Breaking Vegas - Daily Predictions | Wednesday, March 04, 2026

Model Information

XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game	Prediction ⇅	Time (ET) ⇅	Hype Level ⇅
Baylor (15-14) @ Houston #7 (24-5)	Houston (90.6%)	09:00 PM	34
09:00 PM Baylor @ Houston #7 15-14 vs 24-5 Baylor 9.4% Houston 90.6% Model Pick Houston 90.6% Pick Spread Houston -15.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Baylor 69 vs Houston 76 Total 145.3 Margin +7.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 142.2 @59%
Colorado State (19-10) @ New Mexico (22-7)	New Mexico (87.7%)	10:00 PM	32
10:00 PM Colorado State @ New Mexico 19-10 vs 22-7 Colorado State 12.3% New Mexico 87.7% Model Pick New Mexico 87.7% Pick Spread New Mexico -9.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Colorado State 68 vs New Mexico 70 Total 138.9 Margin +2.1 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 149.8 @80%
St. Bonaventure (15-14) @ George Washington (16-13)	George Washington (85.9%)	07:00 PM	14
07:00 PM St. Bonaventure @ George Washington 15-14 vs 16-13 St. Bonaventure 14.1% George Washington 85.9% Model Pick George Washington 85.9% Pick Spread George Washington -9.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE St. Bonaventure 76 vs George Washington 78 Total 154.2 Margin +2.0 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 158.0 @61%
Loyola Chicago (7-22) @ Saint Louis #25 (26-3)	Saint Louis (83.6%)	08:00 PM	41
08:00 PM Loyola Chicago @ Saint Louis #25 7-22 vs 26-3 Loyola Chicago 16.4% Saint Louis 83.6% Model Pick Saint Louis 83.6% Pick Spread Saint Louis -24.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Loyola Chicago 65 vs Saint Louis 90 Total 155.3 Margin +24.7 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.2 @53%
Wagner (13-16) @ Central Connecticut (18-11)	Central Connecticut (82.1%)	07:00 PM	18
07:00 PM +17.7% EDGE Wagner @ Central Connecticut 13-16 vs 18-11 Wagner 17.9% Central Connecticut 82.1% Model Pick Central Connecticut 82.1% Pick Spread Central Connecticut -4.5 Home ML -205 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +17.7% MODEL PROB 82.1% VEGAS TRUE 64.5% VEGAS JUICED 67.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Wagner 72 vs Central Connecticut 69 Total 141.5 Margin -3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.5 @56%
Maryland (11-18) @ Wisconsin (20-9)	Wisconsin (80.0%)	08:00 PM	20
08:00 PM Maryland @ Wisconsin 11-18 vs 20-9 Maryland 20.0% Wisconsin 80.0% Model Pick Wisconsin 80.0% Pick Spread Wisconsin -14.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Maryland 69 vs Wisconsin 74 Total 142.5 Margin +5.1 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff -8.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.5 @80%
Ohio State (18-11) @ Penn State (12-17)	Ohio State (79.7%)	07:30 PM	20
07:30 PM Ohio State @ Penn State 18-11 vs 12-17 Ohio State 79.7% Penn State 20.3% Model Pick Ohio State 79.7% Pick Spread Ohio State -7.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Ohio State 75 vs Penn State 76 Total 151.2 Margin +0.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.5 @57%
Villanova (22-7) @ DePaul (16-13)	Villanova (78.9%)	08:00 PM	31
08:00 PM CLOSE Villanova @ DePaul 22-7 vs 16-13 Villanova 78.9% DePaul 21.1% Model Pick Villanova 78.9% Pick Spread Villanova -3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Villanova 68 vs DePaul 72 Total 140.2 Margin +4.2 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 135.5 @64%
Youngstown State (15-16) @ Robert Morris (21-10)	Robert Morris (76.6%)	07:00 PM	23
07:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Youngstown State @ Robert Morris 15-16 vs 21-10 Youngstown State 23.4% Robert Morris 76.6% Model Pick Robert Morris 76.6% Pick Spread Robert Morris -5.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Youngstown State 78 vs Robert Morris 74 Total 151.7 Margin -4.7 Spread DOG COVERS @77% Diff +9.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.0 @75%
Creighton (14-16) @ Butler (15-14)	Creighton (76.0%) DOG	06:00 PM	24
06:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOG Creighton @ Butler 14-16 vs 15-14 Creighton 76.0% Butler 24.0% Model Pick Creighton 76.0% Pick Spread Creighton +2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Creighton 75 vs Butler 76 Total 150.5 Margin +0.5 Spread DOG COVERS @56% Diff -2.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.5 @65%
Minnesota (14-15) @ Indiana (17-12)	Indiana (75.6%)	06:30 PM	24
06:30 PM Minnesota @ Indiana 14-15 vs 17-12 Minnesota 24.4% Indiana 75.6% Model Pick Indiana 75.6% Pick Spread Indiana -7.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Minnesota 71 vs Indiana 71 Total 141.4 Margin +0.0 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 138.0 @60%
Miami #22 (23-6) @ SMU (19-10)	SMU (75.4%)	07:00 PM	60
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Miami #22 @ SMU 23-6 vs 19-10 Miami 24.6% SMU 75.4% Model Pick SMU 75.4% Pick Spread SMU -2.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Miami 79 vs SMU 76 Total 154.8 Margin -3.0 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff +4.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 161.2 @69%
Chicago State (6-24) @ Long Island University (21-10)	Long Island University (75.0%)	07:00 PM	25
07:00 PM Chicago State @ Long Island University 6-24 vs 21-10 Chicago State 25.0% Long Island University 75.0% Model Pick Long Island University 75.0% Pick Spread Long Island University -11.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Chicago State 63 vs Long Island University 66 Total 128.7 Margin +3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @74% Diff -8.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 138.5 @77%
Stanford (18-11) @ Notre Dame (13-16)	Notre Dame (74.6%)	09:00 PM	25
09:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Stanford @ Notre Dame 18-11 vs 13-16 Stanford 25.4% Notre Dame 74.6% Model Pick Notre Dame 74.6% Pick Spread Notre Dame -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stanford 75 vs Notre Dame 70 Total 144.8 Margin -4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +5.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.2 @51%
Marquette (10-19) @ Providence (14-15)	Marquette (74.4%) DOG	07:00 PM	26
07:00 PM UNDERDOG Marquette @ Providence 10-19 vs 14-15 Marquette 74.4% Providence 25.6% Model Pick Marquette 74.4% Pick Spread Marquette +4.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Marquette 81 vs Providence 80 Total 161.1 Margin -0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff +4.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.2 @54%
Duquesne (16-13) @ Rhode Island (15-14)	Duquesne (73.8%) DOG	07:00 PM	26
07:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOG Duquesne @ Rhode Island 16-13 vs 15-14 Duquesne 73.8% Rhode Island 26.2% Model Pick Duquesne 73.8% Pick Spread Duquesne +1.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Duquesne 72 vs Rhode Island 73 Total 144.8 Margin +1.6 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.5 @54%
California (20-9) @ Georgia Tech (11-18)	Georgia Tech (71.9%) DOG	07:00 PM	28
07:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT California @ Georgia Tech 20-9 vs 11-18 California 28.1% Georgia Tech 71.9% Model Pick Georgia Tech 71.9% Pick Spread Georgia Tech +3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE California 77 vs Georgia Tech 74 Total 150.3 Margin -3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.8 @66%
North Alabama (9-20) @ Florida Gulf Coast (14-17)	Florida Gulf Coast (71.7%)	02:30 PM	33
02:30 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast 9-20 vs 14-17 North Alabama 28.3% Florida Gulf Coast 71.7% Model Pick Florida Gulf Coast 71.7% Pick Spread Florida Gulf Coast -6.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE North Alabama 71 vs Florida Gulf Coast 70 Total 140.7 Margin -1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 144.5 @61%
Stetson (11-20) @ Eastern Kentucky (11-20)	Eastern Kentucky (70.0%)	05:00 PM	35
05:00 PM Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky 11-20 vs 11-20 Stetson 30.0% Eastern Kentucky 70.0% Model Pick Eastern Kentucky 70.0% Pick Spread Eastern Kentucky -4.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stetson 76 vs Eastern Kentucky 76 Total 152.9 Margin +0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @63% Diff -4.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 156.5 @61%
Eastern Illinois (12-19) @ SIU Edwardsville (19-12)	SIU Edwardsville (69.6%)	07:00 PM	35
07:00 PM Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville 12-19 vs 19-12 Eastern Illinois 30.4% SIU Edwardsville 69.6% Model Pick SIU Edwardsville 69.6% Pick Spread SIU Edwardsville -5.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Eastern Illinois 62 vs SIU Edwardsville 60 Total 122.6 Margin -2.0 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 127.2 @64%
Rice (12-17) @ North Texas (17-13)	North Texas (69.3%)	08:00 PM	31
08:00 PM Rice @ North Texas 12-17 vs 17-13 Rice 30.7% North Texas 69.3% Model Pick North Texas 69.3% Pick Spread North Texas -8.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Rice 68 vs North Texas 70 Total 138.0 Margin +1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff -6.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 139.5 @55%
USC (18-11) @ Washington (14-15)	Washington (68.7%)	10:30 PM	31
10:30 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT USC @ Washington 18-11 vs 14-15 USC 31.3% Washington 68.7% Model Pick Washington 68.7% Pick Spread Washington -6.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE USC 75 vs Washington 74 Total 149.3 Margin -1.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.5 @54%
Fairleigh Dickinson (11-20) @ Mercyhurst (15-16)	Mercyhurst (68.1%)	07:00 PM	32
07:00 PM +5.0% EDGE Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst 11-20 vs 15-16 Fairleigh Dickinson 31.9% Mercyhurst 68.1% Model Pick Mercyhurst 68.1% Pick Spread Mercyhurst -4.5 Home ML -192 Away ML +160 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.0% MODEL PROB 68.1% VEGAS TRUE 63.1% VEGAS JUICED 65.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairleigh Dickinson 67 vs Mercyhurst 63 Total 129.7 Margin -4.5 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.5 @64%
Little Rock (12-19) @ Lindenwood (17-14)	Lindenwood (67.7%)	09:30 PM	37
09:30 PM CLOSE Little Rock @ Lindenwood 12-19 vs 17-14 Little Rock 32.3% Lindenwood 67.7% Model Pick Lindenwood 67.7% Pick Spread Lindenwood -3.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Little Rock 71 vs Lindenwood 70 Total 141.1 Margin -1.5 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff +4.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.5 @72%
Texas (18-11) @ Arkansas #20 (21-8)	Arkansas (66.0%)	07:00 PM	69
07:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Texas @ Arkansas #20 18-11 vs 21-8 Texas 34.0% Arkansas 66.0% Model Pick Arkansas 66.0% Pick Spread Arkansas -7.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Texas 84 vs Arkansas 84 Total 168.2 Margin -0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 166.0 @57%
Florida State (15-14) @ Pittsburgh (11-18)	Pittsburgh (64.8%) DOG	09:00 PM	35
09:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Florida State @ Pittsburgh 15-14 vs 11-18 Florida State 35.2% Pittsburgh 64.8% Model Pick Pittsburgh 64.8% Pick Spread Pittsburgh +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida State 75 vs Pittsburgh 74 Total 148.8 Margin -1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.2 @61%
Northern Kentucky (18-13) @ Oakland (16-15)	Oakland (63.4%)	07:00 PM	37
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Northern Kentucky @ Oakland 18-13 vs 16-15 Northern Kentucky 36.6% Oakland 63.4% Model Pick Oakland 63.4% Pick Spread Oakland -2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Kentucky 81 vs Oakland 81 Total 162.3 Margin -0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 158.8 @61%
Kansas City (4-26) @ Oral Roberts (9-22)	Oral Roberts (63.3%)	08:00 PM	42
08:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Kansas City @ Oral Roberts 4-26 vs 9-22 Kansas City 36.7% Oral Roberts 63.3% Model Pick Oral Roberts 63.3% Pick Spread Oral Roberts -8.5 Home ML -310 Away ML +250 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -9.3% MODEL PROB 63.3% VEGAS TRUE 72.6% VEGAS JUICED 75.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Kansas City 68 vs Oral Roberts 70 Total 138.0 Margin +2.4 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff -6.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.5 @77%
North Florida (7-24) @ West Georgia (14-16)	West Georgia (62.4%)	07:30 PM	43
07:30 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT North Florida @ West Georgia 7-24 vs 14-16 North Florida 37.6% West Georgia 62.4% Model Pick West Georgia 62.4% Pick Spread West Georgia -4.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE North Florida 78 vs West Georgia 84 Total 162.4 Margin +6.4 Spread FAV COVERS @56% Diff +1.9 Vegas O/U BET OVER 157.5 @65%
Saint Joseph's (19-10) @ Davidson (18-11)	Davidson (61.6%)	07:00 PM	58
07:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Saint Joseph's @ Davidson 19-10 vs 18-11 Saint Joseph's 38.4% Davidson 61.6% Model Pick Davidson 61.6% Pick Spread Davidson -4.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Saint Joseph's 68 vs Davidson 66 Total 134.3 Margin -2.7 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +7.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 138.2 @62%
Milwaukee (12-19) @ Detroit Mercy (15-14)	Detroit Mercy (61.5%)	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Milwaukee @ Detroit Mercy 12-19 vs 15-14 Milwaukee 38.5% Detroit Mercy 61.5% Model Pick Detroit Mercy 61.5% Pick Spread Detroit Mercy -3.0 Home ML -148 Away ML +124 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.3% MODEL PROB 61.5% VEGAS TRUE 57.2% VEGAS JUICED 59.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Milwaukee 76 vs Detroit Mercy 76 Total 152.1 Margin -0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.2 @54%
Purdue #15 (22-7) @ Northwestern (13-16)	Northwestern (61.3%) DOG	08:30 PM	64
08:30 PM UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Purdue #15 @ Northwestern 22-7 vs 13-16 Purdue 38.7% Northwestern 61.3% Model Pick Northwestern 61.3% Pick Spread Northwestern +11.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Purdue 76 vs Northwestern 66 Total 141.7 Margin -10.1 Spread DOG COVERS @53% Diff -0.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.0 @66%
Jacksonville (12-19) @ Bellarmine (12-18)	Bellarmine (61.3%)	12:00 PM	44
12:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Jacksonville @ Bellarmine 12-19 vs 12-18 Jacksonville 38.7% Bellarmine 61.3% Model Pick Bellarmine 61.3% Pick Spread Bellarmine -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Jacksonville 74 vs Bellarmine 72 Total 146.0 Margin -2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff +3.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.5 @55%
Fordham (16-13) @ La Salle (8-21)	La Salle (60.7%) DOG	06:30 PM	39
06:30 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Fordham @ La Salle 16-13 vs 8-21 Fordham 39.3% La Salle 60.7% Model Pick La Salle 60.7% Pick Spread La Salle +2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fordham 67 vs La Salle 61 Total 128.2 Margin -6.6 Spread FAV COVERS @62% Diff +4.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 132.8 @64%
Stonehill (11-20) @ Le Moyne (15-16)	Stonehill (56.1%) DOG	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM +25.2% EDGEUNDERDOG Stonehill @ Le Moyne 11-20 vs 15-16 Stonehill 56.1% Le Moyne 43.9% Model Pick Stonehill 56.1% Pick Spread Stonehill +6.5 Home ML -258 Away ML +210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.2% MODEL PROB 56.1% VEGAS TRUE 30.9% VEGAS JUICED 32.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stonehill 65 vs Le Moyne 69 Total 133.7 Margin +4.3 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff -2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.5 @52%
Gardner-Webb (3-28) @ South Carolina Upstate (13-18)	Gardner-Webb (55.8%) DOG	07:30 PM	49
07:30 PM UNDERDOG Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate 3-28 vs 13-18 Gardner-Webb 55.8% South Carolina Upstate 44.2% Model Pick Gardner-Webb 55.8% Pick Spread Gardner-Webb +10.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Gardner-Webb 69 vs South Carolina Upstate 71 Total 139.3 Margin +1.9 Spread DOG COVERS @75% Diff -8.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.5 @76%
UAB (18-11) @ Charlotte (15-14)	Charlotte (54.6%) DOG	07:00 PM	45
07:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT UAB @ Charlotte 18-11 vs 15-14 UAB 45.4% Charlotte 54.6% Model Pick Charlotte 54.6% Pick Spread Charlotte +2.0 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.8% MODEL PROB 54.6% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UAB 78 vs Charlotte 77 Total 154.8 Margin -1.4 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.0 @77%

TIERED RECOMMENDATION SYSTEM

⭐ PREMIUM: 80%+ conf, 5+ edge (88.5% win, 69.1% ROI) • ✓ GOOD: 75%+ conf, 7+ edge (82.7% win, 57.9% ROI)

Based on 4,181 game analysis • Updated Feb 9, 2026

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Ohio State (18-11) @ Penn State (12-17)	Ohio State (79.7%) ✓ GOOD	07:30 PM	20
07:30 PM+7.9 PTS EDGE Ohio State @ Penn State 18-11 vs 12-17 Ohio State 79.7% Penn State 20.3% Model Pick Ohio State (79.7%) Pick Spread Ohio State -7.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A SPREAD EDGE +7.9 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +0.4 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Ohio State 75 vs Penn State 76 Total 151.2 Margin +0.4 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.5 @57%
Villanova (22-7) @ DePaul (16-13)	Villanova (78.9%) ✓ GOOD	08:00 PM	31
08:00 PM+7.7 PTS EDGE Villanova @ DePaul 22-7 vs 16-13 Villanova 78.9% DePaul 21.1% Model Pick Villanova (78.9%) Pick Spread Villanova -3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A SPREAD EDGE +7.7 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +4.2 COVERAGE COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Villanova 68 vs DePaul 72 Total 140.2 Margin +4.2 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 135.5 @64%
Minnesota (14-15) @ Indiana (17-12)	Indiana (75.6%) ✓ GOOD	06:30 PM	24
06:30 PM+7.2 PTS EDGE Minnesota @ Indiana 14-15 vs 17-12 Minnesota 24.4% Indiana 75.6% Model Pick Indiana (75.6%) Pick Spread Indiana -7.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A SPREAD EDGE +7.2 pts PREDICTED MARGIN +0.0 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Minnesota 71 vs Indiana 71 Total 141.4 Margin +0.0 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 138.0 @60%
Wagner (13-16) @ Central Connecticut (18-11)	Central Connecticut (82.1%) ⭐ PREMIUM	07:00 PM	18
07:00 PM+7.6 PTS EDGE Wagner @ Central Connecticut 13-16 vs 18-11 Wagner 17.9% Central Connecticut 82.1% Model Pick Central Connecticut (82.1%) Pick Spread Central Connecticut -4.5 Home ML -205 Away ML +170 SPREAD EDGE +7.6 pts PREDICTED MARGIN -3.1 COVERAGE NO COVER XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Wagner 72 vs Central Connecticut 69 Total 141.5 Margin -3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.5 @56%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Stonehill (11-20) @ Le Moyne (15-16)	Stonehill (56.1%)	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM+25.2% EDGE Stonehill @ Le Moyne 11-20 vs 15-16 Stonehill 56.1% Le Moyne 43.9% Model Pick Stonehill 56.1% Pick Spread -6.5 Home ML -258 Away ML +210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.2% MODEL PROB 56.1% VEGAS TRUE 30.9% VEGAS JUICED 32.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stonehill 65 vs Le Moyne 69 Total 133.7 Margin +4.3 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff -2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.5 @52%
Wagner (13-16) @ Central Connecticut (18-11)	Central Connecticut (82.1%)	07:00 PM	18
07:00 PM+17.7% EDGE Wagner @ Central Connecticut 13-16 vs 18-11 Wagner 17.9% Central Connecticut 82.1% Model Pick Central Connecticut 82.1% Pick Spread -4.5 Home ML -205 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +17.7% MODEL PROB 82.1% VEGAS TRUE 64.5% VEGAS JUICED 67.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Wagner 72 vs Central Connecticut 69 Total 141.5 Margin -3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.5 @56%
Fairleigh Dickinson (11-20) @ Mercyhurst (15-16)	Mercyhurst (68.1%)	07:00 PM	32
07:00 PM+5.0% EDGE Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst 11-20 vs 15-16 Fairleigh Dickinson 31.9% Mercyhurst 68.1% Model Pick Mercyhurst 68.1% Pick Spread -4.5 Home ML -192 Away ML +160 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.0% MODEL PROB 68.1% VEGAS TRUE 63.1% VEGAS JUICED 65.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairleigh Dickinson 67 vs Mercyhurst 63 Total 129.7 Margin -4.5 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.5 @64%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Villanova (22-7) @ DePaul (16-13)	Villanova (78.9%)	08:00 PM	31
08:00 PMCLOSE Villanova @ DePaul 22-7 vs 16-13 Villanova 78.9% DePaul 21.1% Model Pick Villanova 78.9% Pick Spread Villanova -3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Villanova 68 vs DePaul 72 Total 140.2 Margin +4.2 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 135.5 @64%
Creighton (14-16) @ Butler (15-14)	Creighton (76.0%) DOG	06:00 PM	24
06:00 PMCLOSE Creighton @ Butler 14-16 vs 15-14 Creighton 76.0% Butler 24.0% Model Pick Creighton 76.0% Pick Spread Creighton +2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Creighton 75 vs Butler 76 Total 150.5 Margin +0.5 Spread DOG COVERS @56% Diff -2.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.5 @65%
Miami #22 (23-6) @ SMU (19-10)	SMU (75.4%)	07:00 PM	60
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Miami #22 @ SMU 23-6 vs 19-10 Miami 24.6% SMU 75.4% Model Pick SMU 75.4% Pick Spread SMU -2.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Miami 79 vs SMU 76 Total 154.8 Margin -3.0 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff +4.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 161.2 @69%
Stanford (18-11) @ Notre Dame (13-16)	Notre Dame (74.6%)	09:00 PM	25
09:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Stanford @ Notre Dame 18-11 vs 13-16 Stanford 25.4% Notre Dame 74.6% Model Pick Notre Dame 74.6% Pick Spread Notre Dame -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stanford 75 vs Notre Dame 70 Total 144.8 Margin -4.4 Spread DOG COVERS @68% Diff +5.9 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.2 @51%
Duquesne (16-13) @ Rhode Island (15-14)	Duquesne (73.8%) DOG	07:00 PM	26
07:00 PMCLOSE Duquesne @ Rhode Island 16-13 vs 15-14 Duquesne 73.8% Rhode Island 26.2% Model Pick Duquesne 73.8% Pick Spread Duquesne +1.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Duquesne 72 vs Rhode Island 73 Total 144.8 Margin +1.6 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 143.5 @54%
California (20-9) @ Georgia Tech (11-18)	Georgia Tech (71.9%) DOG	07:00 PM	28
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT California @ Georgia Tech 20-9 vs 11-18 California 28.1% Georgia Tech 71.9% Model Pick Georgia Tech 71.9% Pick Spread Georgia Tech +3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE California 77 vs Georgia Tech 74 Total 150.3 Margin -3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.8 @66%
Little Rock (12-19) @ Lindenwood (17-14)	Lindenwood (67.7%)	09:30 PM	37
09:30 PMCLOSE Little Rock @ Lindenwood 12-19 vs 17-14 Little Rock 32.3% Lindenwood 67.7% Model Pick Lindenwood 67.7% Pick Spread Lindenwood -3.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Little Rock 71 vs Lindenwood 70 Total 141.1 Margin -1.5 Spread DOG COVERS @64% Diff +4.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.5 @72%
Florida State (15-14) @ Pittsburgh (11-18)	Pittsburgh (64.8%) DOG	09:00 PM	35
09:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Florida State @ Pittsburgh 15-14 vs 11-18 Florida State 35.2% Pittsburgh 64.8% Model Pick Pittsburgh 64.8% Pick Spread Pittsburgh +1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida State 75 vs Pittsburgh 74 Total 148.8 Margin -1.0 Spread DOG COVERS @52% Diff -0.5 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.2 @61%
Northern Kentucky (18-13) @ Oakland (16-15)	Oakland (63.4%)	07:00 PM	37
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Northern Kentucky @ Oakland 18-13 vs 16-15 Northern Kentucky 36.6% Oakland 63.4% Model Pick Oakland 63.4% Pick Spread Oakland -2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Kentucky 81 vs Oakland 81 Total 162.3 Margin -0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 158.8 @61%
Milwaukee (12-19) @ Detroit Mercy (15-14)	Detroit Mercy (61.5%)	07:00 PM	38
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Milwaukee @ Detroit Mercy 12-19 vs 15-14 Milwaukee 38.5% Detroit Mercy 61.5% Model Pick Detroit Mercy 61.5% Pick Spread Detroit Mercy -3.0 Home ML -148 Away ML +124 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +4.3% MODEL PROB 61.5% VEGAS TRUE 57.2% VEGAS JUICED 59.7% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Milwaukee 76 vs Detroit Mercy 76 Total 152.1 Margin -0.1 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.2 @54%
Jacksonville (12-19) @ Bellarmine (12-18)	Bellarmine (61.3%)	12:00 PM	44
12:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Jacksonville @ Bellarmine 12-19 vs 12-18 Jacksonville 38.7% Bellarmine 61.3% Model Pick Bellarmine 61.3% Pick Spread Bellarmine -1.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Jacksonville 74 vs Bellarmine 72 Total 146.0 Margin -2.2 Spread DOG COVERS @61% Diff +3.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 147.5 @55%
Fordham (16-13) @ La Salle (8-21)	La Salle (60.7%) DOG	06:30 PM	39
06:30 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Fordham @ La Salle 16-13 vs 8-21 Fordham 39.3% La Salle 60.7% Model Pick La Salle 60.7% Pick Spread La Salle +2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fordham 67 vs La Salle 61 Total 128.2 Margin -6.6 Spread FAV COVERS @62% Diff +4.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 132.8 @64%
UAB (18-11) @ Charlotte (15-14)	Charlotte (54.6%) DOG	07:00 PM	45
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT UAB @ Charlotte 18-11 vs 15-14 UAB 45.4% Charlotte 54.6% Model Pick Charlotte 54.6% Pick Spread Charlotte +2.0 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.8% MODEL PROB 54.6% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UAB 78 vs Charlotte 77 Total 154.8 Margin -1.4 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.0 @77%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Stonehill (11-20) @ Le Moyne (15-16)	Stonehill (56.1%) DOG	+25.2%	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PMUNDERDOG ML Stonehill @ Le Moyne 11-20 vs 15-16 Stonehill 56.1% Le Moyne 43.9% Model Pick Stonehill 56.1% Pick Spread Stonehill +6.5 Home ML -258 Away ML +210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.2% MODEL PROB 56.1% VEGAS TRUE 30.9% VEGAS JUICED 32.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stonehill 65 vs Le Moyne 69 Total 133.7 Margin +4.3 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff -2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.5 @52%
UAB (18-11) @ Charlotte (15-14)	Charlotte (54.6%) DOG	+7.8%	07:00 PM	45
07:00 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT UAB @ Charlotte 18-11 vs 15-14 UAB 45.4% Charlotte 54.6% Model Pick Charlotte 54.6% Pick Spread Charlotte +2.0 Home ML +105 Away ML -125 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +7.8% MODEL PROB 54.6% VEGAS TRUE 46.8% VEGAS JUICED 48.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UAB 78 vs Charlotte 77 Total 154.8 Margin -1.4 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.4 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.0 @77%

Game	Pick	Confidence	Moneyline	Expected Value	Time (ET)
Stonehill @ Le Moyne	Stonehill DOG	56.1%	+210	⭐⭐⭐ +74.0%	07:00 PM
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts	Kansas City DOG	36.7%	+250	⭐⭐⭐ +28.5%	08:00 PM
Central Connecticut vs Wagner	Central Connecticut FAV	82.1%	-205	⭐⭐⭐ +22.2%	07:00 PM

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Wagner (13-16) @ Central Connecticut (18-11)	Central Connecticut (82.1%)	07:00 PM	18
07:00 PM75%+ CONF +17.7% EDGE Wagner @ Central Connecticut 13-16 vs 18-11 Wagner 17.9% Central Connecticut 82.1% Model Pick Central Connecticut 82.1% Pick Spread -4.5 Home ML -205 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +17.7% MODEL PROB 82.1% VEGAS TRUE 64.5% VEGAS JUICED 67.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Wagner 72 vs Central Connecticut 69 Total 141.5 Margin -3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.5 @56%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Stonehill (11-20) @ Le Moyne (15-16)	Stonehill (56.1%)	+25.2%	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM+25.2% EDGE Stonehill @ Le Moyne 11-20 vs 15-16 Stonehill 56.1% Le Moyne 43.9% Model Pick Stonehill 56.1% Pick Spread -6.5 Home ML -258 Away ML +210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.2% MODEL PROB 56.1% VEGAS TRUE 30.9% VEGAS JUICED 32.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stonehill 65 vs Le Moyne 69 Total 133.7 Margin +4.3 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff -2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.5 @52%
Wagner (13-16) @ Central Connecticut (18-11)	Central Connecticut (82.1%)	+17.7%	07:00 PM	18
07:00 PM+17.7% EDGE Wagner @ Central Connecticut 13-16 vs 18-11 Wagner 17.9% Central Connecticut 82.1% Model Pick Central Connecticut 82.1% Pick Spread -4.5 Home ML -205 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +17.7% MODEL PROB 82.1% VEGAS TRUE 64.5% VEGAS JUICED 67.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Wagner 72 vs Central Connecticut 69 Total 141.5 Margin -3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.5 @56%
Fairleigh Dickinson (11-20) @ Mercyhurst (15-16)	Mercyhurst (68.1%)	+5.0%	07:00 PM	32
07:00 PM+5.0% EDGE Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst 11-20 vs 15-16 Fairleigh Dickinson 31.9% Mercyhurst 68.1% Model Pick Mercyhurst 68.1% Pick Spread -4.5 Home ML -192 Away ML +160 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +5.0% MODEL PROB 68.1% VEGAS TRUE 63.1% VEGAS JUICED 65.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Fairleigh Dickinson 67 vs Mercyhurst 63 Total 129.7 Margin -4.5 Spread DOG COVERS @76% Diff +9.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.5 @64%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Stonehill (11-20) @ Le Moyne (15-16)	Stonehill (56.1%)	+25.2%	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM+25.2% EDGE Stonehill @ Le Moyne 11-20 vs 15-16 Stonehill 56.1% Le Moyne 43.9% Model Pick Stonehill 56.1% Pick Spread -6.5 Home ML -258 Away ML +210 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +25.2% MODEL PROB 56.1% VEGAS TRUE 30.9% VEGAS JUICED 32.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stonehill 65 vs Le Moyne 69 Total 133.7 Margin +4.3 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff -2.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 134.5 @52%
Wagner (13-16) @ Central Connecticut (18-11)	Central Connecticut (82.1%)	+17.7%	07:00 PM	18
07:00 PM+17.7% EDGE Wagner @ Central Connecticut 13-16 vs 18-11 Wagner 17.9% Central Connecticut 82.1% Model Pick Central Connecticut 82.1% Pick Spread -4.5 Home ML -205 Away ML +170 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +17.7% MODEL PROB 82.1% VEGAS TRUE 64.5% VEGAS JUICED 67.2% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Wagner 72 vs Central Connecticut 69 Total 141.5 Margin -3.1 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff +7.6 Vegas O/U BET OVER 139.5 @56%