Model Information
- XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
- XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
- Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
- Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
- Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
- Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)
📅 All Games Today
| Game | Prediction ⇅ | Time (ET) ⇅ | Hype Level ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers (12-17) @ Michigan State #8 (24-5) | Michigan State (94.6%) | 08:00 PM | 30 |
|
08:00 PM
Rutgers @ Michigan State #8
12-17 vs 24-5
Rutgers 5.4%
Michigan State 94.6%
Model Pick
Michigan State
94.6%
Pick Spread
Michigan State -19.0
Home ML
-10000
Away ML
+3000
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-2.3%
MODEL PROB
94.6%
VEGAS TRUE
96.8%
VEGAS JUICED
99.0%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Rutgers
63
vs
Michigan State
75
Total
137.8
Margin
+12.4
Spread
DOG COVERS @69%
Diff
-6.4
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 141.0 @60%
|
|||
| Evansville (7-24) @ Northern Iowa (19-12) | Northern Iowa (87.6%) | 09:30 PM | 17 |
|
09:30 PM
Evansville @ Northern Iowa
7-24 vs 19-12
Evansville 12.4%
Northern Iowa 87.6%
Model Pick
Northern Iowa
87.6%
Pick Spread
Northern Iowa -14.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Evansville
59
vs
Northern Iowa
66
Total
125.4
Margin
+7.0
Spread
DOG COVERS @72%
Diff
-7.5
Vegas O/U
BET OVER 125.2 @50%
|
|||
| Bucknell (10-22) @ Navy (25-6) | Navy (86.2%) | 07:00 PM | 24 |
|
07:00 PM
Bucknell @ Navy
10-22 vs 25-6
Bucknell 13.8%
Navy 86.2%
Model Pick
Navy
86.2%
Pick Spread
Navy -16.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Bucknell
63
vs
Navy
70
Total
132.6
Margin
+7.4
Spread
DOG COVERS @76%
Diff
-9.1
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 133.5 @53%
|
|||
| Cal Poly (13-17) @ UC Irvine (20-10) | UC Irvine (77.6%) | 10:00 PM | 22 |
|
10:00 PM
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine
13-17 vs 20-10
Cal Poly 22.4%
UC Irvine 77.6%
Model Pick
UC Irvine
77.6%
Pick Spread
UC Irvine -9.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Cal Poly
72
vs
UC Irvine
78
Total
150.1
Margin
+5.9
Spread
DOG COVERS @61%
Diff
-3.6
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 155.8 @67%
|
|||
| Mississippi Valley State (3-28) @ Jackson State (10-20) | Jackson State (77.0%) | 08:00 PM | 23 |
|
08:00 PM
Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State
3-28 vs 10-20
Mississippi Valley State 23.0%
Jackson State 77.0%
Model Pick
Jackson State
77.0%
Pick Spread
Jackson State -10.5
Home ML
-485
Away ML
+370
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-2.6%
MODEL PROB
77.0%
VEGAS TRUE
79.6%
VEGAS JUICED
82.9%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Mississippi Valley State
63
vs
Jackson State
73
Total
136.1
Margin
+9.7
Spread
DOG COVERS @52%
Diff
-0.8
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 144.5 @74%
|
|||
| Abilene Christian (13-16) @ California Baptist (21-8) | California Baptist (76.2%) | 10:00 PM | 34 |
|
10:00 PM
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist
13-16 vs 21-8
Abilene Christian 23.8%
California Baptist 76.2%
Model Pick
California Baptist
76.2%
Pick Spread
California Baptist -9.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Abilene Christian
64
vs
California Baptist
67
Total
130.6
Margin
+2.8
Spread
DOG COVERS @70%
Diff
-6.7
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 135.5 @65%
|
|||
| UC Riverside (10-21) @ Hawai'i (21-7) | Hawai'i (74.6%) | 11:59 PM | 35 |
|
11:59 PM
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i
10-21 vs 21-7
UC Riverside 25.4%
Hawai'i 74.6%
Model Pick
Hawai'i
74.6%
Pick Spread
Hawai'i -11.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
UC Riverside
67
vs
Hawai'i
73
Total
140.3
Margin
+5.5
Spread
DOG COVERS @68%
Diff
-6.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 148.8 @74%
|
|||
| Louisiana Tech (16-13) @ Liberty (24-5) | Liberty (71.9%) | 07:00 PM | 38 |
|
07:00 PM
Louisiana Tech @ Liberty
16-13 vs 24-5
Louisiana Tech 28.1%
Liberty 71.9%
Model Pick
Liberty
71.9%
Pick Spread
Liberty -8.5
Home ML
-485
Away ML
+370
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-7.7%
MODEL PROB
71.9%
VEGAS TRUE
79.6%
VEGAS JUICED
82.9%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Louisiana Tech
66
vs
Liberty
67
Total
132.9
Margin
+1.3
Spread
DOG COVERS @71%
Diff
-7.2
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 138.2 @66%
|
|||
| Loyola Maryland (12-19) @ Colgate (17-14) | Colgate (71.1%) | 07:00 PM | 29 |
|
07:00 PM
Loyola Maryland @ Colgate
12-19 vs 17-14
Loyola Maryland 28.9%
Colgate 71.1%
Model Pick
Colgate
71.1%
Pick Spread
Colgate -6.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Loyola Maryland
72
vs
Colgate
72
Total
144.4
Margin
+0.0
Spread
DOG COVERS @69%
Diff
+6.5
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 151.5 @71%
|
|||
| Coppin State (7-23) @ Morgan State (13-15) | Morgan State (71.1%) | 08:00 PM | 29 |
|
08:00 PM
Coppin State @ Morgan State
7-23 vs 13-15
Coppin State 28.9%
Morgan State 71.1%
Model Pick
Morgan State
71.1%
Pick Spread
Morgan State -6.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Coppin State
70
vs
Morgan State
74
Total
143.2
Margin
+3.8
Spread
DOG COVERS @58%
Diff
-2.7
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 151.5 @74%
|
|||
| South Dakota State (14-17) @ St. Thomas-Minnesota (23-8) | St. Thomas-Minnesota (69.3%) | 09:30 PM | 46 |
|
09:30 PM
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota
14-17 vs 23-8
South Dakota State 30.7%
St. Thomas-Minnesota 69.3%
Model Pick
St. Thomas-Minnesota
69.3%
Pick Spread
St. Thomas-Minnesota -5.5
Home ML
-325
Away ML
+260
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-4.1%
MODEL PROB
69.3%
VEGAS TRUE
73.4%
VEGAS JUICED
76.5%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
South Dakota State
77
vs
St. Thomas-Minnesota
78
Total
154.8
Margin
+1.4
Spread
DOG COVERS @62%
Diff
-4.1
Vegas O/U
BET OVER 150.5 @63%
|
|||
| San Diego (11-20) @ Loyola Marymount (15-16) | Loyola Marymount (68.2%) | 11:30 PM | 37 |
|
11:30 PM
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount
11-20 vs 15-16
San Diego 31.8%
Loyola Marymount 68.2%
Model Pick
Loyola Marymount
68.2%
Pick Spread
Loyola Marymount -5.5
Home ML
-270
Away ML
+220
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-1.8%
MODEL PROB
68.2%
VEGAS TRUE
70.0%
VEGAS JUICED
73.0%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
San Diego
71
vs
Loyola Marymount
74
Total
144.9
Margin
+3.5
Spread
DOG COVERS @56%
Diff
-2.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 145.5 @52%
|
|||
| Michigan #3 (27-2) @ Iowa (20-9) | Michigan (64.0%) | 08:00 PM | 76 |
|
08:00 PM
Michigan #3 @ Iowa
27-2 vs 20-9
Michigan 64.0%
Iowa 36.0%
Model Pick
Michigan
64.0%
Pick Spread
Michigan -9.0
Home ML
+380
Away ML
-500
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-16.0%
MODEL PROB
64.0%
VEGAS TRUE
80.0%
VEGAS JUICED
83.3%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Michigan
79
vs
Iowa
76
Total
155.1
Margin
-2.9
Spread
DOG COVERS @68%
Diff
-6.1
Vegas O/U
BET OVER 146.2 @75%
|
|||
| Manhattan (12-19) @ Fairfield (19-12) | Fairfield (62.7%) | 08:30 PM | 42 |
|
08:30 PM
SIGNAL CONFLICT Manhattan @ Fairfield
12-19 vs 19-12
Manhattan 37.3%
Fairfield 62.7%
Model Pick
Fairfield
62.7%
Pick Spread
Fairfield -5.0
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Manhattan
70
vs
Fairfield
72
Total
142.0
Margin
+2.0
Spread
DOG COVERS @60%
Diff
-3.2
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 150.2 @74%
|
|||
| Holy Cross (11-21) @ Lehigh (15-16) | Lehigh (62.4%) | 07:00 PM | 38 |
|
07:00 PM
SIGNAL CONFLICT Holy Cross @ Lehigh
11-21 vs 15-16
Holy Cross 37.6%
Lehigh 62.4%
Model Pick
Lehigh
62.4%
Pick Spread
Lehigh -6.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Holy Cross
70
vs
Lehigh
67
Total
136.6
Margin
-2.6
Spread
DOG COVERS @76%
Diff
+9.1
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 141.5 @65%
|
|||
| Delaware State (6-22) @ Maryland Eastern Shore (9-21) | Maryland Eastern Shore (61.3%) | 07:00 PM | 39 |
|
07:00 PM
SIGNAL CONFLICT Delaware State @ Maryland Eastern Shore
6-22 vs 9-21
Delaware State 38.7%
Maryland Eastern Shore 61.3%
Model Pick
Maryland Eastern Shore
61.3%
Pick Spread
Maryland Eastern Shore -6.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Delaware State
62
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore
60
Total
122.2
Margin
-2.2
Spread
DOG COVERS @75%
Diff
+8.7
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 126.5 @63%
|
|||
| Prairie View A&M (13-17) @ Texas Southern (12-16) | Texas Southern (60.8%) | 08:00 PM | 39 |
|
08:00 PM
CLOSE Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern
13-17 vs 12-16
Prairie View A&M 39.2%
Texas Southern 60.8%
Model Pick
Texas Southern
60.8%
Pick Spread
Texas Southern -3.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Prairie View A&M
75
vs
Texas Southern
74
Total
148.5
Margin
-1.5
Spread
DOG COVERS @65%
Diff
+5.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 155.5 @70%
|
|||
| South Carolina State (8-21) @ North Carolina Central (12-16) | North Carolina Central (60.7%) | 05:00 PM | 39 |
|
05:00 PM
SIGNAL CONFLICT South Carolina State @ North Carolina Central
8-21 vs 12-16
South Carolina State 39.3%
North Carolina Central 60.7%
Model Pick
North Carolina Central
60.7%
Pick Spread
North Carolina Central -8.5
Home ML
-298
Away ML
+240
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-11.1%
MODEL PROB
60.7%
VEGAS TRUE
71.8%
VEGAS JUICED
74.9%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
South Carolina State
69
vs
North Carolina Central
71
Total
140.2
Margin
+2.0
Spread
DOG COVERS @69%
Diff
-6.5
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 145.5 @66%
|
|||
| Pepperdine (9-22) @ Portland (13-18) | Portland (60.4%) | 09:00 PM | 45 |
|
09:00 PM
CLOSE Pepperdine @ Portland
9-22 vs 13-18
Pepperdine 39.6%
Portland 60.4%
Model Pick
Portland
60.4%
Pick Spread
Portland -2.0
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Pepperdine
71
vs
Portland
71
Total
141.7
Margin
+0.1
Spread
DOG COVERS @55%
Diff
-1.6
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 152.0 @79%
|
|||
| Sacred Heart (13-18) @ Iona (18-13) | Iona (60.2%) | 06:00 PM | 45 |
|
06:00 PM
CLOSE Sacred Heart @ Iona
13-18 vs 18-13
Sacred Heart 39.8%
Iona 60.2%
Model Pick
Iona
60.2%
Pick Spread
Iona -3.0
Home ML
-148
Away ML
+124
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
+3.0%
MODEL PROB
60.2%
VEGAS TRUE
57.2%
VEGAS JUICED
59.7%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Sacred Heart
69
vs
Iona
70
Total
139.8
Margin
+1.0
Spread
DOG COVERS @55%
Diff
-1.8
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 147.8 @73%
|
|||
| Indiana State (11-20) @ Valparaiso (17-14) | Valparaiso (59.7%) | 07:00 PM | 45 |
|
07:00 PM
CLOSE Indiana State @ Valparaiso
11-20 vs 17-14
Indiana State 40.3%
Valparaiso 59.7%
Model Pick
Valparaiso
59.7%
Pick Spread
Valparaiso -2.5
Home ML
-155
Away ML
+130
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
+1.4%
MODEL PROB
59.7%
VEGAS TRUE
58.3%
VEGAS JUICED
60.8%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Indiana State
71
vs
Valparaiso
70
Total
141.5
Margin
-0.9
Spread
DOG COVERS @60%
Diff
+3.4
Vegas O/U
BET OVER 135.8 @67%
|
|||
| Tulane (17-12) @ Temple (15-14) | Temple (59.7%) | 07:00 PM | 40 |
|
07:00 PM
Tulane @ Temple
17-12 vs 15-14
Tulane 40.3%
Temple 59.7%
Model Pick
Temple
59.7%
Pick Spread
Temple -4.5
Home ML
-205
Away ML
+170
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-4.8%
MODEL PROB
59.7%
VEGAS TRUE
64.5%
VEGAS JUICED
67.2%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Tulane
70
vs
Temple
70
Total
139.6
Margin
-0.2
Spread
DOG COVERS @64%
Diff
+4.7
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 144.8 @65%
|
|||
| Drake (12-19) @ Southern Illinois (16-15) | Southern Illinois (59.7%) | 04:30 PM | 45 |
|
04:30 PM
SIGNAL CONFLICT Drake @ Southern Illinois
12-19 vs 16-15
Drake 40.3%
Southern Illinois 59.7%
Model Pick
Southern Illinois
59.7%
Pick Spread
Southern Illinois -5.0
Home ML
-238
Away ML
+195
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-7.9%
MODEL PROB
59.7%
VEGAS TRUE
67.5%
VEGAS JUICED
70.4%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Drake
72
vs
Southern Illinois
71
Total
142.4
Margin
-1.0
Spread
DOG COVERS @67%
Diff
+5.8
Vegas O/U
BET OVER 135.2 @71%
|
|||
| Jacksonville State (14-15) @ New Mexico State (13-15) | New Mexico State (59.0%) | 09:00 PM | 41 |
|
09:00 PM
SIGNAL CONFLICT Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State
14-15 vs 13-15
Jacksonville State 41.0%
New Mexico State 59.0%
Model Pick
New Mexico State
59.0%
Pick Spread
New Mexico State -5.0
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Jacksonville State
69
vs
New Mexico State
66
Total
135.5
Margin
-3.3
Spread
DOG COVERS @74%
Diff
+8.6
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 142.5 @70%
|
|||
| Utah Valley (22-7) @ Southern Utah (10-19) | Utah Valley (57.5%) | 08:30 PM | 52 |
|
08:30 PM
Utah Valley @ Southern Utah
22-7 vs 10-19
Utah Valley 57.5%
Southern Utah 42.5%
Model Pick
Utah Valley
57.5%
Pick Spread
Utah Valley -9.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Utah Valley
72
vs
Southern Utah
70
Total
141.6
Margin
-1.4
Spread
DOG COVERS @73%
Diff
-8.1
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 151.0 @77%
|
|||
| American University (16-15) @ Boston University (15-16) | Boston University (56.7%) | 07:00 PM | 43 |
|
07:00 PM
CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT American University @ Boston University
16-15 vs 15-16
American University 43.3%
Boston University 56.7%
Model Pick
Boston University
56.7%
Pick Spread
Boston University -3.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
American University
72
vs
Boston University
66
Total
138.1
Margin
-5.9
Spread
DOG COVERS @77%
Diff
+9.4
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 141.5 @60%
|
|||
| Tulsa (23-6) @ East Carolina (11-18) | Tulsa (56.6%) | 07:00 PM | 53 |
|
07:00 PM
Tulsa @ East Carolina
23-6 vs 11-18
Tulsa 56.6%
East Carolina 43.4%
Model Pick
Tulsa
56.6%
Pick Spread
Tulsa -9.0
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Tulsa
73
vs
East Carolina
74
Total
147.6
Margin
+1.2
Spread
DOG COVERS @78%
Diff
+10.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 156.2 @75%
|
|||
| Grambling (12-18) @ Alabama State (10-20) | Alabama State (55.3%) | 08:00 PM | 45 |
|
08:00 PM
CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Grambling @ Alabama State
12-18 vs 10-20
Grambling 44.7%
Alabama State 55.3%
Model Pick
Alabama State
55.3%
Pick Spread
Alabama State -3.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Grambling
69
vs
Alabama State
65
Total
133.4
Margin
-3.8
Spread
DOG COVERS @71%
Diff
+7.3
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 143.5 @78%
|
|||
| South Florida (21-8) @ Memphis (12-17) | South Florida (55.2%) | 09:00 PM | 55 |
|
09:00 PM
South Florida @ Memphis
21-8 vs 12-17
South Florida 55.2%
Memphis 44.8%
Model Pick
South Florida
55.2%
Pick Spread
South Florida -6.0
Home ML
+230
Away ML
-285
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-15.7%
MODEL PROB
55.2%
VEGAS TRUE
71.0%
VEGAS JUICED
74.0%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
South Florida
76
vs
Memphis
78
Total
153.8
Margin
+2.0
Spread
DOG COVERS @73%
Diff
+8.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 160.5 @70%
|
|||
| Cal State Northridge (18-12) @ Cal State Bakersfield (8-22) | Cal State Northridge (55.0%) | 09:30 PM | 45 |
|
09:30 PM
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield
18-12 vs 8-22
Cal State Northridge 55.0%
Cal State Bakersfield 45.0%
Model Pick
Cal State Northridge
55.0%
Pick Spread
Cal State Northridge -8.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Cal State Northridge
76
vs
Cal State Bakersfield
76
Total
153.0
Margin
+0.0
Spread
DOG COVERS @74%
Diff
-8.5
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 164.5 @81%
|
|||
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff (12-18) @ Alcorn State (8-21) | Alcorn State (54.3%) DOG | 09:00 PM | 46 |
|
09:00 PM
CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alcorn State
12-18 vs 8-21
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 45.7%
Alcorn State 54.3%
Model Pick
Alcorn State
54.3%
Pick Spread
Alcorn State +1.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
76
vs
Alcorn State
72
Total
147.9
Margin
-3.5
Spread
FAV COVERS @56%
Diff
+2.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 149.5 @55%
|
|||
| Middle Tennessee (15-14) @ Florida International (14-15) | Florida International (54.2%) | 07:00 PM | 46 |
|
07:00 PM
CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Middle Tennessee @ Florida International
15-14 vs 14-15
Middle Tennessee 45.8%
Florida International 54.2%
Model Pick
Florida International
54.2%
Pick Spread
Florida International -2.0
Home ML
-148
Away ML
+124
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-3.0%
MODEL PROB
54.2%
VEGAS TRUE
57.2%
VEGAS JUICED
59.7%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Middle Tennessee
74
vs
Florida International
70
Total
143.7
Margin
-4.5
Spread
DOG COVERS @70%
Diff
+6.8
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 154.0 @79%
|
|||
| UT Arlington (15-13) @ Tarleton State (14-16) | Tarleton State (53.8%) | 08:00 PM | 46 |
|
08:00 PM
CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT UT Arlington @ Tarleton State
15-13 vs 14-16
UT Arlington 46.2%
Tarleton State 53.8%
Model Pick
Tarleton State
53.8%
Pick Spread
Tarleton State -2.0
Home ML
-130
Away ML
+110
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-0.5%
MODEL PROB
53.8%
VEGAS TRUE
54.3%
VEGAS JUICED
56.5%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
UT Arlington
70
vs
Tarleton State
65
Total
135.1
Margin
-4.7
Spread
DOG COVERS @70%
Diff
+7.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 136.2 @54%
|
|||
| Western Kentucky (18-11) @ Missouri State (13-16) | Missouri State (52.7%) DOG | 08:00 PM | 47 |
|
08:00 PM
CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Western Kentucky @ Missouri State
18-11 vs 13-16
Western Kentucky 47.3%
Missouri State 52.7%
Model Pick
Missouri State
52.7%
Pick Spread
Missouri State +1.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Western Kentucky
71
vs
Missouri State
69
Total
140.2
Margin
-2.4
Spread
FAV COVERS @53%
Diff
+0.9
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 151.5 @81%
|
|||
| Southern (14-16) @ Alabama A&M (17-13) | Alabama A&M (52.7%) DOG | 08:30 PM | 47 |
|
08:30 PM
CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Southern @ Alabama A&M
14-16 vs 17-13
Southern 47.3%
Alabama A&M 52.7%
Model Pick
Alabama A&M
52.7%
Pick Spread
Alabama A&M +1.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Southern
73
vs
Alabama A&M
71
Total
143.5
Margin
-1.7
Spread
FAV COVERS @51%
Diff
+0.2
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 148.5 @65%
|
|||
| Kennesaw State (18-11) @ UTEP (10-19) | UTEP (52.3%) DOG | 09:00 PM | 48 |
|
09:00 PM
CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Kennesaw State @ UTEP
18-11 vs 10-19
Kennesaw State 47.7%
UTEP 52.3%
Model Pick
UTEP
52.3%
Pick Spread
UTEP +2.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Kennesaw State
74
vs
UTEP
70
Total
144.4
Margin
-4.4
Spread
FAV COVERS @56%
Diff
+1.9
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 149.2 @65%
|
|||
| Bethune-Cookman (17-13) @ Florida A&M (12-15) | Florida A&M (52.3%) DOG | 07:30 PM | 48 |
|
07:30 PM
CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Bethune-Cookman @ Florida A&M
17-13 vs 12-15
Bethune-Cookman 47.7%
Florida A&M 52.3%
Model Pick
Florida A&M
52.3%
Pick Spread
Florida A&M +1.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Bethune-Cookman
70
vs
Florida A&M
68
Total
138.5
Margin
-2.5
Spread
FAV COVERS @53%
Diff
+1.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 145.5 @70%
|
|||
| UC Davis (17-12) @ Long Beach State (9-21) | Long Beach State (52.1%) DOG | 10:00 PM | 48 |
|
10:00 PM
CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT UC Davis @ Long Beach State
17-12 vs 9-21
UC Davis 47.9%
Long Beach State 52.1%
Model Pick
Long Beach State
52.1%
Pick Spread
Long Beach State +1.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
UC Davis
75
vs
Long Beach State
71
Total
146.7
Margin
-3.9
Spread
FAV COVERS @57%
Diff
+2.4
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 150.5 @61%
|
|||
| Sam Houston (21-8) @ Delaware (9-20) | Delaware (51.8%) DOG | 07:00 PM | 58 |
|
07:00 PM
UNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Sam Houston @ Delaware
21-8 vs 9-20
Sam Houston 48.2%
Delaware 51.8%
Model Pick
Delaware
51.8%
Pick Spread
Delaware +6.0
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Sam Houston
74
vs
Delaware
67
Total
140.6
Margin
-6.4
Spread
FAV COVERS @50%
Diff
+0.2
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 147.8 @71%
|
|||
| UC San Diego (21-9) @ Cal State Fullerton (15-15) | UC San Diego (51.6%) | 10:00 PM | 48 |
|
10:00 PM
CLOSE UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton
21-9 vs 15-15
UC San Diego 51.6%
Cal State Fullerton 48.4%
Model Pick
UC San Diego
51.6%
Pick Spread
UC San Diego -3.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
UC San Diego
70
vs
Cal State Fullerton
76
Total
145.6
Margin
+5.6
Spread
DOG COVERS @76%
Diff
+9.1
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 157.5 @82%
|
|||
| Howard (20-10) @ Norfolk State (15-15) | Howard (50.2%) | 07:00 PM | 50 |
|
07:00 PM
Howard @ Norfolk State
20-10 vs 15-15
Howard 50.2%
Norfolk State 49.8%
Model Pick
Howard
50.2%
Pick Spread
Howard -5.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Howard
68
vs
Norfolk State
70
Total
138.0
Margin
+2.0
Spread
DOG COVERS @72%
Diff
+7.5
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 145.5 @72%
|
|||
TIERED RECOMMENDATION SYSTEM
⭐ PREMIUM: 80%+ conf, 5+ edge (88.5% win, 69.1% ROI) •
✓ GOOD: 75%+ conf, 7+ edge (82.7% win, 57.9% ROI)
Based on 4,181 game analysis • Updated Feb 9, 2026
| Game | Prediction | Time (ET) | Hype Level |
|---|
| Game | Prediction | Time (ET) | Hype Level |
|---|
| Game | Prediction | Time (ET) | Hype Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie View A&M (13-17) @ Texas Southern (12-16) | Texas Southern (60.8%) | 08:00 PM | 39 |
|
08:00 PMCLOSE
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern
13-17 vs 12-16
Prairie View A&M 39.2%
Texas Southern 60.8%
Model Pick
Texas Southern
60.8%
Pick Spread
Texas Southern -3.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Prairie View A&M
75
vs
Texas Southern
74
Total
148.5
Margin
-1.5
Spread
DOG COVERS @65%
Diff
+5.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 155.5 @70%
|
|||
| Pepperdine (9-22) @ Portland (13-18) | Portland (60.4%) | 09:00 PM | 45 |
|
09:00 PMCLOSE
Pepperdine @ Portland
9-22 vs 13-18
Pepperdine 39.6%
Portland 60.4%
Model Pick
Portland
60.4%
Pick Spread
Portland -2.0
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Pepperdine
71
vs
Portland
71
Total
141.7
Margin
+0.1
Spread
DOG COVERS @55%
Diff
-1.6
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 152.0 @79%
|
|||
| Sacred Heart (13-18) @ Iona (18-13) | Iona (60.2%) | 06:00 PM | 45 |
|
06:00 PMCLOSE
Sacred Heart @ Iona
13-18 vs 18-13
Sacred Heart 39.8%
Iona 60.2%
Model Pick
Iona
60.2%
Pick Spread
Iona -3.0
Home ML
-148
Away ML
+124
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
+3.0%
MODEL PROB
60.2%
VEGAS TRUE
57.2%
VEGAS JUICED
59.7%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Sacred Heart
69
vs
Iona
70
Total
139.8
Margin
+1.0
Spread
DOG COVERS @55%
Diff
-1.8
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 147.8 @73%
|
|||
| Indiana State (11-20) @ Valparaiso (17-14) | Valparaiso (59.7%) | 07:00 PM | 45 |
|
07:00 PMCLOSE
Indiana State @ Valparaiso
11-20 vs 17-14
Indiana State 40.3%
Valparaiso 59.7%
Model Pick
Valparaiso
59.7%
Pick Spread
Valparaiso -2.5
Home ML
-155
Away ML
+130
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
+1.4%
MODEL PROB
59.7%
VEGAS TRUE
58.3%
VEGAS JUICED
60.8%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Indiana State
71
vs
Valparaiso
70
Total
141.5
Margin
-0.9
Spread
DOG COVERS @60%
Diff
+3.4
Vegas O/U
BET OVER 135.8 @67%
|
|||
| American University (16-15) @ Boston University (15-16) | Boston University (56.7%) | 07:00 PM | 43 |
|
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT
American University @ Boston University
16-15 vs 15-16
American University 43.3%
Boston University 56.7%
Model Pick
Boston University
56.7%
Pick Spread
Boston University -3.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
American University
72
vs
Boston University
66
Total
138.1
Margin
-5.9
Spread
DOG COVERS @77%
Diff
+9.4
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 141.5 @60%
|
|||
| Grambling (12-18) @ Alabama State (10-20) | Alabama State (55.3%) | 08:00 PM | 45 |
|
08:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT
Grambling @ Alabama State
12-18 vs 10-20
Grambling 44.7%
Alabama State 55.3%
Model Pick
Alabama State
55.3%
Pick Spread
Alabama State -3.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Grambling
69
vs
Alabama State
65
Total
133.4
Margin
-3.8
Spread
DOG COVERS @71%
Diff
+7.3
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 143.5 @78%
|
|||
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff (12-18) @ Alcorn State (8-21) | Alcorn State (54.3%) DOG | 09:00 PM | 46 |
|
09:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alcorn State
12-18 vs 8-21
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 45.7%
Alcorn State 54.3%
Model Pick
Alcorn State
54.3%
Pick Spread
Alcorn State +1.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
76
vs
Alcorn State
72
Total
147.9
Margin
-3.5
Spread
FAV COVERS @56%
Diff
+2.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 149.5 @55%
|
|||
| Middle Tennessee (15-14) @ Florida International (14-15) | Florida International (54.2%) | 07:00 PM | 46 |
|
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International
15-14 vs 14-15
Middle Tennessee 45.8%
Florida International 54.2%
Model Pick
Florida International
54.2%
Pick Spread
Florida International -2.0
Home ML
-148
Away ML
+124
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-3.0%
MODEL PROB
54.2%
VEGAS TRUE
57.2%
VEGAS JUICED
59.7%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Middle Tennessee
74
vs
Florida International
70
Total
143.7
Margin
-4.5
Spread
DOG COVERS @70%
Diff
+6.8
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 154.0 @79%
|
|||
| UT Arlington (15-13) @ Tarleton State (14-16) | Tarleton State (53.8%) | 08:00 PM | 46 |
|
08:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT
UT Arlington @ Tarleton State
15-13 vs 14-16
UT Arlington 46.2%
Tarleton State 53.8%
Model Pick
Tarleton State
53.8%
Pick Spread
Tarleton State -2.0
Home ML
-130
Away ML
+110
EDGE (VIG ADJ)
-0.5%
MODEL PROB
53.8%
VEGAS TRUE
54.3%
VEGAS JUICED
56.5%
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
UT Arlington
70
vs
Tarleton State
65
Total
135.1
Margin
-4.7
Spread
DOG COVERS @70%
Diff
+7.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 136.2 @54%
|
|||
| Western Kentucky (18-11) @ Missouri State (13-16) | Missouri State (52.7%) DOG | 08:00 PM | 47 |
|
08:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT
Western Kentucky @ Missouri State
18-11 vs 13-16
Western Kentucky 47.3%
Missouri State 52.7%
Model Pick
Missouri State
52.7%
Pick Spread
Missouri State +1.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Western Kentucky
71
vs
Missouri State
69
Total
140.2
Margin
-2.4
Spread
FAV COVERS @53%
Diff
+0.9
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 151.5 @81%
|
|||
| Southern (14-16) @ Alabama A&M (17-13) | Alabama A&M (52.7%) DOG | 08:30 PM | 47 |
|
08:30 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT
Southern @ Alabama A&M
14-16 vs 17-13
Southern 47.3%
Alabama A&M 52.7%
Model Pick
Alabama A&M
52.7%
Pick Spread
Alabama A&M +1.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Southern
73
vs
Alabama A&M
71
Total
143.5
Margin
-1.7
Spread
FAV COVERS @51%
Diff
+0.2
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 148.5 @65%
|
|||
| Kennesaw State (18-11) @ UTEP (10-19) | UTEP (52.3%) DOG | 09:00 PM | 48 |
|
09:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT
Kennesaw State @ UTEP
18-11 vs 10-19
Kennesaw State 47.7%
UTEP 52.3%
Model Pick
UTEP
52.3%
Pick Spread
UTEP +2.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Kennesaw State
74
vs
UTEP
70
Total
144.4
Margin
-4.4
Spread
FAV COVERS @56%
Diff
+1.9
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 149.2 @65%
|
|||
| Bethune-Cookman (17-13) @ Florida A&M (12-15) | Florida A&M (52.3%) DOG | 07:30 PM | 48 |
|
07:30 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT
Bethune-Cookman @ Florida A&M
17-13 vs 12-15
Bethune-Cookman 47.7%
Florida A&M 52.3%
Model Pick
Florida A&M
52.3%
Pick Spread
Florida A&M +1.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
Bethune-Cookman
70
vs
Florida A&M
68
Total
138.5
Margin
-2.5
Spread
FAV COVERS @53%
Diff
+1.0
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 145.5 @70%
|
|||
| UC Davis (17-12) @ Long Beach State (9-21) | Long Beach State (52.1%) DOG | 10:00 PM | 48 |
|
10:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT
UC Davis @ Long Beach State
17-12 vs 9-21
UC Davis 47.9%
Long Beach State 52.1%
Model Pick
Long Beach State
52.1%
Pick Spread
Long Beach State +1.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
UC Davis
75
vs
Long Beach State
71
Total
146.7
Margin
-3.9
Spread
FAV COVERS @57%
Diff
+2.4
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 150.5 @61%
|
|||
| UC San Diego (21-9) @ Cal State Fullerton (15-15) | UC San Diego (51.6%) | 10:00 PM | 48 |
|
10:00 PMCLOSE
UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton
21-9 vs 15-15
UC San Diego 51.6%
Cal State Fullerton 48.4%
Model Pick
UC San Diego
51.6%
Pick Spread
UC San Diego -3.5
Home ML
N/A
Away ML
N/A
XGB
XGB PREDICTED SCORE
UC San Diego
70
vs
Cal State Fullerton
76
Total
145.6
Margin
+5.6
Spread
DOG COVERS @76%
Diff
+9.1
Vegas O/U
BET UNDER 157.5 @82%
|
|||
| Game | Prediction | Edge | Time (ET) | Hype Level |
|---|
| Game | Pick | Confidence | Moneyline | Expected Value | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa vs Michigan | Iowa DOG | 36.0% | +380 | ⭐⭐⭐ +72.7% | 08:00 PM |
| Rutgers @ Michigan State | Rutgers DOG | 5.4% | +3000 | ⭐⭐⭐ +68.0% | 08:00 PM |
| Memphis vs South Florida | Memphis DOG | 44.8% | +230 | ⭐⭐⭐ +47.7% | 09:00 PM |
| Game | Prediction | Time (ET) | Hype Level |
|---|
| Game | Prediction | Edge | Time (ET) | Hype Level |
|---|
| Game | Prediction | Edge | Time (ET) | Hype Level |
|---|