEL PROB 84.2% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE SE Louisiana 71 vs New Orleans 72 Total 143.2 Margin +0.6 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.8 @52%
South Carolina State (7-21) @ Delaware State (6-21)	South Carolina State (56.0%)	+10.3%	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM+10.3% EDGE South Carolina State @ Delaware State 7-21 vs 6-21 South Carolina State 56.0% Delaware State 44.0% Model Pick South Carolina State 56.0% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 56.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Carolina State 62 vs Delaware State 65 Total 126.6 Margin +2.6 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.5 @78%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Northwestern State (10-20) @ UT Rio Grande Valley (17-13)	Northwestern State (56.1%)	+38.0%	07:30 PM	44
07:30 PM+38.0% EDGE Northwestern State @ UT Rio Grande Valley 10-20 vs 17-13 Northwestern State 56.1% UT Rio Grande Valley 43.9% Model Pick Northwestern State 56.1% Pick Spread -10.0 Home ML -600 Away ML +425 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +38.0% MODEL PROB 56.1% VEGAS TRUE 18.2% VEGAS JUICED 19.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northwestern State 68 vs UT Rio Grande Valley 70 Total 137.9 Margin +2.3 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 138.2 @51%
Montana (16-14) @ Northern Colorado (19-11)	Montana (61.6%)	+34.0%	08:00 PM	38
08:00 PM+34.0% EDGE Montana @ Northern Colorado 16-14 vs 19-11 Montana 61.6% Northern Colorado 38.4% Model Pick Montana 61.6% Pick Spread -6.0 Home ML -300 Away ML +250 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +34.0% MODEL PROB 61.6% VEGAS TRUE 27.6% VEGAS JUICED 28.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Montana 78 vs Northern Colorado 83 Total 161.1 Margin +5.5 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 153.8 @71%
Idaho (16-14) @ Eastern Washington (13-17)	Idaho (62.2%)	+22.1%	09:00 PM	38
09:00 PM+22.1% EDGE Idaho @ Eastern Washington 16-14 vs 13-17 Idaho 62.2% Eastern Washington 37.8% Model Pick Idaho 62.2% Pick Spread -4.0 Home ML -165 Away ML +140 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +22.1% MODEL PROB 62.2% VEGAS TRUE 40.1% VEGAS JUICED 41.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Idaho 77 vs Eastern Washington 80 Total 157.1 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 150.2 @70%
Weber State (16-14) @ Portland State (18-10)	Portland State (82.3%)	+18.0%	10:00 PM	18
10:00 PM+18.0% EDGE Weber State @ Portland State 16-14 vs 18-10 Weber State 17.7% Portland State 82.3% Model Pick Portland State 82.3% Pick Spread -5.0 Home ML -200 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +18.0% MODEL PROB 82.3% VEGAS TRUE 64.3% VEGAS JUICED 66.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Weber State 77 vs Portland State 76 Total 152.5 Margin -0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff +5.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @75%
Lamar (12-18) @ Houston Christian (11-19)	Lamar (65.3%)	+14.2%	08:30 PM	35
08:30 PM+14.2% EDGE Lamar @ Houston Christian 12-18 vs 11-19 Lamar 65.3% Houston Christian 34.7% Model Pick Lamar 65.3% Pick Spread +1.5 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +14.2% MODEL PROB 65.3% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Lamar 64 vs Houston Christian 70 Total 133.8 Margin +5.6 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.1 Vegas O/U BET OVER 132.5 @54%
Montana State (17-13) @ Northern Arizona (10-20)	Montana State (78.6%)	+12.8%	08:00 PM	21
08:00 PM+12.8% EDGE Montana State @ Northern Arizona 17-13 vs 10-20 Montana State 78.6% Northern Arizona 21.4% Model Pick Montana State 78.6% Pick Spread +6.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.8% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 65.8% VEGAS JUICED 68.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Montana State 72 vs Northern Arizona 75 Total 146.8 Margin +2.8 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.8 @59%
IU Indianapolis (7-24) @ Cleveland State (10-21)	IU Indianapolis (57.0%)	+11.2%	07:00 PM	43
07:00 PM+11.2% EDGE IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State 7-24 vs 10-21 IU Indianapolis 57.0% Cleveland State 43.0% Model Pick IU Indianapolis 57.0% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 57.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE IU Indianapolis 81 vs Cleveland State 85 Total 166.1 Margin +3.3 Spread FAV COVERS @55% Diff +1.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 170.5 @63%
Idaho State (12-18) @ Sacramento State (9-20)	Idaho State (58.0%)	+11.2%	10:00 PM	42
10:00 PM+11.2% EDGE Idaho State @ Sacramento State 12-18 vs 9-20 Idaho State 58.0% Sacramento State 42.0% Model Pick Idaho State 58.0% Pick Spread -1.0 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.2% MODEL PROB 58.0% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Idaho State 75 vs Sacramento State 79 Total 154.2 Margin +3.4 Spread FAV COVERS @57% Diff +2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.2 @68%
SE Louisiana (8-22) @ New Orleans (15-16)	New Orleans (84.2%)	+11.0%	08:00 PM	16
08:00 PM+11.0% EDGE SE Louisiana @ New Orleans 8-22 vs 15-16 SE Louisiana 15.8% New Orleans 84.2% Model Pick New Orleans 84.2% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.0% MODEL PROB 84.2% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE SE Louisiana 71 vs New Orleans 72 Total 143.2 Margin +0.6 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.8 @52%
South Carolina State (7-21) @ Delaware State (6-21)	South Carolina State (56.0%)	+10.3%	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM+10.3% EDGE South Carolina State @ Delaware State 7-21 vs 6-21 South Carolina State 56.0% Delaware State 44.0% Model Pick South Carolina State 56.0% Pick Spread -2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 56.0% VEGAS TRUE 45.7% VEGAS JUICED 47.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE South Carolina State 62 vs Delaware State 65 Total 126.6 Margin +2.6 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 136.5 @78%