Breaking Vegas - Daily Predictions | Tuesday, March 03, 2026

Model Information

XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game	Prediction ⇅	Time (ET) ⇅	Hype Level ⇅
Oregon (11-18) @ Illinois #10 (22-7)	Illinois (90.8%)	09:00 PM	34
09:00 PM Oregon @ Illinois #10 11-18 vs 22-7 Oregon 9.2% Illinois 90.8% Model Pick Illinois 90.8% Pick Spread Illinois -18.5 Home ML -4000 Away ML +1200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -1.9% MODEL PROB 90.8% VEGAS TRUE 92.7% VEGAS JUICED 97.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Oregon 67 vs Illinois 78 Total 145.2 Margin +11.4 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.2 @53%
Georgetown (13-16) @ St. John's #15 (23-6)	St. John's (90.8%)	07:00 PM	34
07:00 PM Georgetown @ St. John's #15 13-16 vs 23-6 Georgetown 9.2% St. John's 90.8% Model Pick St. John's 90.8% Pick Spread St. John's -15.5 Home ML -1600 Away ML +800 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.4% MODEL PROB 90.8% VEGAS TRUE 89.4% VEGAS JUICED 94.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Georgetown 73 vs St. John's 80 Total 153.3 Margin +7.5 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.8 @64%
LSU (15-14) @ Auburn (15-14)	Auburn (88.5%)	10:00 PM	12
10:00 PM +12.3% EDGE LSU @ Auburn 15-14 vs 15-14 LSU 11.5% Auburn 88.5% Model Pick Auburn 88.5% Pick Spread Auburn -8.0 Home ML -400 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.3% MODEL PROB 88.5% VEGAS TRUE 76.2% VEGAS JUICED 80.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE LSU 78 vs Auburn 81 Total 159.2 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 155.5 @61%
Akron (24-5) @ Central Michigan (10-19)	Akron (84.4%)	07:00 PM	26
07:00 PM Akron @ Central Michigan 24-5 vs 10-19 Akron 84.4% Central Michigan 15.6% Model Pick Akron 84.4% Pick Spread Akron -12.0 Home ML +600 Away ML -950 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -2.0% MODEL PROB 84.4% VEGAS TRUE 86.4% VEGAS JUICED 90.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Akron 82 vs Central Michigan 78 Total 160.4 Margin -4.2 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.8 @51%
Mississippi State (13-16) @ Florida #7 (23-6)	Florida (83.5%)	08:00 PM	42
08:00 PM Mississippi State @ Florida #7 13-16 vs 23-6 Mississippi State 16.5% Florida 83.5% Model Pick Florida 83.5% Pick Spread Florida -23.0 Home ML -20000 Away ML +2200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -12.3% MODEL PROB 83.5% VEGAS TRUE 95.8% VEGAS JUICED 99.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Mississippi State 74 vs Florida 95 Total 168.4 Margin +21.0 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 160.5 @73%
Mississippi Valley State (3-27) @ Alcorn State (7-21)	Alcorn State (82.0%)	09:00 PM	18
09:00 PM Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State 3-27 vs 7-21 Mississippi Valley State 18.0% Alcorn State 82.0% Model Pick Alcorn State 82.0% Pick Spread Alcorn State -9.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Mississippi Valley State 59 vs Alcorn State 66 Total 124.8 Margin +6.2 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff -3.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 138.5 @85%
Grand Canyon (18-11) @ Air Force (3-26)	Grand Canyon (81.6%)	09:00 PM	18
09:00 PM Grand Canyon @ Air Force 18-11 vs 3-26 Grand Canyon 81.6% Air Force 18.4% Model Pick Grand Canyon 81.6% Pick Spread Grand Canyon -19.5 Home ML +1200 Away ML -4000 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -11.1% MODEL PROB 81.6% VEGAS TRUE 92.7% VEGAS JUICED 97.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Grand Canyon 74 vs Air Force 67 Total 141.2 Margin -7.0 Spread DOG COVERS @83% Diff -12.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 141.2 @50%
Wake Forest (15-14) @ Virginia #11 (25-4)	Virginia (80.7%)	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM Wake Forest @ Virginia #11 15-14 vs 25-4 Wake Forest 19.3% Virginia 80.7% Model Pick Virginia 80.7% Pick Spread Virginia -14.0 Home ML -1500 Away ML +775 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -8.4% MODEL PROB 80.7% VEGAS TRUE 89.1% VEGAS JUICED 93.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Wake Forest 77 vs Virginia 82 Total 159.0 Margin +5.4 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff -8.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.5 @79%
Syracuse (15-14) @ Louisville #24 (20-9)	Louisville (80.7%)	09:00 PM	34
09:00 PM Syracuse @ Louisville #24 15-14 vs 20-9 Syracuse 19.3% Louisville 80.7% Model Pick Louisville 80.7% Pick Spread Louisville -12.5 Home ML -1000 Away ML +625 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -6.1% MODEL PROB 80.7% VEGAS TRUE 86.8% VEGAS JUICED 90.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Syracuse 75 vs Louisville 77 Total 151.7 Margin +2.1 Spread DOG COVERS @79% Diff -10.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 158.5 @70%
George Mason (22-7) @ VCU (22-7)	VCU (80.5%)	07:00 PM	40
07:00 PM George Mason @ VCU 22-7 vs 22-7 George Mason 19.5% VCU 80.5% Model Pick VCU 80.5% Pick Spread VCU -11.0 Home ML -750 Away ML +500 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -3.6% MODEL PROB 80.5% VEGAS TRUE 84.1% VEGAS JUICED 88.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE George Mason 74 vs VCU 77 Total 150.7 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.5 @60%
Alabama #17 (22-7) @ Georgia (20-9)	Alabama (79.2%)	06:30 PM	56
06:30 PM +25.9% EDGECLOSE Alabama #17 @ Georgia 22-7 vs 20-9 Alabama 79.2% Georgia 20.8% Model Pick Alabama 79.2% Pick Spread Alabama -1.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.9% MODEL PROB 79.2% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Alabama 88 vs Georgia 91 Total 178.9 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff +4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 179.2 @51%
Boston College (10-19) @ Virginia Tech (18-11)	Virginia Tech (79.1%)	09:00 PM	21
09:00 PM Boston College @ Virginia Tech 10-19 vs 18-11 Boston College 20.9% Virginia Tech 79.1% Model Pick Virginia Tech 79.1% Pick Spread Virginia Tech -12.0 Home ML -950 Away ML +600 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -7.2% MODEL PROB 79.1% VEGAS TRUE 86.4% VEGAS JUICED 90.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Boston College 69 vs Virginia Tech 73 Total 141.7 Margin +4.5 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.8 @53%
Towson (16-14) @ Stony Brook (17-13)	Towson (78.6%)	06:30 PM	21
06:30 PM +27.6% EDGECLOSE Towson @ Stony Brook 16-14 vs 17-13 Towson 78.6% Stony Brook 21.4% Model Pick Towson 78.6% Pick Spread Towson -1.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +27.6% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 66 vs Stony Brook 68 Total 134.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff +3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 135.0 @53%
TCU (19-10) @ Texas Tech #16 (22-7)	Texas Tech (78.5%)	07:00 PM	56
07:00 PM TCU @ Texas Tech #16 19-10 vs 22-7 TCU 21.5% Texas Tech 78.5% Model Pick Texas Tech 78.5% Pick Spread Texas Tech -10.0 Home ML -625 Away ML +430 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -3.6% MODEL PROB 78.5% VEGAS TRUE 82.0% VEGAS JUICED 86.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE TCU 78 vs Texas Tech 80 Total 157.6 Margin +2.0 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.5 @76%
Kent State (21-8) @ Northern Illinois (9-19)	Kent State (76.3%)	08:00 PM	34
08:00 PM Kent State @ Northern Illinois 21-8 vs 9-19 Kent State 76.3% Northern Illinois 23.7% Model Pick Kent State 76.3% Pick Spread Kent State -9.5 Home ML +400 Away ML -575 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -4.7% MODEL PROB 76.3% VEGAS TRUE 81.0% VEGAS JUICED 85.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kent State 77 vs Northern Illinois 76 Total 152.7 Margin -1.5 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 148.5 @63%
UL Monroe (4-27) @ Old Dominion (11-20)	Old Dominion (76.0%)	08:30 PM	29
08:30 PM UL Monroe @ Old Dominion 4-27 vs 11-20 UL Monroe 24.0% Old Dominion 76.0% Model Pick Old Dominion 76.0% Pick Spread Old Dominion -11.0 Home ML -750 Away ML +500 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -8.2% MODEL PROB 76.0% VEGAS TRUE 84.1% VEGAS JUICED 88.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UL Monroe 73 vs Old Dominion 74 Total 146.5 Margin +1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff -9.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 159.5 @84%
Hampton (13-17) @ William & Mary (18-11)	William & Mary (75.4%)	07:00 PM	25
07:00 PM Hampton @ William & Mary 13-17 vs 18-11 Hampton 24.6% William & Mary 75.4% Model Pick William & Mary 75.4% Pick Spread William & Mary -11.0 Home ML -800 Away ML +525 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -9.3% MODEL PROB 75.4% VEGAS TRUE 84.7% VEGAS JUICED 88.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Hampton 72 vs William & Mary 76 Total 148.3 Margin +3.7 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 154.2 @68%
Oklahoma State (17-12) @ UCF (20-8)	UCF (74.8%)	07:00 PM	35
07:00 PM Oklahoma State @ UCF 17-12 vs 20-8 Oklahoma State 25.2% UCF 74.8% Model Pick UCF 74.8% Pick Spread UCF -8.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Oklahoma State 78 vs UCF 78 Total 156.6 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 168.5 @82%
Drexel (16-14) @ Hofstra (20-10)	Hofstra (74.6%)	07:00 PM	25
07:00 PM Drexel @ Hofstra 16-14 vs 20-10 Drexel 25.4% Hofstra 74.6% Model Pick Hofstra 74.6% Pick Spread Hofstra -8.5 Home ML -430 Away ML +320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -2.7% MODEL PROB 74.6% VEGAS TRUE 77.3% VEGAS JUICED 81.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Drexel 68 vs Hofstra 68 Total 136.7 Margin +0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff -8.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 133.2 @60%
Nebraska #12 (25-4) @ UCLA (19-10)	UCLA (74.4%)	11:00 PM	61
11:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Nebraska #12 @ UCLA 25-4 vs 19-10 Nebraska 25.6% UCLA 74.4% Model Pick UCLA 74.4% Pick Spread UCLA +0.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +24.4% MODEL PROB 74.4% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Nebraska 78 vs UCLA 68 Total 145.7 Margin -9.3 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff +9.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.5 @57%
Bryant (9-20) @ New Hampshire (8-20)	Bryant (73.2%) DOG	06:00 PM	27
06:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOG Bryant @ New Hampshire 9-20 vs 8-20 Bryant 73.2% New Hampshire 26.8% Model Pick Bryant 73.2% Pick Spread Bryant +2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bryant 62 vs New Hampshire 66 Total 127.9 Margin +3.3 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 135.5 @72%
Toledo (16-13) @ Miami (OH) #21 (29-0)	Miami (OH) (72.7%)	07:00 PM	52
07:00 PM Toledo @ Miami (OH) #21 16-13 vs 29-0 Toledo 27.3% Miami (OH) 72.7% Model Pick Miami (OH) 72.7% Pick Spread Miami (OH) -8.5 Home ML -430 Away ML +320 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -4.6% MODEL PROB 72.7% VEGAS TRUE 77.3% VEGAS JUICED 81.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Toledo 84 vs Miami (OH) 85 Total 169.6 Margin +1.2 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 162.5 @71%
Holy Cross (10-21) @ Lafayette (11-20)	Lafayette (71.1%)	07:00 PM	29
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Holy Cross @ Lafayette 10-21 vs 11-20 Holy Cross 28.9% Lafayette 71.1% Model Pick Lafayette 71.1% Pick Spread Lafayette -3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Holy Cross 67 vs Lafayette 63 Total 130.0 Margin -4.8 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 141.5 @81%
Clemson (21-8) @ North Carolina #18 (23-6)	North Carolina (70.9%)	07:00 PM	64
07:00 PM +10.3% EDGECLOSE Clemson @ North Carolina #18 21-8 vs 23-6 Clemson 29.1% North Carolina 70.9% Model Pick North Carolina 70.9% Pick Spread North Carolina -3.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 70.9% VEGAS TRUE 60.7% VEGAS JUICED 63.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Clemson 74 vs North Carolina 69 Total 143.5 Margin -5.3 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.0 @55%
San José State (8-21) @ Fresno State (12-17)	Fresno State (70.4%)	09:00 PM	30
09:00 PM San José State @ Fresno State 8-21 vs 12-17 San José State 29.6% Fresno State 70.4% Model Pick Fresno State 70.4% Pick Spread Fresno State -7.0 Home ML -320 Away ML +260 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -2.9% MODEL PROB 70.4% VEGAS TRUE 73.3% VEGAS JUICED 76.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE San José State 69 vs Fresno State 67 Total 136.4 Margin -2.4 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff +9.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.8 @83%
North Carolina A&T (11-17) @ Campbell (13-17)	Campbell (70.2%)	07:00 PM	30
07:00 PM North Carolina A&T @ Campbell 11-17 vs 13-17 North Carolina A&T 29.8% Campbell 70.2% Model Pick Campbell 70.2% Pick Spread Campbell -7.5 Home ML -340 Away ML +270 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -3.9% MODEL PROB 70.2% VEGAS TRUE 74.1% VEGAS JUICED 77.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE North Carolina A&T 78 vs Campbell 76 Total 154.7 Margin -1.9 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff +9.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @56%
Eastern Michigan (10-19) @ Buffalo (16-13)	Buffalo (68.8%)	06:30 PM	31
06:30 PM +7.0% EDGE Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo 10-19 vs 16-13 Eastern Michigan 31.2% Buffalo 68.8% Model Pick Buffalo 68.8% Pick Spread Buffalo -4.0 Home ML -180 Away ML +152 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.0% MODEL PROB 68.8% VEGAS TRUE 61.8% VEGAS JUICED 64.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Eastern Michigan 74 vs Buffalo 73 Total 147.4 Margin -1.6 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.0 @57%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (12-17) @ Jackson State (9-20)	Jackson State (68.5%)	08:00 PM	32
08:00 PM CLOSE Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State 12-17 vs 9-20 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 31.5% Jackson State 68.5% Model Pick Jackson State 68.5% Pick Spread Jackson State -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arkansas-Pine Bluff 80 vs Jackson State 73 Total 152.6 Margin -6.8 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.5 @50%
UAlbany (11-19) @ Vermont (19-11)	Vermont (68.1%)	07:00 PM	32
07:00 PM UAlbany @ Vermont 11-19 vs 19-11 UAlbany 31.9% Vermont 68.1% Model Pick Vermont 68.1% Pick Spread Vermont -7.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UAlbany 69 vs Vermont 68 Total 136.3 Margin -0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 138.5 @57%
UMBC (20-8) @ NJIT (15-15)	UMBC (66.2%)	06:00 PM	44
06:00 PM UMBC @ NJIT 20-8 vs 15-15 UMBC 66.2% NJIT 33.8% Model Pick UMBC 66.2% Pick Spread UMBC -5.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UMBC 66 vs NJIT 71 Total 136.9 Margin +4.5 Spread DOG COVERS @78% Diff +10.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.5 @61%
San Diego State (19-9) @ Boise State (18-11)	Boise State (64.1%)	09:00 PM	56
09:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT San Diego State @ Boise State 19-9 vs 18-11 San Diego State 35.9% Boise State 64.1% Model Pick Boise State 64.1% Pick Spread Boise State -1.5 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.8% MODEL PROB 64.1% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE San Diego State 78 vs Boise State 73 Total 150.5 Margin -5.3 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +6.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.2 @68%
UMass Lowell (13-17) @ Maine (8-22)	Maine (63.4%) DOG	06:00 PM	37
06:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT UMass Lowell @ Maine 13-17 vs 8-22 UMass Lowell 36.6% Maine 63.4% Model Pick Maine 63.4% Pick Spread Maine +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UMass Lowell 68 vs Maine 67 Total 135.0 Margin -1.6 Spread FAV COVERS @50% Diff +0.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.5 @66%
BYU #19 (20-9) @ Cincinnati (16-13)	Cincinnati (63.3%)	09:00 PM	52
09:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT BYU #19 @ Cincinnati 20-9 vs 16-13 BYU 36.7% Cincinnati 63.3% Model Pick Cincinnati 63.3% Pick Spread Cincinnati -1.5 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +9.0% MODEL PROB 63.3% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE BYU 79 vs Cincinnati 72 Total 151.5 Margin -6.9 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 152.5 @53%
Ball State (10-19) @ Western Michigan (10-19)	Western Michigan (62.9%)	07:00 PM	37
07:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Ball State @ Western Michigan 10-19 vs 10-19 Ball State 37.1% Western Michigan 62.9% Model Pick Western Michigan 62.9% Pick Spread Western Michigan -4.0 Home ML -185 Away ML +160 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +0.1% MODEL PROB 62.9% VEGAS TRUE 62.8% VEGAS JUICED 64.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Ball State 73 vs Western Michigan 68 Total 141.1 Margin -5.5 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff +9.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 137.2 @62%
Kentucky (19-10) @ Texas A&M (19-10)	Texas A&M (62.8%)	07:00 PM	57
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Kentucky @ Texas A&M 19-10 vs 19-10 Kentucky 37.2% Texas A&M 62.8% Model Pick Texas A&M 62.8% Pick Spread Texas A&M -2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.5% MODEL PROB 62.8% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kentucky 81 vs Texas A&M 82 Total 163.1 Margin +0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 158.8 @63%
Missouri (20-9) @ Oklahoma (15-14)	Oklahoma (62.2%)	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Missouri @ Oklahoma 20-9 vs 15-14 Missouri 37.8% Oklahoma 62.2% Model Pick Oklahoma 62.2% Pick Spread Oklahoma -2.0 Home ML -140 Away ML +120 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +6.0% MODEL PROB 62.2% VEGAS TRUE 56.2% VEGAS JUICED 58.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Missouri 78 vs Oklahoma 77 Total 155.0 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @57%
Southern (13-16) @ Alabama State (10-19)	Alabama State (62.1%)	08:00 PM	38
08:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Southern @ Alabama State 13-16 vs 10-19 Southern 37.9% Alabama State 62.1% Model Pick Alabama State 62.1% Pick Spread Alabama State -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern 74 vs Alabama State 71 Total 145.2 Margin -2.4 Spread DOG COVERS @62% Diff +3.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 152.5 @71%
Ohio (15-14) @ Massachusetts (15-15)	Ohio (62.0%) DOG	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM +20.0% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG Ohio @ Massachusetts 15-14 vs 15-15 Ohio 62.0% Massachusetts 38.0% Model Pick Ohio 62.0% Pick Spread Ohio +2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +20.0% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Ohio 76 vs Massachusetts 79 Total 154.5 Margin +2.9 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @56%
Army (11-20) @ Bucknell (9-22)	Bucknell (61.7%)	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Army @ Bucknell 11-20 vs 9-22 Army 38.3% Bucknell 61.7% Model Pick Bucknell 61.7% Pick Spread Bucknell -2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Army 67 vs Bucknell 69 Total 135.9 Margin +1.5 Spread DOG COVERS @53% Diff -1.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.5 @79%
Georgia State (10-21) @ Louisiana (10-21)	Louisiana (61.4%) DOG	06:00 PM	44
06:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Georgia State @ Louisiana 10-21 vs 10-21 Georgia State 38.6% Louisiana 61.4% Model Pick Louisiana 61.4% Pick Spread Louisiana +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Georgia State 66 vs Louisiana 60 Total 125.9 Margin -6.7 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 132.5 @69%
Grambling (12-17) @ Alabama A&M (16-13)	Alabama A&M (61.0%)	08:30 PM	39
08:30 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Grambling @ Alabama A&M 12-17 vs 16-13 Grambling 39.0% Alabama A&M 61.0% Model Pick Alabama A&M 61.0% Pick Spread Alabama A&M -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Grambling 69 vs Alabama A&M 63 Total 132.5 Margin -5.7 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 138.5 @68%
Colorado (16-13) @ Utah (10-19)	Utah (60.5%)	09:00 PM	40
09:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Colorado @ Utah 16-13 vs 10-19 Colorado 39.5% Utah 60.5% Model Pick Utah 60.5% Pick Spread Utah +0.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.5% MODEL PROB 60.5% VEGAS TRUE 48.9% VEGAS JUICED 51.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Colorado 80 vs Utah 76 Total 155.8 Margin -4.8 Spread DOG COVERS @65% Diff +5.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 149.2 @69%
Nevada (19-10) @ Wyoming (16-13)	Wyoming (59.4%) DOG	10:00 PM	41
10:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Nevada @ Wyoming 19-10 vs 16-13 Nevada 40.6% Wyoming 59.4% Model Pick Wyoming 59.4% Pick Spread Wyoming +1.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.5% MODEL PROB 59.4% VEGAS TRUE 48.9% VEGAS JUICED 51.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Nevada 78 vs Wyoming 72 Total 150.1 Margin -6.5 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.5 @69%
Seton Hall (19-10) @ Xavier (14-15)	Xavier (56.4%) DOG	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Seton Hall @ Xavier 19-10 vs 14-15 Seton Hall 43.6% Xavier 56.4% Model Pick Xavier 56.4% Pick Spread Xavier +1.0 Home ML +100 Away ML -120 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.6% MODEL PROB 56.4% VEGAS TRUE 47.8% VEGAS JUICED 50.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seton Hall 78 vs Xavier 67 Total 144.6 Margin -11.0 Spread FAV COVERS @77% Diff +9.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.5 @50%
UNC Wilmington (25-5) @ Elon (14-16)	Elon (55.6%) DOG	07:00 PM	54
07:00 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT UNC Wilmington @ Elon 25-5 vs 14-16 UNC Wilmington 44.4% Elon 55.6% Model Pick Elon 55.6% Pick Spread Elon +5.0 Home ML +170 Away ML -200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +19.9% MODEL PROB 55.6% VEGAS TRUE 35.7% VEGAS JUICED 37.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UNC Wilmington 78 vs Elon 73 Total 151.4 Margin -4.6 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.0 @63%
Vanderbilt #25 (22-7) @ Ole Miss (12-17)	Ole Miss (55.1%) DOG	09:00 PM	70
09:00 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Vanderbilt #25 @ Ole Miss 22-7 vs 12-17 Vanderbilt 44.9% Ole Miss 55.1% Model Pick Ole Miss 55.1% Pick Spread Ole Miss +7.0 Home ML +250 Away ML -300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +27.5% MODEL PROB 55.1% VEGAS TRUE 27.6% VEGAS JUICED 28.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Vanderbilt 84 vs Ole Miss 72 Total 155.4 Margin -12.0 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 154.2 @54%
West Virginia (17-12) @ Kansas State (11-18)	Kansas State (54.8%) DOG	08:00 PM	45
08:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT West Virginia @ Kansas State 17-12 vs 11-18 West Virginia 45.2% Kansas State 54.8% Model Pick Kansas State 54.8% Pick Spread Kansas State +1.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.1% MODEL PROB 54.8% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE West Virginia 76 vs Kansas State 67 Total 142.3 Margin -8.9 Spread FAV COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.2 @53%
Monmouth (16-14) @ Northeastern (6-22)	Northeastern (54.5%) DOG	07:00 PM	46
07:00 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Monmouth @ Northeastern 16-14 vs 6-22 Monmouth 45.5% Northeastern 54.5% Model Pick Northeastern 54.5% Pick Spread Northeastern +4.0 Home ML +150 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +15.9% MODEL PROB 54.5% VEGAS TRUE 38.6% VEGAS JUICED 40.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Monmouth 78 vs Northeastern 71 Total 149.8 Margin -7.2 Spread FAV COVERS @59% Diff +2.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 149.0 @52%
Kansas #14 (21-8) @ Arizona State (15-14)	Arizona State (54.4%) DOG	09:00 PM	71
09:00 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Kansas #14 @ Arizona State 21-8 vs 15-14 Kansas 45.6% Arizona State 54.4% Model Pick Arizona State 54.4% Pick Spread Arizona State +5.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +20.2% MODEL PROB 54.4% VEGAS TRUE 34.2% VEGAS JUICED 35.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kansas 81 vs Arizona State 73 Total 154.0 Margin -7.2 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +1.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 151.2 @58%
Dayton (20-9) @ Richmond (15-14)	Richmond (54.3%) DOG	07:00 PM	46
07:00 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Dayton @ Richmond 20-9 vs 15-14 Dayton 45.7% Richmond 54.3% Model Pick Richmond 54.3% Pick Spread Richmond +5.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +20.1% MODEL PROB 54.3% VEGAS TRUE 34.2% VEGAS JUICED 35.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Dayton 75 vs Richmond 74 Total 149.7 Margin -0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff -4.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.8 @59%
Tennessee #22 (20-9) @ South Carolina (12-17)	South Carolina (52.5%) DOG	06:00 PM	62
06:00 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Tennessee #22 @ South Carolina 20-9 vs 12-17 Tennessee 47.5% South Carolina 52.5% Model Pick South Carolina 52.5% Pick Spread South Carolina +8.0 Home ML +300 Away ML -400 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +28.7% MODEL PROB 52.5% VEGAS TRUE 23.8% VEGAS JUICED 25.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Tennessee 79 vs South Carolina 72 Total 151.7 Margin -6.7 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.2 @74%
Utah State (24-5) @ UNLV (15-14)	UNLV (52.5%) DOG	11:00 PM	58
11:00 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Utah State @ UNLV 24-5 vs 15-14 Utah State 47.5% UNLV 52.5% Model Pick UNLV 52.5% Pick Spread UNLV +7.5 Home ML +285 Away ML -370 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +27.7% MODEL PROB 52.5% VEGAS TRUE 24.8% VEGAS JUICED 26.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Utah State 80 vs UNLV 74 Total 153.7 Margin -6.7 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.0 @57%

TIERED RECOMMENDATION SYSTEM

⭐ PREMIUM: 80%+ conf, 5+ edge (88.5% win, 69.1% ROI) • ✓ GOOD: 75%+ conf, 7+ edge (82.7% win, 57.9% ROI)

Based on 4,181 game analysis • Updated Feb 9, 2026

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Towson (16-14) @ Stony Brook (17-13)	Towson (78.6%) DOG	06:30 PM	21
06:30 PM+27.6% EDGE Towson @ Stony Brook 16-14 vs 17-13 Towson 78.6% Stony Brook 21.4% Model Pick Towson 78.6% Pick Spread +1.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +27.6% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 66 vs Stony Brook 68 Total 134.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff +3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 135.0 @53%
Alabama #17 (22-7) @ Georgia (20-9)	Alabama (79.2%) DOG	06:30 PM	56
06:30 PM+25.9% EDGE Alabama #17 @ Georgia 22-7 vs 20-9 Alabama 79.2% Georgia 20.8% Model Pick Alabama 79.2% Pick Spread +1.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.9% MODEL PROB 79.2% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Alabama 88 vs Georgia 91 Total 178.9 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff +4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 179.2 @51%
Ohio (15-14) @ Massachusetts (15-15)	Ohio (62.0%)	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM+20.0% EDGE Ohio @ Massachusetts 15-14 vs 15-15 Ohio 62.0% Massachusetts 38.0% Model Pick Ohio 62.0% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +20.0% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Ohio 76 vs Massachusetts 79 Total 154.5 Margin +2.9 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @56%
LSU (15-14) @ Auburn (15-14)	Auburn (88.5%)	10:00 PM	12
10:00 PM+12.3% EDGE LSU @ Auburn 15-14 vs 15-14 LSU 11.5% Auburn 88.5% Model Pick Auburn 88.5% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -400 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.3% MODEL PROB 88.5% VEGAS TRUE 76.2% VEGAS JUICED 80.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE LSU 78 vs Auburn 81 Total 159.2 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 155.5 @61%
Clemson (21-8) @ North Carolina #18 (23-6)	North Carolina (70.9%)	07:00 PM	64
07:00 PM+10.3% EDGE Clemson @ North Carolina #18 21-8 vs 23-6 Clemson 29.1% North Carolina 70.9% Model Pick North Carolina 70.9% Pick Spread -3.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 70.9% VEGAS TRUE 60.7% VEGAS JUICED 63.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Clemson 74 vs North Carolina 69 Total 143.5 Margin -5.3 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.0 @55%
Eastern Michigan (10-19) @ Buffalo (16-13)	Buffalo (68.8%)	06:30 PM	31
06:30 PM+7.0% EDGE Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo 10-19 vs 16-13 Eastern Michigan 31.2% Buffalo 68.8% Model Pick Buffalo 68.8% Pick Spread -4.0 Home ML -180 Away ML +152 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.0% MODEL PROB 68.8% VEGAS TRUE 61.8% VEGAS JUICED 64.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Eastern Michigan 74 vs Buffalo 73 Total 147.4 Margin -1.6 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.0 @57%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Alabama #17 (22-7) @ Georgia (20-9)	Alabama (79.2%)	06:30 PM	56
06:30 PMCLOSE Alabama #17 @ Georgia 22-7 vs 20-9 Alabama 79.2% Georgia 20.8% Model Pick Alabama 79.2% Pick Spread Alabama -1.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.9% MODEL PROB 79.2% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Alabama 88 vs Georgia 91 Total 178.9 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff +4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 179.2 @51%
Towson (16-14) @ Stony Brook (17-13)	Towson (78.6%)	06:30 PM	21
06:30 PMCLOSE Towson @ Stony Brook 16-14 vs 17-13 Towson 78.6% Stony Brook 21.4% Model Pick Towson 78.6% Pick Spread Towson -1.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +27.6% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 66 vs Stony Brook 68 Total 134.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff +3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 135.0 @53%
Nebraska #12 (25-4) @ UCLA (19-10)	UCLA (74.4%)	11:00 PM	61
11:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Nebraska #12 @ UCLA 25-4 vs 19-10 Nebraska 25.6% UCLA 74.4% Model Pick UCLA 74.4% Pick Spread UCLA +0.0 Home ML -110 Away ML -110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +24.4% MODEL PROB 74.4% VEGAS TRUE 50.0% VEGAS JUICED 52.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Nebraska 78 vs UCLA 68 Total 145.7 Margin -9.3 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff +9.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.5 @57%
Bryant (9-20) @ New Hampshire (8-20)	Bryant (73.2%) DOG	06:00 PM	27
06:00 PMCLOSE Bryant @ New Hampshire 9-20 vs 8-20 Bryant 73.2% New Hampshire 26.8% Model Pick Bryant 73.2% Pick Spread Bryant +2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bryant 62 vs New Hampshire 66 Total 127.9 Margin +3.3 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 135.5 @72%
Holy Cross (10-21) @ Lafayette (11-20)	Lafayette (71.1%)	07:00 PM	29
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Holy Cross @ Lafayette 10-21 vs 11-20 Holy Cross 28.9% Lafayette 71.1% Model Pick Lafayette 71.1% Pick Spread Lafayette -3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Holy Cross 67 vs Lafayette 63 Total 130.0 Margin -4.8 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 141.5 @81%
Clemson (21-8) @ North Carolina #18 (23-6)	North Carolina (70.9%)	07:00 PM	64
07:00 PMCLOSE Clemson @ North Carolina #18 21-8 vs 23-6 Clemson 29.1% North Carolina 70.9% Model Pick North Carolina 70.9% Pick Spread North Carolina -3.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 70.9% VEGAS TRUE 60.7% VEGAS JUICED 63.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Clemson 74 vs North Carolina 69 Total 143.5 Margin -5.3 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.0 @55%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (12-17) @ Jackson State (9-20)	Jackson State (68.5%)	08:00 PM	32
08:00 PMCLOSE Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State 12-17 vs 9-20 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 31.5% Jackson State 68.5% Model Pick Jackson State 68.5% Pick Spread Jackson State -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Arkansas-Pine Bluff 80 vs Jackson State 73 Total 152.6 Margin -6.8 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.5 @50%
San Diego State (19-9) @ Boise State (18-11)	Boise State (64.1%)	09:00 PM	56
09:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT San Diego State @ Boise State 19-9 vs 18-11 San Diego State 35.9% Boise State 64.1% Model Pick Boise State 64.1% Pick Spread Boise State -1.5 Home ML -125 Away ML +105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.8% MODEL PROB 64.1% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE San Diego State 78 vs Boise State 73 Total 150.5 Margin -5.3 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +6.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.2 @68%
UMass Lowell (13-17) @ Maine (8-22)	Maine (63.4%) DOG	06:00 PM	37
06:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT UMass Lowell @ Maine 13-17 vs 8-22 UMass Lowell 36.6% Maine 63.4% Model Pick Maine 63.4% Pick Spread Maine +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UMass Lowell 68 vs Maine 67 Total 135.0 Margin -1.6 Spread FAV COVERS @50% Diff +0.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.5 @66%
BYU #19 (20-9) @ Cincinnati (16-13)	Cincinnati (63.3%)	09:00 PM	52
09:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT BYU #19 @ Cincinnati 20-9 vs 16-13 BYU 36.7% Cincinnati 63.3% Model Pick Cincinnati 63.3% Pick Spread Cincinnati -1.5 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +9.0% MODEL PROB 63.3% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE BYU 79 vs Cincinnati 72 Total 151.5 Margin -6.9 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff +8.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 152.5 @53%
Kentucky (19-10) @ Texas A&M (19-10)	Texas A&M (62.8%)	07:00 PM	57
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Kentucky @ Texas A&M 19-10 vs 19-10 Kentucky 37.2% Texas A&M 62.8% Model Pick Texas A&M 62.8% Pick Spread Texas A&M -2.0 Home ML -130 Away ML +110 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.5% MODEL PROB 62.8% VEGAS TRUE 54.3% VEGAS JUICED 56.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kentucky 81 vs Texas A&M 82 Total 163.1 Margin +0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 158.8 @63%
Missouri (20-9) @ Oklahoma (15-14)	Oklahoma (62.2%)	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Missouri @ Oklahoma 20-9 vs 15-14 Missouri 37.8% Oklahoma 62.2% Model Pick Oklahoma 62.2% Pick Spread Oklahoma -2.0 Home ML -140 Away ML +120 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +6.0% MODEL PROB 62.2% VEGAS TRUE 56.2% VEGAS JUICED 58.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Missouri 78 vs Oklahoma 77 Total 155.0 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff +2.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 152.8 @57%
Southern (13-16) @ Alabama State (10-19)	Alabama State (62.1%)	08:00 PM	38
08:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Southern @ Alabama State 13-16 vs 10-19 Southern 37.9% Alabama State 62.1% Model Pick Alabama State 62.1% Pick Spread Alabama State -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Southern 74 vs Alabama State 71 Total 145.2 Margin -2.4 Spread DOG COVERS @62% Diff +3.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 152.5 @71%
Ohio (15-14) @ Massachusetts (15-15)	Ohio (62.0%) DOG	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PMCLOSE Ohio @ Massachusetts 15-14 vs 15-15 Ohio 62.0% Massachusetts 38.0% Model Pick Ohio 62.0% Pick Spread Ohio +2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +20.0% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Ohio 76 vs Massachusetts 79 Total 154.5 Margin +2.9 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @56%
Army (11-20) @ Bucknell (9-22)	Bucknell (61.7%)	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Army @ Bucknell 11-20 vs 9-22 Army 38.3% Bucknell 61.7% Model Pick Bucknell 61.7% Pick Spread Bucknell -2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Army 67 vs Bucknell 69 Total 135.9 Margin +1.5 Spread DOG COVERS @53% Diff -1.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 146.5 @79%
Georgia State (10-21) @ Louisiana (10-21)	Louisiana (61.4%) DOG	06:00 PM	44
06:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Georgia State @ Louisiana 10-21 vs 10-21 Georgia State 38.6% Louisiana 61.4% Model Pick Louisiana 61.4% Pick Spread Louisiana +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Georgia State 66 vs Louisiana 60 Total 125.9 Margin -6.7 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 132.5 @69%
Grambling (12-17) @ Alabama A&M (16-13)	Alabama A&M (61.0%)	08:30 PM	39
08:30 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Grambling @ Alabama A&M 12-17 vs 16-13 Grambling 39.0% Alabama A&M 61.0% Model Pick Alabama A&M 61.0% Pick Spread Alabama A&M -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Grambling 69 vs Alabama A&M 63 Total 132.5 Margin -5.7 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 138.5 @68%
Colorado (16-13) @ Utah (10-19)	Utah (60.5%)	09:00 PM	40
09:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Colorado @ Utah 16-13 vs 10-19 Colorado 39.5% Utah 60.5% Model Pick Utah 60.5% Pick Spread Utah +0.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +11.5% MODEL PROB 60.5% VEGAS TRUE 48.9% VEGAS JUICED 51.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Colorado 80 vs Utah 76 Total 155.8 Margin -4.8 Spread DOG COVERS @65% Diff +5.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 149.2 @69%
Nevada (19-10) @ Wyoming (16-13)	Wyoming (59.4%) DOG	10:00 PM	41
10:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Nevada @ Wyoming 19-10 vs 16-13 Nevada 40.6% Wyoming 59.4% Model Pick Wyoming 59.4% Pick Spread Wyoming +1.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.5% MODEL PROB 59.4% VEGAS TRUE 48.9% VEGAS JUICED 51.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Nevada 78 vs Wyoming 72 Total 150.1 Margin -6.5 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.5 @69%
Seton Hall (19-10) @ Xavier (14-15)	Xavier (56.4%) DOG	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Seton Hall @ Xavier 19-10 vs 14-15 Seton Hall 43.6% Xavier 56.4% Model Pick Xavier 56.4% Pick Spread Xavier +1.0 Home ML +100 Away ML -120 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.6% MODEL PROB 56.4% VEGAS TRUE 47.8% VEGAS JUICED 50.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seton Hall 78 vs Xavier 67 Total 144.6 Margin -11.0 Spread FAV COVERS @77% Diff +9.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.5 @50%
West Virginia (17-12) @ Kansas State (11-18)	Kansas State (54.8%) DOG	08:00 PM	45
08:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT West Virginia @ Kansas State 17-12 vs 11-18 West Virginia 45.2% Kansas State 54.8% Model Pick Kansas State 54.8% Pick Spread Kansas State +1.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.1% MODEL PROB 54.8% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE West Virginia 76 vs Kansas State 67 Total 142.3 Margin -8.9 Spread FAV COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.2 @53%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Ohio (15-14) @ Massachusetts (15-15)	Ohio (62.0%) DOG	+20.0%	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Ohio @ Massachusetts 15-14 vs 15-15 Ohio 62.0% Massachusetts 38.0% Model Pick Ohio 62.0% Pick Spread Ohio +2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +20.0% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Ohio 76 vs Massachusetts 79 Total 154.5 Margin +2.9 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @56%
Seton Hall (19-10) @ Xavier (14-15)	Xavier (56.4%) DOG	+8.6%	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Seton Hall @ Xavier 19-10 vs 14-15 Seton Hall 43.6% Xavier 56.4% Model Pick Xavier 56.4% Pick Spread Xavier +1.0 Home ML +100 Away ML -120 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.6% MODEL PROB 56.4% VEGAS TRUE 47.8% VEGAS JUICED 50.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Seton Hall 78 vs Xavier 67 Total 144.6 Margin -11.0 Spread FAV COVERS @77% Diff +9.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 144.5 @50%
UNC Wilmington (25-5) @ Elon (14-16)	Elon (55.6%) DOG	+19.9%	07:00 PM	54
07:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT UNC Wilmington @ Elon 25-5 vs 14-16 UNC Wilmington 44.4% Elon 55.6% Model Pick Elon 55.6% Pick Spread Elon +5.0 Home ML +170 Away ML -200 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +19.9% MODEL PROB 55.6% VEGAS TRUE 35.7% VEGAS JUICED 37.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UNC Wilmington 78 vs Elon 73 Total 151.4 Margin -4.6 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 147.0 @63%
Vanderbilt #25 (22-7) @ Ole Miss (12-17)	Ole Miss (55.1%) DOG	+27.5%	09:00 PM	70
09:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Vanderbilt #25 @ Ole Miss 22-7 vs 12-17 Vanderbilt 44.9% Ole Miss 55.1% Model Pick Ole Miss 55.1% Pick Spread Ole Miss +7.0 Home ML +250 Away ML -300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +27.5% MODEL PROB 55.1% VEGAS TRUE 27.6% VEGAS JUICED 28.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Vanderbilt 84 vs Ole Miss 72 Total 155.4 Margin -12.0 Spread FAV COVERS @66% Diff +5.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 154.2 @54%
West Virginia (17-12) @ Kansas State (11-18)	Kansas State (54.8%) DOG	+8.1%	08:00 PM	45
08:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT West Virginia @ Kansas State 17-12 vs 11-18 West Virginia 45.2% Kansas State 54.8% Model Pick Kansas State 54.8% Pick Spread Kansas State +1.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +8.1% MODEL PROB 54.8% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE West Virginia 76 vs Kansas State 67 Total 142.3 Margin -8.9 Spread FAV COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 143.2 @53%
Monmouth (16-14) @ Northeastern (6-22)	Northeastern (54.5%) DOG	+15.9%	07:00 PM	46
07:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Monmouth @ Northeastern 16-14 vs 6-22 Monmouth 45.5% Northeastern 54.5% Model Pick Northeastern 54.5% Pick Spread Northeastern +4.0 Home ML +150 Away ML -175 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +15.9% MODEL PROB 54.5% VEGAS TRUE 38.6% VEGAS JUICED 40.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Monmouth 78 vs Northeastern 71 Total 149.8 Margin -7.2 Spread FAV COVERS @59% Diff +2.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 149.0 @52%
Kansas #14 (21-8) @ Arizona State (15-14)	Arizona State (54.4%) DOG	+20.2%	09:00 PM	71
09:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Kansas #14 @ Arizona State 21-8 vs 15-14 Kansas 45.6% Arizona State 54.4% Model Pick Arizona State 54.4% Pick Spread Arizona State +5.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +20.2% MODEL PROB 54.4% VEGAS TRUE 34.2% VEGAS JUICED 35.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kansas 81 vs Arizona State 73 Total 154.0 Margin -7.2 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +1.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 151.2 @58%
Dayton (20-9) @ Richmond (15-14)	Richmond (54.3%) DOG	+20.1%	07:00 PM	46
07:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Dayton @ Richmond 20-9 vs 15-14 Dayton 45.7% Richmond 54.3% Model Pick Richmond 54.3% Pick Spread Richmond +5.0 Home ML +180 Away ML -220 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +20.1% MODEL PROB 54.3% VEGAS TRUE 34.2% VEGAS JUICED 35.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Dayton 75 vs Richmond 74 Total 149.7 Margin -0.7 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff -4.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 146.8 @59%
Tennessee #22 (20-9) @ South Carolina (12-17)	South Carolina (52.5%) DOG	+28.7%	06:00 PM	62
06:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Tennessee #22 @ South Carolina 20-9 vs 12-17 Tennessee 47.5% South Carolina 52.5% Model Pick South Carolina 52.5% Pick Spread South Carolina +8.0 Home ML +300 Away ML -400 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +28.7% MODEL PROB 52.5% VEGAS TRUE 23.8% VEGAS JUICED 25.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Tennessee 79 vs South Carolina 72 Total 151.7 Margin -6.7 Spread DOG COVERS @55% Diff -1.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.2 @74%
Utah State (24-5) @ UNLV (15-14)	UNLV (52.5%) DOG	+27.7%	11:00 PM	58
11:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Utah State @ UNLV 24-5 vs 15-14 Utah State 47.5% UNLV 52.5% Model Pick UNLV 52.5% Pick Spread UNLV +7.5 Home ML +285 Away ML -370 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +27.7% MODEL PROB 52.5% VEGAS TRUE 24.8% VEGAS JUICED 26.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Utah State 80 vs UNLV 74 Total 153.7 Margin -6.7 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.0 @57%

Game	Pick	Confidence	Moneyline	Expected Value	Time (ET)
Mississippi State @ Florida	Mississippi State DOG	16.5%	+2200	⭐⭐⭐ +278.4%	08:00 PM
Air Force vs Grand Canyon	Air Force DOG	18.4%	+1200	⭐⭐⭐ +138.9%	09:00 PM
South Carolina vs Tennessee	South Carolina DOG	52.5%	+300	⭐⭐⭐ +109.9%	06:00 PM

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
LSU (15-14) @ Auburn (15-14)	Auburn (88.5%)	10:00 PM	12
10:00 PM75%+ CONF +12.3% EDGE LSU @ Auburn 15-14 vs 15-14 LSU 11.5% Auburn 88.5% Model Pick Auburn 88.5% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -400 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.3% MODEL PROB 88.5% VEGAS TRUE 76.2% VEGAS JUICED 80.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE LSU 78 vs Auburn 81 Total 159.2 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 155.5 @61%
Alabama #17 (22-7) @ Georgia (20-9)	Alabama (79.2%)	06:30 PM	56
06:30 PM75%+ CONF +25.9% EDGE Alabama #17 @ Georgia 22-7 vs 20-9 Alabama 79.2% Georgia 20.8% Model Pick Alabama 79.2% Pick Spread +1.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.9% MODEL PROB 79.2% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Alabama 88 vs Georgia 91 Total 178.9 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff +4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 179.2 @51%
Towson (16-14) @ Stony Brook (17-13)	Towson (78.6%)	06:30 PM	21
06:30 PM75%+ CONF +27.6% EDGE Towson @ Stony Brook 16-14 vs 17-13 Towson 78.6% Stony Brook 21.4% Model Pick Towson 78.6% Pick Spread +1.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +27.6% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 66 vs Stony Brook 68 Total 134.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff +3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 135.0 @53%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Towson (16-14) @ Stony Brook (17-13)	Towson (78.6%)	+27.6%	06:30 PM	21
06:30 PM+27.6% EDGE Towson @ Stony Brook 16-14 vs 17-13 Towson 78.6% Stony Brook 21.4% Model Pick Towson 78.6% Pick Spread +1.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +27.6% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 66 vs Stony Brook 68 Total 134.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff +3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 135.0 @53%
Alabama #17 (22-7) @ Georgia (20-9)	Alabama (79.2%)	+25.9%	06:30 PM	56
06:30 PM+25.9% EDGE Alabama #17 @ Georgia 22-7 vs 20-9 Alabama 79.2% Georgia 20.8% Model Pick Alabama 79.2% Pick Spread +1.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.9% MODEL PROB 79.2% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Alabama 88 vs Georgia 91 Total 178.9 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff +4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 179.2 @51%
Ohio (15-14) @ Massachusetts (15-15)	Ohio (62.0%)	+20.0%	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM+20.0% EDGE Ohio @ Massachusetts 15-14 vs 15-15 Ohio 62.0% Massachusetts 38.0% Model Pick Ohio 62.0% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +20.0% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Ohio 76 vs Massachusetts 79 Total 154.5 Margin +2.9 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @56%
LSU (15-14) @ Auburn (15-14)	Auburn (88.5%)	+12.3%	10:00 PM	12
10:00 PM+12.3% EDGE LSU @ Auburn 15-14 vs 15-14 LSU 11.5% Auburn 88.5% Model Pick Auburn 88.5% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -400 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.3% MODEL PROB 88.5% VEGAS TRUE 76.2% VEGAS JUICED 80.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE LSU 78 vs Auburn 81 Total 159.2 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 155.5 @61%
Clemson (21-8) @ North Carolina #18 (23-6)	North Carolina (70.9%)	+10.3%	07:00 PM	64
07:00 PM+10.3% EDGE Clemson @ North Carolina #18 21-8 vs 23-6 Clemson 29.1% North Carolina 70.9% Model Pick North Carolina 70.9% Pick Spread -3.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 70.9% VEGAS TRUE 60.7% VEGAS JUICED 63.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Clemson 74 vs North Carolina 69 Total 143.5 Margin -5.3 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.0 @55%
Eastern Michigan (10-19) @ Buffalo (16-13)	Buffalo (68.8%)	+7.0%	06:30 PM	31
06:30 PM+7.0% EDGE Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo 10-19 vs 16-13 Eastern Michigan 31.2% Buffalo 68.8% Model Pick Buffalo 68.8% Pick Spread -4.0 Home ML -180 Away ML +152 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.0% MODEL PROB 68.8% VEGAS TRUE 61.8% VEGAS JUICED 64.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Eastern Michigan 74 vs Buffalo 73 Total 147.4 Margin -1.6 Spread DOG COVERS @66% Diff +5.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.0 @57%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Towson (16-14) @ Stony Brook (17-13)	Towson (78.6%)	+27.6%	06:30 PM	21
06:30 PM+27.6% EDGE Towson @ Stony Brook 16-14 vs 17-13 Towson 78.6% Stony Brook 21.4% Model Pick Towson 78.6% Pick Spread +1.0 Home ML -105 Away ML -115 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +27.6% MODEL PROB 78.6% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Towson 66 vs Stony Brook 68 Total 134.0 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @60% Diff +3.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 135.0 @53%
Alabama #17 (22-7) @ Georgia (20-9)	Alabama (79.2%)	+25.9%	06:30 PM	56
06:30 PM+25.9% EDGE Alabama #17 @ Georgia 22-7 vs 20-9 Alabama 79.2% Georgia 20.8% Model Pick Alabama 79.2% Pick Spread +1.5 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.9% MODEL PROB 79.2% VEGAS TRUE 53.2% VEGAS JUICED 55.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Alabama 88 vs Georgia 91 Total 178.9 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff +4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 179.2 @51%
Ohio (15-14) @ Massachusetts (15-15)	Ohio (62.0%)	+20.0%	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM+20.0% EDGE Ohio @ Massachusetts 15-14 vs 15-15 Ohio 62.0% Massachusetts 38.0% Model Pick Ohio 62.0% Pick Spread -2.5 Home ML -150 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +20.0% MODEL PROB 62.0% VEGAS TRUE 42.0% VEGAS JUICED 43.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Ohio 76 vs Massachusetts 79 Total 154.5 Margin +2.9 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @56%
LSU (15-14) @ Auburn (15-14)	Auburn (88.5%)	+12.3%	10:00 PM	12
10:00 PM+12.3% EDGE LSU @ Auburn 15-14 vs 15-14 LSU 11.5% Auburn 88.5% Model Pick Auburn 88.5% Pick Spread -8.0 Home ML -400 Away ML +300 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +12.3% MODEL PROB 88.5% VEGAS TRUE 76.2% VEGAS JUICED 80.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE LSU 78 vs Auburn 81 Total 159.2 Margin +2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 155.5 @61%
Clemson (21-8) @ North Carolina #18 (23-6)	North Carolina (70.9%)	+10.3%	07:00 PM	64
07:00 PM+10.3% EDGE Clemson @ North Carolina #18 21-8 vs 23-6 Clemson 29.1% North Carolina 70.9% Model Pick North Carolina 70.9% Pick Spread -3.5 Home ML -170 Away ML +145 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +10.3% MODEL PROB 70.9% VEGAS TRUE 60.7% VEGAS JUICED 63.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Clemson 74 vs North Carolina 69 Total 143.5 Margin -5.3 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff +8.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.0 @55%