🏀 2026 NCAA Tournament Bracket

Selection Sunday • March 15, 2026 • 64 Teams

With AI-Powered Win Probabilities (10,000 Monte Carlo Simulations)

East
1 Duke 66%
16 Siena 34%
8 Ohio State 62%
9 TCU 38%
5 St. John's 63%
12 Northern Iowa 37%
4 Kansas 52%
13 California Baptist 48%
6 Louisville 56%
11 South Florida 44%
3 Michigan State 65%
14 North Dakota State 35%
7 UCLA 62%
10 UCF 38%
2 UConn 61%
15 Furman 39%
1 Duke 65%
8 Ohio State 35%
5 St. John's 48%
4 Kansas 52%
6 Louisville 56%
3 Michigan State 44%
7 UCLA 43%
2 UConn 57%
1 Duke 62%
4 Kansas 38%
6 Louisville 54%
2 UConn 46%
1 Duke 62%
6 Louisville 38%
West
1 Arizona 63%
16 Long Island University 37%
8 Villanova 44%
9 Utah State 56%
5 Wisconsin 52%
12 High Point 48%
4 Arkansas 54%
13 Hawaii 46%
6 BYU 53%
11 Texas 47%
3 Gonzaga 55%
14 Kennesaw State 45%
7 Miami 53%
10 Missouri 47%
2 Purdue 54%
15 Queens 46%
1 Arizona 47%
9 Utah State 53%
5 Wisconsin 38%
4 Arkansas 62%
6 BYU 52%
3 Gonzaga 48%
7 Miami 54%
2 Purdue 46%
9 Utah State 49%
4 Arkansas 51%
6 BYU 51%
7 Miami 49%
4 Arkansas 55%
6 BYU 45%

Final Four • Indianapolis

East vs South

1 Duke 63%
1 Florida 37%

🏆 National Championship

1 Duke 59%
1 Michigan 41%

Monday, April 6, 2026 • Projected Champion: Duke

Predicted Total: 142 points

Duke 71, Michigan 71

West vs Midwest

4 Arkansas 59%
1 Michigan 41%
South
1 Florida 65%
16 Prairie View A&M 35%
8 Clemson 46%
9 Iowa 54%
5 Vanderbilt 63%
12 McNeese 37%
4 Nebraska 56%
13 Troy 44%
6 North Carolina 56%
11 VCU 44%
3 Illinois 54%
14 Penn 46%
7 Saint Mary's 52%
10 Texas A&M 48%
2 Houston 51%
15 Idaho 49%
1 Florida 56%
9 Iowa 44%
5 Vanderbilt 55%
4 Nebraska 45%
6 North Carolina 39%
3 Illinois 61%
7 Saint Mary's 53%
2 Houston 47%
1 Florida 56%
5 Vanderbilt 44%
3 Illinois 63%
7 Saint Mary's 37%
1 Florida 56%
3 Illinois 44%
Midwest
1 Michigan 67%
16 UMBC 33%
8 Georgia 59%
9 Saint Louis 41%
5 Texas Tech 46%
12 Akron 54%
4 Alabama 63%
13 Hofstra 37%
6 Tennessee 57%
11 SMU 43%
3 Virginia 55%
14 Wright State 45%
7 Kentucky 59%
10 Santa Clara 41%
2 Iowa State 66%
15 Tennessee State 34%
1 Michigan 62%
8 Georgia 38%
12 Akron 40%
4 Alabama 60%
6 Tennessee 55%
3 Virginia 45%
7 Kentucky 36%
2 Iowa State 64%
1 Michigan 59%
4 Alabama 41%
6 Tennessee 37%
2 Iowa State 63%
1 Michigan 53%
2 Iowa State 47%
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