Daily win/loss predictions and value edges vs closing lines
Calibrated XGBoost | 2022-2026 (Transfer Portal Era)
LIVE
Today
MAR 07
Total Games
76
Model
XGBoost
Features
144
Training Set
25,500+
Season
2025-26

Model Information

  • XGBoost Win/Loss Model: 144 features, trained on ~25,500 games (2022-2026 transfer portal era, 1.5x recency weighting)
  • XGBoost Points Model: 143 features, trained on ~39,700 samples (2023-2026 current scoring era, 8.0x weighting on 2026 games)
  • Walk-Forward Validated Accuracy: 75.6% (77.8% excluding COVID 2021 season)
  • Points Model Performance: MAE 6.10, R² 0.671 (improved with aggressive current-year weighting)
  • Prediction Features: Uses 2026 season rolling stats (current team performance, updated daily)
  • Confidence Penalties: 15% neutral site reduction, 10% underdog reduction (ML strategies)

📅 All Games Today

Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
Air Force (3-27) @ Nevada (19-11) Nevada (95.1%) 10:00 PM 5
Georgia Tech (11-19) @ Clemson (21-9) Clemson (89.6%) 12:00 PM 10
North Carolina #17 (24-6) @ Duke #1 (28-2) Duke (88.9%) 06:30 PM 61
Kansas State (12-18) @ Kansas #14 (21-9) Kansas (88.7%) 02:00 PM 26
Arizona State (16-14) @ Iowa State #6 (24-6) Iowa State (87.4%) 02:00 PM 38
Princeton (9-19) @ Yale (22-5) Yale (87.3%) 02:00 PM 23
Fresno State (13-17) @ Grand Canyon (19-11) Grand Canyon (85.9%) 08:00 PM 14
Utah (10-20) @ Baylor (15-15) Baylor (85.7%) 05:00 PM 14
Xavier (14-16) @ Villanova (23-7) Villanova (85.5%) 12:00 PM 24
Long Beach State (9-22) @ Hawai'i (22-7) Hawai'i (85.3%) 11:59 PM 25
New Hampshire (9-20) @ UMBC (21-8) UMBC (85.2%) 01:00 PM 25
Virginia Tech (19-11) @ Virginia #13 (26-4) Virginia (78.9%) 12:00 PM 56
La Salle (9-21) @ Saint Joseph's (20-10) Saint Joseph's (77.3%) 01:00 PM 23
Wisconsin (21-9) @ Purdue #15 (23-7) Purdue (76.7%) 04:00 PM 58
Cal State Bakersfield (8-23) @ Cal Poly (13-18) Cal Poly (76.2%) 07:00 PM 24
UC Davis (18-12) @ UC Irvine (21-10) UC Irvine (72.8%) 08:00 PM 27
Bryant (9-21) @ Vermont (20-11) Vermont (72.7%) 02:00 PM 27
Stanford (19-11) @ NC State (19-11) NC State (72.2%) 02:15 PM 48
Oklahoma (16-14) @ Texas (18-12) Texas (71.9%) 08:30 PM 28
Wagner (14-16) @ Long Island University (22-10) Long Island University (71.7%) 02:00 PM 28
Cal State Fullerton (16-15) @ Cal State Northridge (19-12) Cal State Northridge (71.3%) 08:00 PM 29
Auburn (16-14) @ Alabama #16 (22-8) Alabama (71.1%) 08:30 PM 54
Hampton (13-18) @ Towson (17-14) Towson (70.9%) 06:00 PM 34
Sacramento State (10-20) @ Idaho (17-14) Idaho (70.2%) 10:00 PM 35
South Carolina (12-18) @ Ole Miss (12-18) Ole Miss (70.2%) 01:00 PM 30
Arizona #2 (28-2) @ Colorado (17-13) Arizona (69.2%) 11:00 PM 61
New Mexico (22-8) @ Utah State (24-6) Utah State (68.5%) 04:00 PM 52
Houston #7 (25-5) @ Oklahoma State (18-12) Houston (68.3%) 12:00 PM 57
Pittsburgh (11-19) @ Syracuse (15-15) Syracuse (67.6%) 04:30 PM 32
Sam Houston (21-9) @ Liberty (24-6) Liberty (67.5%) 02:00 PM 52
George Washington (17-13) @ Loyola Chicago (7-23) George Washington (67.5%) 02:00 PM 32
UConn #4 (27-3) @ Marquette (11-19) UConn (64.8%) 12:30 PM 65
Elon (14-17) @ William & Mary (19-11) William & Mary (64.6%) 08:30 PM 40
California (21-9) @ Wake Forest (15-15) Wake Forest (63.9%) 04:00 PM 36
Utah Valley (23-7) @ Utah Tech (18-13) Utah Valley (63.8%) 09:00 PM 46
Richmond (15-15) @ Duquesne (16-14) Duquesne (63.1%) 02:00 PM 37
UAlbany (11-20) @ UMass Lowell (14-17) UMass Lowell (63.0%) 01:00 PM 37
Florida Atlantic (17-13) @ Wichita State (20-10) Wichita State (62.9%) 04:00 PM 37
Stonehill (12-20) @ Mercyhurst (16-16) Mercyhurst (62.3%) 12:00 PM 38
California Baptist (22-8) @ Southern Utah (10-20) California Baptist (62.1%) 08:30 PM 48
Vanderbilt #24 (23-7) @ Tennessee #23 (21-9) Tennessee (61.9%) 02:00 PM 88
Northern Arizona (10-21) @ Idaho State (12-19) Idaho State (61.0%) 07:30 PM 44
Saint Louis #25 (27-3) @ George Mason (22-8) Saint Louis (60.7%) 04:00 PM 74
UCLA (20-10) @ USC (18-12) UCLA (60.6%) 09:00 PM 39
Davidson (18-12) @ St. Bonaventure (15-15) St. Bonaventure (59.0%) 12:00 PM 41
Wyoming (17-13) @ San José State (8-22) Wyoming (58.8%) 05:00 PM 41
Western Carolina (14-15) @ Mercer (19-12) Mercer (58.5%) 08:30 PM 46
Furman (19-12) @ Samford (18-13) Samford (58.2%) 06:00 PM 47
Marist (18-11) @ Quinnipiac (19-12) Quinnipiac (57.0%) 06:00 PM 68
Mount St. Mary's (15-16) @ Siena (20-11) Siena (56.6%) 08:30 PM 48
Kennesaw State (18-12) @ New Mexico State (14-15) New Mexico State (56.2%) 04:00 PM 44
Providence (14-16) @ Georgetown (13-17) Georgetown (56.0%) DOG 08:00 PM 44
Florida #5 (24-6) @ Kentucky (19-11) Florida (56.0%) 04:00 PM 84
Indiana (18-12) @ Ohio State (19-11) Ohio State (55.9%) 05:30 PM 44
Northwestern (13-17) @ Minnesota (14-16) Minnesota (55.5%) 09:00 PM 44
Cincinnati (17-13) @ TCU (20-10) TCU (55.0%) 02:00 PM 45
Maine (8-23) @ NJIT (15-16) NJIT (55.0%) 04:00 PM 45
Butler (15-15) @ DePaul (16-14) DePaul (55.0%) 12:00 PM 45
Cornell (14-12) @ Dartmouth (11-15) Cornell (54.6%) 02:00 PM 45
Texas Tech #10 (22-8) @ BYU (20-10) BYU (54.0%) 10:30 PM 81
Rhode Island (16-14) @ Fordham (16-14) Fordham (53.7%) 02:00 PM 46
Georgia (21-9) @ Mississippi State (13-17) Georgia (53.7%) 03:30 PM 46
Arkansas #20 (22-8) @ Missouri (20-10) Missouri (53.6%) 12:00 PM 81
Boise State (19-11) @ Colorado State (20-10) Colorado State (53.4%) 04:00 PM 67
Washington (15-15) @ Oregon (11-19) Oregon (53.3%) 11:00 PM 47
Middle Tennessee (16-14) @ Missouri State (14-16) Missouri State (53.3%) 03:00 PM 47
UT Arlington (16-13) @ Abilene Christian (13-17) Abilene Christian (53.2%) 07:00 PM 47
UC San Diego (21-10) @ UC Santa Barbara (18-12) UC Santa Barbara (52.6%) 09:00 PM 47
Texas A&M (20-10) @ LSU (15-15) Texas A&M (52.6%) 06:00 PM 47
SMU (19-11) @ Florida State (16-14) Florida State (52.4%) 02:00 PM 48
Notre Dame (13-17) @ Boston College (10-20) Notre Dame (51.6%) 12:00 PM 48
Campbell (14-17) @ Stony Brook (17-14) Campbell (51.3%) 12:00 PM 54
Louisville (21-9) @ Miami #22 (24-6) Miami (50.9%) 02:00 PM 84
Jacksonville State (14-16) @ UTEP (11-19) UTEP (50.7%) DOG 03:00 PM 49
Louisiana Tech (17-13) @ Delaware (10-20) Louisiana Tech (50.6%) 12:00 PM 49
Western Kentucky (18-12) @ Florida International (14-16) Florida International (50.3%) DOG 02:00 PM 50
Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
Providence (14-16) @ Georgetown (13-17) Georgetown (56.0%) DOG 08:00 PM 44
Furman (19-12) @ Samford (18-13) Samford (58.2%) 06:00 PM 47
Sam Houston (21-9) @ Liberty (24-6) Liberty (67.5%) 02:00 PM 52
Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
UAlbany (11-20) @ UMass Lowell (14-17) UMass Lowell (63.0%) 01:00 PM 37
Vanderbilt #24 (23-7) @ Tennessee #23 (21-9) Tennessee (61.9%) 02:00 PM 88
Davidson (18-12) @ St. Bonaventure (15-15) St. Bonaventure (59.0%) 12:00 PM 41
Western Carolina (14-15) @ Mercer (19-12) Mercer (58.5%) 08:30 PM 46
Furman (19-12) @ Samford (18-13) Samford (58.2%) 06:00 PM 47
Marist (18-11) @ Quinnipiac (19-12) Quinnipiac (57.0%) 06:00 PM 68
Mount St. Mary's (15-16) @ Siena (20-11) Siena (56.6%) 08:30 PM 48
Kennesaw State (18-12) @ New Mexico State (14-15) New Mexico State (56.2%) 04:00 PM 44
Providence (14-16) @ Georgetown (13-17) Georgetown (56.0%) DOG 08:00 PM 44
Northwestern (13-17) @ Minnesota (14-16) Minnesota (55.5%) 09:00 PM 44
Cincinnati (17-13) @ TCU (20-10) TCU (55.0%) 02:00 PM 45
Butler (15-15) @ DePaul (16-14) DePaul (55.0%) 12:00 PM 45
Texas Tech #10 (22-8) @ BYU (20-10) BYU (54.0%) 10:30 PM 81
Rhode Island (16-14) @ Fordham (16-14) Fordham (53.7%) 02:00 PM 46
Arkansas #20 (22-8) @ Missouri (20-10) Missouri (53.6%) 12:00 PM 81
Boise State (19-11) @ Colorado State (20-10) Colorado State (53.4%) 04:00 PM 67
Washington (15-15) @ Oregon (11-19) Oregon (53.3%) 11:00 PM 47
Middle Tennessee (16-14) @ Missouri State (14-16) Missouri State (53.3%) 03:00 PM 47
UT Arlington (16-13) @ Abilene Christian (13-17) Abilene Christian (53.2%) 07:00 PM 47
UC San Diego (21-10) @ UC Santa Barbara (18-12) UC Santa Barbara (52.6%) 09:00 PM 47
Texas A&M (20-10) @ LSU (15-15) Texas A&M (52.6%) 06:00 PM 47
SMU (19-11) @ Florida State (16-14) Florida State (52.4%) 02:00 PM 48
Notre Dame (13-17) @ Boston College (10-20) Notre Dame (51.6%) 12:00 PM 48
Campbell (14-17) @ Stony Brook (17-14) Campbell (51.3%) 12:00 PM 54
Louisville (21-9) @ Miami #22 (24-6) Miami (50.9%) 02:00 PM 84
Jacksonville State (14-16) @ UTEP (11-19) UTEP (50.7%) DOG 03:00 PM 49
Louisiana Tech (17-13) @ Delaware (10-20) Louisiana Tech (50.6%) 12:00 PM 49
Western Kentucky (18-12) @ Florida International (14-16) Florida International (50.3%) DOG 02:00 PM 50
Game Prediction Edge Time (ET) Hype Level
Jacksonville State (14-16) @ UTEP (11-19) UTEP (50.7%) DOG +4.9% 03:00 PM 49
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Expected Value Time (ET)
Colorado vs Arizona Colorado DOG 30.8% +750 ⭐⭐⭐ +162.0% 11:00 PM
Oklahoma State vs Houston Oklahoma State DOG 31.7% +587 ⭐⭐⭐ +117.8% 12:00 PM
Bryant @ Vermont Bryant DOG 27.3% +650 ⭐⭐⭐ +105.0% 02:00 PM
Game Prediction Time (ET) Hype Level
Game Prediction Edge Time (ET) Hype Level
Providence (14-16) @ Georgetown (13-17) Georgetown (56.0%) +6.0% 08:00 PM 44
Furman (19-12) @ Samford (18-13) Samford (58.2%) +5.2% 06:00 PM 47
Game Prediction Edge Time (ET) Hype Level
The Lab Analytics · 2026 · Privacy Policy · Disclaimer