Breaking Vegas - Daily Predictions | Friday, March 06, 2026

Model Information

XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game	Prediction ⇅	Time (ET) ⇅	Hype Level ⇅
Gardner-Webb (4-28) @ High Point (27-4)	High Point (96.3%)	12:00 PM	19
12:00 PM Gardner-Webb @ High Point 4-28 vs 27-4 Gardner-Webb 3.7% High Point 96.3% Model Pick High Point 96.3% Pick Spread High Point -26.5 Home ML -10000 Away ML +3000 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -0.5% MODEL PROB 96.3% VEGAS TRUE 96.8% VEGAS JUICED 99.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Gardner-Webb 64 vs High Point 90 Total 154.2 Margin +25.2 Spread DOG COVERS @54% Diff -1.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 158.5 @63%
Northern Illinois (9-20) @ Akron (25-5)	Akron (95.3%)	06:00 PM	15
06:00 PM Northern Illinois @ Akron 9-20 vs 25-5 Northern Illinois 4.7% Akron 95.3% Model Pick Akron 95.3% Pick Spread Akron -23.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northern Illinois 67 vs Akron 84 Total 150.7 Margin +16.7 Spread DOG COVERS @69% Diff -6.5 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 154.8 @62%
Western Michigan (10-20) @ Kent State (22-8)	Kent State (77.9%)	07:00 PM	32
07:00 PM Western Michigan @ Kent State 10-20 vs 22-8 Western Michigan 22.1% Kent State 77.9% Model Pick Kent State 77.9% Pick Spread Kent State -11.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Western Michigan 72 vs Kent State 76 Total 148.0 Margin +3.4 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff -7.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 158.2 @78%
UNLV (16-14) @ San Diego State (19-10)	San Diego State (77.3%)	10:00 PM	23
10:00 PM UNLV @ San Diego State 16-14 vs 19-10 UNLV 22.7% San Diego State 77.3% Model Pick San Diego State 77.3% Pick Spread San Diego State -9.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UNLV 69 vs San Diego State 72 Total 141.5 Margin +2.7 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff -6.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.0 @81%
Stetson (12-20) @ Austin Peay (21-8)	Austin Peay (75.0%)	05:00 PM	40
05:00 PM Stetson @ Austin Peay 12-20 vs 21-8 Stetson 25.0% Austin Peay 75.0% Model Pick Austin Peay 75.0% Pick Spread Austin Peay -9.5 Home ML -500 Away ML +380 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -5.0% MODEL PROB 75.0% VEGAS TRUE 80.0% VEGAS JUICED 83.3% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Stetson 73 vs Austin Peay 75 Total 147.4 Margin +1.8 Spread DOG COVERS @72% Diff -7.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.5 @59%
VMI (6-25) @ UNC Greensboro (13-18)	UNC Greensboro (71.4%)	07:30 PM	34
07:30 PM VMI @ UNC Greensboro 6-25 vs 13-18 VMI 28.6% UNC Greensboro 71.4% Model Pick UNC Greensboro 71.4% Pick Spread UNC Greensboro -7.5 Home ML -345 Away ML +275 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -3.0% MODEL PROB 71.4% VEGAS TRUE 74.4% VEGAS JUICED 77.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE VMI 73 vs UNC Greensboro 74 Total 146.3 Margin +0.9 Spread DOG COVERS @69% Diff -6.6 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.8 @77%
Buffalo (17-13) @ Toledo (16-14)	Toledo (71.2%)	07:00 PM	29
07:00 PM Buffalo @ Toledo 17-13 vs 16-14 Buffalo 28.8% Toledo 71.2% Model Pick Toledo 71.2% Pick Spread Toledo -8.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Buffalo 77 vs Toledo 77 Total 153.6 Margin +0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff -8.0 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 154.5 @53%
West Georgia (15-16) @ Queens University (18-13)	Queens University (67.6%)	07:30 PM	37
07:30 PM West Georgia @ Queens University 15-16 vs 18-13 West Georgia 32.4% Queens University 67.6% Model Pick Queens University 67.6% Pick Spread Queens University -5.5 Home ML -265 Away ML +215 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -1.9% MODEL PROB 67.6% VEGAS TRUE 69.6% VEGAS JUICED 72.6% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE West Georgia 76 vs Queens University 80 Total 155.2 Margin +4.2 Spread DOG COVERS @54% Diff -1.3 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 164.5 @76%
The Citadel (10-21) @ Chattanooga (13-18)	Chattanooga (66.0%)	05:00 PM	39
05:00 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT The Citadel @ Chattanooga 10-21 vs 13-18 The Citadel 34.0% Chattanooga 66.0% Model Pick Chattanooga 66.0% Pick Spread Chattanooga -7.5 Home ML -345 Away ML +275 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -8.4% MODEL PROB 66.0% VEGAS TRUE 74.4% VEGAS JUICED 77.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE The Citadel 68 vs Chattanooga 71 Total 139.0 Margin +2.4 Spread DOG COVERS @65% Diff -5.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 145.8 @70%
Bellarmine (13-18) @ Central Arkansas (20-11)	Central Arkansas (65.8%)	12:00 PM	39
12:00 PM Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas 13-18 vs 20-11 Bellarmine 34.2% Central Arkansas 65.8% Model Pick Central Arkansas 65.8% Pick Spread Central Arkansas -6.0 Home ML -278 Away ML +225 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -4.7% MODEL PROB 65.8% VEGAS TRUE 70.5% VEGAS JUICED 73.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bellarmine 76 vs Central Arkansas 75 Total 151.9 Margin -1.1 Spread DOG COVERS @70% Diff +6.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 155.8 @62%
Charleston Southern (15-16) @ Winthrop (21-10)	Winthrop (65.5%)	02:30 PM	40
02:30 PM Charleston Southern @ Winthrop 15-16 vs 21-10 Charleston Southern 34.5% Winthrop 65.5% Model Pick Winthrop 65.5% Pick Spread Winthrop -4.5 Home ML -238 Away ML +195 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -2.0% MODEL PROB 65.5% VEGAS TRUE 67.5% VEGAS JUICED 70.4% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Charleston Southern 76 vs Winthrop 75 Total 151.8 Margin -1.2 Spread DOG COVERS @67% Diff +5.7 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 162.5 @79%
UCF (20-9) @ West Virginia (17-13)	West Virginia (61.3%)	08:00 PM	39
08:00 PM CLOSE UCF @ West Virginia 20-9 vs 17-13 UCF 38.7% West Virginia 61.3% Model Pick West Virginia 61.3% Pick Spread West Virginia -3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UCF 71 vs West Virginia 71 Total 142.1 Margin +0.5 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff -3.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.5 @52%
Presbyterian (14-17) @ Radford (16-15)	Radford (61.1%)	08:30 PM	44
08:30 PM CLOSE Presbyterian @ Radford 14-17 vs 16-15 Presbyterian 38.9% Radford 61.1% Model Pick Radford 61.1% Pick Spread Radford -2.0 Home ML -155 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.8% MODEL PROB 61.1% VEGAS TRUE 58.3% VEGAS JUICED 60.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Presbyterian 76 vs Radford 74 Total 149.4 Margin -2.4 Spread DOG COVERS @63% Diff +4.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.2 @63%
Columbia (16-11) @ Harvard (16-11)	Harvard (60.0%)	07:00 PM	40
07:00 PM Columbia @ Harvard 16-11 vs 16-11 Columbia 40.0% Harvard 60.0% Model Pick Harvard 60.0% Pick Spread Harvard -4.5 Home ML -185 Away ML +154 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -2.3% MODEL PROB 60.0% VEGAS TRUE 62.2% VEGAS JUICED 64.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Columbia 75 vs Harvard 75 Total 150.0 Margin +0.2 Spread DOG COVERS @63% Diff -4.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 133.8 @89%
Miami (OH) #19 (30-0) @ Ohio (15-15)	Miami (OH) (59.7%)	09:00 PM	65
09:00 PM Miami (OH) #19 @ Ohio 30-0 vs 15-15 Miami (OH) 59.7% Ohio 40.3% Model Pick Miami (OH) 59.7% Pick Spread Miami (OH) -5.5 Home ML +230 Away ML -285 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -11.3% MODEL PROB 59.7% VEGAS TRUE 71.0% VEGAS JUICED 74.0% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Miami (OH) 79 vs Ohio 81 Total 160.1 Margin +2.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +7.8 Vegas O/U BET OVER 159.8 @51%
Florida Gulf Coast (15-17) @ Lipscomb (19-12)	Lipscomb (59.5%)	02:30 PM	46
02:30 PM SIGNAL CONFLICT Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb 15-17 vs 19-12 Florida Gulf Coast 40.5% Lipscomb 59.5% Model Pick Lipscomb 59.5% Pick Spread Lipscomb -4.5 Home ML -185 Away ML +154 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -2.7% MODEL PROB 59.5% VEGAS TRUE 62.2% VEGAS JUICED 64.9% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Florida Gulf Coast 72 vs Lipscomb 74 Total 145.5 Margin +2.1 Spread DOG COVERS @57% Diff -2.4 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 150.5 @65%
Longwood (16-15) @ UNC Asheville (14-16)	UNC Asheville (57.7%) DOG	06:00 PM	47
06:00 PM +9.5% EDGECLOSEUNDERDOG Longwood @ UNC Asheville 16-15 vs 14-16 Longwood 42.3% UNC Asheville 57.7% Model Pick UNC Asheville 57.7% Pick Spread UNC Asheville +1.0 Home ML -102 Away ML -118 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +9.5% MODEL PROB 57.7% VEGAS TRUE 48.3% VEGAS JUICED 50.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Longwood 71 vs UNC Asheville 68 Total 138.7 Margin -2.5 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.8 @56%
Pennsylvania (15-11) @ Brown (9-17)	Brown (57.7%) DOG	07:00 PM	42
07:00 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Pennsylvania @ Brown 15-11 vs 9-17 Pennsylvania 42.3% Brown 57.7% Model Pick Brown 57.7% Pick Spread Brown +2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Pennsylvania 72 vs Brown 69 Total 141.1 Margin -2.3 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.0 @53%
Central Michigan (10-20) @ Ball State (11-19)	Ball State (55.5%)	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Central Michigan @ Ball State 10-20 vs 11-19 Central Michigan 44.5% Ball State 55.5% Model Pick Ball State 55.5% Pick Spread Ball State -2.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Central Michigan 69 vs Ball State 72 Total 141.7 Margin +3.1 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 135.8 @68%
VCU (23-7) @ Dayton (21-9)	Dayton (54.7%)	07:00 PM	65
07:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT VCU @ Dayton 23-7 vs 21-9 VCU 45.3% Dayton 54.7% Model Pick Dayton 54.7% Pick Spread Dayton -2.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE VCU 76 vs Dayton 70 Total 146.3 Margin -5.5 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.8 @57%
UIC (17-14) @ Murray State (20-11)	Murray State (54.5%)	03:30 PM	50
03:30 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT UIC @ Murray State 17-14 vs 20-11 UIC 45.5% Murray State 54.5% Model Pick Murray State 54.5% Pick Spread Murray State -1.0 Home ML -118 Away ML -102 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.7% MODEL PROB 54.5% VEGAS TRUE 51.7% VEGAS JUICED 54.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UIC 72 vs Murray State 74 Total 146.2 Margin +2.0 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.5 @57%
Northeastern (6-23) @ North Carolina A&T (11-18)	North Carolina A&T (53.0%)	02:00 PM	52
02:00 PM CLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Northeastern @ North Carolina A&T 6-23 vs 11-18 Northeastern 47.0% North Carolina A&T 53.0% Model Pick North Carolina A&T 53.0% Pick Spread North Carolina A&T -1.0 Home ML -115 Away ML -105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.9% MODEL PROB 53.0% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northeastern 72 vs North Carolina A&T 73 Total 145.2 Margin +1.4 Spread FAV COVERS @50% Diff +0.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.8 @74%
Bowling Green (17-13) @ Eastern Michigan (10-20)	Eastern Michigan (53.0%) DOG	06:30 PM	47
06:30 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan 17-13 vs 10-20 Bowling Green 47.0% Eastern Michigan 53.0% Model Pick Eastern Michigan 53.0% Pick Spread Eastern Michigan +3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bowling Green 73 vs Eastern Michigan 69 Total 141.8 Margin -4.2 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.5 @51%
St. John's #18 (24-6) @ Seton Hall (20-10)	St. John's (51.5%)	09:00 PM	84
09:00 PM St. John's #18 @ Seton Hall 24-6 vs 20-10 St. John's 51.5% Seton Hall 48.5% Model Pick St. John's 51.5% Pick Spread St. John's -5.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE St. John's 68 vs Seton Hall 72 Total 140.1 Margin +3.3 Spread DOG COVERS @73% Diff +8.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 137.2 @59%
Omaha (15-16) @ South Dakota (16-15)	Omaha (50.9%)	07:00 PM	54
07:00 PM CLOSE Omaha @ South Dakota 15-16 vs 16-15 Omaha 50.9% South Dakota 49.1% Model Pick Omaha 50.9% Pick Spread Omaha -2.5 Home ML +130 Away ML -155 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -7.4% MODEL PROB 50.9% VEGAS TRUE 58.3% VEGAS JUICED 60.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Omaha 74 vs South Dakota 74 Total 148.3 Margin +0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @60%
Denver (15-16) @ North Dakota (16-16)	North Dakota (50.3%) DOG	09:30 PM	55
09:30 PM CLOSEUNDERDOGSIGNAL CONFLICT Denver @ North Dakota 15-16 vs 16-16 Denver 49.7% North Dakota 50.3% Model Pick North Dakota 50.3% Pick Spread North Dakota +3.5 Home ML +160 Away ML -192 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.4% MODEL PROB 50.3% VEGAS TRUE 36.9% VEGAS JUICED 38.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Denver 78 vs North Dakota 74 Total 151.3 Margin -3.7 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.8 @77%

TIERED RECOMMENDATION SYSTEM

⭐ PREMIUM: 80%+ conf, 5+ edge (88.5% win, 69.1% ROI) • ✓ GOOD: 75%+ conf, 7+ edge (82.7% win, 57.9% ROI)

Based on 4,181 game analysis • Updated Feb 9, 2026

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Longwood (16-15) @ UNC Asheville (14-16)	UNC Asheville (57.7%) DOG	06:00 PM	47
06:00 PM+9.5% EDGE Longwood @ UNC Asheville 16-15 vs 14-16 Longwood 42.3% UNC Asheville 57.7% Model Pick UNC Asheville 57.7% Pick Spread +1.0 Home ML -102 Away ML -118 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +9.5% MODEL PROB 57.7% VEGAS TRUE 48.3% VEGAS JUICED 50.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Longwood 71 vs UNC Asheville 68 Total 138.7 Margin -2.5 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.8 @56%

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level
UCF (20-9) @ West Virginia (17-13)	West Virginia (61.3%)	08:00 PM	39
08:00 PMCLOSE UCF @ West Virginia 20-9 vs 17-13 UCF 38.7% West Virginia 61.3% Model Pick West Virginia 61.3% Pick Spread West Virginia -3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UCF 71 vs West Virginia 71 Total 142.1 Margin +0.5 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff -3.0 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.5 @52%
Presbyterian (14-17) @ Radford (16-15)	Radford (61.1%)	08:30 PM	44
08:30 PMCLOSE Presbyterian @ Radford 14-17 vs 16-15 Presbyterian 38.9% Radford 61.1% Model Pick Radford 61.1% Pick Spread Radford -2.0 Home ML -155 Away ML +130 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.8% MODEL PROB 61.1% VEGAS TRUE 58.3% VEGAS JUICED 60.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Presbyterian 76 vs Radford 74 Total 149.4 Margin -2.4 Spread DOG COVERS @63% Diff +4.2 Vegas O/U BET OVER 145.2 @63%
Longwood (16-15) @ UNC Asheville (14-16)	UNC Asheville (57.7%) DOG	06:00 PM	47
06:00 PMCLOSE Longwood @ UNC Asheville 16-15 vs 14-16 Longwood 42.3% UNC Asheville 57.7% Model Pick UNC Asheville 57.7% Pick Spread UNC Asheville +1.0 Home ML -102 Away ML -118 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +9.5% MODEL PROB 57.7% VEGAS TRUE 48.3% VEGAS JUICED 50.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Longwood 71 vs UNC Asheville 68 Total 138.7 Margin -2.5 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.8 @56%
Pennsylvania (15-11) @ Brown (9-17)	Brown (57.7%) DOG	07:00 PM	42
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Pennsylvania @ Brown 15-11 vs 9-17 Pennsylvania 42.3% Brown 57.7% Model Pick Brown 57.7% Pick Spread Brown +2.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Pennsylvania 72 vs Brown 69 Total 141.1 Margin -2.3 Spread DOG COVERS @51% Diff -0.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 142.0 @53%
Central Michigan (10-20) @ Ball State (11-19)	Ball State (55.5%)	07:00 PM	44
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Central Michigan @ Ball State 10-20 vs 11-19 Central Michigan 44.5% Ball State 55.5% Model Pick Ball State 55.5% Pick Spread Ball State -2.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Central Michigan 69 vs Ball State 72 Total 141.7 Margin +3.1 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.3 Vegas O/U BET OVER 135.8 @68%
VCU (23-7) @ Dayton (21-9)	Dayton (54.7%)	07:00 PM	65
07:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT VCU @ Dayton 23-7 vs 21-9 VCU 45.3% Dayton 54.7% Model Pick Dayton 54.7% Pick Spread Dayton -2.0 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE VCU 76 vs Dayton 70 Total 146.3 Margin -5.5 Spread DOG COVERS @71% Diff +7.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.8 @57%
UIC (17-14) @ Murray State (20-11)	Murray State (54.5%)	03:30 PM	50
03:30 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT UIC @ Murray State 17-14 vs 20-11 UIC 45.5% Murray State 54.5% Model Pick Murray State 54.5% Pick Spread Murray State -1.0 Home ML -118 Away ML -102 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +2.7% MODEL PROB 54.5% VEGAS TRUE 51.7% VEGAS JUICED 54.1% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE UIC 72 vs Murray State 74 Total 146.2 Margin +2.0 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 148.5 @57%
Northeastern (6-23) @ North Carolina A&T (11-18)	North Carolina A&T (53.0%)	02:00 PM	52
02:00 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Northeastern @ North Carolina A&T 6-23 vs 11-18 Northeastern 47.0% North Carolina A&T 53.0% Model Pick North Carolina A&T 53.0% Pick Spread North Carolina A&T -1.0 Home ML -115 Away ML -105 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +1.9% MODEL PROB 53.0% VEGAS TRUE 51.1% VEGAS JUICED 53.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Northeastern 72 vs North Carolina A&T 73 Total 145.2 Margin +1.4 Spread FAV COVERS @50% Diff +0.1 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 153.8 @74%
Bowling Green (17-13) @ Eastern Michigan (10-20)	Eastern Michigan (53.0%) DOG	06:30 PM	47
06:30 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan 17-13 vs 10-20 Bowling Green 47.0% Eastern Michigan 53.0% Model Pick Eastern Michigan 53.0% Pick Spread Eastern Michigan +3.5 Home ML N/A Away ML N/A XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Bowling Green 73 vs Eastern Michigan 69 Total 141.8 Margin -4.2 Spread FAV COVERS @52% Diff +0.7 Vegas O/U BET OVER 141.5 @51%
Omaha (15-16) @ South Dakota (16-15)	Omaha (50.9%)	07:00 PM	54
07:00 PMCLOSE Omaha @ South Dakota 15-16 vs 16-15 Omaha 50.9% South Dakota 49.1% Model Pick Omaha 50.9% Pick Spread Omaha -2.5 Home ML +130 Away ML -155 EDGE (VIG ADJ) -7.4% MODEL PROB 50.9% VEGAS TRUE 58.3% VEGAS JUICED 60.8% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Omaha 74 vs South Dakota 74 Total 148.3 Margin +0.3 Spread DOG COVERS @59% Diff +2.8 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 151.5 @60%
Denver (15-16) @ North Dakota (16-16)	North Dakota (50.3%) DOG	09:30 PM	55
09:30 PMCLOSESIGNAL CONFLICT Denver @ North Dakota 15-16 vs 16-16 Denver 49.7% North Dakota 50.3% Model Pick North Dakota 50.3% Pick Spread North Dakota +3.5 Home ML +160 Away ML -192 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.4% MODEL PROB 50.3% VEGAS TRUE 36.9% VEGAS JUICED 38.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Denver 78 vs North Dakota 74 Total 151.3 Margin -3.7 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.8 @77%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Denver (15-16) @ North Dakota (16-16)	North Dakota (50.3%) DOG	+13.4%	09:30 PM	55
09:30 PMUNDERDOG MLSIGNAL CONFLICT Denver @ North Dakota 15-16 vs 16-16 Denver 49.7% North Dakota 50.3% Model Pick North Dakota 50.3% Pick Spread North Dakota +3.5 Home ML +160 Away ML -192 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +13.4% MODEL PROB 50.3% VEGAS TRUE 36.9% VEGAS JUICED 38.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Denver 78 vs North Dakota 74 Total 151.3 Margin -3.7 Spread FAV COVERS @51% Diff +0.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 160.8 @77%

Game	Pick	Confidence	Moneyline	Expected Value	Time (ET)
Ohio vs Miami (OH)	Ohio DOG	40.3%	+230	⭐⭐⭐ +33.0%	09:00 PM
North Dakota vs Denver	North Dakota DOG	50.3%	+160	⭐⭐⭐ +30.8%	09:30 PM
The Citadel @ Chattanooga	The Citadel DOG	34.0%	+275	⭐⭐⭐ +27.3%	05:00 PM

Game	Prediction	Time (ET)	Hype Level

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level
Longwood (16-15) @ UNC Asheville (14-16)	UNC Asheville (57.7%)	+9.5%	06:00 PM	47
06:00 PM+9.5% EDGE Longwood @ UNC Asheville 16-15 vs 14-16 Longwood 42.3% UNC Asheville 57.7% Model Pick UNC Asheville 57.7% Pick Spread +1.0 Home ML -102 Away ML -118 EDGE (VIG ADJ) +9.5% MODEL PROB 57.7% VEGAS TRUE 48.3% VEGAS JUICED 50.5% XGB XGB PREDICTED SCORE Longwood 71 vs UNC Asheville 68 Total 138.7 Margin -2.5 Spread FAV COVERS @54% Diff +1.2 Vegas O/U BET UNDER 140.8 @56%

Game	Prediction	Edge	Time (ET)	Hype Level